Rafe Perich3B
Hub City Spartanburgers
Age 24
S/R
6'1" / 225 lbs
A+
K +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.5 · 2029
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .288 / .323
PA312
HR6
SB5
K%28
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
30→30
SPD
45→45
EYE
50↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-1.0M | -$5M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 33 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .107 | .242 | .143 | .385 | .036 | .176 | 33 | 15 | .189 | 3 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 398 | 357 | 68 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 114 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .190 | .266 | .266 | .533 | .076 | .260 | 29 | 8 | .239 | 41 | -26 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +11 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 44 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .171 | .227 | .268 | .496 | .098 | .350 | 48 | 7 | .189 | 3 | -5 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TEX | 268 | 241 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 79 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .212 | .286 | .328 | .614 | .116 | .289 | 29 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | TEX | 312 | 282 | 58 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 100 | 2 | 5 | 2 | .206 | .277 | .319 | .597 | .113 | .298 | 32 | 8 | .262 | 59 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 10% | TEX | 345 | 308 | 67 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 84 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .218 | .295 | .341 | .636 | .123 | .275 | 24 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 25% | TEX | 390 | 348 | 76 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 95 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .218 | .297 | .342 | .639 | .124 | .277 | 24 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 43% | TEX | 409 | 364 | 81 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 100 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .223 | .303 | .352 | .655 | .129 | .278 | 24 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 52% | TEX | 418 | 372 | 82 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 102 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .220 | .301 | .347 | .648 | .126 | .278 | 24 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 63% | TEX | 415 | 369 | 81 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 103 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .220 | .301 | .347 | .648 | .127 | .277 | 25 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | TEX | 411 | 367 | 79 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 103 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .215 | .294 | .335 | .629 | .120 | .275 | 25 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 90% | TEX | 400 | 357 | 77 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 102 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .216 | .295 | .336 | .631 | .120 | .274 | 26 | 9 | .283 | 75 | -11 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 383 | 341 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 100 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .208 | .289 | .317 | .606 | .109 | .272 | 26 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -12 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 354 | 315 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 95 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .206 | .288 | .311 | .599 | .105 | .271 | 27 | 9 | .273 | 67 | -13 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 311 | 277 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 86 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .202 | .282 | .303 | .586 | .101 | .269 | 28 | 9 | .267 | 63 | -13 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +9 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4535 | 4044 | 857 | 145 | 30 | 86 | 417 | 1174 | 38 | 64 | 13 | .212 | .292 | .326 | .618 | .114 | .274 | 26 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -144 | +8 | -20 | +16 | +128 | -1.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 580 | 122 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 60 | 168 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .210 | .290 | .322 | .613 | .112 | .272 | 26 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -21 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | -0.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 33 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .120 | .333 | .160 | .493 | .040 | .176 | 24 | 24 | .263 | 59 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 146 | 124 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .202 | .322 | .274 | .596 | .073 | .250 | 21 | 14 | .284 | 76 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 252 | 209 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 52 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .249 | .367 | .364 | .731 | .115 | .306 | 21 | 14 | .332 | 112 | +3 | +1 | — | — | +7 | 1.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Rafe Perich (OGILVIE) | 24 | 40 | 30 | 45 | 55 | .212/.288/.323 | .111 | .284 | 6 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 72 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jose Herrera 2021 · A |
24 | 43 | 40 | 47→40 | 51 | .209/.287/.304 | .095 | .275 | 8 | 5 | 25% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.289/.310 | .095 | .290 | 9 | 5 | 27% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 | .210/.286/.290 | .080 | .278 | 8 | 3 | 26% | 9% | 58 | -0.5 |
|
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2015 · A |
23 | 45 | 42→40 | 44→55 | 51 | .221/.298/.326 | .105 | .274 | 9 | 10 | 22% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.276/.306 | .084 | .294 | 6 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .226/.279/.297 | .071 | .294 | 6 | 7 | 24% | 5% | 55 | -0.5 |
|
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A |
24 | 44 | 42→40 | 48→50 | 45 | .213/.275/.318 | .106 | .281 | 8 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .216/.308/.313 | .097 | .284 | 6 | 10 | 24% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .210/.315/.303 | .093 | .277 | 5 | 10 | 23% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Louis Ott 2008 · A |
23 | 47→48 | 38→30 | 47→45 | 45 | .222/.286/.300 | .078 | .296 | 6 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .228/.300/.296 | .068 | .325 | 4 | 7 | 28% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .228/.307/.282 | .054 | .331 | 3 | 6 | 29% | 10% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Elih Marrero 2021 · A |
24 | 44 | 38→40 | 49→55 | 45 | .209/.266/.289 | .080 | .272 | 5 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .214/.285/.291 | .077 | .307 | 4 | 20 | 29% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .207/.287/.272 | .066 | .304 | 3 | 27 | 30% | 10% | 55 | -0.5 |
|
✕Connor McVey 2019 · A |
24 | 45 | 40→30 | 46→50 | 45 | .214/.287/.304 | .090 | .311 | 7 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .205/.305/.281 | .076 | .291 | 6 | 9 | 29% | 10% | 69 | -0.4 | .188/.306/.248 | .060 | .265 | 6 | 9 | 28% | 12% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jan Vázquez 2015 · AA |
24 | 41 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 39 | .206/.262/.303 | .097 | .286 | 11 | 9 | 31% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .212/.282/.306 | .094 | .294 | 8 | 8 | 29% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .217/.296/.306 | .089 | .289 | 8 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Greg Cullen 2021 · A |
24 | 44→42 | 41→40 | 42→40 | 48 | .215/.292/.315 | .100 | .268 | 8 | 3 | 22% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .229/.319/.338 | .109 | .306 | 11 | 4 | 26% | 10% | 89 | +0.9 | .232/.336/.332 | .100 | .317 | 11 | 4 | 27% | 12% | 91 | +0.4 |
|
✕Joe Sclafani 2014 · A |
24 | 47 | 41→40 | 52→50 | 52 | .225/.304/.328 | .103 | .277 | 7 | 14 | 20% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .252/.313/.330 | .078 | .305 | 4 | 11 | 17% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .277/.332/.337 | .060 | .330 | 2 | 10 | 16% | 7% | 87 | +0.5 |
|
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A |
23 | 43 | 39→30 | 48→40 | 49 | .206/.285/.289 | .084 | .266 | 7 | 7 | 24% | 9% | 62 | -0.9 | .224/.308/.287 | .063 | .307 | 4 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .233/.323/.283 | .051 | .326 | 2 | 2 | 26% | 8% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A |
24 | 40→39 | 43→45 | 46→55 | 54 | .196/.296/.310 | .114 | .268 | 9 | 11 | 28% | 12% | 72 | -0.2 | .198/.295/.313 | .115 | .254 | 11 | 19 | 24% | 12% | 72 | -0.2 | .200/.299/.321 | .122 | .247 | 12 | 27 | 23% | 12% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Patrick Bailey 2023 · A |
24 | 39→49 | 46→45 | 47→45 | 45 | .199/.271/.326 | .128 | .273 | 14 | 6 | 31% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .223/.284/.340 | .117 | .298 | 12 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .229/.288/.338 | .110 | .303 | 11 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Oliver Dominguez 2013 · A |
24 | 42 | 40 | 50→45 | 47 | .202/.275/.299 | .097 | .279 | 7 | 11 | 29% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.260/.301 | .099 | .295 | 8 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .166/.212/.254 | .088 | .236 | 9 | 0 | 33% | 5% | 19 | -0.9 |
|
✕Jackson Brennan 2007 · A |
24 | 47→42 | 42→45 | 46→50 | 48 | .223/.311/.332 | .110 | .296 | 9 | 10 | 26% | 9% | 84 | +0.6 | .210/.302/.309 | .099 | .287 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .195/.295/.281 | .087 | .270 | 7 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Joseph Rosa 2021 · A |
24 | 42→43 | 38→40 | 43→50 | 42 | .202/.265/.279 | .078 | .281 | 6 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .213/.280/.324 | .111 | .312 | 10 | 17 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .204/.282/.310 | .106 | .308 | 9 | 21 | 34% | 8% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Juan Gutierrez 2006 · A |
24 | 47 | 41→40 | 47→30 | 48 | .225/.286/.325 | .100 | .280 | 8 | 5 | 22% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .204/.256/.306 | .102 | .251 | 10 | 4 | 22% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .164/.208/.254 | .090 | .191 | 11 | 0 | 21% | 5% | 17 | -1.6 |
|
✕Matty Johnson 2012 · A |
24 | 48→54 | 38→40 | 46→55 | 45 | .225/.283/.301 | .076 | .298 | 5 | 11 | 25% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .232/.285/.306 | .074 | .291 | 3 | 16 | 20% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .242/.299/.314 | .072 | .301 | 2 | 23 | 19% | 6% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Victor Cruzado 2016 · AA |
24 | 46→47 | 40 | 45 | 48 | .220/.284/.322 | .102 | .288 | 6 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .219/.283/.312 | .093 | .294 | 8 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.281/.299 | .084 | .287 | 9 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 58 | -0.7 |
|
✕Phil Clarke 2022 · A |
24 | 46 | 42→40 | 45 | 46 | .222/.295/.327 | .105 | .277 | 9 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .222/.303/.315 | .093 | .268 | 9 | 6 | 19% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .233/.317/.316 | .083 | .266 | 8 | 7 | 15% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Elian Herrera 2009 · A |
24 | 44→54 | 39→40 | 46→60 | 43 | .212/.274/.302 | .091 | .293 | 6 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .227/.284/.306 | .079 | .321 | 5 | 26 | 28% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .239/.304/.323 | .084 | .324 | 3 | 27 | 25% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 |