Michael Caldon
P
Delmarva Shorebirds
Age 23
RHP
6'3" / 225 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 108
ERA4.73
FIP4.73
K%19.2%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%8.0%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 92 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 11 | 83 | 359 | 87 | 41 | 3 | 46% | 3.4 | 19.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 1.0% | 2.61 | 3.43 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 11 | 83 | 359 | 87 | 41 | 3 | 46% | 3.4 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 0.8% | 2.61 | 2.95 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 19 | 0 | 30 | 151 | 34 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 5.04 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | BAL | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 50 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 4.73 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 4.73 | 4.73 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 92 | 411 | 84 | 52 | 9 | — | — | 20.4% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 4.83 | 4.69 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | BAL | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 54 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 4.61 | 4.56 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 56 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.51 | 4.46 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 57 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.46 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 56 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 2.7% | 4.46 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 54 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.55 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | BAL | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 4.61 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 37 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.51 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 45 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.46 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 48 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 2.7% | 4.46 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 48 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 217 | 0 | 228 | 962 | 201 | 97 | 26 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.11 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 85 | 23 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 43 | 11 | 113 | 510 | 103 | 58 | 9 | 26% | 2.6 | 20.1% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 3.27 | 3.78 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 76 | 19 | 200 | 903 | 181 | 103 | 15 | 26% | 2.6 | 20.1% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 3.27 | 3.78 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Caldon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 19.2% | 11.2% | 2.7% | — | 4.48 | 20.7% | 10.6% | 191 | -0.25 | — | — | — |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 93 |
| Joan Gregorio R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.56 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.23 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 208 | -0.33 | 3.60 | 301 | 89 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 88 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 87 |
| Jake Christianson R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.92 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .309 | 4.78 | 16.4% | 6.1% | 105 | +0.86 | 3.92 | 188 | 87 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2028 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 86 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 169 | +0.28 | 3.81 | 233 | 86 |
| Tai Tiedemann R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .305 | 5.99 | 9.8% | -0.2% | 118 | +2.25 | 3.74 | 190 | 86 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 85 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 85 |
| Dylan Cumming R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.25 | 16.0% | 10.7% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.09 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 274 | -0.16 | 3.69 | 366 | 85 |
| Corey Black R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.14 | 22.1% | 13.9% | 2.1% | .310 | 3.60 | 22.1% | 6.0% | 53 | -0.54 | 3.60 | 139 | 85 |
| Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .341 | 4.64 | 15.7% | 4.0% | 343 | +0.30 | 3.76 | 467 | 85 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.29 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 5.23 | 16.8% | 4.6% | 91 | +0.94 | 4.03 | 161 | 84 |
| Austin Glorius R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.92 | 17.0% | 12.7% | 1.2% | .282 | 6.18 | 18.7% | -2.3% | 56 | +2.26 | 3.92 | 141 | 84 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 84 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 84 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.56 | 22.6% | 13.0% | 1.3% | .274 | 4.52 | 23.4% | 13.0% | 144 | +0.96 | 3.45 | 292 | 84 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.60 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .239 | 5.26 | 21.3% | 3.7% | 54 | +1.66 | 3.60 | 127 | 83 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 63 | 20.6% | 10.3% | 1.05 | 4.55 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Archie Bradley ('21) | 6 | 74 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 0.85 | 3.93 |