Alex Bouchard
P
Greenville Drive
Age 22
RHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 10 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 104
ERA4.58
FIP4.58
K%22.0%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%11.0%
ROS IP10
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 8 | 23 | 114 | 17 | 26 | 0 | 80% | 2.3 | 8.9% | 25.6% | -16.7% | 0.0% | 5.16 | 5.59 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 8 | 23 | 114 | 17 | 26 | 0 | 80% | 2.3 | 14.9% | 22.8% | -7.9% | 0.0% | 5.16 | 5.04 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 12 | 8 | 45 | 200 | 39 | 28 | 6 | 67% | 3.8 | 15.0% | 16.1% | -1.1% | 3.8% | 5.60 | 5.93 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | BOS | 2 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.58 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 55 | 243 | 49 | 33 | 7 | — | — | 19.9% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 5.41 | 5.68 | -0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.20 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BOS | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BOS | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.00 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 201 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 22 | 16 | 68 | 314 | 40 | 61 | 8 | 73% | 3.1 | 12.8% | 19.5% | -6.7% | 2.4% | 5.45 | 5.81 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 47 | 200 | 928 | 119 | 181 | 22 | 73% | 3.1 | 12.8% | 19.5% | -6.7% | 2.4% | 5.45 | 5.81 | -0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alex Bouchard (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 22.0% | 10.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.38 | 22.8% | 12.8% | 20 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 87 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 84 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 82 |
| Ray Gaither R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 82 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 81 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 81 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 81 |
| Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 80 |
| Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 80 |
| Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 79 |
| Blair Henley R 2028 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 79 |
| Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 79 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 78 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 78 |
| Grant Judkins R 2027 · 5.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.40 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.85 | 16.4% | 5.4% | 150 | +0.45 | 5.40 | 322 | 78 |
| Mac Sceroler R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.46 | 17.6% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .318 | 4.22 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 200 | -0.24 | 3.81 | 275 | 78 |
| Mason McGwire R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.50 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 128 | 77 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2029 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 77 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 77 |
| Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 77 |