Chris Clarke
P
Knoxville Smokies
Age 28
RHP
6'7" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 31 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
K%20.2%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%11.2%
ROS IP31
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 10 | 53 | 236 | 49 | 13 | 6 | 91% | 4.8 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 4.39 | 4.76 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 10 | 53 | 236 | 49 | 13 | 6 | 91% | 4.8 | 20.8% | 5.5% | 15.3% | 2.5% | 4.39 | 3.46 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 21 | 120 | 524 | 110 | 25 | 12 | 81% | 4.6 | 16.8% | 5.3% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.64 | 3.88 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 21 | 120 | 524 | 110 | 25 | 12 | 81% | 4.6 | 21.0% | 4.8% | 16.2% | 2.3% | 4.64 | 3.19 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 35 | 11 | 75 | 336 | 66 | 27 | 5 | 31% | 2.2 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 4.90 | 3.67 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 35 | 11 | 75 | 336 | 66 | 27 | 5 | 31% | 2.2 | 19.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 1.5% | 4.90 | 3.29 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 13 | 11 | 45 | 198 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 85% | 3.5 | 15.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 5.00 | 4.28 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 13 | 11 | 45 | 198 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 85% | 3.5 | 17.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 5.00 | 4.17 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 9 | 4 | 31 | 122 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 44% | 3.4 | 27.0% | 3.3% | 23.8% | 0.8% | 2.03 | 1.68 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 9 | 4 | 31 | 122 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 44% | 3.4 | 27.0% | 3.3% | 23.8% | 0.8% | 2.03 | 1.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 5 | 5 | 30 | 125 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 20.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.6 | 20.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.19 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 173 | 86 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 94 | 57 | 325 | 1416 | 246 | 94 | 36 | 61% | 3.5 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 3.84 | +5.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 35 | 200 | 871 | 152 | 58 | 22 | 61% | 3.5 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 3.84 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Clarke (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.57 | 20.3% | 11.1% | 30 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 78 |
| Preston Johnson R 2024 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 77 |
| Sam Lewis R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 75 |
| Austin Bergner R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 19.1% | 11.3% | 2.0% | .278 | 6.71 | 16.4% | 2.4% | 16 | +2.71 | 4.00 | 464 | 71 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 70 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 70 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 70 |
| Blake Beers R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 70 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 70 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 70 |
| Aldo Montes R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.65 | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.41 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 75 | -0.24 | 4.41 | 210 | 70 |
| Kris Medlen R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 70 |
| Brian Edgington R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 69 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.32 | 14.9% | 6.9% | 1.1% | .357 | 4.93 | 11.8% | 3.0% | 75 | +1.61 | 3.32 | 227 | 69 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2029 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.42 | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | .266 | 3.59 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 154 | +0.17 | 3.42 | 214 | 69 |
| Justin Masterson R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 69 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.85 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .341 | 5.33 | 13.2% | 0.6% | 66 | +0.48 | 3.78 | 254 | 68 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 68 |
| Jake Walkinshaw R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.11 | 16.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .244 | 3.82 | 15.6% | 4.1% | 68 | -0.29 | 2.20 | 286 | 68 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 30 | 20.3% | 9.1% | 1.12 | 4.48 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |