Carlos Rangel — OGILVIE

Carlos Rangel P DSL Cubs Blue

Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 183 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 17 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.25

FIP5.25

K%20.2%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%5.1%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	16	2	29	149	29	14	2	12%	1.8	13.2%	11.7%	1.5%	1.8%	8.69	4.48	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	16	2	29	149	29	14	2	12%	1.8	13.2%	11.7%	1.5%	1.8%	8.69	4.48	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	16	2	29	149	29	14	2	12%	1.8	19.5%	9.4%	10.1%	1.3%	8.69	3.44	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	19	0	31	146	40	18	1	0%	1.6	18.6%	15.4%	3.2%	1.1%	4.94	4.08	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	19	0	31	146	40	18	1	0%	1.6	18.6%	15.4%	3.2%	1.1%	4.94	4.08	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	19	0	31	146	40	18	1	0%	1.6	27.4%	12.3%	15.1%	0.7%	4.94	2.68	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	16	0	28	127	30	18	0	0%	1.7	16.1%	17.7%	-1.7%	0.0%	3.90	3.99	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	16	0	28	127	30	18	0	0%	1.7	16.1%	17.7%	-1.7%	0.0%	3.90	3.99	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	16	0	28	127	30	18	0	0%	1.7	23.6%	14.2%	9.4%	0.0%	3.90	2.88	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	CHC	16	0	17	72	14	11	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	15.1%	5.1%	2.9%	5.25	5.25	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CHC	28	0	29	124	27	16	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	13.0%	8.5%	2.8%	4.98	4.85	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	CHC	13	0	14	59	13	8	2	0%	1.1	21.5%	13.0%	8.5%	2.8%	4.98	4.85	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	61	13	8	2	0%	1.0	21.5%	13.0%	8.5%	2.8%	4.98	4.47	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	111	28	0%	1.1	21.5%	13.0%	8.5%	2.8%	4.98	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		51	2	88	422	67	62	4	4%	1.7	16.0%	14.8%	1.1%	1.0%	5.85	4.19	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	5	200	963	154	143	10	4%	1.7	16.0%	14.8%	1.1%	1.0%	5.85	4.19	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carlos Rangel (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.25	20.2%	15.1%	2.9%	—	4.85	21.5%	8.5%	29	-0.40	—	—	—
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	90
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	89
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	89
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	89
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	89
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	89
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	89
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	88
Drew Pestka R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	20	SU	4.26	19.0%	15.1%	1.6%	.298	4.55	18.1%	0.7%	83	+0.29	3.42	100	88
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	88
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	86
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	86
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	85
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	85
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	85
Nolan Sparks R 2024 · 4.10 FIP	21	SU	4.10	21.8%	13.5%	2.1%	.229	4.72	19.3%	5.3%	140	+0.62	4.10	155	85
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	85