Luke Thelen
P
Fresno Grizzlies
Age 24
RHP
6'5" / 210 lbs
A
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 12 ip · rates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127
ERA5.81
FIP5.81
K%19.0%
BB%18.3%
K-BB%0.7%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | 20 | 0 | 20 | 120 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 9.9% | 25.6% | -15.7% | 1.2% | 12.84 | 6.19 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | 20 | 0 | 20 | 120 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 9.9% | 25.6% | -15.7% | 1.2% | 12.84 | 6.19 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | Fresno Grizzlies | 20 | 0 | 20 | 120 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.3% | 21.7% | -8.3% | 0.8% | 12.84 | 6.00 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | COL | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 18.3% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 5.81 | 5.81 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | COL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 15.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.49 | 5.38 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | COL | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 15.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.49 | 5.38 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 15.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.49 | 5.00 | -0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 164 | 140 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 15.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.49 | 5.00 | -1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 20 | 0 | 20 | 120 | 12 | 31 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 9.9% | 25.6% | -15.7% | 1.2% | 12.84 | 6.19 | -0.2 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 197 | 0 | 200 | 1180 | 116 | 302 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 9.9% | 25.6% | -15.7% | 1.2% | 12.84 | 6.19 | -1.9 | |