Will Ethridge — OGILVIE

Will Ethridge P Hartford Yard Goats

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 240 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 103

ERA4.55

FIP4.55

K%21.9%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%11.7%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	98	397	88	20	12	100%	5.4	16.8%	5.8%	11.0%	3.1%	4.68	4.14	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	18	98	397	88	20	12	100%	5.4	22.2%	5.0%	17.1%	3.0%	4.68	3.51	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	112	481	90	49	22	96%	4.9	14.5%	11.5%	3.0%	4.6%	5.13	5.84	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	112	481	90	49	22	96%	4.9	18.7%	10.2%	8.5%	4.6%	5.13	5.35	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	1	26	120	26	15	0	5%	1.4	15.6%	14.1%	1.5%	0.0%	4.15	3.57	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	1	26	120	26	15	0	5%	1.4	15.6%	14.1%	1.5%	0.0%	4.15	3.57	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	1	26	120	26	15	0	5%	1.4	21.7%	12.5%	9.2%	0.0%	4.15	2.83	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	COL	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	21.9%	10.2%	11.7%	3.0%	4.55	4.55	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	COL	3	3	20	84	18	9	3	100%	6.7	21.8%	10.4%	11.5%	3.1%	4.60	4.65	+0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	COL	1	1	6	25	6	3	1	100%	6.0	21.8%	10.4%	11.5%	3.1%	4.60	4.65	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	6	26	6	3	1	100%	6.3	21.8%	10.4%	11.5%	3.1%	4.60	4.27	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	192	96	32	100%	6.0	21.8%	10.4%	11.5%	3.1%	4.60	4.27	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		60	41	236	998	155	96	34	68%	3.9	15.6%	9.6%	6.0%	3.4%	4.84	4.89	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	35	200	845	131	81	29	68%	3.9	15.6%	9.6%	6.0%	3.4%	4.84	4.89	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Will Ethridge (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	21.9%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.65	21.8%	11.5%	20	+0.10	—	—	—
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	73
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	72
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	69
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	69
Sam Lewis R 2019 · 3.41 FIP	27	SP-	3.41	21.0%	10.8%	1.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	224	68
Raynel Espinal R 2019 · 3.90 FIP	27	SP-	3.90	22.4%	7.1%	3.2%	.313	4.01	22.3%	12.4%	224	+0.11	2.48	507	67
Vanny Valenzuela R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	28	SP	4.54	16.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.380	6.25	10.9%	1.2%	25	+1.71	3.26	118	66
Tyler Cloyd R 2016 · 3.89 FIP	29	SP-	3.89	17.6%	12.4%	1.3%	.211	4.86	16.9%	9.7%	230	+0.97	3.89	250	66
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	66
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	19.3%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.96	3.02	341	65
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	64
Chi Chi González R 2020 · 4.61 FIP	28	SP-	4.61	17.6%	11.0%	2.9%	.306	4.85	13.5%	6.9%	327	+0.24	4.01	800	64
Jorge Reyes R 2016 · 3.39 FIP	28	SP-	3.39	14.9%	6.9%	1.2%	.357	4.81	11.8%	3.0%	75	+1.42	3.39	227	64
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	64
Brady Rodgers R 2019 · 5.44 FIP	28	SP-	5.44	14.7%	9.0%	4.4%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	1.98	354	64
Omar Bencomo R 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP-	4.50	18.9%	6.3%	4.0%	.333	4.48	14.9%	10.1%	186	-0.02	3.70	381	64
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	63
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	63
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	63
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	62