Hunter Alberini

P Columbia Fireflies

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	A+KC	4	6	4.50	1.10	37.5%	8.3%	—	K 37.5% · BB 8.3% · FIP 0.99
2026	24	MIX2 levels	22	24	10.27	4.37	20.8%	18.4%	—	K 15.7% · BB 21.3% · FIP 5.02
2027PROJ	25	MLBKC	13	14	5.71	5.71	19.1%	18.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBKC	9	9	5.55	5.53	20.0%	17.0%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRay Gaither (age 25) · Haden Erbe (age 25) · Yordy Cabrera (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 125

ERA5.71

FIP5.71

K%19.1%

BB%18.0%

K-BB%1.1%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	4	0	6	24	9	2	0	0%	1.5	37.5%	8.3%	29.2%	0.0%	4.50	0.99	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	4	0	6	24	9	2	0	0%	1.5	37.5%	8.3%	29.2%	0.0%	4.50	0.99	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	4	0	6	24	9	2	0	0%	1.5	37.5%	8.3%	29.2%	0.0%	4.50	1.10	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	24	125	26	23	1	0%	1.1	15.7%	21.3%	-5.6%	1.0%	10.27	5.02	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	24	125	26	23	1	0%	1.1	15.7%	21.3%	-5.6%	1.0%	10.27	5.02	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	24	125	26	23	1	0%	1.1	20.8%	18.4%	2.4%	0.8%	10.27	4.37	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	KC	13	0	14	59	11	11	2	0%	1.1	19.1%	18.0%	1.1%	2.9%	5.71	5.71	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	KC	20	0	21	90	18	15	3	0%	1.1	20.0%	17.0%	2.9%	2.9%	5.55	5.53	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	KC	9	0	9	38	8	6	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	17.0%	2.9%	2.9%	5.55	5.53	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	38	8	7	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	17.0%	2.9%	2.9%	5.55	5.15	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	154	22	0%	1.1	20.0%	17.0%	2.9%	2.9%	5.55	5.15	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		26	0	30	149	29	29	1	0%	1.1	19.2%	19.2%	-0.0%	0.8%	9.10	4.37	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		175	0	200	1004	193	193	8	0%	1.1	19.2%	19.2%	-0.0%	0.8%	9.10	4.37	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hunter Alberini (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.71	19.1%	18.0%	2.9%	—	5.53	20.0%	2.9%	21	-0.18	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.13	18.4%	7.3%	90	-0.76	3.84	164	88
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	88
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	86
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	86
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	86
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	86
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	84
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	84
Luis García R 2013 · 4.92 FIP	26	SU	4.92	16.7%	16.7%	2.0%	.270	3.68	20.3%	9.3%	151	-1.24	2.33	662	84
Danny Reynolds R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	25	SU	4.72	16.6%	16.8%	1.6%	.263	3.71	16.0%	4.3%	88	-1.01	3.29	165	83
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	83
Chad Harville R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	26	SU	5.17	17.3%	15.4%	2.9%	.328	4.84	17.6%	6.5%	142	-0.33	4.51	178	83
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	155	83
Pedro Strop R 2010 · 5.63 FIP	25	SU	5.63	18.3%	18.3%	3.2%	.417	3.15	23.1%	12.1%	146	-2.48	2.25	494	82
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	82
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	82
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	82
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	82
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	81
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	81