Hector Salas — OGILVIE

Hector SalasSS Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 145 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION296 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP293

ISO55

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	20	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	175	140	38	7	3	1	30	29	3	18	5	271	410	386	796	114	330	17	17	363	132	+7	+2	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	72	63	15	4	0	0	6	16	0	2	0	238	304	302	606	63	312	22	8	268	67	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	134	109	26	4	0	0	18	33	3	10	6	239	362	275	637	37	342	25	13	297	87	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2025	21	ROK	FCL Astros	—	97	74	21	4	1	1	23	16	0	3	0	284	454	405	859	122	351	16	24	396	154	+6	+1	—	—	+2	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	175	151	29	5	2	1	19	43	3	18	5	192	295	272	566	79	253	25	11	257	60	-8	+2	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	72	65	14	3	0	0	4	22	0	2	0	215	261	262	522	46	288	31	6	222	36	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	134	116	25	3	0	0	11	47	3	10	6	216	300	241	541	26	336	35	8	240	49	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	97	83	18	3	1	1	14	23	0	3	0	217	330	313	643	96	294	24	14	291	83	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	175	151	29	5	2	1	19	43	3	18	5	192	295	272	566	79	257	25	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	175	140	38	7	3	1	30	29	3	18	5	271	410	386	796	114	330	17	17	363	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	303	264	56	9	1	1	29	92	3	15	6	212	297	265	562	53	320	30	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	303	246	62	12	1	1	47	65	3	15	6	252	378	321	700	69	337	21	16	322	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	175	151	29	5	2	1	19	43	3	18	5	192	295	272	566	79	253	25	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	303	268	56	9	1	1	29	92	3	15	6	209	297	261	558	52	311	30	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	175	151	29	5	2	1	19	43	3	18	5	192	295	272	566	79	253	25	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	303	268	56	9	1	1	29	92	3	15	6	209	297	261	558	52	311	30	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A MLE	HOU	—	296	249	47	4	0	1	37	109	1	17	5	189	296	217	513	28	322	37	12	241	49	-18	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	HOU	—	202	151	31	5	0	0	46	55	0	12	5	205	391	238	629	33	313	27	23	307	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ RAW	HOU	—	28	25	4	0	0	0	1	9	0	1	0	160	192	160	352		250	32	4	154	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA RAW	HOU	—	66	52	14	0	0	1	11	15	1	4	0	269	406	327	733	58	351	23	17	337	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A MLE	HOU	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		291	33	11	249	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A MLE	HOU	—	305	257	48	4	0	1	38	112	1	17	5	187	294	214	508	27	318	37	12	241	49	-18	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	388	340	69	10	1	4	43	117	2	11	3	203	296	274	570	71	294	30	11	266	66	-16	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	46%	444	389	82	13	1	6	49	130	3	12	4	211	304	296	599	85	295	29	11	276	73	-14	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	473	415	89	14	1	8	52	137	3	13	4	214	306	311	617	96	295	29	11	283	77	-13	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	489	428	92	14	1	9	54	140	4	13	4	215	309	315	624	100	295	29	11	286	79	-12	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	493	431	92	14	1	9	55	142	4	13	4	213	308	313	621	100	295	29	11	286	79	-12	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	491	429	91	14	1	8	55	142	4	12	4	212	307	305	613	93	294	29	11	285	79	-12	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	482	422	89	14	1	8	54	140	3	11	4	211	305	306	610	95	294	29	11	283	78	-13	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	473	414	87	13	1	8	53	139	3	11	3	210	304	304	609	94	293	29	11	280	76	-14	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	133	116	23	4	0	1	15	40	1	4	1	198	295	259	554	60	296	30	11	262	66	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	46%	205	179	39	6	1	3	23	60	1	6	2	218	310	313	623	95	297	29	11	272	73	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	244	213	46	7	1	4	27	70	2	7	2	216	310	315	624	99	297	29	11	278	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	265	232	50	8	1	4	29	76	2	7	2	216	308	310	618	95	297	29	11	281	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	267	233	51	8	1	5	30	77	2	7	2	219	313	326	639	107	297	29	11	281	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	266	232	50	8	1	4	30	77	2	7	2	216	311	310	621	95	296	29	11	280	79	-7	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	256	223	47	7	1	4	29	75	2	6	2	211	307	305	612	94	296	29	11	278	78	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	269	235	50	8	1	4	30	79	2	6	2	213	307	306	613	94	295	29	11	276	76	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1905	1663	356	56	7	29	213	554	14	50	15	214	308	308	617	94	301	29	11	277	74	-53	+4	-2	+20	+41	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	121	19	2	10	73	189	5	17	5	213	309	307	615	93	299	29	11	277	74	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4220	3691	777	120	11	62	464	1225	32	129	41	211	304	299	603	89	295	29	11	278	74	-106	+7	-4	+40	+81	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	120	18	2	10	71	189	5	20	6	211	304	302	606	91	295	29	11	278	74	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.4	2,226	32	57	211	301	299	+24	+15	2.0	2.2
/162	664	9	17	+7.1	+4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hector Salas (OGILVIE)	22	32→37	30→35	56→61	65	189/286/233	43	291	1	13	31%	11%	54	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/268/264	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	210/306/281	71	297	4	26	28%	9%	73	-0.6	226/338/275	49	304	3	35	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→44	37→40	52→50	47	193/261/259	66	255	5	10	25%	8%	50	-2.3	212/286/308	96	275	7	10	23%	9%	70	-0.8	208/289/307	99	266	6	10	22%	10%	68	-0.7
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	203/281/276	74	285	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/295/314	104	266	10	15	23%	8%	76	-0.4	205/297/303	98	254	9	15	22%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	39→45	58→55	46	205/275/296	91	274	6	17	26%	8%	63	-1.3	223/300/306	83	296	5	16	24%	9%	75	-0.5	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→45	49→55	47	200/278/275	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	60	-1.6	192/289/299	107	272	9	9	30%	11%	70	-0.8	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→41	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	67	-1.1	208/276/283	75	319	2	18	32%	8%	60	-1.6	215/287/293	78	329	2	26	32%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Thomas Milone 2017 · A	22	40→45	36→45	48→55	40	191/248/252	62	276	3	14	31%	6%	42	-2.9	213/266/300	87	301	4	12	29%	6%	60	-1.6	237/293/354	117	331	7	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jason Denham 2007 · A	21	40→45	35→40	53→55	44	190/254/251	61	280	3	10	31%	8%	45	-2.7	218/277/298	80	290	8	18	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/279/292	74	284	8	21	25%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Aaron Shipman 2014 · A	22	46→37	34→30	48→50	51	212/294/266	55	293	1	13	26%	10%	63	-1.3	231/310/313	82	316	4	16	25%	10%	80	-0.2	248/339/336	87	340	2	24	24%	12%	91	+0.2
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	42	182/238/271	89	250	7	11	30%	6%	43	-2.8	225/293/312	87	303	7	9	26%	8%	74	-0.6	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Erlin Cerda 2016 · A	22	45	35→40	53→55	47	208/277/280	72	264	1	14	20%	7%	60	-1.6	198/248/268	70	295	2	9	32%	5%	46	-2.6	164/198/208	44	258	0	8	35%	4%	9	-1.2
✕Isaiah Greene 2023 · A	21	44→41	38→40	57→55	51	197/299/276	79	311	4	20	34%	12%	69	-0.9	185/268/271	86	315	6	17	39%	10%	55	-1.9	139/221/218	78	251	5	17	43%	9%	23	-1.1
✕Max Ferguson 2022 · A	22	43→34	36→40	57→60	46	188/283/260	72	325	3	18	38%	11%	59	-1.7	179/273/269	90	280	7	29	35%	11%	57	-1.8	178/257/269	91	255	10	28	32%	9%	48	-1.6
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	36→30	51→55	45	194/254/257	63	262	3	15	26%	7%	46	-2.6	209/290/282	73	320	3	15	32%	10%	65	-1.2	204/311/268	64	327	2	21	33%	13%	68	-0.5
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	39→40	53→60	49	181/288/262	81	287	6	16	35%	11%	63	-1.4	203/293/281	78	295	5	23	30%	10%	68	-1.0	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Adonis Pacheco 2013 · A	22	45	39→50	57→55	45	213/271/312	99	277	4	16	24%	7%	65	-1.2	204/258/296	92	260	5	11	22%	6%	56	-1.9	160/206/240	80	191	3	9	17%	6%	22	-1.2
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	185/273/254	70	286	2	24	33%	10%	54	-2.0	204/289/287	83	310	5	17	32%	9%	68	-1.0	191/292/252	60	291	4	23	31%	10%	59	-0.4
✕Kyle Von Tungeln 2014 · A	23	41	38→40	55	52	195/285/277	82	271	4	20	27%	11%	63	-1.3	204/274/281	77	314	4	13	33%	8%	59	-1.6	185/253/226	41	311	0	10	37%	8%	36	-0.9
✕Michael Siani 2021 · A	22	43→45	38→40	53→60	40	205/260/281	76	283	6	21	29%	6%	53	-2.1	198/268/295	97	271	9	28	28%	8%	61	-1.5	207/279/299	92	270	8	33	25%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/276/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	61	-1.5	195/258/287	92	323	7	29	39%	7%	55	-2.0	229/304/333	104	308	11	52	28%	9%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps