Kyle DeGroat

P ACL Royals

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2031

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	MIX2 levels	13	12	49	3.83	3.40	20.6%	7.9%	—	K 13.7% · BB 9.9% · FIP 4.80
2026	20	MIX2 levels	18	0	29	7.76	7.24	23.6%	19.4%	—	K 18.1% · BB 19.9% · FIP 8.86
2027PROJ	21	MLBKC	34	0	36	5.93	5.93	15.4%	15.8%	-0.5
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBKC	22	0	23	5.60	5.48	17.4%	14.0%	-0.2
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBKC	33	0	35	5.33	5.20	18.6%	12.8%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control45Command35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJohan Moreno (age 21) · Yunior Montero (age 22) · Garrett Apker (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.93

FIP5.93

K%15.4%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%-0.5%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	12	49	214	44	17	4	92%	3.8	13.7%	9.9%	3.9%	2.9%	3.83	4.80	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	12	49	214	44	17	4	92%	3.8	13.7%	9.9%	3.9%	2.9%	3.83	4.80	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	12	49	214	44	17	4	92%	3.8	20.6%	7.9%	12.6%	1.9%	3.83	3.40	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	29	144	34	28	8	0%	1.6	18.1%	19.9%	-1.9%	8.7%	7.76	8.86	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	29	144	34	28	8	0%	1.6	18.1%	19.9%	-1.9%	8.7%	7.76	8.86	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	29	144	34	28	8	0%	1.6	23.6%	19.4%	4.2%	5.6%	7.76	7.24	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	KC	34	0	36	152	23	24	5	0%	1.1	15.4%	15.8%	-0.5%	3.2%	5.93	5.93	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	KC	44	0	47	197	34	28	6	0%	1.1	17.4%	14.0%	3.4%	3.1%	5.60	5.48	-0.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	KC	46	0	48	204	38	26	6	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.8%	5.8%	3.0%	5.33	5.20	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	KC	22	0	23	97	17	14	3	0%	1.0	17.4%	14.0%	3.4%	3.1%	5.60	5.48	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	KC	33	0	35	148	27	19	4	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.8%	5.8%	3.0%	5.33	5.20	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	0	58	245	44	33	8	0%	1.1	18.1%	13.3%	4.9%	3.1%	5.44	4.93	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	151	114	28	0%	1.1	18.1%	13.3%	4.9%	3.1%	5.44	4.93	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		31	12	78	358	55	50	19	39%	2.5	15.5%	13.9%	1.6%	5.2%	5.29	6.43	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		79	31	200	914	141	127	48	39%	2.5	15.5%	13.9%	1.6%	5.2%	5.29	6.43	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kyle DeGroat (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.93	15.4%	15.8%	3.2%	—	5.34	18.0%	4.6%	95	-0.59	—	—	—
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	87
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	86
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	85
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	84
Joe Barlow R 2016 · 6.15 FIP	20	SW	6.15	13.6%	16.4%	3.9%	.269	3.72	29.5%	10.7%	116	-2.43	2.99	354	84
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	83
Willians Vasquez R 2018 · 5.45 FIP	21	SU	5.45	12.2%	13.9%	3.0%	.292	3.20	13.9%	3.9%	30	-2.25	3.20	154	83
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	83
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	83
Austin Amaral R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	22	SU	5.94	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	.254	3.55	18.6%	6.3%	113	-2.39	3.53	136	83
Geison Urbaez R 2021 · 5.03 FIP	21	SW	5.03	14.1%	18.2%	1.5%	.322	4.71	15.5%	4.7%	112	-0.32	4.04	241	82
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	82
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	82
Pedro González R 2021 · 5.23 FIP	21	SW	5.23	13.9%	16.0%	2.3%	.321	4.26	11.0%	3.4%	109	-0.97	4.06	285	81
Joel Pineiro R 2000 · 5.71 FIP	21	SU	5.71	10.6%	13.8%	3.2%	.324	3.81	17.3%	9.9%	481	-1.90	2.76	1,831	81
Patrick Murphy R 2016 · 6.18 FIP	21	SW	6.18	14.9%	16.7%	4.1%	.339	3.85	16.1%	6.7%	319	-2.33	3.08	556	81
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	81
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	81
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	81
Ezequiel Ventura R 2023 · 5.62 FIP	21	SW	5.62	13.5%	11.7%	4.0%	.302	4.71	14.1%	5.7%	32	-0.91	3.77	151	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	44	17.3%	14.1%	1.20	5.59
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*