Austin Machado — OGILVIE

Austin MachadoC Augusta GreenJackets

Age 25 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION73 act + 48 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .308 / .305

PA48

HR1

K%29

BB%10

BABIP289

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	51	39	11	0	0	0	6	4	6	0	0	282	451	282	733		314	8	12	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	51	36	10	0	0	0	9	3	6	0	0	278	490	278	768		303	6	18	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Rome Emperors	—	25	21	3	0	0	0	4	6	0	1	1	143	280	143	423		200	24	16	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Rome Emperors	—	25	19	4	0	0	0	6	4	0	1	1	211	400	211	611		267	16	24	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	A	ATL	—	73	59	10	2	0	0	13	22	1	0	0	169	329	203	532	34	270	30	18	259	57	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
YTD	25	A	ATL	—	73	51	10	2	0	0	21	16	1	0	0	196	438	235	674	39	286	22	29	345	122	+2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.5
ROS	25	A	ATL	0%	48	42	9	1	0	1	5	14	1	1	0	211	308	305	613	94	287	29	10	277	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	25	MLB	ATL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		287	—	—	264	60	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	25	A	ATL	—	73	60	10	2	0	0	13	22	1	0	0	167	329	200	529	33	263	30	18	259	57	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
TOT	25	A	ATL	—	121	101	19	3	0	1	18	36	2	1	0	187	321	246	566	59	278	30	15	266	62	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	ATL	30%	138	121	26	4	1	2	14	38	2	2	1	215	307	314	621	99	288	28	10	283	75	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	27	MLB	ATL	42%	226	196	42	7	1	3	24	61	4	3	1	214	312	306	619	92	288	27	11	286	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.5
2029	28	MLB	ATL	48%	288	252	54	9	1	5	30	77	4	3	1	214	308	317	625	103	288	27	10	287	78	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.6
2030	29	MLB	ATL	49%	322	280	60	10	1	5	34	87	5	3	1	214	310	311	621	96	287	27	11	286	77	-8	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.5
2027	26	MLB	ATL	30%	42	37	8	1	0	1	4	11	1	1	0	216	310	324	634	108	288	26	10	271	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	27	MLB	ATL	42%	94	83	17	3	0	1	10	25	1	1	0	205	298	277	575	72	288	27	11	274	68	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	28	MLB	ATL	48%	137	120	26	4	1	2	14	37	2	2	1	217	309	317	625	100	288	27	10	275	69	-5	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	29	MLB	ATL	49%	158	139	30	5	1	2	16	43	2	2	1	216	306	309	615	94	287	27	10	274	68	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	431	380	81	13	2	6	44	116	6	6	2	213	305	305	611	92	288	27	10	274	68	-16	+0	-1	+8	+12	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	122	20	3	9	66	175	9	9	3	213	304	305	610	92	288	27	10	274	68	-23	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	1098	951	205	31	4	16	117	287	22	13	5	215	315	307	622	91	289	26	11	286	77	-28	+1	-2	+20	+31	2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	120	18	2	9	69	170	13	8	3	213	313	300	613	87	287	26	11	286	77	-17	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	51	36	10	0	0	0	9	3	6	0	0	278	490	278	768		303	6	18	387	154	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	24	A+	Rome Emperors	—	25	19	4	0	0	0	6	4	0	1	1	211	400	211	611		267	16	24	312	97	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	7	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	10	2	232	315	348	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	513	8	6	215	305	312	+9	+12	1.0	1.0
	/162	664	10	8	215	305	312	+11.9	+15.5	1.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Machado (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	187/321/246	59	278	1	1	30%	15%	62	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mitchell Tolman 2019 · A	25	44→50	39→45	46→50	47	209/288/295	86	289	7	10	28%	9%	64	-0.8	213/282/321	108	300	10	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	221/294/350	129	290	13	8	27%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Phil Clarke 2023 · AA	25	45	41→40	44→45	51	219/303/311	93	267	8	4	21%	9%	76	+0.0	226/306/320	94	265	9	8	17%	9%	79	+0.3	228/311/314	85	261	9	7	15%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA	25	44	43→45	46→50	44	212/291/330	118	301	10	10	31%	8%	75	-0.0	206/288/340	134	295	14	14	32%	9%	76	+0.1	187/277/329	142	264	15	17	33%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	193/273/296	103	282	8	8	32%	9%	58	-1.2	214/297/319	105	298	10	14	29%	9%	75	-0.0	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕César Salazar 2021 · A	25	44→40	41→45	46→45	42	214/266/308	94	265	8	8	22%	5%	58	-1.2	208/275/342	134	258	16	8	26%	6%	72	-0.2	202/308/314	111	241	11	6	20%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A	25	43→40	40→45	45	45	209/273/307	97	268	7	7	24%	7%	60	-1.0	221/281/340	119	280	10	6	24%	7%	72	-0.2	221/283/352	131	272	12	3	22%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Meibrys Viloria 2022 · MLB	25	45→47	42→45	43→40	44	211/291/318	107	319	10	6	34%	9%	72	-0.2	223/312/350	127	327	13	7	32%	11%	89	+1.0	223/334/350	127	322	13	3	31%	13%	95	+0.7
✕Terrin Vavra 2022 · AA	25	46→44	42→45	49→50	47	223/294/335	113	295	9	12	26%	8%	77	+0.1	253/326/358	105	332	7	10	24%	9%	95	+1.4	261/335/360	99	340	7	8	23%	9%	95	+0.5
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA	25	46→43	43→45	42→40	51	222/313/332	110	294	10	4	26%	10%	85	+0.7	235/325/339	104	322	10	6	27%	10%	92	+1.2	236/335/327	92	323	10	5	27%	11%	91	+0.5
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	43→48	44→45	48→40	41	210/276/328	118	297	12	6	32%	7%	68	-0.5	231/286/350	119	313	12	5	29%	6%	77	+0.1	234/292/346	112	318	10	2	28%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Pratt Maynard 2014 · A	24	45	41→45	45	50	217/284/310	94	265	9	6	21%	8%	66	-0.6	226/287/339	113	291	8	6	24%	8%	74	-0.1	235/287/366	132	306	6	0	24%	7%	80	+0.1
✕Damon Sublett 2011 · AA	25	46→49	41→45	47→50	49	217/296/324	107	307	7	8	30%	10%	75	-0.0	221/294/330	109	331	8	8	32%	9%	75	-0.0	237/309/363	126	371	8	2	35%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Drew Millas 2023 · AA	25	44	40→45	49→50	50	211/291/304	94	290	7	11	28%	10%	67	-0.5	238/301/356	118	292	11	14	21%	8%	85	+0.7	249/306/373	124	288	12	17	18%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Tzu-Wei Lin 2019 · MLB	25	48	40→45	45→50	44	231/278/330	100	292	7	9	23%	6%	68	-0.5	222/271/320	98	302	7	12	27%	6%	62	-0.9	196/257/289	93	276	8	15	30%	7%	45	-0.7
✕Beau Taylor 2015 · AA	25	44→45	41→45	43→30	43	210/273/307	98	304	9	3	33%	8%	60	-1.0	212/277/306	94	303	8	3	30%	8%	62	-0.9	218/307/332	114	311	11	1	30%	11%	80	+0.2
✕Konner Piotto 2023 · A	25	47	39→40	49→50	43	216/284/308	92	317	5	8	32%	8%	66	-0.6	217/290/298	81	309	6	10	29%	7%	66	-0.6	207/287/273	66	299	5	10	30%	8%	57	-0.4
✕Bryce Windham 2022 · A	25	48	40	49→50	52	230/301/325	95	278	7	7	20%	9%	76	+0.1	220/293/307	87	281	6	8	22%	9%	69	-0.4	219/293/303	84	284	5	10	22%	9%	65	-0.3
✕Michael Turconi 2023 · A	24	50→44	40→45	45→50	50	239/316/330	91	296	8	9	21%	8%	85	+0.7	206/287/298	92	310	6	8	32%	9%	64	-0.8	187/274/269	82	294	5	7	35%	10%	50	-0.9
✕Chad De La Guerra 2018 · AA	25	48	42→50	48→45	43	230/282/338	108	306	8	8	27%	6%	72	-0.2	222/273/357	135	310	15	7	32%	6%	73	-0.1	201/259/334	133	289	15	7	34%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Andy Thomas 2023 · A	25	42→39	41→40	47→40	48	200/288/297	96	289	9	4	32%	10%	66	-0.6	202/274/303	101	276	11	5	29%	8%	60	-1.0	193/264/290	96	257	11	5	28%	8%	50	-1.3