Michael Caldon — OGILVIE

Michael Caldon P Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 225 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 57 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%19.5%

BB%14.2%

K-BB%5.3%

ROS IP57

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	11	83	359	87	41	3	46%	3.4	19.4%	11.1%	8.3%	0.9%	2.61	3.36	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	11	83	359	87	41	3	46%	3.4	19.4%	11.1%	8.3%	0.9%	2.61	3.36	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	11	83	359	87	41	3	46%	3.4	24.2%	11.4%	12.8%	0.8%	2.61	2.95	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	44	208	55	30	2	0%	1.8	20.9%	16.2%	4.7%	1.5%	4.09	4.19	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	44	208	55	30	2	0%	1.8	20.9%	16.2%	4.7%	1.5%	4.09	4.19	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	0	44	208	55	30	2	0%	1.8	26.4%	14.4%	12.0%	1.0%	4.09	3.24	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	BAL	54	0	57	241	47	34	6	0%	1.1	19.5%	14.2%	5.3%	2.6%	5.09	5.09	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	72	0	75	318	65	41	8	0%	1.0	20.3%	12.8%	7.5%	2.7%	4.92	4.85	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	72	0	75	318	66	40	9	0%	1.0	20.7%	12.5%	8.2%	2.7%	4.83	4.79	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	BAL	71	0	74	313	65	39	9	0%	1.0	20.8%	12.4%	8.4%	2.8%	4.81	4.81	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	BAL	69	0	72	304	63	38	9	0%	1.0	20.8%	12.5%	8.3%	2.9%	4.84	4.88	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	BAL	66	0	69	290	60	37	9	0%	1.0	20.5%	12.7%	7.8%	3.0%	4.94	5.01	-0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	BAL	62	0	65	273	55	36	9	0%	1.0	20.2%	13.0%	7.2%	3.2%	5.09	5.19	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	30	0	32	135	27	17	4	0%	1.1	20.3%	12.8%	7.5%	2.7%	4.92	4.85	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	48	0	50	211	44	26	6	0%	1.0	20.7%	12.5%	8.2%	2.7%	4.83	4.79	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	BAL	54	0	57	241	50	30	7	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.4%	8.4%	2.8%	4.81	4.81	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	BAL	58	0	61	258	54	32	7	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.5%	8.3%	2.9%	4.84	4.88	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	BAL	57	0	60	253	52	32	8	0%	1.1	20.5%	12.7%	7.8%	3.0%	4.94	5.01	-0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	BAL	55	0	58	245	49	32	8	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.0%	7.2%	3.2%	5.09	5.19	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		303	0	318	1344	277	170	39	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.6%	7.9%	2.9%	4.91	4.55	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	107	25	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.6%	7.9%	2.9%	4.91	4.55	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		49	11	127	567	113	74	6	22%	2.6	19.9%	13.0%	7.0%	1.1%	3.13	3.67	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	17	200	895	178	116	10	22%	2.6	19.9%	13.0%	7.0%	1.1%	3.13	3.67	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Caldon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	19.5%	14.2%	2.6%	—	4.82	20.6%	8.0%	225	-0.27	—	—	—
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	93
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	88
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	86
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	85
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	84
Victor Santos R 2001 · 4.97 FIP	24	SW	4.97	15.5%	13.4%	2.7%	.231	4.38	16.4%	7.4%	206	-0.59	4.09	602	84
John Matthews R 2022 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	16.5%	13.0%	2.1%	.264	5.00	14.5%	-0.5%	70	+0.49	4.51	213	84
Cole Hillier R 2024 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	16.9%	14.7%	2.0%	.297	4.45	18.1%	4.5%	111	-0.19	3.80	169	84
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	83
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	83
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	83
James Acuna R 2022 · 4.33 FIP	24	SU	4.33	19.4%	14.8%	1.8%	.217	—	—	—	—	—	4.33	107	82
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	82
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	82
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	82
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	82
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	82
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	81
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	81
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	70	20.4%	12.8%	1.10	4.92
Miguel Castro ('25)	2.3	67	20.4%	11.7%	1.14	4.24
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Jose Paniagua ('03)	1.8	60	17.3%	11.8%	1.01	4.49
Curt Leskanic ('04)	3.6	65	20.6%	11.6%	1.01	4.36
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57