Chris Clarke — OGILVIE

Chris Clarke P Knoxville Smokies

Age 28 RHP 6'7" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

K%16.6%

BB%7.9%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	10	53	236	49	13	6	91%	4.8	15.8%	6.7%	9.1%	3.6%	4.39	4.59	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	10	53	236	49	13	6	91%	4.8	20.8%	5.5%	15.3%	2.5%	4.39	3.46	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	21	120	524	110	25	12	81%	4.6	16.8%	5.3%	11.5%	2.8%	4.64	3.87	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	21	120	524	110	25	12	81%	4.6	21.0%	4.8%	16.2%	2.3%	4.64	3.19	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	35	11	75	336	66	27	5	31%	2.2	16.3%	7.2%	9.1%	1.7%	4.90	3.57	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	35	11	75	336	66	27	5	31%	2.2	16.3%	7.2%	9.1%	1.7%	4.90	3.57	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	35	11	75	336	66	27	5	31%	2.2	19.6%	8.0%	11.6%	1.5%	4.90	3.29	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	13	11	45	198	34	17	5	85%	3.5	14.3%	7.7%	6.5%	2.6%	5.00	4.29	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	13	11	45	198	34	17	5	85%	3.5	14.3%	7.7%	6.5%	2.6%	5.00	4.29	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	13	11	45	198	34	17	5	85%	3.5	17.2%	8.6%	8.6%	2.5%	5.00	4.17	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	4	31	122	33	4	1	44%	3.4	27.0%	3.3%	23.8%	0.8%	2.03	1.68	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	4	31	122	33	4	1	44%	3.4	27.0%	3.3%	23.8%	0.8%	2.03	1.68	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	9	4	31	122	33	4	1	44%	3.4	27.0%	3.3%	23.8%	0.8%	2.03	1.78	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	CHC	1	1	2	8	1	1	0	100%	2.0	16.6%	7.9%	8.6%	2.8%	4.64	4.64	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CHC	5	5	30	125	21	10	4	100%	5.9	17.0%	8.3%	8.7%	3.0%	4.68	4.74	+0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	CHC	2	2	9	38	6	3	1	100%	4.5	17.0%	8.3%	8.7%	3.0%	4.68	4.74	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	9	39	7	3	1	100%	4.6	17.0%	8.3%	8.7%	3.0%	4.68	4.36	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	151	65	22	100%	6.0	17.0%	8.3%	8.7%	3.0%	4.68	4.36	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		94	57	325	1416	241	87	35	61%	3.5	17.1%	6.2%	10.9%	2.5%	4.46	3.79	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	35	200	871	149	54	21	61%	3.5	17.1%	6.2%	10.9%	2.5%	4.46	3.79	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Clarke (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	16.6%	7.9%	2.8%	—	4.74	17.0%	8.7%	30	+0.10	—	—	—
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	77
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	77
Jorge Martinez R 2016 · 3.53 FIP	31	SP-	3.53	12.9%	5.3%	1.6%	.266	3.71	16.5%	11.5%	154	+0.18	3.53	214	76
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	75
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	75
Max Beatty R 2017 · 3.88 FIP	26	SP-	3.88	13.2%	6.4%	2.0%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	3.88	117	74
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	74
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	74
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	73
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	73
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	72
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	72
Gabriel Arias R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	29	SP-	4.11	13.9%	6.8%	2.4%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	195	71
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	71
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	71
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	70
Stolmy Pimentel R 2016 · 3.87 FIP	26	SP-	3.87	13.6%	10.5%	1.1%	.379	—	—	—	—	—	3.87	143	70
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	70
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	70
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	221	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	16.8%	8.1%	1.12	4.66
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43