Gregg Ferrera

P DSL LAD Mega

Age 21 RHP 6'5" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL LAD Mega	12	7	28	6.43	4.89	19.6%	18.8%	—	K 13.3% · BB 23.6% · FIP 6.06
2026	20	ROKDSL LAD Mega	12	8	40	4.95	3.20	28.5%	12.2%	—	K 19.4% · BB 15.3% · FIP 4.74
2027PROJ	21	MLB—	4	4	20	5.45	5.45	20.3%	16.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLB—	4	4	19	5.14	5.01	21.6%	13.9%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsWilian Bormie (age 22) · Chris Viall (age 20) · Eriq Swan (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 120

ERA5.45

FIP5.45

K%20.3%

BB%16.3%

K-BB%4.0%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	10	6	16	64	6	9	0	60%	1.6	6.4%	17.6%	-11.2%	0.0%	1.65	4.79	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	10	6	16	64	6	9	0	60%	1.6	6.4%	17.6%	-11.2%	0.0%	1.65	4.79	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	10	6	16	64	6	9	0	60%	1.6	9.4%	14.1%	-4.7%	0.0%	1.65	4.02	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	12	7	28	138	27	26	2	58%	2.3	13.3%	23.6%	-10.2%	2.0%	6.43	6.06	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	12	7	28	138	27	26	2	58%	2.3	13.3%	23.6%	-10.2%	2.0%	6.43	6.06	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	12	7	28	138	27	26	2	58%	2.3	19.6%	18.8%	0.7%	1.4%	6.43	4.89	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	12	8	40	172	49	21	3	67%	3.3	19.4%	15.3%	4.1%	2.4%	4.95	4.74	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	12	8	40	172	49	21	3	67%	3.3	19.4%	15.3%	4.1%	2.4%	4.95	4.74	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	12	8	40	172	49	21	3	67%	3.3	28.5%	12.2%	16.3%	1.7%	4.95	3.20	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	—	4	4	20	84	17	14	2	100%	5.0	20.3%	16.3%	4.0%	2.9%	5.45	5.45	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	—	7	7	38	160	34	22	5	100%	5.4	21.6%	13.9%	7.7%	2.9%	5.14	5.01	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	—	4	4	19	80	17	11	2	100%	4.8	21.6%	13.9%	7.7%	2.9%	5.14	5.01	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	78	17	11	2	100%	4.6	21.6%	13.9%	7.7%	2.9%	5.14	4.63	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	183	118	22	100%	5.1	21.6%	13.9%	7.7%	2.9%	5.14	4.63	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		34	21	84	374	56	70	7	62%	2.5	14.9%	18.7%	-3.8%	1.9%	4.80	5.23	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	50	200	887	132	166	17	62%	2.5	14.9%	18.7%	-3.8%	1.9%	4.80	5.23	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gregg Ferrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.45	20.3%	16.3%	2.9%	—	5.01	21.6%	7.7%	38	-0.44	—	—	—
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	89
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	85
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	85
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	83
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	83
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	83
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	82
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	81
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	81
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	81
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	81
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	81
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	80
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	80
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	79
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	79
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	78
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	78
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	78
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	21.1%	14.7%	1.13	5.25
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*