Jack Cushing
P
Las Vegas Aviators
+0.3
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 0.5 · 2027
ERA4.80
FIP4.80
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.9%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%12.7%
IP82
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2027
STUF4545
CTRL5555
CMD5050
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Athletics Gold | 2 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 21 | 19 | 112 | 466 | 111 | 27 | 9 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 3.22 | 3.68 | +2.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 25 | 25 | 131 | 589 | 115 | 39 | 19 | 16.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.35 | 4.89 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 31 | 21 | 124 | 533 | 130 | 28 | 23 | 19.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.36 | 5.06 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 37 | 5 | 76 | 327 | 74 | 26 | 6 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 3.77 | 3.75 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 38 | 6 | 80 | 364 | 83 | 27 | 19 | 20.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.67 | 5.12 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 82 | 344 | 70 | 27 | 13 | 20.3% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 4.82 | 4.82 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 14 | 14 | 79 | 334 | 74 | 24 | 12 | 22.3% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 4.64 | 4.55 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 14 | 14 | 76 | 322 | 71 | 24 | 12 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 4.62 | 4.61 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 13 | 13 | 73 | 309 | 68 | 24 | 12 | 21.9% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 4.65 | 4.68 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 13 | 13 | 70 | 295 | 64 | 23 | 11 | 21.6% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 4.72 | 4.77 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 60 | 23 | 11 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 4.82 | 4.88 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 63 | 264 | 55 | 22 | 11 | 20.9% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 4.93 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 58 | — | 58 | 247 | 51 | 21 | 10 | 20.5% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 5.05 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 154 | 77 | 528 | 2305 | 425 | 162 | 89 | 18.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.91 | 4.56 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 29 | 200 | 873 | 161 | 61 | 34 | 18.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.91 | 4.56 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jack Cushing (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.82 | 20.3% | 8.0% | 3.7% | — | 4.61 | 22.1% | 14.6% | 229 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.64 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | .327 | 3.81 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -0.83 | 3.39 | 316 | 92 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 250 | 88 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.98 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 85 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2029 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 83 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 19.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 262 | 82 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .231 | 3.67 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.19 | 3.65 | 424 | 82 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | .261 | 5.17 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.41 | 4.58 | 261 | 81 |
| Matt Cain R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.87 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | +0.17 | 4.87 | 294 | 81 |
| Mitch Atkins R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.70 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .341 | 4.75 | 14.3% | 6.2% | 78 | +1.05 | 3.70 | 205 | 81 |
| Mario Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.93 | 17.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .276 | 4.35 | 14.1% | 9.1% | 104 | +0.42 | 3.93 | 368 | 80 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.95 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .303 | 4.69 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 169 | +0.74 | 3.69 | 283 | 78 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.77 | 19.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | .347 | 4.21 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 169 | +0.44 | 3.77 | 725 | 78 |
| Yohan Pino R 2028 · 4.10 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.10 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | .312 | 5.35 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.25 | 4.10 | 133 | 78 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.01 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.3% | .321 | 4.38 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.63 | 3.40 | 556 | 78 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.94 | 17.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .315 | 4.95 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 305 | +1.01 | 3.94 | 567 | 77 |
| Ervin Santana R 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.00 | 17.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .273 | 4.12 | 19.2% | 12.4% | 417 | +0.12 | 3.75 | 720 | 76 |
| Jason Berken R 2028 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.51 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | +0.15 | 4.36 | 219 | 76 |
| Murphy Smith R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.34 | 13.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | .267 | 4.58 | 13.6% | 4.3% | 63 | +0.24 | 3.17 | 300 | 76 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.33 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 5.0% | .276 | 4.33 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 117 | -1.00 | 3.64 | 605 | 76 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2025 · 6.02 FIP | 28 | SP- | 6.02 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 223 | 76 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.