Santiago Martinez

SS DSL Astros Blue

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1021ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	168	.270/.461/.303	0	17	62	—	.187/.339/.209
2026	18	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	208	.231/.388/.338	2	20	38	—	.142/.279/.195
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBHOU	318	.211/.295/.283	2	8	67	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBHOU	55	.219/.303/.304	1	1	73	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBHOU	129	.223/.307/.317	2	3	78	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%90

Z-Con%90

Speed90

K%83

Chase%81

ISO44

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCristofer Torin (age 19) · Dubal Baez (age 19) · José Mejía (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 110 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .293 / .281

PA110

HR1

K%24

BB%9

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	122	33	4	0	0	39	27	4	17	8	270	461	303	764	33	337	16	23	366	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	208	160	37	7	2	2	28	30	13	20	4	231	388	338	726	106	263	14	13	332	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	134	25	3	0	0	27	34	4	17	8	187	339	209	548	22	226	20	16	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	208	169	24	4	1	1	19	37	13	20	4	142	279	195	474	53	163	18	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	134	25	3	0	0	27	34	4	17	8	187	339	209	548	22	243	20	16	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	122	33	4	0	0	39	27	4	17	8	270	461	303	764	33	337	16	23	366	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	208	169	24	4	1	1	19	37	13	20	4	142	279	195	474	53	169	18	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	208	160	37	7	2	2	28	30	13	20	4	231	388	338	726	106	263	14	13	332	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	135	25	3	0	0	27	34	4	17	8	185	339	207	547	22	226	20	16	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	208	174	24	4	1	1	19	37	13	20	4	138	279	190	468	52	163	18	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	135	25	3	0	0	27	34	4	17	8	185	339	207	547	22	226	20	16	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	208	174	24	4	1	1	19	37	13	20	4	138	279	190	468	52	163	18	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	318	281	60	10	2	2	28	75	6	8	1	211	295	283	579	72	278	24	9	268	67	-12	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	159	141	31	5	1	2	14	37	3	4	1	216	301	300	600	83	280	23	9	276	73	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	267	236	51	8	2	3	24	62	5	7	1	220	305	313	618	93	282	23	9	283	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	374	331	74	12	3	5	33	86	7	9	2	224	308	324	632	101	283	23	9	289	81	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	443	393	89	15	3	7	39	102	8	11	2	226	310	333	643	107	285	23	9	293	84	-8	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2032	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	485	431	97	16	3	8	43	111	8	12	3	229	311	340	652	112	286	23	9	296	86	-8	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	511	451	103	17	3	9	46	117	9	13	3	229	312	342	654	113	286	23	9	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	525	464	106	18	3	9	47	120	9	13	3	229	312	343	654	114	286	23	9	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	527	466	106	18	3	9	47	121	9	13	3	228	311	340	651	112	285	23	9	296	86	-9	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	523	462	104	17	3	9	47	122	9	12	3	226	309	336	645	109	285	23	9	293	84	-10	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	512	453	102	17	3	8	46	120	8	11	3	224	306	330	636	106	284	23	9	290	82	-11	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	HOU	60%	500	444	99	16	3	8	44	119	8	10	3	221	303	322	625	101	282	24	9	285	79	-12	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	HOU	62%	483	430	94	15	3	7	42	117	8	8	3	217	298	313	611	96	279	24	9	279	75	-14	+0	-3	+5	+10	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	55	49	11	2	0	1	5	13	1	1	0	219	303	304	607	85	284	24	9	279	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	129	115	26	4	1	2	11	30	2	3	1	223	307	317	624	94	286	23	9	286	78	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	203	179	40	7	1	3	18	47	4	5	1	226	310	328	638	102	287	23	9	291	81	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	251	223	51	9	2	4	22	58	4	6	1	229	312	337	649	108	289	23	9	295	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	274	243	57	10	2	5	24	63	5	7	1	231	314	344	657	112	290	23	9	298	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	289	256	59	10	2	5	26	66	5	7	2	232	314	345	659	114	290	23	9	299	87	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	297	263	61	11	2	5	27	68	5	7	2	232	314	346	660	114	290	23	9	299	87	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	292	259	59	10	2	5	26	67	5	7	2	231	313	343	657	113	290	23	9	298	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	287	254	59	10	2	5	26	67	5	6	2	229	311	339	650	110	289	23	9	295	84	-5	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	297	264	60	10	2	5	26	70	5	6	2	227	309	333	642	106	288	24	9	292	82	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	HOU	60%	301	266	59	10	2	4	27	72	5	6	2	224	305	326	631	102	286	24	9	288	79	-7	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	HOU	62%	298	265	59	10	2	4	26	72	5	5	2	220	300	316	617	96	283	24	9	282	75	-9	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2973	2636	601	103	20	48	264	693	51	66	18	228	310	337	647	109	290	23	9	293	80	-60	+6	-4	+32	+64	3.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	131	23	4	10	58	152	11	14	4	227	310	333	643	106	290	23	9	293	80	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5795	5102	1126	184	35	86	528	1331	110	163	42	221	307	321	628	100	279	23	9	287	80	-113	+13	-7	+58	+117	7.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	127	21	4	10	59	149	12	18	5	222	307	325	633	103	281	23	9	287	80	-13	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Astros Blue · 208 PAwOBA .330 → .224 (−107)K% 14.4% → 17.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.42%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	17.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.98%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	9.04%
HBP% /PA	6.25%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	4.35%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	12.86%
Doubles /BIP	5.38%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	3.05%
Triples /BIP	1.54%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.87%
Home runs /BIP	1.54%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.72%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .330 → .224; ISO .106 → .062; BABIP .263 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Astros Blue · 168 PAwOBA .365 → .260 (−105)K% 16.1% → 20.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.07%	÷0.976	×1.220	—	—	20.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	23.21%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×1.008	15.96%
HBP% /PA	2.38%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.68%
Singles /BIP	30.53%	÷0.996	×0.680	×0.987	×1.008	20.73%
Doubles /BIP	4.21%	÷0.997	×0.600	×0.987	×1.008	2.52%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.959	×0.600	×0.987	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.938	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 99, 2B 99, 3B 92, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .365 → .260; ISO .033 → .022; BABIP .337 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.6	3,083	49	70	225	305	331	+33	+24	6.1	5.5
/162	664	10	15	+7.1	+5.2	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Martinez (OGILVIE)	19	45	20	60	60	210/293/281	71	278	1	3	24%	9%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	44	34→30	52→60	50	201/303/251	50	270	2	16	24%	9%	66	-1.1	204/286/251	47	269	1	19	22%	8%	58	-1.7	200/279/232	31	261	0	26	21%	8%	48	-0.7
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	43	36→40	54→55	48	199/259/271	71	239	3	14	17%	6%	51	-2.3	231/283/301	70	265	2	14	13%	5%	66	-1.1	281/326/362	81	310	5	22	11%	5%	93	+0.3
✕Braulio Vasquez 2018 · A	19	47	34→40	52→65	44	215/281/268	53	304	1	15	28%	7%	59	-1.7	198/257/271	73	304	5	8	34%	6%	51	-2.3	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Gregory Barrios 2023 · A	19	43→51	34→30	56→60	45	202/259/252	50	258	1	14	21%	6%	47	-2.6	210/254/267	57	258	2	25	18%	5%	47	-2.5	232/270/287	55	276	2	39	16%	4%	55	-1.3
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jermaine Palacios 2015 · A	19	42→50	36→45	55→50	53	194/287/270	75	252	1	13	22%	10%	63	-1.4	231/274/324	93	290	5	10	21%	5%	68	-1.0	241/273/344	103	303	7	10	22%	3%	70	-0.5
✕Erick Torres 2024 · A	19	44	36→30	53→50	47	209/272/282	74	262	3	15	21%	7%	59	-1.7	211/271/270	59	265	3	14	20%	7%	55	-1.9	213/271/263	50	265	3	15	20%	6%	51	-1.6
✕Jesus Hernandez 2023 · A	19	42	35→40	52→55	50	200/266/258	58	248	3	15	20%	8%	51	-2.3	194/274/273	79	271	5	15	28%	10%	58	-1.7	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Kenneth Betancourt 2019 · A	19	44→51	35→30	54→50	44	205/251/270	65	258	2	15	21%	6%	47	-2.6	193/234/253	60	270	2	9	28%	5%	36	-3.3	239/279/298	59	308	3	9	23%	5%	61	-0.7
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	42→45	37→40	55→60	49	196/284/271	75	254	4	13	23%	8%	62	-1.4	189/256/252	63	311	4	20	37%	6%	47	-2.6	200/271/277	77	308	7	32	35%	7%	56	-1.4
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Andruw Monasterio 2016 · A	19	43→53	36→45	53→55	48	202/265/267	65	246	3	13	19%	7%	52	-2.2	213/267/272	59	274	2	10	21%	6%	54	-2.0	241/316/348	107	322	9	15	26%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jesus Galindo 2010 · A	19	42→50	34→30	55→65	51	192/290/246	54	275	1	19	28%	10%	59	-1.6	200/284/251	51	263	1	32	22%	9%	57	-1.8	233/284/297	64	318	2	38	25%	5%	63	-0.8
✕Ruben Santana 2023 · A	18	45→41	36→40	57→50	50	208/295/280	72	287	3	16	26%	10%	68	-1.0	199/271/282	83	306	5	10	34%	8%	59	-1.7	181/257/261	79	289	6	10	36%	8%	47	-1.6
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1

Santiago Martinez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps