Dawry Guerrero

SS DSL Padres Gold

Age 19 S/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKDSL Padres Go…	154	.209/.401/.270	0	4	36	—	.136/.289/.176
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLB—	264	.209/.297/.282	2	6	68	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	74	.213/.302/.296	1	2	73	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLB—	167	.217/.305/.309	2	4	77	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%90

BB%88

Speed61

Whiff%59

K%56

Z-Con%47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJavier Herrera (age 19) · Thayron Liranzo (age 19) · Luis Alexander Basabe (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 128 proj PA

wRC+68

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .295 / .279

PA128

HR1

K%26

BB%10

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	154	115	24	1	3	0	34	31	3	4	1	209	401	270	671	61	282	20	22	326	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	154	125	17	1	2	0	24	38	3	4	1	136	289	176	465	40	181	25	16	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	154	125	17	1	2	0	24	38	3	4	1	136	289	176	465	40	193	25	16	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	154	115	24	1	3	0	34	31	3	4	1	209	401	270	671	61	282	20	22	326	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	154	126	17	1	2	0	24	38	3	4	1	135	289	175	464	40	181	25	16	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	154	126	17	1	2	0	24	38	3	4	1	135	289	175	464	40	181	25	16	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	264	233	49	6	3	2	26	70	3	6	2	209	297	282	579	73	287	27	10	268	68	-10	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	215	189	40	5	2	2	21	56	3	5	2	213	302	296	598	83	289	26	10	276	73	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	48%	344	303	66	9	4	4	34	89	4	9	3	217	305	309	614	92	290	26	10	282	77	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	54%	437	385	85	11	5	6	43	111	6	12	4	220	308	320	628	99	291	25	10	287	80	-10	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	57%	500	441	98	14	5	7	49	126	6	14	4	223	310	329	639	106	292	25	10	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	540	475	108	15	6	9	53	135	7	15	5	226	312	337	649	112	293	25	10	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	564	497	113	16	6	10	55	141	7	15	5	227	313	340	653	114	293	25	10	296	87	-9	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	577	508	115	16	6	10	57	145	7	16	5	227	313	342	655	116	293	25	10	297	87	-9	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	580	511	115	16	6	10	57	146	7	16	5	226	312	340	652	114	293	25	10	296	86	-9	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	577	508	115	16	6	10	57	147	7	15	5	224	310	335	645	111	292	25	10	293	85	-11	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	569	502	111	15	6	9	56	146	6	14	6	222	307	329	637	108	291	26	10	290	82	-12	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.6
2038	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	559	494	108	15	5	8	54	145	6	14	6	219	304	322	626	103	289	26	10	286	79	-14	+0	-2	+6	+12	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	—	57%	546	483	104	14	5	8	52	144	6	13	7	215	299	312	612	98	287	26	10	280	75	-16	-0	-3	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	74	66	15	2	1	1	7	19	1	2	1	213	302	296	598	83	289	26	9	276	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	48%	167	146	32	4	2	2	17	43	2	4	1	217	305	309	614	92	290	26	10	282	77	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	54%	237	209	46	6	3	3	23	60	3	6	2	220	308	320	628	99	291	25	10	287	80	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	57%	283	249	56	8	3	4	28	71	4	8	2	223	310	329	639	106	292	25	10	291	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	305	268	61	9	3	5	30	76	4	8	3	226	312	337	649	112	293	25	10	295	86	-5	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	319	281	63	9	3	5	31	80	4	9	3	227	313	340	653	114	293	25	10	296	87	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	326	287	65	9	3	6	32	82	4	9	3	227	313	342	655	116	293	25	10	297	87	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	322	283	64	9	3	6	32	81	4	9	3	226	312	340	652	114	293	25	10	296	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	317	279	62	9	3	5	31	81	4	8	3	224	310	335	645	111	292	26	10	293	85	-6	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	304	268	59	8	3	5	30	78	3	8	3	222	307	329	637	108	291	26	10	290	82	-6	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	294	260	57	8	3	4	29	77	3	7	3	219	304	322	626	103	289	26	10	286	79	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	—	57%	309	273	59	8	3	4	30	82	3	7	4	215	299	312	612	98	287	27	10	280	75	-9	-0	-2	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3257	2869	639	89	33	50	320	830	39	85	31	223	309	329	638	106	293	25	10	291	81	-67	+5	-4	+35	+71	4.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	128	18	7	10	64	166	8	17	6	223	311	332	642	108	294	26	10	291	81	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	6290	5534	1219	166	66	94	625	1603	76	165	59	220	308	325	633	105	291	25	10	288	81	-130	+9	-7	+66	+133	7.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	126	17	7	10	65	166	8	17	6	220	309	327	635	107	291	26	10	288	81	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,384	51	88	223	306	329	+36	+21	6.4	5.8
/162	664	10	17	+7.1	+4.1	1.3	pk7: 5
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dawry Guerrero (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	207/295/279	72	287	1	3	26%	10%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2016 · A	19	41→45	37→45	53→50	49	193/276/274	81	272	2	12	28%	9%	59	-1.7	206/262/321	115	307	9	14	34%	7%	63	-1.3	199/269/311	112	312	11	14	37%	8%	62	-0.8
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Harold Garcia 2006 · A	19	42→52	37→45	49→55	43	197/267/273	76	272	3	10	27%	6%	55	-1.9	203/285/289	86	252	5	11	20%	7%	67	-1.1	253/305/360	108	338	8	26	26%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	42→52	34→40	51→50	47	195/267/246	51	274	2	11	28%	8%	49	-2.4	210/263/256	46	284	1	12	25%	6%	49	-2.4	252/303/348	96	305	4	12	18%	7%	82	+0.0
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	44→54	37→45	51→50	49	208/286/276	68	285	4	12	26%	9%	63	-1.3	249/303/357	108	317	7	11	22%	7%	86	+0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Emil Turbi 2024 · A	19	44	37→40	50	50	201/292/280	79	280	2	12	26%	10%	67	-1.1	185/261/244	59	329	2	9	40%	8%	47	-2.6	139/215/159	21	300	0	9	49%	7%	9	-1.0
✕Cole Tucker 2015 · A	19	45→51	37→45	50→55	45	212/276/286	75	285	5	13	26%	7%	61	-1.5	233/279/311	78	310	4	18	24%	6%	67	-1.1	230/292/338	108	300	7	25	24%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Riley Unroe 2015 · A	19	39→47	37→45	47→55	46	189/257/263	74	257	4	8	27%	8%	49	-2.4	200/264/264	64	286	4	10	29%	8%	51	-2.2	218/301/329	112	292	11	26	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	36→46	37→45	50→55	46	176/242/253	76	228	4	12	24%	7%	41	-3.0	231/280/336	105	295	5	13	22%	6%	74	-0.6	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	40→46	40→45	50→55	58	188/306/284	96	264	6	16	28%	14%	74	-0.5	205/300/295	90	282	5	20	26%	11%	74	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	37	36→45	53→55	50	177/255/242	65	229	3	14	23%	9%	44	-2.8	224/287/320	96	315	6	19	28%	7%	73	-0.6	208/269/327	119	312	11	21	35%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Victor Acosta 2023 · A	19	40→45	39→40	50	47	192/277/282	90	267	6	15	28%	8%	61	-1.5	194/279/270	76	279	3	11	29%	8%	59	-1.6	188/274/265	77	265	4	13	28%	7%	55	-1.1
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	44→48	37→50	54→65	53	203/294/283	80	276	3	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	206/284/334	128	307	12	34	34%	9%	76	-0.4	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
●Ronny Simon 2019 · A	19	40→50	36→50	47→60	46	190/268/261	71	256	3	11	25%	8%	53	-2.1	201/265/313	112	253	8	14	23%	7%	63	-1.3	273/337/383	110	340	8	30	21%	8%	103	+1.3

Dawry Guerrero

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps