Gage Miller — OGILVIE

Gage Miller2B Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AA HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION198 act + 132 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .313 / .350

PA132

HR3

K%21

BB%9

BABIP276

ISO120

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.5M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$7M		$25M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	118	106	22	4	1	0	5	26	4	2	1	208	270	264	534	57	265	22	4	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	118	104	25	4	1	0	7	20	4	2	1	240	313	298	611	58	287	17	6	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	426	376	63	13	2	5	40	91	8	21	6	168	262	253	514	85	206	21	9	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	426	361	76	15	2	6	55	65	8	21	6	211	328	313	641	102	240	15	13	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	MIA	—	198	173	46	7	0	8	19	43	4	8	6	266	352	445	797	179	306	22	10	341	119	+4	-1	+0	+1	+6	1.0
YTD	23	AA	MIA	—	198	165	51	8	0	9	27	34	4	8	6	309	418	521	940	212	339	17	14	412	173	+16	-1	+0	+1	+6	2.2
ROS	23	AA	MIA	2%	132	117	27	5	0	3	12	28	2	4	2	231	313	350	663	120	274	21	9	297	85	-2	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.2
ROS	23	MLB	MIA	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						269	33	0	279	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	AA	MIA	—	201	176	46	7	0	8	19	44	4	8	6	261	347	438	784	176	302	22	9	340	119	+4	-1	+0	+1	+6	1.0
TOT	23	AA	MIA	—	330	290	73	12	0	11	31	71	6	12	8	252	336	407	743	155	294	22	9	323	106	+2	-1	+0	+1	+9	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIA	31%	457	405	94	17	2	10	41	96	8	13	6	232	315	358	673	126	274	21	9	299	87	-7	+0	+0	+2	+13	0.8
2028	25	MLB	MIA	45%	485	430	100	18	2	11	44	102	8	14	7	233	315	360	676	128	276	21	9	304	91	-5	+0	+0	+2	+14	1.1
2029	26	MLB	MIA	51%	501	443	104	19	2	12	45	105	8	14	7	235	317	368	684	133	276	21	9	306	92	-4	+0	+0	+2	+14	1.2
2030	27	MLB	MIA	53%	506	447	104	19	2	12	46	107	8	15	7	233	315	365	680	132	277	21	9	306	93	-4	+0	+0	+2	+14	1.2
2031	28	MLB	MIA	53%	504	444	104	19	2	12	47	107	8	14	7	234	319	367	686	133	276	21	9	305	92	-5	+0	-1	+2	+14	1.1
2032	29	MLB	MIA	53%	496	439	100	18	2	11	46	106	8	13	6	228	312	353	665	125	275	21	9	303	90	-5	+0	-1	+2	+14	0.9
2033	30	MLB	MIA	52%	486	430	98	18	1	11	45	106	8	11	5	228	313	351	664	123	274	22	9	301	88	-6	+0	-2	+2	+14	0.7
2027	24	MLB	MIA	31%	142	126	28	5	0	3	13	30	2	4	2	222	305	333	638	111	269	21	9	283	75	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2028	25	MLB	MIA	45%	216	191	44	8	1	5	19	45	4	6	3	230	313	361	674	131	271	21	9	287	78	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2029	26	MLB	MIA	51%	255	226	51	9	1	6	23	54	4	7	3	226	308	354	662	128	272	21	9	290	80	-6	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2030	27	MLB	MIA	53%	266	236	54	10	1	6	24	56	4	8	4	229	311	356	667	127	272	21	9	290	80	-6	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2031	28	MLB	MIA	53%	269	238	54	10	1	6	25	57	4	7	4	227	311	353	664	126	271	21	9	289	80	-6	-0	-0	+1	+8	0.2
2032	29	MLB	MIA	53%	261	231	52	9	1	6	24	56	4	7	3	225	309	351	660	126	271	21	9	288	78	-6	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2033	30	MLB	MIA	52%	253	223	51	9	1	6	24	55	4	6	3	229	315	359	673	130	269	22	9	285	76	-7	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1665	1474	334	60	6	38	152	354	26	45	22	227	310	353	663	126	272	21	9	288	78	-41	+0	-2	+6	+47	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	130	23	2	15	59	138	10	18	9	226	309	351	660	125	271	21	9	288	78	-16	+0	-1	+2	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	4111	3637	816	150	16	87	371	874	70	121	54	224	308	346	654	122	270	21	9	294	83	-79	+3	-4	+15	+116	5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	130	24	3	14	59	138	11	19	9	226	311	351	662	125	272	21	9	294	83	-12	+0	-1	+2	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	85	80	16	2	1	0	1	18	3	1	0	200	238	250	488	50	254	21	1	222	28	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	33	24	9	2	0	0	6	2	1	1	1	375	516	458	974	83	375	6	18	419	179	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	70	62	14	1	0	2	7	12	1	1	2	226	314	339	653	113	250	17	10	300	88	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	356	299	62	14	2	4	48	53	7	20	4	207	331	308	638	100	238	15	13	298	86	-5	+2	—	—	+10	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA	6	3,150	86	34	246	304	402	-0	+23	9.7	9.7
	/162	664	18	7	246	304	402	-0.0	+4.9	2.1	pk7: 10
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#6Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,668	38	45	232	311	360	+6	+3	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	15	18	232	311	360	+2.4	+1.2	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gage Miller (OGILVIE)	23	40	30	55	55	252/336/407	155	294	11	12	22%	9%	106	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Torrero 2007 · AAA	23	46→47	39→30	46→40	45	221/265/306	85	255	7	10	17%	5%	56	-1.3	269/318/329	60	300	2	6	10%	6%	84	+0.6	288/340/336	48	318	0	2	9%	6%	92	+0.5
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A	23	43	38→30	48→40	51	205/292/282	77	270	6	7	25%	10%	63	-0.8	226/312/290	64	313	3	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	233/324/284	51	328	2	2	26%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Franklin Rollin 2019 · AAA	23	44	40	50→55	41	211/255/302	91	263	7	18	22%	4%	50	-1.7	199/250/282	83	267	7	13	27%	5%	43	-2.2	144/191/181	37	204	3	13	30%	4%	-10	-1.4
✕Adrian Abreu 2013 · A	22	45	40	53→55	53	218/296/306	88	253	9	19	18%	9%	70	-0.3	203/280/285	82	264	6	13	23%	9%	58	-1.2	141/245/214	74	184	4	14	24%	11%	24	-0.7
✕Roy Morales 2018 · A	23	50	37→30	49→45	50	234/300/300	66	275	4	8	16%	7%	70	-0.3	228/291/302	74	282	4	10	19%	7%	66	-0.6	271/335/332	61	323	4	8	16%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Colt Sedbrook 2010 · AA	25	45→44	38→30	51→50	48	214/305/293	79	273	6	14	22%	8%	72	-0.2	205/298/278	73	263	5	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	176/285/222	46	228	2	12	21%	8%	45	-1.2
✕Humberto Castro 2014 · AAA	23	45	38→40	50→45	41	218/262/293	75	259	6	8	19%	4%	51	-1.7	231/281/310	79	287	5	8	20%	5%	64	-0.8	257/313/319	62	304	4	5	15%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Jasson Atondo 2019 · AAA	23	45→55	40→30	45→50	45	219/265/314	94	262	8	11	19%	6%	58	-1.2	280/312/358	78	313	6	12	12%	5%	89	+0.9	319/347/375	57	352	3	11	10%	4%	102	+1.5
✕Mike Brownstein 2011 · A	23	49	36→30	50→55	53	225/298/293	68	274	2	15	18%	9%	67	-0.5	223/287/297	74	296	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	225/291/289	64	297	2	14	23%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A	23	47	37→30	52→65	42	219/287/293	74	318	4	14	30%	7%	63	-0.9	230/317/295	65	313	3	29	25%	9%	76	+0.1	252/330/304	52	316	1	49	19%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	48	40	52→55	47	227/297/321	94	300	7	18	26%	8%	74	-0.1	200/258/275	75	312	5	11	35%	5%	46	-2.0	135/182/184	49	223	4	5	40%	2%	-12	-1.0
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	39	42→45	47→50	39	198/255/299	101	269	10	10	30%	5%	51	-1.7	211/272/334	123	278	13	9	28%	6%	67	-0.5	201/263/321	120	259	14	7	27%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Justin Viele 2014 · A	23	46	38→30	47→50	51	216/296/290	74	273	5	10	22%	9%	66	-0.6	194/261/262	68	287	4	8	31%	7%	44	-2.1	106/169/132	26	180	0	6	38%	4%	-31	-1.3
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	43	204/254/284	80	263	5	21	24%	6%	46	-2.0	243/304/321	78	311	4	31	21%	7%	76	+0.1	252/314/329	77	319	3	36	20%	6%	80	+0.3
✕Joe Sclafani 2014 · A	24	46→45	40	52→50	51	218/297/316	98	272	6	14	21%	9%	73	-0.1	252/313/328	76	307	4	11	18%	8%	82	+0.5	279/336/340	61	333	2	10	16%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Erlin Cerda 2017 · A	23	44	36→40	51→55	42	205/266/276	70	280	2	11	26%	6%	49	-1.8	196/240/268	72	301	3	8	34%	5%	35	-2.8	163/196/205	43	251	0	8	34%	3%	-4	-1.3
✕Erik Wetzel 2010 · A	23	49	39→30	55	49	234/297/317	83	292	7	17	22%	8%	72	-0.2	234/279/283	49	303	2	15	22%	6%	56	-1.3	240/283/268	29	310	0	17	21%	5%	50	-0.8
✕Pablo Olivares 2021 · A	23	45→41	38→40	46→50	45	213/287/289	76	269	5	14	22%	6%	63	-0.9	207/281/293	86	273	5	12	24%	8%	61	-1.0	192/271/278	86	259	4	12	25%	8%	50	-0.6
✕Alvaro Ramirez 2009 · A	23	45	38→40	49→55	46	213/277/299	86	263	5	15	20%	6%	60	-1.0	238/293/315	77	287	5	16	18%	5%	70	-0.3	298/358/375	77	330	4	27	10%	5%	111	+1.0
✕Eduardo Torrealba 2023 · A	24	44	39→30	54→50	45	212/266/293	81	256	6	17	20%	6%	53	-1.5	211/270/285	74	267	5	14	22%	6%	53	-1.5	206/268/255	49	259	3	15	20%	6%	43	-1.1