Jonathan Stevens
P
Fort Myers Mighty Mussels
Age 22
RHP
6'1" / 215 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
K%23.3%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%13.1%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 6 | 1 | 13 | 67 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 17% | 2.2 | 22.1% | 21.1% | 1.0% | 4.9% | 6.92 | 6.59 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 6 | 1 | 13 | 67 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 17% | 2.2 | 29.9% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 6.92 | 4.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 24 | 1 | 45 | 222 | 44 | 35 | 8 | 4% | 1.9 | 14.7% | 18.6% | -3.9% | 4.7% | 6.65 | 6.79 | -1.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | MIN | 7 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 4.50 | 4.50 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 52 | 255 | 52 | 38 | 9 | — | — | 20.3% | 15.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.33 | 6.45 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | MIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 3.93 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 30 | 2 | 58 | 289 | 47 | 55 | 14 | 7% | 1.9 | 16.4% | 19.2% | -2.8% | 4.7% | 6.71 | 6.74 | -1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 104 | 7 | 200 | 1002 | 164 | 192 | 47 | 7% | 1.9 | 16.4% | 19.2% | -2.8% | 4.7% | 6.71 | 6.74 | -3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jonathan Stevens (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 3.1% | — | 4.31 | 24.0% | 14.5% | 20 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 90 |
| Michael Gomez R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 88 |
| Addison Russ R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 87 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 86 |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 86 |
| Chris Gau R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 85 |
| Luis Romero R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 85 |
| Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 84 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 84 |
| Tyler Bray R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .356 | 3.17 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 114 | -0.91 | 2.81 | 152 | 84 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 83 |
| Caleb Freeman R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.17 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.19 | 3.98 | 222 | 83 |
| Corey Copping R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.12 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .265 | 4.55 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 179 | +0.43 | 3.41 | 214 | 83 |
| Kenny Oakley R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.50 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .348 | 3.65 | 17.3% | 7.8% | 115 | +0.15 | 3.00 | 144 | 83 |
| Jacob Dorris R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.86 | 26.9% | 12.4% | 2.7% | .295 | 4.59 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 88 | +0.73 | 3.86 | 130 | 83 |
| Brandyn Sittinger R 2027 · 4.67 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.67 | 22.2% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .324 | 4.02 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 72 | -0.65 | 3.50 | 152 | 83 |
| David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 82 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 82 |
| Zac Ryan R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 82 |
| Peyton Williams R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 82 |