Jay McQueen — OGILVIE

Jay McQueenOF ACL Rangers

Age 20 R/L ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 296 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .278 / .307

PA296

HR5

SB5

K%28

BB%8

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	102	84	26	2	0	0	16	21	2	2	2	310	431	333	765	24	413	21	16	362	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	201	166	60	9	4	4	28	52	4	7	7	361	465	536	1.001	175	509	26	14	436	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	102	89	25	2	0	0	11	29	2	2	2	281	373	303	676	22	408	28	11	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	201	177	46	6	3	3	17	75	4	7	7	260	338	379	717	119	420	37	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	303	266	71	8	3	3	28	104	6	9	9	267	350	353	703	86	428	34	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	303	250	86	11	4	4	44	73	6	9	9	344	453	468	921	124	474	24	15	411	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	303	266	71	8	3	3	28	104	6	9	9	267	350	353	703	86	416	34	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	303	266	71	8	3	3	28	104	6	9	9	267	350	353	703	86	416	34	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	413	373	79	12	3	7	32	116	5	6	2	210	280	310	589	100	282	28	8	268	67	-16	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	358	323	69	11	2	7	28	99	4	6	2	215	286	327	613	112	284	28	8	277	74	-11	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.6
2029	22	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	445	402	89	14	3	10	35	120	5	7	3	220	291	342	633	122	285	27	8	285	79	-11	+0	-1	-3	+10	-0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	502	451	101	16	3	12	40	134	6	8	3	223	295	354	649	130	287	27	8	291	83	-10	+0	-0	-3	+11	-0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	539	485	110	17	4	14	43	142	6	9	3	227	298	363	661	136	288	26	8	296	87	-8	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	559	503	115	18	4	15	45	146	6	9	3	229	300	370	671	141	289	26	8	300	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	570	512	118	19	4	16	46	149	7	9	3	229	301	373	674	144	288	26	8	301	90	-7	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	572	515	117	18	4	16	46	150	6	9	3	228	300	370	670	142	288	26	8	300	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.2
2035	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	568	511	115	18	3	15	46	151	6	8	3	226	298	366	663	139	287	27	8	297	87	-9	+0	-1	-3	+12	-0.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	559	503	113	18	3	15	45	150	6	7	4	224	295	359	654	135	285	27	8	293	85	-10	-0	-1	-3	+12	-0.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	549	494	109	17	3	14	44	149	6	7	4	221	291	351	642	131	283	27	8	289	81	-12	-0	-2	-3	+12	-0.6
2028	21	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	123	111	25	4	1	3	10	34	1	2	1	216	287	332	619	116	284	28	8	280	74	-4	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	216	194	42	6	1	5	17	58	3	4	1	221	292	347	640	126	285	27	8	288	79	-5	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	272	245	55	8	2	7	22	73	3	4	2	225	296	360	656	135	287	27	8	294	83	-5	+0	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	299	270	61	9	2	8	24	79	3	5	2	228	300	370	669	142	288	26	8	299	87	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	313	281	65	10	2	9	25	82	4	5	2	230	302	377	679	147	289	26	8	303	89	-4	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	321	288	67	10	2	10	26	84	4	5	2	231	303	380	683	149	288	26	8	305	90	-4	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	316	283	65	10	2	9	26	83	4	5	2	230	301	378	679	148	288	26	8	303	89	-4	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	311	280	64	10	2	9	25	83	3	4	2	228	299	373	672	145	287	27	8	300	87	-5	+0	-0	-2	+7	-0.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	299	270	60	9	2	8	24	80	3	4	2	225	296	366	662	141	285	27	8	296	85	-5	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	313	282	63	9	2	9	25	85	3	4	2	222	293	358	650	136	283	27	8	292	81	-7	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2783	2504	567	85	18	77	224	741	31	42	18	226	298	367	665	141	288	27	8	298	85	-48	+1	-3	-17	+60	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	132	20	4	18	52	173	7	10	4	226	297	366	662	140	286	27	8	298	85	-11	+0	-1	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5820	5233	1184	183	38	142	469	1577	67	93	42	226	298	357	655	131	294	27	8	293	85	-104	+4	-7	-33	+120	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	132	20	4	16	52	176	7	10	5	226	296	356	652	130	294	27	8	293	85	-12	+0	-1	-4	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.6	3,079	77	46	224	292	357	-18	+0	0.9	1.3
/162	664	17	10	-4.0	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jay McQueen (OGILVIE)	20	20→40	35→55	45	40	208/278/307	99	282	5	5	28%	8%	67	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2021 · A	20	40→42	43→55	47→45	42	202/266/309	107	265	11	7	28%	6%	63	-1.3	222/273/394	172	288	23	5	31%	5%	86	+0.3	200/264/382	182	250	25	1	31%	6%	78	-0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2024 · A	20	41→44	42→60	45→30	40	201/268/308	107	300	10	5	34%	7%	63	-1.3	207/289/374	167	303	21	3	37%	9%	88	+0.4	207/300/402	195	286	26	2	35%	10%	96	+0.8
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	39→36	41→60	47→50	46	193/265/292	98	258	9	12	28%	8%	59	-1.7	209/266/356	147	291	17	11	33%	7%	74	-0.5	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Rainel Rosario 2009 · A	20	36→46	40→50	45→50	39	175/249/270	95	283	8	9	38%	8%	49	-2.4	208/275/324	116	312	9	9	34%	7%	70	-0.8	246/301/378	133	280	16	6	18%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Michael Hermosillo 2015 · A	20	42→49	39→55	51→55	43	201/272/293	93	294	6	11	32%	8%	61	-1.5	221/297/300	79	293	5	17	24%	8%	73	-0.6	234/309/359	124	316	12	20	28%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Bubba Thompson 2018 · A	20	42→52	42→50	45→65	36	205/255/311	106	296	9	9	33%	5%	59	-1.6	199/247/301	102	334	8	20	40%	5%	54	-2.0	251/295/378	127	347	11	46	29%	5%	86	+0.2
✕Yunior Garcia 2021 · A	20	38→48	41→45	48→30	36	190/240/287	97	286	9	7	36%	5%	48	-2.5	223/273/336	113	325	11	4	33%	5%	72	-0.7	228/278/346	118	323	12	2	32%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	41→42	45→50	49→50	42	206/277/332	126	281	12	8	30%	7%	73	-0.6	219/279/362	143	273	18	5	26%	6%	80	-0.1	214/275/354	140	261	19	5	25%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Luis Torres 2024 · A	20	46	42→50	46→50	41	220/280/330	110	317	9	5	32%	7%	73	-0.6	205/274/289	84	343	5	5	38%	7%	61	-1.5	142/234/179	37	279	0	0	44%	7%	22	-0.7
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A	20	39→42	44→55	47→50	37	198/240/315	117	272	11	5	31%	5%	54	-2.0	203/245/352	149	282	17	6	33%	5%	65	-1.2	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Yu Chang 2016 · A	20	41→47	42→50	45	38	205/254/311	106	279	10	6	30%	5%	59	-1.7	206/263/350	144	289	15	8	33%	6%	72	-0.7	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Clint Coulter 2014 · A	21	41→43	43→50	45→40	42	205/271/311	106	279	10	5	29%	7%	65	-1.2	214/288/349	135	274	14	4	26%	7%	81	-0.1	200/266/338	137	245	16	4	25%	5%	67	-0.4
●Austin Dean 2014 · A	20	41→51	40→55	45	46	197/272/291	94	271	7	6	28%	8%	61	-1.5	236/283/332	96	298	7	6	22%	6%	74	-0.6	262/308/421	159	310	17	4	21%	5%	101	+1.0
✕Moisés Sierra 2009 · A	20	41→51	41→50	45→50	36	201/245/295	94	281	9	9	31%	4%	51	-2.2	240/289/345	105	310	9	9	25%	5%	80	-0.2	252/302/391	139	320	16	11	25%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→41	43→50	47→55	47	209/276/317	108	258	11	9	23%	7%	69	-0.9	216/283/359	143	277	16	17	27%	7%	81	-0.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Nahum Hernandez 2010 · A	20	37	37→40	44→50	44	182/249/251	69	238	5	5	25%	6%	44	-2.8	218/293/305	87	277	6	10	22%	8%	72	-0.7	244/336/340	97	290	6	15	16%	10%	92	+0.2
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A	20	36→46	43→55	43→55	40	184/244/295	111	273	10	4	35%	7%	51	-2.2	225/286/365	140	284	15	12	25%	7%	84	+0.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps