Derek Vartanian
P
Augusta GreenJackets
Age 22
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
A
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION76 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.0%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 14 | 13 | 76 | 316 | 74 | 22 | 11 | 93% | 5.4 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 3.81 | 5.16 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ATL | 4 | 4 | 24 | 103 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.0% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 100 | 419 | 98 | 31 | 14 | — | — | 23.3% | 7.5% | 15.8% | 3.4% | 3.94 | 4.97 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ATL | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.3 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ATL | 2 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.22 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 3.84 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 81 | 32 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 3.84 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 14 | 13 | 76 | 316 | 55 | 26 | 14 | 93% | 5.4 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 3.81 | 5.16 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 34 | 200 | 835 | 145 | 69 | 38 | 93% | 5.4 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 3.81 | 5.16 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Derek Vartanian (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.22 | 23.8% | 15.1% | 25 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Gus Varland R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.13 | 19.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .294 | 5.81 | 18.1% | 5.7% | 105 | +1.68 | 2.54 | 304 | 84 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.67 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .341 | 3.99 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.32 | 3.44 | 259 | 83 |
| Glenn Sparkman R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.90 | 20.0% | 11.6% | 1.8% | .296 | 3.61 | 15.9% | 10.9% | 207 | -0.29 | 3.48 | 363 | 80 |
| Chance Kirby R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.26 | 17.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | .298 | 5.86 | 14.2% | 6.7% | 166 | +1.60 | 4.26 | 325 | 80 |
| Curtis Taylor R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.10 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.42 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 96 | -0.68 | 2.58 | 408 | 80 |
| Nick Kingham R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.96 | 20.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | .330 | 3.99 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 276 | +0.03 | 2.31 | 363 | 80 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 79 |
| Kyle Funkhouser R 2027 · 3.45 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.45 | 24.5% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .329 | 4.35 | 19.0% | 5.9% | 193 | +0.90 | 3.45 | 387 | 79 |
| Gabriel Hughes R 2025 · 5.02 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.02 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 4.6% | .302 | 3.95 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 143 | -1.07 | 2.58 | 210 | 79 |
| Ricky DeVito R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.36 | 22.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.57 | 21.5% | 2.4% | 151 | +0.21 | 4.05 | 215 | 79 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 79 |
| Slade Cecconi R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.09 | 19.6% | 9.3% | 2.7% | .300 | 4.52 | 19.8% | 13.6% | 397 | +0.43 | 4.09 | 700 | 78 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 78 |
| Bryce Jarvis R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.78 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 3.8% | .276 | 5.00 | 18.0% | 6.0% | 296 | +0.22 | 4.22 | 513 | 78 |
| Drew Anderson R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.54 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .295 | 4.74 | 16.3% | 7.6% | 273 | +1.20 | 3.11 | 506 | 77 |
| Chad Patrick R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 77 |
| Kade McClure R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.55 | 17.3% | 9.2% | 1.4% | .336 | 4.20 | 17.6% | 10.2% | 227 | +0.65 | 3.55 | 388 | 76 |
| Luc Rennie R 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.48 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | .352 | 5.49 | 14.5% | 5.7% | 209 | +2.01 | 3.48 | 265 | 76 |
| Josh Stephan R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.58 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 3.7% | .341 | 5.01 | 17.3% | 10.3% | 190 | +0.43 | 4.44 | 443 | 75 |
| Michael Forret R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.32 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 3.0% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 253 | 75 |