Santiago Martinez

Santiago MartinezSS DSL Astros Blue

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION103 act + 68 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .277 / .259

PA68

HR0

K%25

BB%9

BABIP269

ISO65

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$6M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$33M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	138	28	3	0	0	23	41	4	17	8	203	333	225	558	22	280	24	14	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	122	33	4	0	0	39	27	4	17	8	270	461	303	764	33	337	16	23	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	HOU	—	103	89	13	3	1	1	6	23	5	8	1	146	240	236	476	90	182	22	6	202	13	-10	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
YTD	18	ROK	HOU	—	103	86	17	4	2	1	9	16	5	8	1	198	310	326	636	128	229	16	9	286	77	-3	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.3
ROS	18	ROK	HOU	0%	68	61	12	2	1	0	6	17	1	2	0	195	277	259	536	65	260	25	9	257	55	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	18	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		263	—	—	244	45	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	HOU	—	103	90	13	3	1	1	6	23	5	8	1	144	240	233	473	89	179	22	6	202	13	-10	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
TOT	18	ROK	HOU	—	171	150	25	5	2	1	12	40	6	10	1	166	255	246	501	80	217	23	7	224	30	-14	+2	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	HOU	34%	230	205	41	7	2	2	19	55	4	6	1	200	281	283	564	83	265	24	8	267	63	-10	+1	+0	+2	+7	0.0
2028	20	MLB	HOU	48%	360	320	68	12	3	5	30	85	7	9	2	212	294	316	610	103	268	24	8	277	70	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2029	21	MLB	HOU	54%	459	408	86	15	3	7	39	107	9	11	2	211	294	314	608	103	271	23	8	283	75	-13	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.6
2030	22	MLB	HOU	57%	528	467	102	18	4	9	45	122	11	13	2	218	302	332	634	113	272	23	9	287	78	-13	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.9
2031	23	MLB	HOU	58%	575	509	112	20	4	10	49	132	12	14	3	220	304	334	637	114	273	23	9	289	79	-13	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.1
2032	24	MLB	HOU	57%	605	536	119	21	5	11	52	139	12	15	3	222	305	341	646	119	274	23	9	291	81	-13	+2	+0	+6	+17	1.3
2033	25	MLB	HOU	57%	623	551	122	21	5	12	54	142	13	15	3	221	306	343	649	122	274	23	9	292	82	-13	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.3
2034	26	MLB	HOU	57%	631	559	124	22	5	12	54	144	13	16	3	222	305	343	649	122	273	23	9	292	82	-13	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.4
2035	27	MLB	HOU	55%	632	559	123	21	5	12	55	145	13	16	3	220	305	340	645	120	273	23	9	292	82	-13	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.4
2036	28	MLB	HOU	55%	628	555	122	21	5	12	55	145	13	15	3	220	305	341	646	121	273	23	9	292	81	-13	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.3
2037	29	MLB	HOU	58%	618	546	119	21	4	11	55	144	12	14	3	218	303	332	635	114	272	23	9	290	80	-14	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.1
2027	19	MLB	HOU	34%	79	70	15	3	1	1	7	19	2	2	0	214	304	329	632	114	267	24	9	255	54	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	HOU	48%	174	154	32	6	1	2	15	41	3	4	1	208	291	299	589	91	271	24	9	264	61	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	HOU	54%	249	221	48	9	2	4	21	58	5	6	1	217	300	330	630	113	273	23	8	271	65	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2030	22	MLB	HOU	57%	299	266	57	10	2	5	25	69	6	7	1	214	296	323	620	109	274	23	8	275	68	-11	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2031	23	MLB	HOU	58%	331	293	65	12	2	6	28	76	7	8	2	222	305	338	643	116	275	23	8	277	70	-11	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.3
2032	24	MLB	HOU	57%	345	305	68	12	3	6	30	79	7	9	2	223	307	341	648	118	276	23	9	279	72	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2033	25	MLB	HOU	57%	353	313	70	12	3	7	30	81	7	9	2	224	306	348	654	125	276	23	8	280	72	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.4
2034	26	MLB	HOU	57%	357	316	70	12	3	7	31	82	7	9	2	222	305	345	650	123	276	23	9	280	73	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.4
2035	27	MLB	HOU	55%	351	310	70	12	3	7	31	80	7	9	2	226	310	352	662	126	276	23	9	280	73	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.4
2036	28	MLB	HOU	55%	345	305	69	12	3	7	30	80	7	8	2	226	310	354	664	128	275	23	9	279	72	-11	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.3
2037	29	MLB	HOU	58%	359	317	70	12	3	7	32	83	7	8	2	221	306	344	650	123	275	23	9	278	71	-12	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3242	2871	634	112	26	59	280	748	65	79	17	221	305	340	644	119	276	23	9	277	70	-110	+9	-1	+35	+92	2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	127	22	5	12	56	150	13	16	3	220	304	339	642	118	276	23	9	277	70	-22	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	6125	5414	1178	204	46	103	536	1418	124	163	36	218	303	329	632	112	274	23	9	287	78	-152	+18	-2	+66	+174	10.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	126	22	5	11	57	150	13	17	4	219	304	332	636	113	276	23	9	287	78	-16	+2	-0	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	122	33	4	0	0	39	27	4	17	8	270	461	303	764	33	337	16	23	366	138	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,383	58	83	219	299	333	+36	+21	6.1	5.6
	/162	664	11	16	219	299	333	+7.1	+4.1	1.2	pk7: 5
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Martinez (OGILVIE)	18	45	20	60	60	166/255/246	80	217	1	10	23%	7%	30	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	70	-0.3	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	58	-1.2	184/235/249	65	243	5	19	25%	4%	28	-1.1
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	60	-1.0	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	53	-0.4
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Luis Barahona 2012 · A	18	46	36→30	53→50	48	216/284/286	70	285	3	14	24%	8%	59	-1.1	206/260/268	62	282	2	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	200/252/254	54	273	0	16	25%	6%	33	-1.0
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	38→40	55→60	45	206/289/290	83	281	5	13	27%	8%	63	-0.8	190/255/255	65	322	4	20	39%	6%	40	-2.4	197/270/275	78	320	7	32	37%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→49	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	54	-1.4	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	47	-1.9	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jose Monserrate 2023 · A	18	47	38→40	51→50	46	221/290/309	87	287	5	13	23%	7%	68	-0.5	215/293/282	67	300	3	21	27%	9%	63	-0.9	180/265/225	45	288	1	34	34%	9%	34	-0.6
✕Alejandro Hodge 2008 · A	18	47	34→30	52→55	49	214/312/265	51	305	2	19	27%	9%	68	-0.5	190/277/251	61	297	3	19	34%	8%	49	-1.8	161/249/222	61	238	4	27	31%	8%	26	-1.3
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	35→30	52→60	54	219/315/281	62	294	3	16	24%	11%	72	-0.2	215/296/270	55	306	2	18	27%	9%	61	-1.0	232/319/263	31	312	0	30	23%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Marvin Alcantara 2023 · A	18	47→45	37→30	52→50	49	218/293/289	71	281	4	13	22%	8%	64	-0.8	197/251/251	54	288	4	11	31%	6%	36	-2.7	204/244/263	60	277	5	12	27%	5%	33	-2.0
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	56	-1.3	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	38	-2.6	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	-4	-1.2
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	48→49	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/308	87	276	3	15	20%	12%	79	+0.3	223/313/311	88	314	5	21	27%	11%	79	+0.3	222/315/321	99	301	8	23	26%	12%	81	+0.2
✕Victor Tademo 2017 · A	18	47	37→40	54→55	47	222/279/304	82	268	3	19	18%	6%	62	-0.9	189/236/252	63	280	3	10	32%	5%	30	-3.1	154/194/192	38	243	2	6	36%	4%	-5	-1.6
✕Yhostin Chirinos 2019 · A	18	43	38→40	54→50	47	202/276/290	88	258	3	12	22%	7%	58	-1.2	201/265/272	71	280	4	8	28%	7%	48	-1.9	194/244/237	43	249	5	4	23%	6%	27	-1.0
✕Luis Arcendo 2018 · A	18	44	36→30	54→50	46	209/274/278	69	274	3	13	24%	7%	53	-1.5	196/257/259	63	280	3	13	29%	7%	40	-2.4	115/183/136	21	170	0	19	30%	8%	-22	-1.3
✕Sterling Guzman 2016 · A	18	47	37→40	52→45	47	220/283/299	79	285	4	8	23%	7%	62	-0.9	208/271/299	91	293	7	7	29%	7%	57	-1.2	155/215/251	96	213	12	2	33%	6%	18	-0.9
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	46	-2.0	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	61	-1.0	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	41→44	34→30	51→55	42	194/257/244	49	275	2	16	28%	6%	37	-2.6	213/312/258	45	291	1	19	24%	11%	66	-0.6	202/327/232	30	283	1	24	24%	14%	65	-0.3