Breyson Guedez — OGILVIE

Breyson GuedezOF Stockton Ports

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION548 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .222 / .222

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%4

BABIP338

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$9M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$10M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	210	192	69	15	2	2	14	20	0	5	1	359	403	490	892	130	385	10	7	389	149	+12	+1	—	—	+5	1.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	210	197	58	11	2	2	9	29	0	5	1	294	325	401	726	107	316	14	4	308	95	-1	+1	—	—	+5	0.4
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	210	197	58	11	2	2	9	29	0	5	1	294	325	401	726	107	329	14	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	210	192	69	15	2	2	14	20	0	5	1	359	403	490	892	130	385	10	7	389	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	210	199	58	11	2	2	9	29	0	5	1	291	325	397	722	106	316	14	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	210	199	58	11	2	2	9	29	0	5	1	291	325	397	722	106	316	14	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	A MLE	OAK	—	548	518	130	23	5	7	19	177	7	1	1	251	287	355	642	104	364	32	3	277	74	-17	-0	+0	-3	+12	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	A RAW	OAK	—	414	385	119	26	7	6	24	106	3	1	1	309	354	460	814	151	411	26	6	359	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	A+ RAW	OAK	—	134	123	33	3	0	2	4	26	4	0	0	268	311	341	652	73	320	19	3	292	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	A MLE	OAK	0%	9	9	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	222	222	222	444		332	22	0	280	75	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	A MLE	OAK	—	557	527	132	23	5	7	19	179	7	1	1	250	286	353	639	102	362	32	3	277	74	-17	-0	-0	-3	+12	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	OAK	34%	410	386	97	18	3	7	17	109	4	4	1	251	290	368	658	117	331	27	4	294	85	-7	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
2028	20	MLB MLE	OAK	48%	609	568	145	26	5	12	29	156	7	7	3	255	300	382	682	127	330	26	5	304	92	-6	+0	-2	-4	+13	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	OAK	54%	627	582	151	27	5	14	32	156	8	8	3	259	307	395	702	136	329	25	5	312	97	-2	+0	-2	-4	+14	0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	638	591	156	28	5	16	34	156	8	9	3	264	313	409	722	146	329	24	5	317	101	+1	+1	-2	-4	+14	0.9
2031	23	MLB MLE	OAK	58%	637	590	156	28	5	16	34	153	8	10	4	264	313	410	723	146	329	24	5	321	103	+3	+0	-2	-4	+14	1.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	639	591	157	28	5	17	35	153	8	10	4	266	315	416	732	151	330	24	5	324	105	+4	+0	-2	-4	+14	1.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	642	593	159	29	5	17	36	152	8	11	4	268	319	420	739	152	330	24	6	326	107	+5	+1	-2	-4	+14	1.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	644	595	160	29	5	18	36	153	8	11	4	269	319	425	744	156	330	24	6	326	107	+5	+1	-2	-4	+14	1.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	641	591	157	28	5	17	37	153	8	11	4	266	318	416	734	151	330	24	6	326	107	+5	+1	-2	-4	+14	1.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	633	583	156	28	5	17	37	152	8	10	4	268	320	420	740	153	329	24	6	325	106	+5	+0	-3	-4	+14	1.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	622	573	151	27	5	16	36	150	8	10	4	264	316	412	728	148	327	24	6	322	104	+3	+0	-4	-4	+13	1.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	610	561	146	26	4	16	36	149	8	9	3	260	314	406	720	146	324	24	6	318	102	+1	+1	-4	-4	+13	0.7
2039	31	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	596	549	140	25	4	15	35	147	7	9	3	255	308	397	705	142	320	25	6	313	98	-1	+1	-5	-4	+13	0.4
2040	32	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	577	531	133	23	4	14	34	145	7	8	3	250	304	388	692	137	315	25	6	306	93	-5	+0	-6	-3	+13	-0.1
2041	33	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	547	504	124	21	4	13	32	140	6	7	3	246	299	381	680	135	311	26	6	299	88	-8	+0	-6	-3	+12	-0.5
2027	19	MLB CTX	OAK	34%	141	133	33	6	1	2	6	37	1	1	0	248	286	353	639	105	337	26	4	290	85	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	OAK	48%	295	276	72	14	2	6	14	76	3	3	1	261	304	391	695	130	337	26	5	299	92	-3	+0	-1	-2	+6	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	OAK	54%	340	316	84	16	3	8	17	85	4	5	2	266	312	411	723	146	335	25	5	307	97	-1	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	361	335	90	17	3	9	19	88	4	5	2	269	316	418	734	149	335	24	5	312	101	+0	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	OAK	58%	367	339	91	17	3	9	20	88	5	6	2	268	319	416	735	147	336	24	5	316	103	+2	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	364	336	91	17	3	9	20	87	5	6	2	271	321	420	741	149	336	24	5	319	105	+2	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	364	336	92	17	3	10	20	86	5	6	2	274	324	432	756	158	336	24	5	320	107	+3	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	364	336	92	17	3	10	20	86	5	6	2	274	324	432	756	158	336	24	5	321	107	+3	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	356	329	89	17	3	9	20	85	4	6	2	271	320	422	743	152	336	24	6	321	107	+3	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	348	321	87	16	3	9	20	83	4	6	2	271	322	424	745	153	336	24	6	320	106	+3	+0	-2	-2	+8	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	333	306	82	15	2	9	20	80	4	5	2	268	321	418	740	150	333	24	6	317	104	+2	+0	-2	-2	+7	0.5
2038	30	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	321	295	77	14	2	8	19	78	4	5	2	261	314	403	718	142	330	24	6	313	102	+1	+0	-2	-2	+7	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	311	286	75	14	2	8	18	77	4	5	2	262	315	409	724	147	326	25	6	307	98	-1	+0	-3	-2	+7	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	299	276	70	13	2	7	17	75	4	4	1	254	306	391	698	138	321	25	6	301	93	-2	+0	-3	-2	+6	-0.0
2041	33	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	283	262	64	11	2	6	16	73	3	4	1	244	295	370	666	126	317	26	6	293	88	-4	+0	-3	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4847	4482	1189	221	37	119	266	1184	59	73	25	265	315	411	726	145	334	24	5	312	100	+4	+5	-25	-29	+105	6.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	160	30	5	16	36	159	8	10	3	266	316	413	729	146	336	24	6	312	100	+1	+1	-3	-4	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	9291	8594	2248	402	71	227	509	2255	111	139	51	262	311	404	715	143	328	24	5	316	100	+3	+7	-47	-54	+197	10.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	157	28	5	16	36	158	8	10	4	261	312	404	716	143	328	24	6	316	100	+0	+0	-3	-4	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	5.2	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
/162	664	20	24	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16
#2Josh Reddicklast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,879 PA	7.3	4,879	146	61	262	321	426	-52	-8	13.1	13.0
/162	664	20	8	-7.1	-1.1	1.8	pk7: 13
#3Gerardo Parralast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,290 PA	8.0	5,290	90	97	275	322	403	-51	+11	12.3	12.3
/162	664	11	12	-6.3	+1.4	1.5	pk7: 12
#4Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.7	5,129	124	75	261	307	403	-31	+1	10.9	9.2
/162	664	16	10	-4.0	+0.2	1.4	pk7: 8
#5Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	8.5	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
/162	664	19	6	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#6Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Breyson Guedez (OGILVIE)	18	20→52	35→44	50→47	30	244/279/345	101	332	3	2	28%	4%	75	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2009 · A	18	46→53	40→60	45	44	220/261/317	96	257	7	8	18%	5%	61	-1.5	231/271/374	143	288	14	7	24%	5%	80	-0.2	248/309/441	194	320	23	3	29%	7%	107	+1.6
✕Ramón Urías 2012 · A	18	42→52	37→50	47→50	46	199/275/269	70	250	4	6	21%	6%	58	-1.7	213/275/288	75	253	4	6	17%	5%	61	-1.5	277/345/394	117	329	11	14	18%	5%	109	+1.2
●Oscar Taveras 2011 · A	19	44→54	42→55	49→45	41	217/260/327	110	271	8	9	23%	5%	64	-1.3	273/312/421	148	317	13	7	18%	5%	105	+1.7	294/331/459	165	330	14	7	15%	4%	120	+1.7
●Esteury Ruiz 2017 · A	18	46→56	43→50	47→70	43	225/273/343	119	277	9	12	22%	5%	73	-0.6	209/255/323	114	312	8	25	34%	5%	61	-1.5	264/338/395	131	327	12	74	22%	6%	107	+1.2
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	43	37→45	48→60	37	200/274/282	82	301	4	8	32%	5%	61	-1.5	219/296/323	104	314	8	15	31%	6%	78	-0.3	223/301/336	113	317	11	20	31%	6%	80	-0.1
●Jonathan Aranda 2017 · A	19	43→53	37→50	48→45	43	203/263/280	77	266	3	7	24%	6%	55	-2.0	215/268/289	74	280	3	8	23%	6%	58	-1.7	269/354/426	157	343	20	0	26%	10%	118	+2.0
●Mark Vientos 2018 · A	18	42→50	40→60	41→30	38	206/251/301	95	290	8	3	31%	5%	55	-1.9	207/257/327	120	279	13	3	30%	6%	63	-1.3	243/303/441	198	304	26	1	28%	7%	106	+1.5
✕Thairo Estrada 2014 · A	18	44→54	39→55	48→55	41	210/265/306	95	269	5	9	23%	5%	61	-1.5	224/274/315	91	287	6	9	23%	5%	66	-1.1	275/329/432	158	317	18	21	19%	5%	112	+1.8
●Francisco Peguero 2007 · A	19	43→53	41→50	47→55	36	212/245/313	101	282	8	6	28%	3%	55	-2.0	231/264/308	77	307	4	18	25%	4%	60	-1.6	281/321/429	148	329	19	7	20%	4%	109	+1.5
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	42	44→45	47→30	43	207/277/335	127	282	11	6	29%	7%	74	-0.6	230/289/339	109	300	8	5	24%	7%	78	-0.3	252/312/362	110	332	10	2	25%	7%	89	+0.2
✕José Tena 2019 · A	18	47→54	36→45	47→55	43	222/269/294	72	278	3	10	21%	5%	59	-1.6	217/254/304	87	306	6	9	30%	4%	56	-1.9	243/301/368	126	332	12	21	29%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→49	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	57	-1.8	209/260/301	92	287	8	8	28%	6%	58	-1.7	234/295/378	144	313	15	11	29%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Josue Briceño 2023 · A	18	38→41	42→60	43→40	37	192/238/289	98	275	10	5	33%	5%	48	-2.5	222/287/352	130	280	13	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	226/301/383	157	271	18	2	23%	9%	92	+0.4
●Miguel Andujar 2014 · A	19	43→53	40→55	44→45	39	210/249/300	89	271	7	6	25%	4%	54	-2.0	223/261/330	107	275	10	5	22%	4%	65	-1.2	281/314/455	175	309	20	3	16%	4%	113	+1.7
●César Hernández 2008 · A	18	44→54	39→50	51→55	41	211/254/309	98	267	5	8	23%	4%	57	-1.8	222/280/296	74	270	3	15	18%	7%	64	-1.3	274/364/380	106	339	9	16	20%	12%	111	+2.3
●Roman Anthony 2023 · A	19	48→56	37→50	50	48	225/279/300	76	274	4	7	19%	7%	65	-1.2	237/318/378	141	332	14	12	30%	10%	99	+1.2	254/345/410	156	340	16	11	27%	11%	112	+1.6
●Jesús Sánchez 2017 · A	19	48→52	44→60	49→50	39	236/267/361	124	294	10	6	24%	4%	74	-0.6	241/275/366	125	311	12	5	26%	4%	78	-0.3	253/320/456	203	316	25	4	27%	8%	113	+1.7
✕Renato Núñez 2012 · A	18	41→51	41→60	42→30	34	204/237/300	97	275	9	4	30%	3%	49	-2.4	210/253/337	127	283	13	4	30%	4%	65	-1.2	229/300/429	200	270	28	1	26%	7%	102	+1.0
✕Keibert Ruiz 2016 · A	18	47→57	37→50	47→40	44	224/261/298	74	264	4	7	17%	4%	57	-1.8	250/286/346	96	291	7	2	16%	4%	78	-0.3	255/308/407	152	262	19	3	11%	6%	99	+1.0
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	44	37→40	47→40	45	209/268/279	70	271	5	6	24%	7%	56	-1.9	225/291/332	107	274	8	5	20%	8%	77	-0.3	252/305/321	69	287	2	0	12%	6%	75	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps