Santiago Martinez

Santiago MartinezSS DSL Astros Blue

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION208 act + 19 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .316 / .250

PA19

HR0

K%21

BB%11

BABIP260

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$35M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$13M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	122	33	4	0	0	39	27	4	17	8	270	461	303	764	33	337	16	23	366	134	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	137	28	3	0	0	24	40	4	17	8	204	339	226	566	22	270	24	14	269	68	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	137	28	3	0	0	24	40	4	17	8	204	339	226	566	22	280	24	14	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	122	33	4	0	0	39	27	4	17	8	270	461	303	764	33	337	16	23	366	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	138	28	3	0	0	24	40	4	17	8	203	339	225	564	22	270	24	14	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	138	28	3	0	0	24	40	4	17	8	203	339	225	564	22	270	24	14	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	HOU	—	208	171	30	5	1	2	17	43	13	20	4	175	299	251	550	76	214	21	8	244	51	-12	+2	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	HOU	—	208	160	37	7	2	2	28	30	13	20	4	231	388	338	726	106	263	14	13	332	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	HOU	0%	19	16	3	1	0	0	2	4	1	1	0	188	316	250	566	62	258	21	11	267	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	HOU	—	227	187	33	6	1	2	19	47	14	21	4	176	300	251	551	75	217	21	8	246	53	-13	+3	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	262	230	48	8	2	3	23	58	7	7	2	209	300	300	600	91	262	22	9	276	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	385	338	72	13	2	6	34	85	10	10	2	213	304	317	620	104	266	22	9	286	79	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	477	419	91	16	3	8	43	104	12	12	3	217	308	327	635	110	268	22	9	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2030	22	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	540	473	104	18	3	10	48	117	14	14	3	220	310	334	644	114	270	22	9	296	86	-9	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	583	510	114	20	4	11	53	125	15	15	3	224	315	343	658	120	271	21	9	298	88	-8	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	611	535	120	21	4	12	55	131	16	15	3	224	315	346	661	121	271	21	9	300	89	-8	+2	+0	+7	+13	1.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	627	549	122	21	4	12	57	134	16	16	3	222	314	341	654	118	272	21	9	301	90	-8	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	HOU	60%	634	554	125	22	4	13	58	135	17	16	3	226	318	350	668	125	271	21	9	301	90	-8	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	HOU	62%	633	553	125	22	4	13	58	135	17	16	3	226	318	351	669	125	271	21	9	301	90	-7	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	HOU	63%	629	549	122	21	4	12	59	135	16	15	3	222	316	341	656	118	271	21	9	300	89	-8	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	618	539	120	21	4	12	58	134	16	14	3	223	316	343	660	121	270	22	9	299	88	-9	+2	-1	+7	+13	1.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	608	530	116	20	4	11	57	134	16	14	3	219	313	334	647	115	269	22	9	296	87	-10	+2	-2	+7	+13	1.0
2039	31	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	594	518	112	19	3	11	56	132	15	13	3	216	311	328	639	112	267	22	9	292	84	-11	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.7
2040	32	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	575	501	107	18	3	10	54	130	15	12	3	214	309	321	630	108	264	23	9	287	80	-13	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.3
2041	33	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	545	475	99	16	3	9	51	126	14	11	2	208	304	312	615	103	261	23	9	281	76	-15	+1	-4	+6	+12	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	90	80	17	3	1	1	8	20	2	3	1	212	300	312	613	100	264	22	9	258	73	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	187	163	35	6	1	3	17	41	5	5	1	215	308	319	627	104	268	22	9	267	79	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	259	227	50	9	2	4	23	56	7	7	1	220	311	330	642	110	270	22	9	273	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	306	268	60	11	2	5	27	66	8	8	2	224	314	336	649	112	272	22	9	277	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2031	23	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	336	294	66	12	2	6	30	72	9	8	2	224	315	340	655	116	273	21	9	280	88	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	348	304	69	12	2	7	32	74	9	9	2	227	319	349	668	122	273	21	9	281	89	-4	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	356	312	70	12	2	7	32	76	9	9	2	224	314	343	657	119	273	21	9	282	90	-4	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	HOU	60%	383	335	74	13	2	7	35	82	10	9	2	221	313	334	647	113	273	21	9	282	90	-5	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	HOU	62%	394	345	78	14	2	8	36	84	10	10	2	226	317	348	665	122	273	21	9	283	90	-5	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	HOU	63%	398	348	78	14	2	8	37	86	10	10	2	224	316	345	661	121	273	22	9	282	89	-5	+1	-0	+4	+9	0.9
2037	29	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	402	351	77	14	2	7	38	87	10	9	2	219	313	330	644	111	272	22	9	280	88	-6	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.8
2038	30	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	395	345	75	13	2	7	37	87	10	9	2	217	311	328	639	110	271	22	9	278	87	-6	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.6
2039	31	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	386	337	74	13	2	7	36	86	10	8	2	220	313	332	646	113	269	22	9	274	84	-7	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.4
2040	32	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	374	326	69	12	2	6	35	85	10	8	2	212	307	316	623	104	266	23	9	269	80	-9	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.2
2041	33	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	354	309	64	11	2	5	33	82	9	7	1	207	302	304	606	97	263	23	9	263	76	-10	+1	-3	+4	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4968	4344	956	169	28	88	456	1084	128	119	26	220	312	333	645	113	271	22	9	277	85	-83	+13	-10	+53	+108	8.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	568	126	22	4	12	60	142	17	16	3	222	315	338	653	116	273	22	9	277	85	-11	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	8508	7426	1628	280	51	153	790	1859	221	218	50	219	313	332	645	113	270	22	9	294	85	-142	+23	-15	+89	+181	14.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	124	21	4	12	60	142	17	17	4	219	312	333	645	115	269	22	9	294	85	-11	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	8.5	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
/162	664	18	5	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.7	5,128	92	122	220	309	334	+55	+30	11.9	9.7
/162	664	12	16	+7.1	+3.9	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Martinez (OGILVIE)	18	45	20	60	60	198/294/272	74	258	1	8	23%	9%	67	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	74	-0.6	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	63	-1.4	183/236/245	62	242	4	19	25%	4%	36	-1.1
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→45	55→45	57	230/329/297	67	301	2	9	22%	12%	84	+0.2	231/325/325	94	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.5	229/319/329	99	290	10	8	22%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Cristofer Torin 2023 · A	18	50	36→40	53→50	57	230/320/300	70	279	2	19	17%	11%	82	-0.0	219/297/293	74	273	5	14	20%	9%	71	-0.8	230/298/322	93	274	8	10	18%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	35→30	52→60	54	219/315/281	62	294	3	16	24%	11%	76	-0.4	215/296/270	55	306	2	18	27%	9%	65	-1.2	232/319/263	31	312	0	30	23%	9%	71	-0.4
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	69	-0.9	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	48→45	37→45	56→50	46	225/283/305	80	271	4	16	18%	6%	68	-1.0	212/272/309	97	268	9	15	23%	6%	65	-1.2	211/272/336	125	248	14	18	21%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	39→40	55→60	46	209/291/296	87	283	6	13	26%	8%	70	-0.8	190/254/255	65	320	4	20	39%	6%	47	-2.6	197/269/273	76	310	7	32	36%	7%	54	-1.5
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	45→37	40	52→60	57	212/316/313	100	269	5	12	21%	12%	83	+0.1	225/310/312	87	311	7	23	27%	10%	80	-0.1	226/313/303	78	310	7	32	27%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Marvin Alcantara 2023 · A	18	47→46	37→30	52→50	49	219/291/291	72	283	3	13	22%	8%	68	-1.0	199/253/254	55	286	3	11	30%	6%	45	-2.7	206/248/267	60	274	5	12	26%	5%	43	-2.0
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	47→51	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/307	86	277	4	15	20%	12%	81	-0.1	224/315/307	83	317	4	21	27%	12%	81	-0.1	223/313/312	89	304	7	28	26%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→52	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	61	-1.5	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Alejandro Hodge 2008 · A	18	47	34→30	52→55	49	214/312/265	51	305	2	19	27%	9%	72	-0.7	190/277/251	61	297	3	19	34%	8%	55	-2.0	161/249/222	61	238	4	27	31%	8%	34	-1.3
✕Abiatal Avelino 2013 · A	18	48→52	36→45	54→55	46	225/292/289	64	281	3	16	20%	6%	68	-1.0	228/281/304	76	284	3	23	20%	6%	66	-1.1	241/281/343	102	297	8	19	21%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→45	54→55	47	208/265/283	75	252	3	14	19%	6%	56	-1.9	245/295/319	74	283	3	14	14%	5%	75	-0.5	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Mikey Edie 2015 · A	18	48	37→30	47→50	45	227/308/301	74	283	5	13	20%	6%	78	-0.3	214/275/269	55	304	2	15	29%	5%	57	-1.8	194/246/238	44	286	1	12	31%	3%	36	-1.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→48	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	59	-1.6	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	53	-2.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Victor Tademo 2017 · A	18	47	37→40	54→55	47	222/279/304	82	268	3	19	18%	6%	66	-1.1	189/236/252	63	280	3	10	32%	5%	38	-3.2	154/194/192	38	243	2	6	36%	4%	7	-1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps