Tyson Moran — OGILVIE

Tyson Moran3B ACL Royals

Age 21 L/R ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 260 proj PA

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .296 / .362

PA260

HR6

K%25

BB%7

ISO129

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 62 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT62

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	63	57	14	1	1	1	6	9	0	2	0	246	317	351	668	105	277	14	10	303	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	208	171	55	12	2	7	26	27	3	1	0	322	418	538	956	216	333	13	12	405	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	63	59	13	1	1	1	4	12	0	2	0	220	270	322	592	102	254	19	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	208	182	44	9	1	6	16	39	3	1	0	242	313	401	715	159	247	19	8	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	271	241	55	9	2	6	20	51	3	3	0	228	295	357	652	129	257	19	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	271	228	69	13	3	8	32	36	3	3	0	303	394	491	885	189	319	13	12	382	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	271	246	55	9	2	6	20	51	3	3	0	224	295	350	645	126	249	19	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	271	246	55	9	2	6	20	51	3	3	0	224	295	350	645	126	249	19	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	KC	0%	381	347	82	14	3	8	28	94	3	6	2	236	298	365	663	129	298	25	7	296	87	-6	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	KC	43%	321	291	70	12	3	7	24	78	3	5	2	238	302	373	675	134	298	24	7	301	90	-4	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	KC	61%	405	368	88	15	3	10	30	98	4	7	2	240	304	379	683	139	299	24	7	305	92	-4	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.7
2030	24	MLB MLE	KC	66%	461	419	102	17	4	12	35	111	4	8	2	242	306	384	690	142	299	24	8	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.9
2031	25	MLB MLE	KC	69%	492	448	109	19	4	13	37	118	4	9	3	243	308	387	694	144	299	24	8	309	95	-3	+1	+0	+2	+11	1.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	KC	70%	508	459	111	19	4	13	39	121	5	9	3	243	308	388	696	145	298	24	8	310	96	-3	+1	+0	+2	+11	1.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	KC	69%	514	465	113	20	4	13	39	123	5	9	3	242	307	385	693	144	298	24	8	308	95	-3	+1	+0	+2	+11	1.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	KC	68%	513	465	112	19	4	13	39	124	4	9	3	240	305	381	686	141	297	24	8	306	93	-4	+1	-1	+2	+11	0.9
2035	29	MLB MLE	KC	67%	506	458	109	19	4	12	39	124	4	8	3	237	302	374	676	137	295	25	8	302	90	-6	+0	-1	+2	+11	0.6
2036	30	MLB MLE	KC	66%	497	453	106	18	3	12	37	123	4	7	3	234	299	366	665	132	294	25	7	297	87	-8	+0	-2	+2	+11	0.3
2037	31	MLB MLE	KC	71%	484	441	101	17	3	11	36	122	4	6	4	230	294	356	650	126	290	25	7	291	83	-10	-0	-3	+2	+10	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	KC	43%	139	127	30	5	1	3	10	34	1	2	1	236	299	365	665	130	296	24	7	297	90	-2	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	KC	61%	246	224	52	9	2	5	18	60	2	4	1	238	302	371	673	134	297	24	7	300	92	-2	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	KC	66%	305	276	67	12	3	7	23	73	3	6	2	239	304	376	680	137	297	24	8	303	94	-2	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	KC	69%	338	306	74	13	3	8	26	81	3	6	2	240	305	378	683	139	297	24	8	305	95	-2	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.7
2032	26	MLB CTX	KC	70%	355	322	78	14	3	9	27	85	3	7	2	240	305	380	685	140	296	24	8	305	96	-2	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	KC	69%	354	321	76	13	3	8	27	85	3	6	2	239	304	377	681	138	296	24	8	304	95	-2	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	KC	68%	351	318	75	13	3	8	27	85	3	6	2	237	302	372	675	135	295	24	8	301	93	-3	+0	-0	+1	+8	0.6
2035	29	MLB CTX	KC	67%	338	306	71	12	2	8	26	83	3	5	2	234	300	366	666	132	293	25	8	298	90	-4	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	KC	66%	327	296	69	12	2	7	25	81	3	5	2	231	296	358	654	127	292	25	8	293	87	-5	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2037	31	MLB CTX	KC	71%	343	311	70	12	2	7	26	86	3	4	3	227	291	349	640	121	288	25	8	287	83	-7	-0	-2	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3096	2807	662	115	24	70	235	753	27	51	19	236	301	369	670	133	296	24	8	299	91	-31	+3	-5	+11	+67	4.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	139	24	5	15	49	158	6	11	4	236	301	370	671	134	295	24	8	299	91	-6	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5232	4745	1133	194	40	128	394	1257	46	84	29	239	303	377	681	139	296	24	8	303	91	-51	+5	-7	+18	+107	7.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	141	24	5	16	49	156	6	10	4	239	304	379	683	139	297	24	8	303	91	-7	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeimer Candelariolast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,576 PA	5.4	3,576	110	19	237	316	412	+8	-5	12.7	13.0
/162	664	20	4	+1.6	-0.9	2.4	pk7: 13
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	5.4	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
/162	664	24	1	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,355	82	56	240	301	378	+12	+4	7.3	6.6
/162	664	16	11	+2.4	+0.7	1.5	pk7: 6
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyson Moran (OGILVIE)	21	57→62	44→49	45→50	53	234/296/362	128	298	6	4	25%	7%	87	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Wheeler 2010 · A	22	50→57	45→50	48→40	48	241/313/369	128	300	12	8	23%	8%	95	+0.9	253/295/375	122	323	12	4	24%	5%	88	+0.5	260/301/393	133	327	13	4	24%	5%	94	+0.8
●Alek Thomas 2021 · A	21	51→57	43→50	48→50	43	245/299/361	116	327	9	10	27%	6%	86	+0.3	253/307/401	148	314	13	11	23%	7%	99	+1.3	252/305/401	149	304	14	11	21%	6%	96	+0.9
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	51→52	45	49→50	47	249/304/371	122	299	13	11	21%	7%	91	+0.6	242/328/367	125	291	10	13	19%	10%	99	+1.3	240/330/363	124	285	10	12	18%	10%	97	+1.0
●Justin Yurchak 2018 · A	21	51→61	44→40	49→40	52	249/316/366	117	293	12	4	19%	9%	94	+0.9	229/291/322	93	289	7	3	22%	8%	75	-0.5	272/336/375	103	335	10	2	20%	8%	101	+0.8
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	50→51	44→45	50→55	47	239/306/363	124	325	11	10	28%	9%	90	+0.6	237/310/354	117	348	9	17	31%	10%	89	+0.5	237/311/358	121	351	9	21	32%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Rio Ruiz 2015 · A	21	50→54	43→50	45→40	50	240/307/360	120	305	9	5	24%	9%	89	+0.5	237/302/351	114	309	10	3	24%	9%	86	+0.3	220/284/360	140	261	16	3	22%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Shed Long Jr. 2017 · A	21	47→50	44→50	51→50	42	230/288/353	123	315	11	11	30%	7%	81	-0.1	238/298/379	141	324	14	11	29%	7%	91	+0.6	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
●Colt Keith 2023 · A	21	50→53	47→55	53→45	45	241/305/384	143	332	14	8	30%	8%	95	+0.9	257/313/415	158	319	18	5	24%	7%	105	+1.7	260/320/417	157	316	18	4	23%	8%	107	+1.6
✕Caleb Gindl 2010 · A	21	50→57	47→50	50	44	244/303/382	138	333	14	11	30%	8%	93	+0.8	248/307/375	127	311	12	8	23%	8%	93	+0.8	246/305/385	138	307	14	4	23%	7%	91	+0.6
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	45→55	48→50	52	224/302/352	128	270	12	12	21%	9%	86	+0.3	233/300/393	160	281	18	11	23%	8%	95	+1.0	226/297/390	163	268	19	11	23%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2022 · A	21	50→53	45→50	50	44	240/303/376	136	329	11	11	29%	8%	92	+0.7	223/280/341	118	322	9	8	32%	7%	75	-0.5	218/274/328	110	309	9	7	31%	6%	68	-0.6
✕Colin Moran 2014 · A	21	50→57	43→55	50→30	45	242/292/352	110	297	10	6	22%	6%	82	-0.0	253/298/355	102	327	8	3	24%	6%	84	+0.2	269/319/423	154	316	19	0	21%	6%	109	+1.4
✕Mike Boeve 2024 · A	22	50→53	48→40	49→45	45	245/306/384	139	326	15	7	29%	8%	95	+1.0	258/322/359	101	337	8	8	24%	8%	95	+0.9	257/324/350	93	335	8	9	24%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Jason Martin 2017 · A	21	43→52	47→60	49→50	45	219/279/359	140	286	14	13	28%	8%	79	-0.2	231/278/376	145	308	14	12	28%	6%	82	+0.0	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Hank Conger 2008 · A	20	48→58	47→50	48→45	43	241/281/376	136	287	14	9	22%	5%	84	+0.1	255/300/394	139	301	15	4	20%	6%	95	+0.9	260/314/394	134	302	14	2	18%	7%	99	+0.9
✕Nick Yorke 2023 · A	21	46→56	47→50	46→55	43	233/287/366	133	297	16	9	27%	7%	84	+0.1	246/303/366	120	328	12	15	27%	7%	89	+0.5	256/312/370	114	340	11	18	26%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Jorbit Vivas 2022 · A	21	54→57	47→45	47→50	47	267/331/407	140	302	14	7	16%	6%	110	+2.1	241/322/356	115	273	10	11	15%	8%	95	+1.0	228/319/335	107	260	9	14	15%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	48→50	45→50	48→45	53	234/319/371	136	287	12	11	22%	10%	97	+1.1	231/311/367	136	281	13	9	21%	10%	93	+0.8	225/308/360	135	270	13	9	21%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jamie Westbrook 2016 · A	21	50→54	46→50	49→45	41	248/287/381	133	294	13	8	21%	4%	86	+0.3	242/279/358	116	278	11	7	17%	4%	78	-0.3	246/298/391	146	280	17	3	19%	5%	92	+0.6
●Mat Gamel 2007 · A	22	47→57	46→50	49→45	42	236/279/369	133	287	14	7	23%	5%	81	-0.1	253/305/401	148	333	13	7	26%	7%	98	+1.2	257/313/412	156	347	14	6	29%	7%	104	+1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps