Anthony Astudillo
P
ACL Rangers
Age 21
RHP
6'0" / 165 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%21.7%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 4 | 3 | 13 | 56 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 75% | 3.2 | 10.9% | 11.2% | -0.2% | 2.2% | 4.85 | 4.82 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 4 | 3 | 13 | 56 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 75% | 3.2 | 16.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 4.85 | 3.87 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 11 | 11 | 46 | 189 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 1.0% | 2.93 | 2.84 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 11 | 11 | 46 | 189 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 32.8% | 6.9% | 25.9% | 1.1% | 2.93 | 1.82 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 12 | 2 | 28 | 146 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 17% | 2.3 | 10.7% | 12.0% | -1.3% | 3.8% | 11.71 | 5.82 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | TEX | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.7% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.35 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 63 | 297 | 56 | 27 | 8 | — | — | 18.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 7.55 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | TEX | 6 | 6 | 38 | 158 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.8% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.15 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 7 | 39 | 164 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.6% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 2.8% | 4.11 | 4.02 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 7 | 40 | 168 | 41 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 24.1% | 7.6% | 16.5% | 2.8% | 4.02 | 3.94 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 7 | 40 | 171 | 42 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.5% | 7.6% | 16.9% | 2.8% | 3.95 | 3.90 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 7 | 40 | 171 | 42 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.7% | 7.5% | 17.1% | 2.8% | 3.90 | 3.87 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 7 | 40 | 168 | 41 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 24.7% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 2.8% | 3.91 | 3.91 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 6 | 6 | 39 | 163 | 40 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 6.4 | 24.5% | 7.8% | 16.8% | 2.9% | 3.96 | 4.00 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | TEX | 3 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.8% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.17 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 5 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.6% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 2.8% | 4.13 | 4.04 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 24.1% | 7.6% | 16.5% | 2.8% | 4.04 | 3.96 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 37 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.5% | 7.6% | 16.9% | 2.8% | 3.97 | 3.92 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 39 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 24.7% | 7.5% | 17.1% | 2.8% | 3.92 | 3.89 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 39 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 24.7% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 2.9% | 3.93 | 3.93 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 37 | 12 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.5% | 7.8% | 16.8% | 3.0% | 3.98 | 4.02 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 38 | 38 | 225 | 952 | 231 | 73 | 27 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.2% | 7.7% | 16.6% | 2.9% | 4.01 | 3.59 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 205 | 65 | 24 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.2% | 7.7% | 16.6% | 2.9% | 4.01 | 3.59 | +4.2 | ||
| Career | — | 27 | 16 | 87 | 391 | 64 | 40 | 9 | 59% | 3.2 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 6.02 | 4.24 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 37 | 200 | 902 | 148 | 92 | 20 | 59% | 3.2 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 6.02 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anthony Astudillo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.03 | 23.5% | 15.6% | 116 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Connor Cooke R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 87 |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 87 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 84 |
| Simon Mathews R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 84 |
| Casey Legumina R 2029 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 83 |
| Eiberson Castellano R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.94 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 189 | -0.01 | 3.69 | 348 | 82 |
| Jeronimo Castro R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.37 | 25.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .362 | 3.84 | 20.1% | 7.9% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.19 | 158 | 82 |
| Colin Fields R 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 82 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 82 |
| Rico Garcia R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 81 |
| Carson Rudd R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 81 |
| Geno Encina R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.22 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .325 | 7.60 | 12.0% | 2.3% | 76 | +3.38 | 4.22 | 200 | 81 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.85 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .319 | 4.99 | 18.6% | 5.0% | 83 | +1.14 | 3.85 | 156 | 81 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .310 | 4.49 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.35 | 4.09 | 196 | 80 |
| Yusniel Padron-Artiles R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.33 | 17.6% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .343 | 6.52 | 19.2% | 11.3% | 197 | +2.19 | 3.27 | 243 | 80 |
| Cole Stapler R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 80 |
| Wilmer Ortega R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.86 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .304 | 5.83 | 16.1% | 1.8% | 30 | +1.97 | 3.62 | 158 | 80 |
| Saul Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.69 | 16.1% | 8.4% | 1.6% | .320 | 3.27 | 19.8% | 9.6% | 70 | -0.42 | 2.98 | 110 | 80 |
| Jonathan Petit R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.74 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 3.4% | .272 | 5.09 | 15.6% | 2.4% | 113 | +0.35 | 2.80 | 189 | 79 |
| Robert Colina R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.17 | 20.5% | 10.8% | 2.6% | .366 | 3.31 | 22.3% | 15.2% | 61 | -0.86 | 3.25 | 266 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 39 | 23.9% | 7.8% | 1.10 | 4.04 |
| Nick Wittgren ('23) | 8 | 41 | 21.6% | 7.0% | 1.15 | 4.04 |
| Daniel Hudson ('24) | 9 | 52 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 1.13 | 3.75 |
| Ryan Tepera ('22) | 7 | 48 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 3.53 |
| Trevor May ('23) | 8 | 51 | 27.6% | 8.3% | 1.18 | 3.83 |
| Sergio Romo ('21) | 7 | 50 | 26.3% | 7.0% | 1.20 | 3.70 |
| Joakim Soria ('21) | 7 | 54 | 26.1% | 7.8% | 0.92 | 3.65 |