Luis RivesOF
FCL Astros
Age 21
S/L
6'2" / 216 lbs
ROK
H +4%HR -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.9 · 2031
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .280 / .323
PA99
HR2
K%30
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
24↗29
PWR
37↗42
SPD
58↗63
EYE
52↗57
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.7M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.4M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $5M | $14M | +$9M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros | 132 | 125 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 0 | 12 | 3 | .176 | .214 | .224 | .438 | .048 | .247 | 30 | 5 | .193 | 6 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Astros | 117 | 96 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 49 | 3 | 9 | 0 | .135 | .278 | .250 | .528 | .115 | .234 | 42 | 14 | .249 | 49 | -7 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | HOU | 99 | 90 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .200 | .273 | .322 | .595 | .122 | .281 | 30 | 8 | .275 | 69 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | HOU | 181 | 161 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .211 | .291 | .335 | .626 | .124 | .283 | 29 | 9 | .289 | 79 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | HOU | 299 | 266 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 83 | 3 | 8 | 2 | .218 | .300 | .361 | .661 | .143 | .284 | 28 | 9 | .297 | 85 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | HOU | 383 | 339 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 104 | 4 | 10 | 2 | .221 | .305 | .369 | .674 | .147 | .285 | 27 | 10 | .302 | 90 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | HOU | 432 | 383 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 116 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .225 | .308 | .373 | .681 | .149 | .286 | 27 | 10 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | HOU | 462 | 408 | 92 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 124 | 5 | 12 | 2 | .225 | .312 | .375 | .687 | .150 | .287 | 27 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | HOU | 476 | 420 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 129 | 5 | 12 | 2 | .224 | .311 | .376 | .687 | .152 | .287 | 27 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 480 | 423 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 49 | 131 | 5 | 12 | 2 | .222 | .310 | .374 | .684 | .151 | .286 | 27 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 475 | 419 | 92 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 131 | 5 | 12 | 2 | .220 | .307 | .365 | .672 | .146 | .285 | 28 | 10 | .305 | 91 | -5 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 468 | 412 | 91 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 130 | 5 | 11 | 1 | .221 | .310 | .369 | .679 | .148 | .284 | 28 | 10 | .301 | 89 | -6 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 457 | 403 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 129 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .213 | .302 | .350 | .652 | .136 | .282 | 28 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -7 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +13 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 440 | 388 | 82 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 127 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .211 | .300 | .343 | .643 | .131 | .281 | 29 | 10 | .293 | 82 | -9 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +12 | -0.0 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 411 | 363 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 121 | 4 | 9 | 0 | .207 | .294 | .336 | .630 | .129 | .279 | 29 | 10 | .288 | 78 | -10 | +2 | -4 | -2 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 367 | 324 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 111 | 3 | 8 | 0 | .201 | .288 | .321 | .609 | .120 | .277 | 30 | 10 | .281 | 73 | -11 | +2 | -5 | -2 | +10 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5679 | 5020 | 1077 | 184 | 34 | 148 | 561 | 1606 | 58 | 152 | 20 | .215 | .301 | .353 | .654 | .139 | .282 | 28 | 10 | .296 | 84 | -100 | +22 | -20 | -34 | +161 | 3.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 64 | 184 | 7 | 17 | 2 | .214 | .301 | .353 | .654 | .139 | .281 | 28 | 10 | .296 | 84 | -11 | +3 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros | 132 | 121 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 0 | 12 | 3 | .231 | .290 | .314 | .604 | .083 | .283 | 20 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -5 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Astros | 117 | 87 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 33 | 3 | 9 | 0 | .207 | .400 | .402 | .802 | .195 | .283 | 28 | 21 | .362 | 135 | +5 | +2 | — | — | +3 | 1.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Luis Rives (OGILVIE) | 21 | 24→29 | 37→42 | 58→63 | 57 | .204/.280/.323 | .119 | .281 | 2 | 2 | 30% | 9% | 69 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A |
20 | 38→41 | 46→50 | 53→55 | 45 | .189/.278/.319 | .129 | .289 | 14 | 15 | 37% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .210/.289/.331 | .121 | .326 | 12 | 16 | 36% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .216/.296/.349 | .133 | .314 | 15 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A |
20 | 40→50 | 40→45 | 55 | 44 | .197/.264/.289 | .093 | .275 | 8 | 16 | 30% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .236/.299/.340 | .104 | .314 | 7 | 24 | 25% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .253/.315/.362 | .109 | .325 | 7 | 28 | 23% | 8% | 88 | +0.8 |
|
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A |
21 | 37 | 44→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .188/.259/.305 | .117 | .281 | 12 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .194/.278/.291 | .097 | .346 | 7 | 8 | 42% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .146/.273/.221 | .075 | .359 | 3 | 4 | 52% | 12% | 39 | -0.5 |
|
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A |
21 | 44→45 | 40→45 | 55→50 | 50 | .208/.290/.307 | .098 | .287 | 7 | 16 | 28% | 10% | 68 | -0.5 | .222/.281/.341 | .119 | .304 | 12 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .227/.267/.356 | .130 | .303 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 5% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A |
21 | 41→32 | 45→55 | 53→50 | 39 | .208/.253/.334 | .126 | .273 | 12 | 15 | 28% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .188/.236/.349 | .161 | .267 | 20 | 5 | 37% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .194/.269/.375 | .181 | .237 | 26 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A |
21 | 42→43 | 45→55 | 54→50 | 40 | .209/.270/.337 | .128 | .288 | 12 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .208/.259/.341 | .133 | .291 | 14 | 8 | 32% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.283/.380 | .168 | .276 | 21 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Roberto Caro 2015 · A |
21 | 46→39 | 38→40 | 62→60 | 49 | .213/.292/.305 | .092 | .282 | 3 | 21 | 24% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 | .204/.275/.284 | .080 | .297 | 2 | 16 | 29% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .219/.291/.296 | .077 | .328 | 2 | 26 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
●Abraham Toro 2018 · A |
21 | 39→49 | 43→50 | 51→45 | 45 | .198/.258/.308 | .109 | .244 | 11 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .218/.285/.365 | .147 | .272 | 15 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .233/.307/.387 | .155 | .277 | 16 | 6 | 22% | 8% | 93 | +1.1 |
|
✕Eddinson Paulino 2023 · A |
21 | 44→41 | 46→45 | 56→50 | 44 | .216/.282/.359 | .144 | .289 | 11 | 14 | 28% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .202/.260/.328 | .126 | .278 | 12 | 15 | 30% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .186/.241/.303 | .118 | .255 | 13 | 15 | 32% | 6% | 43 | -1.4 |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A |
21 | 37→36 | 45→50 | 54→50 | 38 | .192/.253/.319 | .127 | .271 | 12 | 13 | 33% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .204/.262/.355 | .151 | .295 | 18 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .197/.258/.362 | .165 | .284 | 22 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Roman Quinn 2014 · A |
21 | 42→52 | 43→45 | 56→65 | 40 | .210/.265/.316 | .105 | .279 | 11 | 25 | 28% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .236/.295/.337 | .101 | .319 | 9 | 33 | 27% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .253/.313/.351 | .098 | .343 | 7 | 42 | 26% | 7% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A |
21 | 46→43 | 43→45 | 56→50 | 42 | .224/.277/.340 | .116 | .301 | 9 | 15 | 28% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .218/.275/.336 | .118 | .288 | 10 | 12 | 27% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.270/.327 | .116 | .280 | 10 | 13 | 27% | 6% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A |
21 | 40→45 | 44→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .201/.263/.319 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .203/.270/.325 | .122 | .295 | 10 | 17 | 33% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .220/.291/.388 | .168 | .274 | 20 | 25 | 27% | 8% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕C.J. Beatty 2010 · A |
21 | 41 | 41→50 | 51→40 | 41 | .201/.256/.299 | .098 | .284 | 9 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .211/.273/.328 | .117 | .294 | 10 | 5 | 29% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .207/.273/.340 | .134 | .281 | 11 | 2 | 29% | 8% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A |
21 | 38→33 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 43 | .192/.259/.300 | .108 | .274 | 11 | 13 | 33% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .205/.268/.319 | .114 | .301 | 12 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .179/.252/.298 | .118 | .265 | 14 | 11 | 36% | 8% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2023 · A |
21 | 42→34 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 44 | .203/.280/.321 | .117 | .309 | 10 | 15 | 35% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .191/.255/.298 | .107 | .283 | 10 | 11 | 34% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .179/.237/.275 | .096 | .257 | 9 | 10 | 33% | 6% | 35 | -1.5 |
|
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A |
21 | 42→50 | 47→55 | 58→55 | 39 | .214/.256/.353 | .139 | .265 | 14 | 15 | 25% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .239/.275/.401 | .162 | .303 | 18 | 22 | 27% | 4% | 85 | +0.7 | .244/.283/.399 | .155 | .300 | 17 | 24 | 24% | 4% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A |
19 | 43→42 | 45→40 | 53→65 | 45 | .213/.281/.336 | .123 | .279 | 13 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .194/.288/.298 | .104 | .270 | 9 | 21 | 29% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .165/.260/.259 | .093 | .238 | 9 | 30 | 32% | 10% | 44 | -1.1 |
|
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A |
21 | 39→49 | 38→45 | 58→55 | 45 | .188/.259/.276 | .088 | .265 | 5 | 16 | 29% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .210/.284/.296 | .086 | .280 | 6 | 17 | 25% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .229/.318/.327 | .099 | .300 | 9 | 17 | 24% | 11% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2017 · A |
20 | 42→41 | 44→45 | 55→50 | 40 | .207/.258/.330 | .123 | .287 | 10 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .195/.252/.299 | .104 | .298 | 9 | 14 | 35% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .189/.259/.295 | .106 | .303 | 11 | 14 | 39% | 8% | 49 | -1.0 |