Austin Machado — OGILVIE

Austin MachadoC Augusta GreenJackets

Age 25 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION99 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP294

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	23	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	51	36	10	0	0	0	9	3	6	0	0	278	490	278	768		303	6	18	387	148	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	24	A+	Rome Emperors	—	25	19	4	0	0	0	6	4	0	1	1	211	400	211	611		267	16	24	312	97	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	23	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	51	39	11	0	0	0	6	4	6	0	0	282	451	282	733		297	8	12	334	112	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	25	21	3	0	0	0	4	5	0	1	1	143	280	143	423		223	20	16	230	42	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	51	39	11	0	0	0	6	4	6	0	0	282	451	282	733		314	8	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	51	36	10	0	0	0	9	3	6	0	0	278	490	278	768		303	6	18	387	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	25	21	3	0	0	0	4	5	0	1	1	143	280	143	423		188	20	16	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Rome Emperors	—	25	19	4	0	0	0	6	4	0	1	1	211	400	211	611		267	16	24	312	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	51	39	11	0	0	0	6	4	6	0	0	282	451	282	733		297	8	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	25	21	3	0	0	0	4	5	0	1	1	143	280	143	423		223	20	16	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	51	39	11	0	0	0	6	4	6	0	0	282	451	282	733		297	8	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	25	21	3	0	0	0	4	5	0	1	1	143	280	143	423		223	20	16	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	A MLE	ATL	—	99	77	16	2	0	0	20	26	2	0	0	208	384	234	618	26	314	26	20	298	88	-1	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A RAW	ATL	—	73	42	11	1	0	0	30	12	1	0	0	262	575	286	861	24	367	16	41	438	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	A+ RAW	ATL	—	26	23	4	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	174	269	217	487	43	250	27	8	236	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	A MLE	ATL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		294	22	11	287	80	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	25	A MLE	ATL	—	108	85	17	2	0	0	21	28	2	0	0	200	370	224	594	24	298	26	19	297	87	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ATL	30%	138	119	26	4	1	2	16	37	2	2	1	218	321	319	640	101	294	27	12	292	84	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	ATL	42%	226	195	44	7	1	4	25	59	4	3	1	226	326	333	659	108	294	26	11	294	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2029	28	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	288	249	55	9	1	5	32	75	5	3	1	221	322	325	647	104	293	26	11	295	86	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2030	29	MLB MLE	ATL	49%	322	278	61	10	1	5	36	85	5	3	1	219	320	317	636	97	292	26	11	294	85	-6	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.6
2031	30	MLB MLE	ATL	50%	343	297	64	10	1	5	38	91	5	3	1	215	315	306	621	91	291	27	11	291	83	-7	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.5
2032	31	MLB MLE	ATL	51%	334	289	61	9	1	5	37	90	5	3	1	211	311	301	612	90	288	27	11	287	80	-8	+0	-3	+6	+7	0.3
2033	32	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	314	271	57	9	1	4	35	86	5	2	1	210	312	295	607	85	285	27	11	281	77	-9	+0	-4	+6	+7	0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	ATL	30%	42	36	8	1	0	1	5	11	1	0	0	222	333	333	667	111	294	26	12	280	84	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	ATL	42%	94	81	17	3	0	1	11	25	2	1	0	210	319	284	603	74	294	27	12	283	85	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	137	119	26	4	1	2	15	36	2	2	0	218	316	319	636	101	293	26	11	283	86	-2	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	ATL	49%	158	137	31	5	1	3	18	42	2	2	1	226	325	343	668	117	292	27	11	282	85	-3	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.3
2031	30	MLB CTX	ATL	50%	172	148	33	5	1	3	19	46	3	2	1	223	324	331	655	108	291	27	11	279	83	-3	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.2
2032	31	MLB CTX	ATL	51%	169	145	31	5	1	2	19	45	3	1	0	214	317	303	621	90	288	27	11	275	80	-4	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.2
2033	32	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	173	149	32	5	1	2	19	47	3	1	0	215	316	302	618	87	285	27	11	270	77	-5	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	945	815	178	28	5	14	106	252	16	9	2	218	320	317	637	98	296	27	11	278	83	-20	+1	-5	+17	+20	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	561	122	19	3	10	73	173	11	6	1	217	319	316	635	98	294	27	11	278	83	-14	+1	-4	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2050	1766	383	58	7	30	230	534	37	20	8	217	320	309	628	92	291	26	11	290	83	-41	+1	-10	+35	+43	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	560	121	18	2	10	73	169	12	6	3	216	319	309	628	93	289	26	11	290	83	-14	+0	-3	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	2.5	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
/162	664	14	9	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	2.8	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
/162	664	10	2	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.5	1,028	15	10	217	313	311	+18	+16	2.4	2.4
/162	664	10	6	+11.9	+10.3	1.6	pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Machado (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	212/317/292	80	294	1	1	27%	12%	80	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hunter Feduccia 2021 · A	24	48→47	40→50	46→40	48	224/294/322	98	310	7	6	28%	9%	76	-0.4	216/283/349	133	280	15	3	27%	8%	79	-0.2	229/318/340	111	310	9	3	27%	11%	88	+0.2
✕Drew Millas 2023 · AA	25	44	40→45	50	50	211/289/302	91	285	7	11	27%	10%	70	-0.8	239/301/353	114	292	10	14	21%	8%	86	+0.3	250/306/369	119	290	10	17	17%	7%	88	+0.2
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA	25	46→44	42→40	43→40	52	222/314/329	107	293	9	4	26%	10%	86	+0.3	234/325/337	103	316	10	6	26%	11%	92	+0.7	234/334/325	92	316	9	5	26%	11%	91	+0.3
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	41→39	42→45	46→55	56	196/304/308	112	272	9	11	28%	13%	78	-0.3	197/295/308	111	251	10	20	24%	12%	75	-0.5	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Terrin Vavra 2022 · AA	25	48	43→45	49→50	49	230/305/350	120	299	10	12	25%	9%	87	+0.4	248/322/349	101	326	7	10	24%	9%	93	+0.8	251/326/342	91	332	6	8	24%	9%	89	+0.2
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA	25	44	43→45	46→50	45	213/295/327	115	301	10	10	31%	8%	78	-0.3	205/286/325	120	295	11	14	32%	9%	75	-0.5	189/275/311	122	271	11	17	32%	9%	67	-0.5
✕Phil Clarke 2023 · AA	25	45	40	44→45	50	216/296/304	88	262	8	4	20%	8%	74	-0.6	226/307/313	87	264	8	8	17%	9%	80	-0.2	229/313/307	77	262	7	7	15%	9%	77	-0.1
✕César Salazar 2021 · A	25	44→41	41→45	46→45	42	214/267/309	95	266	8	8	23%	5%	63	-1.3	209/278/339	130	256	15	8	24%	6%	75	-0.5	203/308/311	108	241	12	6	20%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	42→47	44→45	48→40	42	209/277/328	119	296	12	6	32%	7%	72	-0.7	228/284/344	116	308	11	5	28%	6%	78	-0.3	232/290/345	114	313	10	3	28%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Mitchell Tolman 2019 · A	25	45→47	40→45	46→50	47	213/291/303	89	294	7	10	28%	9%	71	-0.8	214/282/312	98	298	8	9	29%	7%	70	-0.9	217/287/331	114	285	10	8	26%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A	25	44→43	41→45	46→45	46	215/278/318	103	271	8	7	23%	7%	70	-0.9	222/283/336	114	279	9	6	23%	7%	75	-0.5	221/284/341	121	270	10	3	21%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Damon Sublett 2011 · AA	25	46→49	41→45	47→50	49	216/296/321	105	306	6	8	29%	10%	77	-0.3	222/296/328	106	325	7	8	30%	9%	78	-0.3	245/318/369	124	369	5	2	32%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	60	-1.6	213/275/308	95	322	7	3	33%	7%	65	-1.2	206/272/297	91	310	6	1	33%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Meibrys Viloria 2022 · MLB	25	46→47	41→45	43→40	45	214/294/314	101	321	9	6	34%	9%	75	-0.5	221/311/343	122	326	12	7	32%	11%	88	+0.4	216/327/336	120	314	12	3	31%	13%	90	+0.3
✕Michael Turconi 2023 · A	24	50→45	40→45	45→50	51	236/316/326	89	294	7	9	21%	9%	86	+0.3	208/289/300	92	308	6	8	31%	9%	70	-0.9	190/277/273	83	292	5	7	33%	10%	58	-0.9
✕Zach Dillon 2007 · A	24	48	41→45	45→30	51	230/301/330	100	287	8	5	22%	9%	80	-0.1	232/290/342	110	264	8	4	15%	7%	79	-0.2	236/292/350	114	259	7	0	12%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Hoy Park 2021 · AA	25	48→49	38→45	51→55	50	227/301/311	84	298	5	16	24%	9%	76	-0.4	221/303/338	117	295	12	16	27%	10%	84	+0.1	215/302/326	111	288	12	18	27%	10%	79	-0.2
✕Pratt Maynard 2014 · A	24	45	41→45	45	50	216/283/311	95	265	8	6	22%	8%	70	-0.9	226/285/337	111	294	8	6	24%	8%	76	-0.4	235/286/363	128	311	6	0	25%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Casey Stevenson 2013 · A	25	50	42→45	49→45	42	244/290/349	105	302	9	7	22%	5%	80	-0.1	214/273/305	91	262	8	7	21%	6%	65	-1.2	193/259/268	75	232	7	5	20%	6%	52	-0.9
✕Michael Fransoso 2015 · A	25	45	45	49→50	50	224/294/348	124	269	13	8	22%	8%	82	+0.0	211/277/290	79	262	6	11	21%	7%	63	-1.4	189/259/215	26	234	0	13	18%	7%	38	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps