Breyson Guedez — OGILVIE

Breyson GuedezOF Stockton Ports

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION350 act + 233 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .264 / .331

PA233

HR3

K%32

BB%4

BABIP328

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.1M
Totals		$13M		$23M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	210	197	58	11	2	2	9	29	0	5	1	294	325	401	726	107	329	14	4	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	210	192	69	15	2	2	14	20	0	5	1	359	403	490	892	130	385	10	7	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	A	OAK	—	350	331	79	16	4	4	14	129	3	1	0	239	276	347	623	109	375	37	4	270	65	-14	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.6
YTD	18	A	OAK	—	350	323	94	20	5	5	22	96	3	1	0	291	342	430	772	139	397	27	6	342	120	+8	+0	+0	-2	+10	1.6
ROS	18	A	OAK	0%	233	220	50	10	2	3	9	75	2	2	0	227	264	331	595	104	328	32	4	270	65	-9	+0	-1	-1	+7	-0.5
ROS	18	MLB	OAK	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		326	—	—	261	58	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	A	OAK	—	350	332	79	16	4	4	14	129	3	1	0	238	276	346	622	108	373	37	4	270	65	-14	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.6
TOT	18	A	OAK	—	583	551	129	26	6	7	23	204	5	3	0	234	271	341	612	107	355	35	4	270	65	-23	+1	-1	-4	+17	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	OAK	34%	410	384	90	17	3	8	19	126	4	5	1	234	278	357	634	122	326	31	5	283	75	-12	+1	-1	-2	+12	-0.4
2028	20	MLB	OAK	48%	497	462	111	21	4	11	26	147	6	7	2	240	289	374	664	134	325	30	5	293	82	-10	+1	-2	-3	+14	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	OAK	54%	557	514	126	24	4	13	31	160	7	8	2	245	297	383	680	138	324	29	6	299	87	-8	+1	-2	-3	+16	0.3
2030	22	MLB	OAK	57%	638	589	145	27	5	16	36	180	8	10	2	246	299	390	689	144	324	28	6	304	91	-7	+1	-2	-4	+18	0.7
2031	23	MLB	OAK	58%	637	587	146	28	5	16	37	178	8	10	2	249	302	395	697	147	325	28	6	307	93	-5	+1	-2	-4	+18	0.8
2032	24	MLB	OAK	57%	639	589	148	28	5	17	37	178	8	11	2	251	304	402	707	151	325	28	6	309	95	-4	+1	-2	-4	+18	1.0
2033	25	MLB	OAK	57%	642	591	148	28	5	17	38	178	8	11	3	250	305	401	706	151	325	28	6	311	96	-3	+1	-2	-4	+18	1.0
2034	26	MLB	OAK	57%	644	593	148	28	5	17	38	179	8	11	3	250	304	400	703	150	325	28	6	311	96	-3	+1	-2	-4	+18	1.1
2035	27	MLB	OAK	55%	641	590	148	28	5	17	38	178	8	11	3	251	305	402	707	151	325	28	6	311	96	-3	+1	-2	-4	+18	1.0
2036	28	MLB	OAK	55%	633	581	144	27	4	17	39	177	8	11	2	248	304	396	700	148	325	28	6	310	95	-3	+1	-3	-4	+18	0.9
2037	29	MLB	OAK	53%	622	572	140	26	4	16	38	175	7	10	2	245	300	388	688	143	324	28	6	308	94	-4	+1	-4	-4	+18	0.7
2038	30	MLB	OAK	57%	610	560	137	26	4	15	38	173	7	9	2	245	301	386	687	141	323	28	6	305	92	-6	+1	-4	-4	+17	0.5
2027	19	MLB	OAK	34%	141	132	31	6	1	3	7	43	1	2	0	235	279	364	642	129	323	30	5	273	67	-5	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	OAK	48%	241	224	53	10	2	5	12	71	3	3	1	237	285	366	651	129	322	29	5	282	74	-7	+0	-1	-1	+7	-0.2
2029	21	MLB	OAK	54%	302	278	68	13	2	7	17	87	4	5	1	245	298	381	679	137	321	29	6	288	79	-7	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2030	22	MLB	OAK	57%	361	334	82	15	3	9	20	102	4	6	1	246	296	389	685	144	321	28	6	292	82	-7	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.0
2031	23	MLB	OAK	58%	367	339	84	16	3	9	21	103	4	6	1	248	299	392	692	145	322	28	6	295	84	-7	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.1
2032	24	MLB	OAK	57%	364	336	82	15	3	9	21	101	4	6	1	244	296	387	683	143	323	28	6	298	86	-6	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.2
2033	25	MLB	OAK	57%	364	336	82	15	3	9	21	101	4	6	1	244	296	387	683	143	323	28	6	299	87	-5	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.2
2034	26	MLB	OAK	57%	364	336	83	15	3	10	21	101	4	6	1	247	299	399	698	152	322	28	6	299	87	-5	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.2
2035	27	MLB	OAK	55%	356	328	81	15	3	9	21	99	4	6	1	247	300	393	694	146	322	28	6	299	87	-5	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.2
2036	28	MLB	OAK	55%	348	320	79	15	2	9	21	97	4	6	1	247	301	391	692	144	322	28	6	298	86	-5	+1	-2	-2	+10	0.2
2037	29	MLB	OAK	53%	333	306	74	14	2	8	20	94	4	5	1	242	297	379	676	137	321	28	6	296	85	-6	+1	-2	-2	+9	0.0
2038	30	MLB	OAK	57%	348	320	77	14	2	9	21	99	4	5	1	241	296	381	677	141	320	28	6	294	83	-7	+1	-2	-2	+10	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3889	3590	876	163	29	96	223	1098	44	62	11	244	296	386	682	142	323	28	6	294	83	-73	+8	-16	-23	+110	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	146	27	5	16	37	184	7	10	2	243	295	385	680	142	322	28	6	294	83	-12	+1	-3	-4	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	7613	7029	1739	329	57	185	433	2133	89	121	27	247	299	389	689	142	327	28	6	304	91	-77	+13	-31	-46	+216	7.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	149	28	5	16	37	182	8	10	2	248	301	392	692	143	328	28	6	304	91	-7	+1	-3	-4	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	210	192	69	15	2	2	14	20	0	5	1	359	403	490	892	130	385	10	7	389	156	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	11	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
	/162	664	19	6	262	304	417	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3José Hernándezlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,901 PA	7	2,901	95	17	254	316	413	-11	+5	8.5	8.5
	/162	664	22	4	254	316	413	-2.4	+1.0	1.9	pk7: 8
#4Terrence Longlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,282 PA	6	3,282	69	27	270	319	407	-26	-7	6.9	6.9
	/162	664	14	5	270	319	407	-5.2	-1.4	1.4	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	4,171	103	67	246	294	388	-25	+1	5.2	5.0
	/162	664	16	11	246	294	388	-4.0	+0.2	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Breyson Guedez (OGILVIE)	18	20→52	35→44	50→47	30	234/271/341	107	355	7	3	35%	4%	65	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	41	43→50	47→40	43	202/274/320	118	277	9	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	227/287/334	107	295	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	248/308/368	120	321	11	2	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Trayvon Robinson 2006 · A	18	43→53	42→50	47→55	36	210/254/312	103	301	9	9	33%	5%	53	-1.5	207/255/283	76	330	5	12	36%	5%	46	-2.0	247/308/393	146	363	15	24	34%	7%	94	+1.3
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2011 · A	18	41→51	41→50	49→45	35	199/246/300	101	301	8	6	35%	5%	46	-2.0	218/263/331	113	279	12	4	25%	6%	62	-0.9	258/310/406	148	301	17	1	20%	7%	100	+0.9
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→47	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	52	-1.6	206/257/295	89	285	7	8	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Dalton Pompey 2011 · A	18	41→51	42→45	50→55	40	205/258/306	101	279	10	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	199/268/292	93	283	7	18	30%	8%	55	-1.4	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→48	44→55	48→45	40	209/264/317	108	283	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	232/286/390	158	298	19	7	28%	7%	88	+0.9	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
✕Jesus Vasquez 2010 · A	18	41	43→55	45→55	40	203/255/316	114	272	9	8	29%	5%	55	-1.4	209/267/336	127	280	13	13	29%	6%	66	-0.6	206/270/350	143	270	16	18	29%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Héctor Rodríguez 2022 · A	18	46→50	43→50	43→50	44	224/277/336	112	272	10	9	22%	6%	69	-0.4	228/267/352	124	277	10	13	21%	4%	69	-0.4	238/278/383	145	274	17	10	20%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Luis Liberato 2014 · A	18	41→51	37→55	48→50	41	195/252/268	73	282	4	13	31%	6%	41	-2.3	192/253/275	83	290	4	11	32%	7%	43	-2.2	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Jordan Schafer 2006 · A	19	36→46	40→50	50→65	35	178/221/272	94	267	6	13	35%	5%	28	-3.2	220/264/346	126	308	10	13	30%	6%	66	-0.6	238/300/385	147	332	12	14	30%	8%	87	+0.5
●Moisés Sierra 2008 · A	19	37→47	41→50	49→50	37	186/237/281	95	256	9	10	30%	4%	39	-2.5	219/266/312	93	298	8	8	28%	4%	59	-1.1	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
●Amed Rosario 2014 · A	18	41→51	39→50	41→55	37	199/234/285	86	267	6	5	28%	4%	37	-2.7	214/252/301	87	293	4	9	27%	4%	49	-1.8	276/314/398	122	328	9	15	18%	5%	99	+1.6
✕Randel Alcantara 2015 · A	18	40	43→45	41→45	42	200/268/307	107	273	11	4	30%	7%	59	-1.1	200/265/309	109	265	8	6	26%	6%	58	-1.2	186/252/305	119	241	8	6	25%	5%	48	-0.6
●Tirso Ornelas 2019 · A	19	43→53	40→50	50→45	45	206/273/299	93	288	7	5	30%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/266	76	279	5	5	31%	8%	41	-2.3	249/309/383	134	307	16	7	23%	7%	92	+1.1
●Nomar Mazara 2014 · A	19	36→46	42→55	44→40	37	182/239/289	107	276	10	3	36%	6%	42	-2.3	227/287/358	131	296	14	3	27%	7%	79	+0.3	253/317/430	176	296	21	3	22%	8%	106	+1.9
●Junior Lake 2008 · A	18	43→53	39→50	49→55	37	204/255/292	87	292	5	9	31%	5%	48	-1.9	204/245/292	88	307	6	10	34%	4%	43	-2.2	231/302/372	141	287	15	19	24%	8%	87	+0.5
●Jorge Bonifacio 2012 · A	19	43→51	42→55	47→45	38	209/257/320	111	296	7	8	31%	5%	56	-1.3	219/264/318	99	297	7	5	27%	5%	59	-1.1	245/310/400	155	318	17	3	27%	8%	97	+1.1
●Dylan Carlson 2017 · A	18	40→50	40→55	48→50	36	194/241/288	94	302	6	6	36%	6%	41	-2.3	210/278/331	121	287	12	7	29%	8%	69	-0.4	244/329/393	150	298	14	4	22%	9%	103	+1.5
●Zoilo Almonte 2007 · A	18	36→46	42→55	46→50	42	184/247/287	103	264	10	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	195/238/289	94	259	9	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	253/300/404	151	320	19	13	26%	6%	94	+1.0
✕Nick Weglarz 2007 · A	19	42→47	39→55	47→45	39	199/254/284	85	305	6	6	35%	6%	46	-2.0	220/302/367	147	294	16	4	29%	10%	89	+1.0	223/311/383	161	271	18	5	24%	10%	95	+1.0