Austin Machado

C Augusta GreenJackets
Age 26 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2005MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423AATL51.278/.490/.27800109—.256/.431/.256
202524A+ATL25.211/.400/.2110132—.136/.280/.136
202625AA/A+/AATL114.205/.456/.2691075—.186/.351/.236
2027PROJMLE26MLBATL200.215/.303/.31233770.2
2028PROJ26% MLB27MLBATL34.216/.303/.31510780.0
2029PROJ39% MLB28MLBATL67.215/.301/.31511770.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
BB%99
Chase%99
wOBA98
wRC+98
K%85
Whiff%76
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsPhil Clarke (age 26) · Tzu-Wei Lin (age 26) · Chris Herrmann (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA
wRC+†77
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .300 / .310
PA84
HR1
K%27
BB%10
ISO97
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.20.00.1272829
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202423 AAugusta GreenJackets — 5136 10000 936 00 278490278768 303 618 387 109 — — — — — —
202524 A+Rome Emperors — 2519 4000 640 11 211400211611 267 1624 312 32 — — — — — —
202625 AAColumbus Clingstones — 1513 1001 230 00 77200308508 231 2013 232 1 — — — — — —
202625 A+Rome Emperors — 2623 4100 271 00 174269217487 43250 278 236 -1 — — — — — —
202625 AAugusta GreenJackets — 7342 11100 30121 00 262575286861 24367 1641 438 118 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202423 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 5139 10000 646 00 256431256688 288 812 329 109 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLERome Emperors — 2522 3000 450 11 136280136416 209 2016 215 32 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEColumbus Clingstones — 1514 1001 140 00 71133286419 214 277 169 1 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLERome Emperors — 2624 3100 191 00 125192167359 42207 354 167 -1 — — — — — —
202625 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 7352 12100 20161 00 231452250702 19324 2227 342 118 — — — — — —
202423 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 5139 10000 646 00 256431256688 286 812 329 109 — — — — — —
202423 A RAWAugusta GreenJackets — 5136 10000 936 00 278490278768 303 618 387 109 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLERome Emperors — 2521 3000 450 11 143280143423 188 2016 215 32 — — — — — —
202524 A+ RAWRome Emperors — 2519 4000 640 11 211400211611 267 1624 312 32 — — — — — —
202625 A MLE3 teams — 11489 16201 23292 00 180360236596 56254 2520 279 75 — — — — — —
202625 A RAW3 teams — 11478 16201 34222 00 205456269725 64273 1930 365 75 — — — — — —
202423 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 5139 10000 646 00 256431256688 288 812 329 109 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLERome Emperors — 2521 3000 450 11 143280143423 209 2016 215 32 — — — — — —
202625 A MLE3 teams — 11488 16201 23292 00 182360239598 57255 2520 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 5139 10000 646 00 256431256688 288 812 329 109 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLERome Emperors — 2521 3000 450 11 143280143423 209 2016 215 32 — — — — — —
202625 A MLE3 teams — 11488 16201 23292 00 182360239598 57255 2520 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEATL 0% 200176 38613 19543 31 215303312615 97289 2710 282 77 -5 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEATL 26% 130115 25412 12352 21 216303315617 99288 279 283 78 -3 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.2
202928 MLB MLEATL 39% 171151 33513 16462 21 215301315616 99287 279 282 77 -5 +0 -1 +3 +4 0.1
202827 MLB CTXATL 26% 3431 7101 390 00 216303315617 99288 269 283 78 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202928 MLB CTXATL 39% 6760 12201 6181 10 215301315616 99287 279 282 77 -2 +0 -0 +1 +1 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 10191 19302 9271 10 209287308595 99274 279 282 78 -3 +0 -0 +2 +2 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650586 12219013 581746 60 208286307593 99273 279 282 78 -18 +1 -2 +12 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 575490 1031427 6914213 63 210323290613 80280 2512 283 78 -10 +0 -1 +7 +8 0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650554 1161628 7816115 73 209323289612 79279 2512 283 78 -18 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAugusta GreenJackets · 73 PAwOBA .431 → .342 (−89)K% 16.4% → 22.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.44%÷1.000×1.360——22.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA41.10%÷1.000×0.690—×0.97027.51%
HBP% /PA1.37%—×0.780—×0.9701.04%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.000×0.920—×0.97029.75%
Doubles /BIP3.33%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9702.68%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×0.9700.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9700.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .431 → .342; ISO .024 → .023; BABIP .367 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Rome Emperors · 26 PAwOBA .230 → .167 (−64)K% 26.9% → 35.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.92%÷1.000×1.310——35.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.69%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9784.51%
HBP% /PA3.85%—×0.770—×0.9782.90%
Singles /BIP18.75%÷1.000×0.870—×0.97815.95%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9784.77%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9780.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .230 → .167; ISO .043 → .031; BABIP .250 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 15 PAwOBA .226 → .169 (−57)K% 20.0% → 24.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.000×1.220——24.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.33%÷1.000×0.680—×0.9989.05%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.920—×0.9980.00%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×0.9980.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9987.98%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .226 → .169; ISO .231 → .184; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Rome Emperors · 25 PAwOBA .306 → .215 (−91)K% 16.0% → 21.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.00%÷0.983×1.310——21.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA24.00%÷1.020×0.600—×0.98813.95%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9880.00%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷1.098×0.870—×0.98820.87%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.173×0.780—×0.9880.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.075×0.850—×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.819×0.880—×0.9880.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 120, 2B 135, 3B 115, K 97, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .306 → .215; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .267 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAugusta GreenJackets · 51 PAwOBA .379 → .329 (−51)K% 5.9% → 7.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA5.88%÷1.009×1.360——7.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.65%÷0.998×0.690—×0.99012.08%
HBP% /PA11.76%—×0.780—×0.9909.08%
Singles /BIP30.30%÷0.959×0.920—×0.99028.79%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.983×0.830—×0.9900.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.010×0.800—×0.9900.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 100, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .379 → .329; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .303 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).