Abel Valdes

C DSL Rangers Red

Age 21 L/R 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKDSL Rangers B…	122	.217/.458/.253	0	0	60	—	.161/.350/.194
2026	20	ROKDSL Rangers R…	80	.250/.400/.438	3	1	51	—	.145/.262/.217
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBTEX	190	.217/.310/.298	2	2	76	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBTEX	54	.220/.313/.311	1	1	80	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBTEX	136	.223/.314/.320	2	2	82	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%99

K%90

Z-Con%83

Whiff%82

ISO80

BB%80

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRichi Sanchez (age 21) · Tayden Hall (age 21) · Cam Maron (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .307 / .295

PA73

HR1

K%26

BB%10

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$24M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE80

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	122	83	18	1	1	0	30	24	7	0	0	217	458	253	711	36	295	20	25	356	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	80	64	16	3	0	3	16	10	0	1	0	250	400	438	838	188	255	12	20	379	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	122	93	15	1	1	0	20	31	7	0	0	161	350	194	544	32	207	25	16	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	80	69	10	2	0	1	11	12	0	1	0	145	263	217	480	72	169	15	14	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	122	93	15	1	1	0	20	31	7	0	0	161	350	194	544	32	234	25	16	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	122	83	18	1	1	0	30	24	7	0	0	217	458	253	711	36	295	20	25	356	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	80	69	10	2	0	1	11	12	0	1	0	145	263	217	480	72	161	15	14	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	80	64	16	3	0	3	16	10	0	1	0	250	400	438	838	188	255	12	20	379	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	122	94	15	1	1	0	20	31	7	0	0	160	350	191	541	32	207	25	16	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	80	69	10	2	0	1	11	12	0	1	0	145	263	217	480	72	169	15	14	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	122	94	15	1	1	0	20	31	7	0	0	160	350	191	541	32	207	25	16	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	80	69	10	2	0	1	11	12	0	1	0	145	263	217	480	72	169	15	14	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	190	165	36	5	1	2	20	49	3	2	1	217	310	298	608	81	294	26	11	281	76	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	158	139	31	5	1	2	16	41	2	2	1	220	312	309	621	89	294	26	10	286	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	281	246	55	8	2	4	29	71	4	5	2	223	314	318	632	95	295	25	10	290	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	370	324	73	11	3	5	38	93	5	6	2	225	315	325	641	100	296	25	10	293	85	-7	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.8
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	423	371	84	13	3	7	43	106	6	7	3	227	316	331	647	105	296	25	10	296	86	-7	+0	+0	+8	+9	1.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	456	401	91	14	3	8	46	114	6	8	3	228	316	336	652	108	295	25	10	297	87	-7	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	471	415	94	15	3	8	47	118	6	8	3	226	315	333	648	107	295	25	10	296	86	-8	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	476	419	94	15	3	7	48	120	6	7	4	225	313	328	641	104	294	25	10	293	84	-9	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.9
2035	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	472	416	92	14	3	7	47	121	6	7	4	222	310	322	632	100	292	26	10	289	82	-10	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	466	411	90	14	3	6	46	121	6	6	4	219	307	314	620	95	291	26	10	285	79	-12	-0	-2	+8	+10	0.4
2037	31	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	440	389	85	13	3	6	43	116	5	5	6	215	302	304	606	89	287	26	10	279	75	-13	-1	-3	+8	+10	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	54	47	10	1	0	1	6	14	1	1	0	220	313	311	623	90	294	26	11	287	80	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	136	119	27	4	1	2	14	35	2	2	1	223	314	320	635	97	295	26	10	291	82	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	195	170	39	6	1	3	20	49	3	3	1	226	316	329	645	103	296	25	10	295	85	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	231	203	47	7	2	4	23	58	3	4	2	227	317	335	652	107	296	25	10	297	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	254	224	52	8	2	5	25	63	3	4	2	228	317	340	657	111	295	25	10	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	259	227	53	8	2	5	26	65	4	4	2	227	316	337	653	109	295	25	10	297	86	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	260	229	52	8	2	4	26	66	3	4	2	225	314	332	646	106	294	25	10	295	84	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	252	222	49	7	2	4	25	64	3	4	2	223	311	325	636	102	292	25	10	291	82	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	245	216	48	7	2	4	24	63	3	3	2	220	307	317	624	97	290	26	10	286	79	-6	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2037	31	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	248	219	46	7	1	3	24	65	3	3	3	215	302	306	609	91	287	26	10	280	75	-7	-1	-2	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2134	1876	423	63	15	35	213	542	28	32	17	225	314	331	645	106	297	25	10	292	81	-44	-0	-4	+38	+46	3.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	129	19	5	11	65	165	9	10	5	226	315	335	649	109	296	25	10	292	81	-13	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4288	3757	829	127	29	62	442	1083	60	63	32	221	313	319	632	99	291	25	10	289	81	-84	-0	-7	+73	+89	7.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	125	19	4	9	67	164	9	10	5	219	311	314	625	95	290	25	10	289	81	-13	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	2.5	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
/162	664	14	9	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Al Evans'39-'51 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,322 PA	3.5	2,322	13	14	241*	311*	352*	+42	+0	7.0	7.0
/162	664	4	4	+11.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 7
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.3	2,208	32	34	224	309	324	+39	+24	5.5	5.1
/162	664	10	10	+11.9	+7.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Red Kleinow'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,875 PA	2.8	1,875	3	42	219*	299*	350*	+33	-1	4.3	4.4
/162	664	1	15	+11.5	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abel Valdes (OGILVIE)	21	52→57	33→38	43→48	80	215/307/295	80	294	1	1	26%	10%	76	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richi Sanchez 2015 · A	21	46	36→40	48→50	56	213/303/284	71	267	3	8	20%	11%	72	-0.7	201/263/273	72	258	3	7	22%	7%	53	-2.1	170/226/236	67	206	0	6	17%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Tayden Hall 2024 · A	21	50→49	35→40	46→50	54	225/316/287	62	312	2	7	26%	11%	77	-0.3	203/305/287	84	280	5	8	26%	12%	74	-0.6	187/301/283	96	257	7	9	27%	13%	70	-0.5
✕Cam Maron 2012 · A	21	51→58	39→40	47→40	50	242/311/324	82	301	6	5	21%	8%	83	+0.1	242/313/321	79	317	4	3	23%	9%	82	+0.0	242/317/316	74	319	4	1	23%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Josh Johnson 2007 · A	21	47→50	37→45	49→50	57	219/312/297	78	279	4	11	21%	12%	78	-0.3	223/307/291	68	293	3	10	22%	11%	74	-0.5	247/316/346	99	293	8	16	17%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Matt Cerda 2011 · A	21	50→56	39→40	51→40	51	237/301/327	90	286	5	4	18%	8%	80	-0.2	238/321/314	76	304	3	5	20%	11%	84	+0.2	238/331/301	63	307	2	5	21%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Nolan Fontana 2013 · A	22	47→45	40	53→50	64	216/347/316	100	299	6	15	26%	16%	97	+1.1	216/325/314	98	314	6	11	29%	14%	87	+0.4	211/322/306	95	307	5	9	29%	13%	82	-0.0
✕José Godoy 2016 · A	21	50	36→45	48→30	50	233/298/300	67	280	4	5	18%	8%	72	-0.7	247/301/320	73	296	5	3	17%	6%	78	-0.3	255/310/326	72	305	5	2	17%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2024 · A	21	51→54	40	50	50	241/318/332	91	306	7	13	22%	9%	88	+0.4	240/315/330	90	307	8	14	22%	8%	86	+0.3	238/317/323	85	303	7	15	22%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Noah Mendlinger 2022 · A	21	49→59	39→30	44→45	52	232/313/323	92	294	5	6	22%	10%	84	+0.1	246/336/323	77	297	4	8	17%	9%	93	+0.8	269/354/337	68	315	2	8	14%	8%	100	+1.0
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	46	37→45	47→55	56	216/300/287	72	267	3	12	19%	11%	71	-0.8	208/277/303	95	322	9	15	35%	8%	65	-1.2	191/260/285	94	305	11	18	38%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Josh Horton 2008 · A	22	51→56	39→45	48→45	52	237/323/322	85	316	6	8	25%	10%	87	+0.4	246/302/316	70	303	4	5	19%	7%	77	-0.3	251/305/331	81	287	5	6	14%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Rio Ruiz 2015 · A	21	50→54	43→50	45→40	50	240/307/360	120	305	9	5	24%	9%	89	+0.5	237/302/351	114	309	10	3	24%	9%	86	+0.3	220/284/360	140	261	16	3	22%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Luke Shliger 2024 · A	22	48	39→40	47→50	46	228/295/315	87	300	6	9	25%	7%	75	-0.5	216/309/312	96	303	8	12	28%	10%	80	-0.1	213/312/314	101	295	10	14	28%	11%	82	-0.0
✕Cooper Ingle 2024 · A	22	51→56	39→50	48→40	60	236/332/330	94	292	5	11	19%	12%	93	+0.8	248/339/379	131	306	11	5	21%	12%	106	+1.8	245/342/386	141	308	13	3	23%	12%	106	+1.4
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	46→51	41→45	46→55	51	218/304/317	98	298	9	7	28%	10%	79	-0.2	237/308/353	116	333	10	11	29%	9%	88	+0.5	242/319/359	118	343	9	15	29%	10%	91	+0.4
✕Tucker Barnhart 2012 · A	21	50→53	38→45	47→40	46	233/289/316	83	302	4	5	23%	7%	72	-0.7	228/287/311	83	285	5	3	20%	7%	70	-0.8	241/315/366	125	285	12	2	19%	9%	93	+0.6
✕Jace Jung 2023 · A	22	45→44	39→50	50→40	51	211/295/304	92	294	6	7	28%	11%	73	-0.6	220/306/378	158	292	18	4	29%	10%	94	+0.9	214/306/374	160	280	19	3	29%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Marcus Lemon 2009 · A	21	52→55	40	45	47	248/311/352	104	309	6	9	21%	7%	89	+0.5	244/290/324	80	300	3	8	19%	6%	74	-0.6	252/292/329	78	309	3	9	19%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Carlos Mendoza 2023 · A	23	52→56	36→40	49→55	60	241/347/312	72	303	3	13	20%	12%	95	+0.9	243/334/320	77	306	4	16	20%	10%	91	+0.7	246/335/334	88	300	7	18	19%	10%	93	+0.6
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	42	39→45	42→45	49	199/281/287	88	284	6	6	30%	10%	64	-1.3	180/242/262	82	268	8	5	34%	7%	43	-2.8	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0

Abel Valdes

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps