Rafe Perich — OGILVIE

Rafe Perich3B Frisco RoughRiders

Age 24 S/R 6'1" / 225 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION511 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP304

ISO120

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$28M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.1M
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$11M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	25	3	1	0	0	8	8	0	0	0	120	333	160	493	40	176	24	24	263	64	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	23	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	146	124	25	3	0	2	21	30	1	2	0	202	322	274	596	73	250	21	14	284	79	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2025	23	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	252	209	52	10	1	4	36	52	3	5	0	249	367	364	731	115	306	21	14	332	111	+3	+1	—	—	+5	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	28	3	1	0	0	5	11	0	0	0	107	242	143	385	36	164	33	15	190	15	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	146	132	23	3	0	1	13	39	1	2	0	174	253	220	473	45	235	27	9	221	36	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2025	23	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	252	223	45	7	1	3	22	75	3	5	0	202	282	283	565	81	275	30	9	257	60	-12	+1	—	—	+5	-0.6
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	28	3	1	0	0	5	11	0	0	0	107	242	143	385	36	176	33	15	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	25	3	1	0	0	8	8	0	0	0	120	333	160	493	40	176	24	24	263	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	398	356	69	10	1	5	34	114	4	7	0	194	272	270	541	76	266	29	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	398	333	77	13	1	6	57	82	4	7	0	231	350	330	681	99	285	21	14	314	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	28	3	1	0	0	5	11	0	0	0	107	242	143	385	36	164	33	15	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	398	357	69	10	1	5	34	114	4	7	0	193	272	269	540	76	260	29	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	28	3	1	0	0	5	11	0	0	0	107	242	143	385	36	164	33	15	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	398	357	69	10	1	5	34	114	4	7	0	193	272	269	540	76	260	29	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	TEX	—	511	463	122	26	4	21	40	131	6	9	4	263	330	473	803	210	323	26	8	343	118	+11	+0	+0	+2	+11	2.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ RAW	TEX	—	165	142	43	4	3	11	20	34	2	2	1	303	396	606	1.002	303	327	21	12	430	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA RAW	TEX	—	346	302	97	27	1	16	39	70	4	7	3	321	406	576	982	255	373	20	11	427	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	TEX	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		302	22	11	319	102	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	TEX	—	520	471	123	26	4	21	41	133	6	9	4	261	328	467	795	206	320	26	8	343	118	+11	+0	+0	+2	+11	2.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TEX	31%	552	497	119	24	3	17	45	142	5	8	3	239	309	402	711	163	300	26	8	319	102	+1	+0	+0	+2	+12	1.6
2028	26	MLB MLE	TEX	45%	581	522	127	26	3	19	48	148	6	8	3	243	314	414	728	170	300	25	8	321	103	+2	+0	+0	+2	+13	1.8
2029	27	MLB MLE	TEX	49%	586	525	128	26	3	19	50	149	6	9	3	244	317	413	730	170	299	25	9	321	103	+2	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.8
2030	28	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	585	524	127	25	3	19	50	149	6	9	3	242	316	410	726	168	298	25	9	320	103	+2	+1	-1	+2	+13	1.7
2031	29	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	580	519	125	25	3	18	50	149	6	8	3	241	315	405	719	164	297	26	9	318	101	+1	+0	-1	+2	+13	1.5
2032	30	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	573	514	122	24	3	18	49	148	5	8	3	237	310	401	711	163	296	26	9	315	99	-1	+0	-2	+2	+12	1.2
2033	31	MLB MLE	TEX	51%	564	506	118	24	2	17	48	148	5	7	3	233	306	389	695	156	293	26	9	310	96	-3	+0	-3	+2	+12	0.9
2034	32	MLB MLE	TEX	51%	555	497	113	22	2	16	48	147	5	7	2	227	302	376	678	149	289	26	9	305	92	-5	+1	-4	+2	+12	0.6
2035	33	MLB MLE	TEX	51%	355	319	71	14	1	10	30	96	3	4	1	223	295	367	662	144	285	27	8	297	87	-5	+0	-4	+1	+8	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	TEX	31%	171	153	38	8	1	6	14	44	2	2	1	248	320	431	751	183	303	26	8	318	102	+0	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	TEX	45%	259	232	57	11	1	9	22	66	3	4	1	246	319	418	737	172	302	25	8	319	103	+1	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.8
2029	27	MLB CTX	TEX	49%	288	259	64	13	1	10	24	73	3	4	1	247	318	421	739	174	302	25	8	319	103	+1	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.9
2030	28	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	302	270	66	13	2	10	26	77	3	4	2	244	318	419	736	174	301	25	9	318	103	+1	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.8
2031	29	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	299	268	65	13	1	10	26	77	3	4	1	243	316	410	727	168	300	26	9	316	101	+0	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.8
2032	30	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	295	265	64	13	1	10	25	76	3	4	1	242	314	411	725	170	298	26	8	313	99	-0	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.7
2033	31	MLB CTX	TEX	51%	290	260	61	12	1	9	25	76	3	4	1	235	309	392	701	158	296	26	9	309	96	-1	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.5
2034	32	MLB CTX	TEX	51%	286	257	60	12	1	9	24	76	3	4	1	233	306	393	699	160	292	27	8	303	92	-3	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.3
2035	33	MLB CTX	TEX	51%	183	163	37	7	1	5	16	50	2	2	1	227	304	374	678	147	287	27	9	296	87	-3	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2373	2127	512	102	10	78	202	615	25	32	10	241	314	408	722	167	301	26	9	313	95	-3	+2	-8	+8	+51	5.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	140	28	3	21	55	168	7	9	3	240	313	407	720	166	300	26	8	313	95	-1	+1	-2	+2	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5371	4815	1123	221	24	158	458	1403	51	75	24	233	307	388	694	154	294	26	9	309	95	-5	+4	-15	+18	+107	11.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	136	27	3	19	55	170	6	9	3	233	306	388	694	154	294	26	8	309	95	-1	+1	-2	+2	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#2Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	6.1	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
/162	664	27	6	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#3Travis Shawlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,671 PA	4.0	2,671	114	20	239	322	441	+4	+6	13.4	13.4
/162	664	28	5	+1.1	+1.6	3.3	pk7: 13
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Yangervis Solartelast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,645 PA	4.0	2,645	75	6	258	315	408	+9	+3	9.4	9.4
/162	664	19	2	+2.4	+0.7	2.4	pk7: 9
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.6	2,380	73	33	238	307	399	+8	+2	7.1	6.7
/162	664	20	9	+2.4	+0.6	2.0	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafe Perich (OGILVIE)	24	40	30	45	55	240/309/405	166	302	10	5	26%	8%	102	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Herrera 2021 · A	24	43	40	47→40	50	209/288/305	96	279	8	5	26%	10%	71	-0.8	218/290/310	92	290	9	5	26%	9%	72	-0.7	213/289/293	79	280	8	3	25%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	45	45	48→50	43	224/290/348	124	291	13	11	27%	6%	81	-0.1	210/266/326	116	267	13	7	26%	5%	68	-1.0	191/245/302	111	237	14	5	25%	5%	51	-1.2
✕Greg Cullen 2021 · A	24	46→44	41→40	43→40	48	220/302/323	103	278	8	3	23%	8%	80	-0.2	230/321/334	104	308	10	5	26%	10%	90	+0.6	230/333/323	93	312	9	4	26%	12%	90	+0.2
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2015 · A	23	45	42→40	44→55	49	218/293/323	104	278	9	10	24%	8%	76	-0.4	221/275/307	86	298	6	8	27%	6%	65	-1.2	224/275/296	72	297	6	7	25%	5%	59	-0.7
✕Alsander Womack 2023 · A	24	48→47	43→40	44→45	48	235/296/337	102	285	12	7	22%	8%	80	-0.1	223/287/304	81	281	8	9	22%	7%	70	-0.9	216/285/284	68	272	7	8	22%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Leo Rivas 2021 · A	23	39→49	40	48→65	45	187/264/278	90	287	7	8	35%	9%	55	-1.9	220/298/302	82	302	6	22	26%	9%	74	-0.6	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Noe Becerra 2011 · AAA	24	45	41→30	45→40	47	217/275/309	92	267	9	9	22%	7%	66	-1.1	237/288/319	82	273	6	6	15%	6%	73	-0.6	282/332/341	59	319	2	0	12%	6%	93	+0.3
✕Jose Lobatón 2009 · AA	24	45	46→45	43→30	45	222/286/351	129	296	13	3	28%	8%	80	-0.1	222/282/334	112	292	11	3	26%	8%	74	-0.5	233/317/359	126	296	11	0	23%	11%	91	+0.3
✕Elih Marrero 2021 · A	24	44	39→40	49→55	44	210/266/295	85	273	6	7	25%	7%	59	-1.7	214/286/290	76	305	4	21	28%	9%	66	-1.1	210/267/320	110	294	8	22	29%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Patrick Bailey 2023 · A	24	38→48	46→45	47→45	46	195/269/321	126	268	13	5	31%	9%	68	-1.0	226/287/344	118	301	12	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	231/291/344	113	305	11	4	27%	7%	78	-0.2
●Justin Yurchak 2021 · A	24	47→57	41→40	44→40	46	227/285/332	105	286	8	4	23%	7%	75	-0.5	269/334/373	104	336	9	4	21%	8%	102	+1.5	269/340/366	97	331	9	2	20%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/274/317	106	277	8	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	216/305/312	96	290	6	10	25%	9%	79	-0.2	208/311/302	94	281	5	10	24%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2009 · AAA	25	45	44→40	45	49	224/300/334	110	277	12	5	23%	8%	82	-0.0	232/300/334	102	288	9	6	22%	8%	81	-0.1	230/299/319	89	283	8	3	20%	8%	75	-0.2
✕Joe Sclafani 2014 · A	24	48	41→40	52→50	53	229/308/335	106	280	7	14	20%	9%	85	+0.2	254/315/331	77	307	4	11	17%	8%	85	+0.2	278/333/337	59	331	2	10	16%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	41→39	42→45	46→55	56	196/304/308	112	272	9	11	28%	13%	78	-0.3	197/295/308	111	251	10	20	24%	12%	75	-0.5	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Juan Gutierrez 2006 · A	24	48	41→40	47→30	50	230/296/329	99	290	8	4	22%	8%	78	-0.3	208/262/309	101	260	10	5	23%	7%	61	-1.5	168/215/256	88	198	10	0	22%	5%	30	-1.5
✕Cooper Hummel 2019 · A	24	41→49	42→50	45→55	48	197/289/301	104	281	9	5	31%	10%	71	-0.8	217/310/353	136	291	14	6	28%	10%	91	+0.6	215/328/356	141	293	12	19	28%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Luis Lara 2018 · A	23	46	44→45	51→45	48	225/284/349	124	272	11	6	21%	7%	78	-0.3	200/266/274	74	283	5	5	28%	8%	55	-2.0	157/235/176	18	232	0	2	29%	9%	19	-1.4
✕Louis Ott 2008 · A	23	47→48	39→30	45	45	225/288/305	81	300	6	8	26%	7%	70	-0.8	228/301/297	69	326	4	7	28%	9%	73	-0.6	228/307/282	54	330	3	6	29%	10%	69	-0.5
✕Colin Walsh 2014 · AA	24	47→53	44→45	52→50	51	227/300/348	121	281	10	8	22%	9%	84	+0.2	233/316/336	103	322	8	8	27%	10%	88	+0.4	220/327/339	119	312	10	7	29%	13%	91	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps