Juan Mieses

P FCL Astros

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 200 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	12	3	36	3.22	2.47	26.2%	12.8%	—	K 17.8% · BB 16.0% · FIP 3.62
2026	20	ROKHOU	8	4	15	5.52	4.80	29.0%	18.8%	—	K 19.7% · BB 23.6% · FIP 6.65
2027PROJ	21	MLBHOU	12	0	13	5.48	5.48	21.2%	17.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBHOU	16	0	17	5.16	5.02	22.4%	14.6%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 93%

CompsJuan Mendez (age 22) · Tanner Cooper (age 21) · Jordan Brink (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.48

FIP5.48

K%21.2%

BB%17.2%

K-BB%4.1%

Proj IP13

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	13	2	22	103	19	16	1	15%	1.7	12.5%	19.4%	-6.9%	1.4%	6.55	5.26	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	13	2	22	103	19	16	1	15%	1.7	12.5%	19.4%	-6.9%	1.4%	6.55	5.26	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	13	2	22	103	19	16	1	15%	1.7	18.4%	15.5%	2.9%	1.0%	6.55	4.15	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	12	3	36	164	43	21	0	25%	3.0	17.8%	16.0%	1.8%	0.0%	3.22	3.62	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	12	3	36	164	43	21	0	25%	3.0	17.8%	16.0%	1.8%	0.0%	3.22	3.62	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	12	3	36	164	43	21	0	25%	3.0	26.2%	12.8%	13.4%	0.0%	3.22	2.47	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	8	4	15	69	20	13	2	50%	1.8	19.7%	23.6%	-3.8%	4.1%	5.52	6.65	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	8	4	15	69	20	13	2	50%	1.8	19.7%	23.6%	-3.8%	4.1%	5.52	6.65	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	8	4	15	69	20	13	2	50%	1.8	29.0%	18.8%	10.1%	2.9%	5.52	4.80	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	HOU	12	0	13	55	12	9	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	17.2%	4.1%	2.9%	5.48	5.48	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	HOU	33	0	34	145	32	21	4	0%	1.0	22.4%	14.6%	7.8%	2.9%	5.16	5.02	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	HOU	16	0	17	72	16	10	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	14.6%	7.8%	2.9%	5.16	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	71	16	10	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	14.6%	7.8%	2.9%	5.16	4.64	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	119	24	0%	1.1	22.4%	14.6%	7.8%	2.9%	5.16	4.64	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		33	9	73	336	56	62	4	27%	2.2	16.6%	18.6%	-2.0%	1.3%	4.68	4.75	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	25	200	921	153	171	12	27%	2.2	16.6%	18.6%	-2.0%	1.3%	4.68	4.75	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Mieses (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.48	21.2%	17.2%	2.9%	—	5.02	22.4%	7.8%	34	-0.46	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	85
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	83
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	81
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	81
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	81
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	81
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	80
Jose Romero R 2022 · 4.29 FIP	21	SW	4.29	22.7%	17.2%	1.7%	.200	4.34	21.6%	3.9%	100	+0.05	3.71	163	80
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	80
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	79
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	79
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	79
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	79
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	78
Sunayro Martina R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	20	SW	4.57	16.3%	16.9%	1.3%	.305	5.69	13.9%	-4.9%	71	+1.12	4.57	118	77
Nicolas Cruz R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	20	SW	4.84	19.2%	16.1%	2.4%	.437	3.32	20.4%	11.4%	117	-1.52	3.01	194	77
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	77
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	77
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	77
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	77