Ryan Wheeler
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 25 | AAAColorado Spri… | 480 | .306/.356/.463 | 12 | 4 | 83 | — | .255/.294/.378 | |
| 2013 | 25 | MLBCOL | 42 | .220/.238/.268 | 0 | 0 | 36 | -1.5 | ||
| 2014 | 26 | AAALAA | 332 | .268/.322/.361 | 6 | 0 | 57 | — | .232/.270/.297 | |
| 2014 | 26 | MLBCOL | 64 | .232/.295/.375 | 2 | 0 | 73 | -0.1 | ||
| 2015 | 27 | AAAWSH | 130 | .258/.269/.359 | 2 | 0 | 54 | — | .240/.246/.333 | |
| 2016 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | A | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 36 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 345 | 472 | 552 | 1.024 | 207 | 375 | 11 | 14 | 452 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 73 | 67 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 315 | 433 | 748 | 179 | 292 | 22 | 7 | 333 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 506 | 465 | 132 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 98 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 284 | 341 | 404 | 745 | 120 | 343 | 19 | 7 | 334 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 531 | 480 | 141 | 30 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 102 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 294 | 359 | 465 | 824 | 171 | 343 | 19 | 8 | 364 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 115 | 106 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 292 | 336 | 377 | 714 | 85 | 369 | 21 | 6 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 119 | 109 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 297 | 339 | 636 | 101 | 287 | 18 | 8 | 285 | 73 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 399 | 362 | 127 | 27 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 67 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 351 | 397 | 572 | 969 | 221 | 388 | 17 | 7 | 414 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 42 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 238 | 268 | 506 | 49 | 290 | 24 | 2 | 229 | 36 | -3 | +0 | -3 | -9 | +1 | -1.5 |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 480 | 438 | 134 | 29 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 91 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 306 | 356 | 463 | 819 | 158 | 357 | 19 | 6 | 358 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 64 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 295 | 375 | 670 | 143 | 244 | 19 | 8 | 287 | 73 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 332 | 302 | 81 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 268 | 322 | 361 | 683 | 93 | 314 | 19 | 7 | 304 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 130 | 128 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 269 | 359 | 629 | 102 | 316 | 22 | 2 | 279 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 225 | 206 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 44 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 285 | 335 | 620 | 102 | 276 | 20 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -7 | +0 | -6 | -6 | +5 | -1.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 36 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 323 | 417 | 516 | 933 | 194 | 343 | 14 | 8 | 378 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 73 | 68 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 274 | 353 | 627 | 132 | 276 | 27 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 506 | 477 | 122 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 127 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 256 | 297 | 358 | 656 | 103 | 330 | 25 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 531 | 497 | 128 | 28 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 125 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 258 | 302 | 394 | 697 | 137 | 317 | 24 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 119 | 109 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 288 | 321 | 609 | 92 | 287 | 18 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 399 | 371 | 112 | 20 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 91 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 302 | 336 | 474 | 810 | 173 | 349 | 23 | 4 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 42 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 238 | 268 | 506 | 49 | 290 | 24 | 2 | 222 | 36 | -3 | +0 | -3 | -9 | +1 | -1.5 |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 480 | 447 | 114 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 125 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 255 | 294 | 378 | 673 | 123 | 320 | 26 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 64 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 295 | 375 | 670 | 143 | 244 | 19 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 332 | 310 | 72 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 81 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 232 | 270 | 297 | 567 | 65 | 289 | 24 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 130 | 129 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 246 | 333 | 579 | 93 | 308 | 25 | 1 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 36 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 323 | 417 | 516 | 933 | 194 | 360 | 14 | 8 | 378 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A RAW | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 36 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 345 | 472 | 552 | 1.024 | 207 | 375 | 11 | 14 | 452 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 579 | 545 | 137 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 147 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 251 | 294 | 358 | 652 | 106 | 326 | 25 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 579 | 532 | 149 | 28 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 114 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 280 | 337 | 408 | 745 | 128 | 337 | 20 | 7 | 334 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 646 | 604 | 155 | 34 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 152 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 257 | 301 | 394 | 695 | 137 | 317 | 24 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 646 | 586 | 172 | 39 | 2 | 16 | 52 | 126 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 294 | 355 | 449 | 804 | 155 | 348 | 20 | 8 | 356 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 480 | 137 | 25 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 113 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 285 | 325 | 440 | 764 | 154 | 341 | 22 | 5 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 518 | 471 | 153 | 33 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 89 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 325 | 374 | 518 | 892 | 193 | 364 | 17 | 7 | 385 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 488 | 123 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 135 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 252 | 290 | 369 | 659 | 117 | 325 | 26 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 522 | 479 | 143 | 31 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 101 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 299 | 346 | 447 | 793 | 148 | 351 | 19 | 6 | 347 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 366 | 85 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 93 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 232 | 274 | 309 | 583 | 77 | 287 | 23 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 396 | 358 | 94 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 263 | 318 | 363 | 681 | 101 | 303 | 19 | 7 | 301 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 130 | 129 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 246 | 333 | 579 | 93 | 309 | 25 | 1 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 130 | 128 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 269 | 359 | 629 | 102 | 316 | 22 | 2 | 279 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 36 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 323 | 417 | 516 | 933 | 194 | 343 | 14 | 8 | 378 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 579 | 541 | 137 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 147 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 253 | 294 | 360 | 655 | 107 | 323 | 25 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 646 | 603 | 155 | 34 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 152 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 257 | 301 | 395 | 695 | 138 | 317 | 24 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 485 | 137 | 25 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 113 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 282 | 325 | 435 | 760 | 153 | 335 | 22 | 5 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 491 | 123 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 135 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 251 | 290 | 367 | 656 | 116 | 318 | 26 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 372 | 85 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 93 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 228 | 274 | 304 | 578 | 75 | 282 | 23 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 130 | 128 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 246 | 336 | 582 | 94 | 308 | 25 | 1 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 225 | 206 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 44 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 285 | 335 | 620 | 102 | 276 | 20 | 7 | 275 | 84 | -7 | +0 | -6 | -6 | +5 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 595 | 139 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 127 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 234 | 285 | 338 | 623 | 104 | 276 | 20 | 7 | 275 | 84 | -21 | +1 | -17 | -17 | +14 | -4.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2827 | 2643 | 678 | 124 | 13 | 56 | 134 | 678 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 257 | 297 | 377 | 674 | 120 | 321 | 24 | 5 | 293 | 84 | -7 | +0 | -6 | -6 | +5 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 608 | 157 | 29 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 156 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 258 | 299 | 380 | 679 | 122 | 323 | 24 | 5 | 293 | 84 | -21 | +1 | -17 | -17 | +14 | -4.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAARochester Red Wings · 130 PAwOBA .271 → .248 (−23)K% 21.5% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.54% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.54% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 1.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.930 | ×1.042 | ×1.003 | 24.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | ×1.042 | ×1.003 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷0.932 | ×0.970 | ×1.042 | ×1.003 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 1.76% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 86, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .271 → .248; ISO .102 → .089; BABIP .316 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAASalt Lake Bees · 332 PAwOBA .299 → .253 (−46)K% 18.7% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.67% | ÷0.986 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.63% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 4.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.30% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.08% | ÷1.013 | ×0.900 | ×1.040 | ×1.018 | 25.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.005 | ×0.810 | ×1.040 | ×1.018 | 3.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.810 | ×1.040 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.139 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.74% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 103, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .299 → .253; ISO .093 → .068; BABIP .314 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 480 PAwOBA .352 → .291 (−61)K% 19.0% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.96% | ÷0.941 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 4.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.22% | ÷1.031 | ×0.900 | ×1.014 | ×1.033 | 23.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.36% | ÷0.967 | ×0.810 | ×1.014 | ×1.033 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.071 | ×0.810 | ×1.014 | ×1.033 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.46% | ÷1.022 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 2.73% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 114, K 88, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .352 → .291; ISO .158 → .124; BABIP .357 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAReno Aces · 399 PAwOBA .410 → .347 (−63)K% 16.8% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.79% | ÷0.956 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.02% | ÷1.042 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 4.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.46% | ÷0.989 | ×0.900 | ×1.005 | ×1.048 | 26.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.15% | ÷1.130 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×1.048 | 6.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.36% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×1.048 | 1.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.08% | ÷1.021 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 4.07% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 91, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .410 → .347; ISO .221 → .173; BABIP .388 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAMobile BayBears · 531 PAwOBA .352 → .305 (−46)K% 19.2% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.21% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.16% | ÷0.938 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 5.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.60% | ÷1.039 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.027 | 22.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×1.027 | 7.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.021 | ×1.027 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.23% | ÷1.088 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.20% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 108, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 99, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .352 → .305; ISO .171 → .142; BABIP .343 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Visalia Rawhide · 506 PAwOBA .324 → .285 (−39)K% 19.4% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.37% | ÷1.035 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.52% | ÷1.025 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 4.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.16% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 25.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.81% | ÷0.996 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 5.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷0.904 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.45% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 2.25% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 96, 2B 99, 3B 81, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .324 → .285; ISO .120 → .104; BABIP .343 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAMobile BayBears · 73 PAwOBA .323 → .264 (−59)K% 21.9% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.92% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.85% | ÷1.003 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 4.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.57% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 20.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.965 | ×0.910 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 5.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.880 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.266 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 3.87% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 97, 2B 93, 3B 84, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .323 → .264; ISO .179 → .127; BABIP .292 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ASouth Bend Silver Hawks · 36 PAwOBA .441 → .378 (−62)K% 11.1% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 15.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.56% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 4.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 26.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 3.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 3.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 3.25% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .441 → .378; ISO .207 → .180; BABIP .375 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .