Player 828903 — OGILVIE

Player 828903— ACL Royals

Age — —/— ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION184 act + 136 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .289 / .350

PA136

HR3

K%24

BB%7

BABIP273

ISO130

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	KC	—	184	160	38	8	1	6	14	36	3	1	0	237	311	412	723	175	256	20	8	309	95	-1	+0	+0	-3	+5	0.1
YTD	—	ROK	KC	—	184	151	48	11	2	7	22	25	3	1	0	318	412	556	969	238	325	14	12	407	169	+14	+0	+0	-3	+5	1.7
ROS	—	ROK	KC	0%	136	123	27	5	1	3	10	33	2	2	1	220	289	350	638	130	278	24	7	292	82	-3	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	280	72	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	KC	—	184	161	38	8	1	6	14	36	3	1	0	236	311	410	721	174	254	20	8	309	95	-1	+0	+0	-3	+5	0.1
TOT	—	ROK	KC	—	320	283	65	13	2	9	24	69	5	3	1	230	301	385	686	155	263	22	8	302	89	-4	+0	+0	-6	+9	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	KC	0%	393	357	80	15	3	9	29	94	4	7	2	224	290	359	648	134	279	24	7	295	84	-7	+1	+0	-7	+11	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	KC	0%	459	416	94	18	3	11	35	109	5	9	3	226	294	363	657	137	280	24	8	297	86	-7	+1	+0	-8	+13	-0.2
2029	25	MLB	KC	0%	504	455	105	20	4	13	38	120	6	10	3	231	299	378	677	147	280	24	8	299	87	-7	+1	+0	-9	+14	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	KC	0%	535	483	111	21	4	14	41	127	6	11	3	230	298	377	675	147	280	24	8	300	88	-7	+1	+0	-10	+15	-0.1
2031	25	MLB	KC	0%	557	503	116	22	4	15	43	132	6	11	4	231	299	380	679	149	280	24	8	301	88	-7	+1	+0	-10	+16	-0.1
2032	25	MLB	KC	0%	574	519	119	23	4	15	44	136	6	11	4	229	297	376	673	146	280	24	8	301	89	-7	+1	+0	-10	+16	-0.1
2027	25	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	283	75	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	286	77	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	287	78	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	288	79	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	289	79	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	289	79	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3158	2856	652	124	23	80	240	751	35	61	20	228	296	372	668	144	280	24	8	299	87	-46	+4	+0	-56	+89	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	134	26	5	16	49	155	7	13	4	228	295	371	665	143	281	24	8	299	87	-10	+1	+0	-12	+18	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	11	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
	/162	664	19	6	262	304	417	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	8	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
	/162	664	15	9	253	302	405	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,342	83	63	230	294	373	-38	+0	1.1	1.2
	/162	664	17	13	230	294	373	-7.6	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 828903 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	230/301/385	155	263	9	3	22%	8%	89	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jerad Head 2008 · A	25	41→46	44→55	49→50	41	207/274/331	124	262	11	9	25%	5%	68	-0.5	223/280/367	144	278	14	10	25%	5%	79	+0.3	230/283/396	166	281	18	9	25%	4%	85	+0.4
✕Preston Scott 2018 · A	24	45	45→50	49→50	42	220/287/349	129	295	11	10	28%	6%	78	+0.2	203/259/304	101	314	8	9	36%	5%	54	-1.4	179/229/263	84	296	6	8	39%	4%	27	-2.0
●Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	45→50	45→50	49→50	43	220/292/339	119	296	13	11	29%	7%	78	+0.2	243/315/397	154	291	18	10	22%	8%	102	+1.9	239/320/383	144	286	17	9	22%	9%	97	+1.2
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Stuart Fairchild 2021 · AA	25	43→42	43→50	47→55	42	212/278/328	116	288	10	10	29%	7%	69	-0.4	223/300/379	156	295	17	13	29%	8%	92	+1.2	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Mike Ahmed 2017 · A	25	43→45	45→50	47→50	44	213/280/338	125	293	13	11	31%	8%	72	-0.2	209/268/328	119	322	12	9	37%	7%	64	-0.8	199/255/309	110	322	11	7	39%	6%	51	-0.6
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2015 · A	25	43→41	48→50	51→50	45	219/286/364	145	276	16	14	27%	7%	82	+0.5	206/262/337	131	281	14	9	31%	6%	64	-0.8	165/214/276	112	225	13	5	33%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Stefan Trosclair 2018 · A	24	43→42	47→50	50	45	217/293/356	139	283	15	9	28%	8%	82	+0.5	218/282/357	139	301	15	7	31%	6%	78	+0.2	208/270/353	144	290	16	4	32%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→44	44→55	51→45	42	209/269/330	121	281	12	9	29%	7%	65	-0.7	226/282/380	154	300	19	5	30%	6%	84	+0.6	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
●Troy Johnston 2022 · A	25	48→49	45→55	48→55	47	234/302/356	122	303	12	6	26%	8%	85	+0.7	235/298/378	143	295	15	11	25%	7%	89	+1.0	237/298/400	162	284	18	23	23%	6%	92	+1.1
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	224/297/336	113	268	10	9	20%	7%	79	+0.3	247/329/361	114	319	9	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
✕Steve Selsky 2014 · AA	25	47→52	45→50	51→45	41	233/290/359	126	304	12	9	27%	6%	82	+0.5	242/306/347	105	342	9	6	30%	7%	85	+0.7	252/319/358	106	361	10	4	30%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Huascar Fuentes 2016 · A	24	43	45→50	48→45	44	214/291/349	136	266	11	7	23%	6%	80	+0.4	200/260/288	88	282	5	6	29%	5%	50	-1.7	179/233/243	65	264	3	4	31%	3%	25	-1.0
✕Chris Colton 2007 · A	24	44→48	43→55	47→50	41	218/265/329	111	284	11	14	27%	6%	63	-0.9	225/280/359	134	289	13	10	26%	7%	77	+0.1	236/296/445	209	274	23	5	23%	8%	106	+0.6
✕Kody Hoese 2021 · A	24	47→49	45→50	50→40	46	230/289/353	123	281	12	6	22%	7%	79	+0.3	196/238/279	83	268	8	4	29%	5%	37	-2.6	233/288/370	137	291	15	1	25%	6%	80	+0.3
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Sean Bouchard 2021 · A	25	39→41	43→55	47→50	38	194/251/304	110	295	10	10	36%	6%	50	-1.7	216/293/388	172	295	19	12	31%	9%	91	+1.1	210/314/386	176	278	19	16	30%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Patrick Kivlehan 2014 · A	24	49→50	43→60	47→50	40	237/286/347	110	319	11	10	28%	5%	76	+0.1	228/274/368	140	303	15	10	29%	5%	76	+0.1	215/282/415	200	278	26	3	32%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	44→42	42→45	47→50	47	211/303/316	105	285	9	10	27%	8%	77	+0.1	211/299/300	89	300	7	10	29%	9%	71	-0.3	171/289/188	17	273	0	6	32%	12%	37	-0.5
●Spencer Packard 2023 · A	25	44→52	45→50	50→40	47	219/290/341	122	260	13	7	21%	7%	77	+0.1	243/317/379	136	283	15	3	19%	8%	98	+1.6	243/323/372	129	281	14	1	18%	9%	96	+1.2