Rafe Perich — OGILVIE

Rafe Perich3B Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 24 S/R 6'1" / 225 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION327 act + 218 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .306 / .400

PA218

HR7

K%28

BB%9

BABIP297

ISO169

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$10M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.6M
2035	Arb-3	$7M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$31M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	28	3	1	0	0	5	11	0	0	0	107	242	143	385	36	176	33	15	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	25	3	1	0	0	8	8	0	0	0	120	333	160	493	40	176	24	24	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	398	357	68	10	1	4	33	115	4	7	0	190	266	258	524	67	264	29	8	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	398	333	77	13	1	6	57	82	4	7	0	231	350	330	681	99	285	21	14	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	TEX	—	327	295	77	15	4	18	28	93	3	7	4	261	331	522	853	261	319	28	9	358	132	+12	-0	+0	+1	+9	2.3
YTD	24	A+	TEX	—	327	281	88	19	4	21	42	71	3	7	4	313	408	633	1.041	320	353	22	13	446	200	+37	-0	+0	+1	+9	4.8
ROS	24	A+	TEX	0%	218	195	45	8	2	7	19	61	2	4	2	231	306	400	706	169	293	28	9	312	97	-1	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.6
ROS	24	MLB	TEX	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						294	0	0	307	93	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	A+	TEX	—	328	296	77	15	4	18	28	93	3	7	4	260	330	520	851	260	317	28	9	358	132	+12	-0	+0	+1	+9	2.3
TOT	24	A+	TEX	—	545	490	122	23	6	25	47	154	5	11	6	249	321	473	795	224	310	28	9	340	118	+11	-0	+0	+2	+15	2.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	TEX	30%	559	501	116	22	4	18	49	155	4	8	3	232	305	399	704	168	292	28	9	311	96	-2	+0	+0	+2	+16	1.6
2028	26	MLB	TEX	44%	574	514	119	22	4	19	50	156	5	9	3	232	306	401	707	169	292	27	9	313	98	-2	+1	+0	+2	+16	1.8
2029	27	MLB	TEX	49%	580	519	121	23	4	19	51	157	5	9	3	233	308	403	711	170	292	27	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+2	+16	1.8
2030	28	MLB	TEX	52%	579	517	120	22	4	19	52	157	5	9	3	232	308	400	709	168	292	27	9	313	97	-2	+1	-1	+2	+16	1.7
2031	29	MLB	TEX	51%	574	512	117	22	3	18	52	157	5	8	3	229	306	389	694	160	291	27	9	311	96	-3	+0	-1	+2	+16	1.5
2032	30	MLB	TEX	51%	567	506	115	21	3	18	51	156	5	8	3	227	304	387	692	160	289	28	9	308	94	-4	+0	-2	+2	+16	1.3
2033	31	MLB	TEX	51%	558	499	112	21	3	17	50	155	4	8	3	224	300	381	681	156	286	28	9	303	90	-6	+0	-3	+2	+16	1.0
2034	32	MLB	TEX	56%	549	491	108	20	3	16	49	155	4	7	3	220	296	371	667	151	283	28	9	298	86	-9	+0	-4	+2	+16	0.6
2035	33	MLB	TEX	59%	474	425	90	16	2	13	42	136	4	6	2	212	289	351	639	139	278	29	9	291	81	-10	+0	-4	+2	+13	0.1
2036	34	MLB	TEX	54%	401	359	75	13	2	11	36	118	3	4	2	209	286	348	635	139	272	29	9	282	74	-12	+0	-5	+1	+11	-0.4
2027	25	MLB	TEX	30%	169	151	36	7	1	6	15	47	1	3	1	238	311	417	729	179	294	28	9	307	93	-1	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.4
2028	26	MLB	TEX	44%	254	228	53	10	2	8	22	69	2	4	1	232	306	399	705	167	294	27	9	309	94	-2	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.7
2029	27	MLB	TEX	49%	284	255	59	11	2	9	25	77	2	4	2	231	305	396	701	165	294	27	9	309	95	-2	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.7
2030	28	MLB	TEX	52%	298	266	63	12	2	10	27	81	3	5	2	237	314	410	724	173	293	27	9	308	94	-2	+0	-0	+1	+8	0.7
2031	29	MLB	TEX	51%	296	265	61	11	2	10	27	81	2	4	2	230	306	400	706	170	292	27	9	306	93	-3	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.6
2032	30	MLB	TEX	51%	292	262	60	11	2	9	26	80	2	4	2	229	303	389	693	160	291	27	9	303	90	-3	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.5
2033	31	MLB	TEX	51%	287	257	59	11	2	9	26	80	2	4	1	230	305	393	698	163	288	28	9	299	87	-4	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.4
2034	32	MLB	TEX	56%	306	274	61	11	2	9	27	86	2	4	1	223	297	376	673	153	284	28	9	294	83	-6	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.2
2035	33	MLB	TEX	59%	278	249	53	9	1	8	25	80	2	3	1	213	290	353	643	141	280	29	9	287	78	-7	+0	-2	+1	+8	-0.0
2036	34	MLB	TEX	54%	217	194	41	7	1	6	19	64	2	2	1	211	288	351	639	139	273	29	9	278	71	-7	+0	-3	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2682	2402	546	100	17	84	239	745	20	37	14	227	303	388	691	161	292	28	9	300	88	-37	+2	-11	+10	+76	4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	132	24	4	20	58	181	5	9	3	227	302	385	687	158	292	28	9	300	88	-9	+1	-3	+2	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	6064	5423	1209	221	35	179	539	1689	50	87	30	223	299	376	675	153	287	28	9	300	88	-82	+5	-20	+22	+172	9.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	130	24	4	19	58	181	5	9	3	224	300	377	677	153	288	28	9	300	88	-9	+1	-2	+2	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	25	3	1	0	0	8	8	0	0	120	333	160	493	40	176	24	24	263	59	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	23	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	146	124	25	3	0	2	21	30	1	2	202	322	274	596	73	250	21	14	284	76	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	23	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	252	209	52	10	1	4	36	52	3	5	249	367	364	731	115	306	21	14	332	112	+3	+1	—	—	+7	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#4Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA	6	3,150	86	34	246	304	402	-0	+23	9.7	9.7
	/162	664	18	7	246	304	402	-0.0	+4.9	2.1	pk7: 10
#5Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,684	82	37	226	298	384	+10	+2	5.4	5.2
	/162	664	20	9	226	298	384	+2.4	+0.6	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafe Perich (OGILVIE)	24	40	30	45	55	249/321/473	224	310	25	11	28%	9%	118	+2.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leo Rivas 2021 · A	23	38→48	40	48→65	44	185/262/277	92	285	7	8	35%	9%	49	-1.8	218/297/305	87	301	7	22	27%	9%	70	-0.3	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Jose Herrera 2021 · A	24	43	41→40	47→40	50	209/287/310	100	280	8	5	27%	10%	68	-0.5	214/287/309	95	287	9	5	27%	9%	66	-0.6	207/283/288	81	273	8	3	26%	9%	57	-0.6
✕Jose Morales 2007 · AA	24	41→51	40	47→30	41	202/252/295	93	263	7	6	26%	5%	48	-1.9	264/305/349	85	313	5	4	16%	5%	84	+0.6	296/338/373	78	342	4	1	14%	5%	100	+1.0
✕Elih Marrero 2021 · A	24	43	39→40	49→55	44	209/265/293	84	274	6	7	25%	7%	53	-1.5	210/281/284	74	303	4	21	29%	8%	58	-1.2	201/279/263	62	296	3	27	30%	9%	50	-0.6
✕Louis Ott 2008 · A	23	47→48	39→30	45	45	225/288/305	81	300	6	8	26%	7%	66	-0.6	228/301/296	68	327	4	7	28%	9%	69	-0.4	228/307/282	54	330	3	6	29%	10%	65	-0.4
●Cooper Hummel 2019 · A	24	39→49	41→50	45→55	48	188/283/289	101	272	9	5	32%	10%	62	-0.9	212/308/354	142	288	16	6	30%	10%	89	+0.9	222/332/370	148	300	12	19	27%	12%	99	+1.1
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Noe Becerra 2011 · AAA	24	44	41→30	45→40	46	216/269/309	93	264	9	9	22%	7%	59	-1.1	232/278/315	83	267	6	6	15%	5%	63	-0.8	274/319/333	59	310	3	0	12%	5%	84	+0.2
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2015 · A	23	45	42→40	44→55	49	217/291/322	105	276	9	10	24%	8%	72	-0.2	217/271/300	83	294	6	8	27%	6%	57	-1.2	213/265/281	67	285	5	7	26%	5%	45	-0.8
✕Terrin Vavra 2021 · A	24	45→44	41→45	47→50	47	217/272/316	99	263	8	12	21%	7%	62	-0.9	245/319/353	108	323	8	11	24%	9%	92	+1.2	262/341/368	106	345	7	11	24%	9%	100	+0.6
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/275/316	105	277	8	8	26%	7%	63	-0.8	210/302/302	92	286	5	10	26%	9%	72	-0.2	196/303/283	87	270	4	10	26%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Drew Millas 2023 · AA	25	44	40→45	49→50	50	211/291/304	94	290	7	11	28%	10%	67	-0.5	238/301/356	118	292	11	14	21%	8%	85	+0.7	249/306/373	124	288	12	17	18%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Alsander Womack 2023 · A	24	48→43	43→40	44→45	47	238/297/340	103	293	12	7	23%	7%	79	+0.3	217/281/301	84	281	9	9	24%	7%	63	-0.9	205/273/275	71	264	8	8	24%	7%	50	-0.9
✕Joe Sclafani 2014 · A	24	46→45	40	52→50	51	218/297/316	98	272	6	14	21%	9%	73	-0.1	252/313/328	76	307	4	11	18%	8%	82	+0.5	279/336/340	61	333	2	10	16%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2013 · A	24	43	36→30	46→40	53	198/292/268	70	276	3	7	27%	11%	59	-1.1	195/288/272	77	280	6	7	29%	11%	59	-1.1	161/272/222	60	234	6	4	30%	12%	39	-0.7
✕Jacob Stallings 2014 · A	24	38→48	41→45	46→40	48	187/276/290	103	260	7	5	29%	9%	59	-1.1	205/260/297	92	286	7	5	29%	6%	52	-1.6	252/332/387	135	306	14	0	21%	10%	102	+0.9
✕Joseph Rosa 2021 · A	24	43→44	39→40	43→50	42	205/269/287	83	288	6	9	30%	7%	54	-1.4	211/277/318	107	313	9	17	33%	7%	65	-0.7	200/276/299	99	306	8	21	34%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Patrick Bailey 2023 · A	24	39→49	45	47→45	46	196/270/318	122	268	13	5	31%	9%	63	-0.9	229/290/349	120	305	12	5	27%	8%	79	+0.3	235/295/351	116	311	12	4	27%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A	23	43	38→30	48→40	51	205/292/282	77	270	6	7	25%	10%	63	-0.8	226/312/290	64	313	3	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	233/324/284	51	328	2	2	26%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2008 · AAA	24	43	40→45	44→45	46	211/269/301	90	260	8	7	22%	6%	57	-1.2	230/300/347	117	285	12	6	23%	8%	82	+0.5	234/306/341	107	287	11	4	21%	8%	81	+0.2