Will Ethridge
P
Hartford Yard Goats
Age 28
RHP
6'5" / 240 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.1%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP10
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 18 | 98 | 397 | 88 | 20 | 12 | 100% | 5.4 | 16.8% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 4.68 | 3.88 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 18 | 98 | 397 | 88 | 20 | 12 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.2% | 5.0% | 17.1% | 3.0% | 4.68 | 3.51 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 112 | 481 | 90 | 49 | 22 | 96% | 4.9 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.13 | 5.47 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 112 | 481 | 90 | 49 | 22 | 96% | 4.9 | 18.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 5.13 | 5.35 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 1 | 26 | 120 | 26 | 15 | 0 | 5% | 1.4 | 15.6% | 14.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 3.57 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 1 | 26 | 120 | 26 | 15 | 0 | 5% | 1.4 | 21.7% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 2.83 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | COL | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | COL | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | COL | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.09 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 96 | 32 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 60 | 41 | 236 | 998 | 155 | 96 | 29 | 68% | 3.9 | 15.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.61 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 35 | 200 | 845 | 131 | 81 | 25 | 68% | 3.9 | 15.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.61 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Will Ethridge (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.47 | 22.9% | 13.3% | 20 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Preston Johnson R 2024 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 77 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 73 |
| Stephen Fife R 2027 · 3.20 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.20 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 1.2% | .329 | 3.62 | 14.1% | 8.3% | 152 | +0.42 | 3.20 | 179 | 70 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 68 |
| Connor Schultz R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 68 |
| Ariel Peña R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.93 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 5.94 | 19.9% | -5.7% | 21 | +2.01 | 3.91 | 223 | 68 |
| Sam Lewis R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 67 |
| Jake Walkinshaw R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.11 | 16.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .244 | 3.82 | 15.6% | 4.1% | 68 | -0.29 | 2.20 | 286 | 66 |
| Brian Edgington R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 65 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 64 |
| Omar Bencomo R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | .333 | 4.43 | 14.9% | 10.1% | 186 | +0.05 | 3.67 | 381 | 64 |
| Darien Smith R 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.67 | 19.0% | 12.9% | 2.8% | .212 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 102 | 64 |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.14 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 470 | 64 |
| Blake Beers R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 63 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 63 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.89 | 17.6% | 12.4% | 1.3% | .211 | 4.90 | 16.9% | 9.7% | 230 | +1.01 | 3.89 | 250 | 63 |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.66 | 16.3% | 11.3% | 2.8% | .380 | 7.26 | 10.9% | 1.2% | 25 | +2.60 | 3.26 | 118 | 63 |
| Matt Cain R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 62 |
| Nate Karns R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.43 | 27.1% | 20.7% | 45 | +0.51 | 3.92 | 287 | 62 |
| Chi Chi González R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.39 | 17.6% | 11.0% | 2.5% | .306 | 4.76 | 13.7% | 6.8% | 327 | +0.37 | 4.00 | 800 | 62 |