Hector Salas — OGILVIE

Hector SalasSS Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 145 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION182 act + 121 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .283 / .254

PA121

HR1

K%32

BB%11

BABIP282

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.3M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	20	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	175	151	30	6	2	1	19	44	3	18	5	199	301	285	585	86	269	25	11	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	175	140	38	7	3	1	30	29	3	18	5	271	410	386	796	114	330	17	17	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	3 teams	—	303	265	58	9	1	1	28	94	3	15	6	219	301	272	572	53	333	31	9	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	3 teams	—	303	246	62	12	1	1	47	65	3	15	6	252	378	321	700	69	337	21	16	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	HOU	—	182	150	26	4	0	0	27	72	0	10	5	173	299	200	499	27	321	40	15	241	43	-12	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
YTD	22	A	HOU	—	182	134	27	5	0	0	43	51	0	10	5	201	395	239	634	37	314	28	24	310	95	-1	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.6
ROS	22	A	HOU	0%	121	106	20	4	0	1	13	39	1	4	2	188	283	254	536	66	288	32	11	250	50	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
ROS	22	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		290	—	—	247	47	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	HOU	—	182	151	26	4	0	0	27	72	0	10	5	172	299	199	498	26	317	40	15	241	43	-12	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
TOT	22	A	HOU	—	303	256	46	8	0	1	40	111	1	14	7	179	293	222	515	43	303	37	13	245	45	-19	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	HOU	34%	338	296	58	11	1	3	37	104	2	9	3	196	290	270	560	74	291	31	11	267	62	-14	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	HOU	46%	410	360	74	14	1	6	44	123	3	10	4	206	297	300	597	94	292	30	11	276	70	-14	+0	+0	+4	+12	0.2
2029	25	MLB	HOU	52%	450	396	83	16	2	7	48	133	3	11	4	210	300	313	613	104	293	30	11	282	74	-13	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2030	26	MLB	HOU	54%	474	416	88	17	2	8	51	139	4	12	5	212	304	320	623	108	293	29	11	285	76	-13	+0	+0	+5	+13	0.6
2031	27	MLB	HOU	54%	483	423	89	17	2	8	53	142	4	12	5	210	304	317	621	106	293	29	11	285	76	-13	+0	+0	+5	+14	0.6
2032	28	MLB	HOU	54%	485	425	89	17	2	8	53	144	4	12	5	209	303	315	618	106	292	30	11	284	75	-14	+0	-1	+5	+14	0.5
2033	29	MLB	HOU	53%	479	419	86	16	1	8	53	143	4	11	4	205	300	305	606	100	292	30	11	282	74	-14	+1	-1	+5	+14	0.4
2034	30	MLB	HOU	57%	470	411	85	16	1	8	52	141	4	11	4	207	302	309	611	102	290	30	11	279	72	-15	+1	-2	+5	+13	0.2
2027	23	MLB	HOU	34%	116	101	20	4	0	1	13	36	1	3	1	198	296	267	563	69	293	31	11	264	60	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	HOU	46%	189	166	35	7	1	3	20	57	1	5	2	211	299	319	619	108	295	30	11	273	67	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2029	25	MLB	HOU	52%	232	203	43	8	1	4	25	69	2	6	2	212	304	320	625	108	295	30	11	279	71	-7	+0	+0	+2	+7	0.2
2030	26	MLB	HOU	54%	257	225	48	9	1	5	28	76	2	6	3	213	306	329	635	116	295	30	11	282	74	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2031	27	MLB	HOU	54%	262	230	49	9	1	5	28	77	2	7	3	213	304	326	630	113	295	29	11	282	74	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2032	28	MLB	HOU	54%	263	230	49	9	1	5	29	78	2	6	2	213	307	326	633	113	295	30	11	281	73	-8	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2033	29	MLB	HOU	53%	254	222	47	9	1	4	28	76	2	6	2	212	306	315	621	104	294	30	11	279	72	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2034	30	MLB	HOU	57%	267	234	48	9	1	4	29	80	2	6	2	205	298	303	602	98	293	30	11	277	70	-9	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1840	1612	339	64	7	31	200	549	14	45	17	210	303	316	619	106	296	30	11	278	71	-60	+2	-2	+20	+52	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	120	23	2	11	71	194	5	16	6	211	304	316	620	105	297	30	11	278	71	-21	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	4188	3668	760	143	15	59	451	1246	35	125	47	207	300	303	603	95	294	30	11	277	70	-143	+6	-4	+45	+119	2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	117	22	2	9	70	193	5	19	7	206	298	299	596	93	292	30	11	277	70	-22	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	20	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	175	140	38	7	3	1	30	29	3	18	5	271	410	386	796	114	330	17	17	363	136	+7	+2	—	—	+5	1.4
2025	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	72	63	15	4	0	0	6	16	0	2	0	238	304	302	606	63	312	22	8	268	63	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	134	109	26	4	0	0	18	33	3	10	6	239	362	275	637	37	342	25	13	297	86	-2	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	21	ROK	FCL Astros	—	97	74	21	4	1	1	23	16	0	3	0	284	454	405	859	122	351	16	24	396	162	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,137	32	52	208	296	306	+23	+15	1.3	1.5
	/162	664	10	16	208	296	306	+7.1	+4.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hector Salas (OGILVIE)	22	31→36	30→35	56→61	65	179/293/222	43	303	1	14	37%	13%	45	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	198/268/265	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	47	-1.9	206/304/278	72	297	4	26	29%	9%	68	-0.5	217/333/268	51	299	3	35	25%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→46	37→45	52→50	46	194/262/260	66	258	5	10	26%	8%	43	-2.2	216/290/317	101	275	7	10	22%	9%	70	-0.3	216/298/324	108	271	6	10	21%	10%	71	-0.2
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	40→45	58→55	46	205/275/300	94	276	6	17	27%	8%	59	-1.1	222/298/307	85	300	5	16	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	44→36	37→40	54→50	43	203/281/277	74	287	3	12	28%	7%	57	-1.2	205/290/306	101	264	9	15	24%	8%	69	-0.4	199/291/294	95	251	9	15	23%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→38	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	63	-0.9	207/276/283	76	320	2	18	33%	8%	55	-1.4	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Jason Denham 2007 · A	21	40→45	35→40	53→55	44	190/254/251	61	280	3	10	31%	8%	37	-2.6	218/277/298	80	290	8	18	26%	7%	59	-1.1	217/279/292	74	284	8	21	25%	7%	57	-0.8
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	38→40	53→60	49	182/289/262	80	287	6	16	35%	11%	58	-1.2	202/293/281	79	297	5	23	30%	10%	63	-0.8	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	41	181/235/274	93	246	8	11	29%	6%	36	-2.7	225/291/315	90	302	7	9	26%	8%	70	-0.3	236/307/320	84	310	7	8	24%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Nolan Fontana 2014 · A	23	42→43	39→40	52→50	58	198/312/287	89	285	6	14	30%	14%	73	-0.1	204/300/291	87	305	4	9	30%	12%	69	-0.4	184/288/308	124	252	11	12	29%	12%	68	-0.2
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	42	38→40	52→55	48	201/266/278	77	257	5	16	23%	8%	50	-1.8	211/289/288	77	274	5	10	23%	9%	63	-0.9	204/298/261	57	263	3	4	21%	11%	58	-0.5
✕Aaron Shipman 2014 · A	22	45→35	34→30	48→50	51	204/288/257	54	289	1	13	27%	10%	54	-1.4	228/307/309	81	314	4	16	26%	10%	75	-0.0	248/337/332	84	340	2	24	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	50→40	41	194/258/283	89	288	5	5	33%	7%	48	-1.9	196/284/305	109	362	11	4	44%	10%	66	-0.6	177/274/284	107	334	12	2	45%	11%	53	-0.8
✕Kai Murphy 2023 · A	22	45→40	39→40	53→50	44	213/272/299	86	295	6	12	28%	7%	58	-1.2	210/271/296	86	310	7	10	32%	7%	56	-1.3	202/271/271	69	274	5	11	26%	7%	48	-1.0
✕Thomas Milone 2017 · A	22	39→44	35→45	48→55	39	185/241/242	57	272	3	14	31%	6%	30	-3.1	212/265/301	89	300	5	12	29%	6%	55	-1.4	243/298/369	125	340	8	17	29%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	36→30	51→55	45	194/254/257	63	262	3	15	26%	7%	39	-2.5	209/290/282	73	320	3	15	32%	10%	61	-1.0	204/311/268	64	327	2	21	33%	13%	64	-0.4
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→50	49→55	47	199/276/274	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	53	-1.5	192/289/301	109	273	9	9	30%	12%	67	-0.5	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Kameron Misner 2021 · A	23	46→43	39→50	54→55	48	217/293/303	87	305	6	13	29%	9%	68	-0.5	199/283/333	134	317	13	21	38%	10%	72	-0.2	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Adonis Pacheco 2013 · A	22	45	39→50	57→55	45	213/271/312	99	277	4	16	24%	7%	60	-1.0	204/258/296	92	260	5	11	22%	6%	50	-1.7	160/206/240	80	191	3	9	17%	6%	11	-1.2
●Levi Michael 2014 · A	23	39→49	37→45	55	49	187/266/263	76	252	4	13	26%	9%	46	-2.0	219/285/303	84	294	4	16	25%	7%	64	-0.8	226/293/341	115	319	10	11	30%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	41	37→45	55→45	39	197/236/272	76	265	4	7	27%	5%	34	-2.8	241/267/333	92	304	5	7	22%	3%	63	-0.9	257/280/358	100	316	5	7	20%	2%	71	-0.1