Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Athletics Gold | 2 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 2.5 | 15.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 9.00 | 4.89 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Athletics Gold | 2 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 2.5 | 15.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 9.00 | 5.30 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 19 | 112 | 466 | 111 | 27 | 9 | 90% | 5.3 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 3.22 | 3.67 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 19 | 112 | 466 | 111 | 27 | 9 | 90% | 5.3 | 23.8% | 5.8% | 18.0% | 1.9% | 3.22 | 2.89 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 131 | 589 | 115 | 39 | 19 | 100% | 5.3 | 16.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 5.35 | 5.17 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 131 | 589 | 115 | 39 | 19 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.5% | 6.6% | 12.9% | 3.2% | 5.35 | 4.12 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 21 | 124 | 533 | 130 | 28 | 23 | 68% | 4.0 | 19.9% | 5.7% | 14.2% | 5.5% | 5.36 | 5.15 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 21 | 124 | 533 | 130 | 28 | 23 | 68% | 4.0 | 24.4% | 5.3% | 19.1% | 4.3% | 5.36 | 4.09 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 5 | 76 | 327 | 74 | 26 | 6 | 14% | 2.1 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 3.77 | 3.80 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 5 | 76 | 327 | 74 | 26 | 6 | 14% | 2.1 | 22.6% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 1.8% | 3.77 | 3.20 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 38 | 6 | 80 | 364 | 83 | 27 | 19 | 16% | 2.1 | 20.1% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 4.2% | 6.67 | 4.70 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 38 | 6 | 80 | 364 | 83 | 27 | 19 | 16% | 2.1 | 22.8% | 7.4% | 15.4% | 5.2% | 6.67 | 5.13 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 65 | 0 | 69 | 290 | 56 | 22 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 4.73 | 4.73 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 61 | 0 | 64 | 272 | 53 | 22 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 4.79 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 57 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 49 | 22 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 4.91 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 53 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 45 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 5.08 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 4.79 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 4.91 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 5.08 | 5.21 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 90 | 0 | 94 | 399 | 77 | 35 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 4.95 | 4.68 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 163 | 74 | 32 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 4.95 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 154 | 77 | 528 | 2305 | 425 | 162 | 91 | 50% | 3.4 | 18.4% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 4.91 | 4.59 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 29 | 200 | 873 | 161 | 61 | 34 | 50% | 3.4 | 18.4% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 4.91 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jack Cushing (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | — | 5.02 | 19.3% | 10.8% | 180 | +0.29 | — | — | — |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 79 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 78 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.28 | 15.3% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .316 | 3.71 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 348 | -0.57 | 3.16 | 593 | 76 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.76 | 19.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | .347 | 3.99 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 169 | +0.23 | 3.73 | 725 | 76 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 75 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 74 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 73 |
| Jason Berken R 2028 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 73 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 73 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 72 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 72 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 72 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 71 |
| Donovan Hand R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.29 | 11.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | .305 | 4.30 | 12.5% | 5.7% | 140 | +0.01 | 4.29 | 237 | 71 |
| Kolton Mahoney R 2024 · 3.59 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.59 | 19.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 302 | 71 |
| Jacob Turner R 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 71 |
| Seth Simmons R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.36 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .262 | 6.19 | 13.3% | 2.4% | 54 | +1.83 | 3.06 | 251 | 70 |
| Yohan Pino R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 70 |
| Aaron Brooks R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.78 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | .281 | 4.30 | 15.8% | 8.8% | 70 | -0.48 | 3.61 | 879 | 70 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 62 | 19.4% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.87 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Austin Voth ('24) | 6 | 58 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 1.50 | 4.63 |