Eduardo Ponce

C ACL Mariners

Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 172 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKSEA	174	.229/.372/.393	4	3	45	—	.150/.273/.238
2025	18	ROKSEA	194	.216/.339/.302	3	1	40	—	.174/.260/.250
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBSEA	304	.207/.280/.295	3	4	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBSEA	43	.209/.283/.304	1	1	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBSEA	132	.213/.287/.315	2	2	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Whiff%84

K%82

Z-Con%74

Chase%73

BB%52

ISO43

CompsRudy van Heydoorn (age 20) · Cesar Gonzalez (age 19) · Carlos Cauro (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 85 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .278 / .292

PA85

HR1

K%25

BB%8

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	174	140	32	7	2	4	27	24	5	3	0	229	372	393	765	164	246	14	16	346	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	194	162	35	3	1	3	27	29	3	1	0	216	339	302	641	86	242	15	14	299	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	174	147	22	5	1	2	20	29	5	3	0	150	273	238	511	88	163	17	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	194	172	30	2	1	3	17	42	3	1	0	174	260	250	510	76	205	22	9	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	174	147	22	5	1	2	20	29	5	3	0	150	273	238	511	88	169	17	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	174	140	32	7	2	4	27	24	5	3	0	229	372	393	765	164	246	14	16	346	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	194	172	30	2	1	3	17	42	3	1	0	174	260	250	510	76	209	22	9	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	194	162	35	3	1	3	27	29	3	1	0	216	339	302	641	86	242	15	14	299	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	174	147	22	5	1	2	20	29	5	3	0	150	273	238	511	88	163	17	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	194	172	30	2	1	3	17	42	3	1	0	174	260	250	510	76	205	22	9	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	174	147	22	5	1	2	20	29	5	3	0	150	273	238	511	88	163	17	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	194	172	30	2	1	3	17	42	3	1	0	174	260	250	510	76	205	22	9	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	304	274	56	9	2	3	24	75	3	4	1	207	280	295	574	88	268	25	8	263	64	-13	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	125	113	24	4	1	2	10	30	1	2	1	211	285	308	593	97	270	24	8	270	69	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	272	245	53	9	2	4	22	65	3	4	1	215	289	319	608	104	272	24	8	276	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	376	338	73	12	3	6	31	90	4	5	2	218	292	328	620	110	274	24	8	281	76	-11	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.5
2031	24	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	448	403	88	15	3	8	37	106	5	6	2	220	295	335	629	114	276	24	8	285	79	-11	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	SEA	60%	491	441	97	17	3	9	41	116	6	6	2	222	296	339	636	117	277	24	8	287	80	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	SEA	62%	516	462	103	17	4	10	43	122	6	7	2	222	296	339	635	118	276	24	8	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	SEA	63%	520	466	103	17	4	10	43	123	6	6	3	221	295	337	632	116	276	24	8	286	79	-13	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	520	466	102	17	3	10	43	125	6	6	3	219	293	332	625	113	275	24	8	283	78	-14	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	520	466	101	17	3	9	43	126	6	5	3	216	290	326	616	109	273	24	8	279	75	-15	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	518	465	100	17	3	9	43	127	5	5	4	213	286	318	604	104	271	25	8	274	72	-17	-1	-2	+9	+11	0.0
2038	31	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	491	443	93	15	3	8	40	123	5	3	8	209	281	308	589	99	268	25	8	268	68	-19	-3	-3	+9	+11	-0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	43	39	8	1	0	1	3	10	1	1	0	209	283	304	587	95	268	23	7	268	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	132	118	25	4	1	2	11	32	2	2	1	213	287	315	602	102	270	24	8	274	73	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	204	183	39	7	1	3	17	49	2	3	1	216	290	323	614	108	272	24	8	278	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	248	222	48	8	2	4	21	59	3	3	1	218	293	330	623	112	274	24	8	282	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	SEA	60%	293	264	58	10	2	5	24	69	3	4	1	220	294	335	629	115	274	24	8	285	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	SEA	62%	320	286	63	11	2	6	27	76	4	4	2	220	294	335	629	115	274	24	8	284	80	-7	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	SEA	63%	329	295	64	11	2	6	27	78	4	4	2	219	293	332	625	113	274	24	8	283	79	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	338	303	66	11	2	6	28	81	4	4	2	217	291	327	618	111	273	24	8	280	78	-9	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	338	303	65	11	2	6	28	82	4	3	2	214	288	321	609	107	271	24	8	277	75	-10	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	337	303	64	11	2	5	28	83	3	3	2	211	285	313	598	102	269	25	8	272	72	-11	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.0
2038	31	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	319	287	60	10	2	5	26	80	3	2	5	207	280	304	583	97	266	25	8	266	68	-12	-2	-2	+6	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2901	2603	560	95	18	49	240	699	33	33	19	215	290	322	612	107	273	24	8	278	73	-83	-1	-5	+52	+63	2.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	125	21	4	11	54	157	7	7	4	214	289	321	610	106	272	24	8	278	73	-19	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5250	4704	1006	167	35	91	440	1245	62	60	31	214	290	322	612	108	269	24	8	277	73	-141	-1	-7	+87	+106	4.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	124	21	4	11	54	154	8	7	4	213	289	320	608	107	268	24	8	277	73	-19	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.5	2,986	52	34	218	289	328	+53	+28	4.7	4.5
/162	664	12	8	+11.9	+6.2	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eduardo Ponce (OGILVIE)	20	35	25	40	50	205/278/292	87	268	1	1	25%	8%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	36	39→40	42→50	52	178/287/262	84	243	7	10	28%	11%	62	-1.4	171/257/257	86	259	7	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	134/224/213	79	200	8	2	35%	9%	27	-1.2
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2024 · A	19	38	36→30	42→45	54	180/281/243	63	224	4	4	20%	10%	55	-1.9	184/265/255	71	280	4	4	32%	8%	51	-2.3	170/260/237	67	285	5	4	38%	9%	44	-0.9
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Onil Perez 2023 · A	20	43	36→40	46→55	49	200/268/272	73	258	3	7	22%	8%	55	-1.9	220/284/292	72	276	3	17	20%	7%	65	-1.2	222/294/289	67	273	3	21	18%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Anderson De Los Santos 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	43→50	40	192/247/282	89	269	7	8	30%	6%	49	-2.4	183/261/280	97	274	9	12	34%	9%	55	-1.9	173/266/275	101	253	10	13	33%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Angel Acosta 2024 · A	21	42	38→40	40→50	48	201/276/279	78	249	5	5	20%	7%	60	-1.6	211/268/276	65	259	4	9	19%	6%	55	-1.9	219/273/273	54	263	4	11	17%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Luis Palacios 2009 · A	20	40	37→30	45→50	46	192/258/266	74	245	5	7	23%	7%	50	-2.3	185/229/259	74	281	5	5	34%	4%	36	-3.3	149/181/206	57	238	4	4	38%	3%	4	-1.2
✕Dionmy Salon 2022 · A	20	39	36→30	44→40	50	186/268/253	66	245	4	7	24%	9%	51	-2.2	202/273/270	68	295	5	5	31%	7%	57	-1.8	174/247/210	36	244	2	6	27%	7%	31	-1.2
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	39	38→40	48→40	56	186/292/260	74	232	6	6	21%	11%	63	-1.3	186/285/262	76	274	6	4	31%	11%	61	-1.5	167/269/232	65	254	5	2	33%	11%	47	-0.9
✕Armando Sierra 2024 · A	20	42	39→40	42→40	47	204/271/287	83	267	6	4	25%	8%	60	-1.6	209/260/307	98	311	8	5	33%	6%	59	-1.6	193/225/303	110	284	12	0	36%	3%	44	-0.5
✕Johnabiell Laureano 2021 · A	20	42	38→30	40→45	47	202/271/280	78	264	5	7	24%	8%	58	-1.7	187/250/257	70	323	6	5	41%	7%	45	-2.7	156/231/213	57	284	7	2	44%	8%	26	-1.1
✕Andy Paz 2014 · A	21	43	37→40	42→45	48	204/268/278	75	258	5	5	22%	8%	56	-1.9	201/260/271	70	280	4	5	28%	7%	51	-2.2	218/269/266	48	284	3	6	23%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Victor Rodrigues 2024 · A	19	42	37→30	47→50	51	198/275/273	75	246	5	10	21%	9%	58	-1.7	215/298/280	65	272	5	7	21%	10%	69	-0.9	213/306/263	50	270	4	5	20%	11%	66	-0.5
✕Fernando Pujadas 2012 · A	20	41	39→30	43→30	45	197/250/282	85	236	7	4	20%	6%	51	-2.3	201/278/279	78	254	5	4	21%	8%	61	-1.5	188/281/258	70	234	4	1	20%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Elio Prado 2022 · A	20	44→37	37→40	45→50	48	208/279/283	75	261	4	9	21%	7%	62	-1.4	195/275/279	84	267	7	9	27%	8%	60	-1.6	181/262/268	87	241	8	13	27%	8%	50	-1.3
✕Xavier Fernández 2015 · A	20	42	35→45	41→40	45	197/251/259	62	249	2	4	21%	6%	45	-2.7	222/269/313	91	268	8	3	20%	5%	64	-1.3	233/283/351	119	276	13	2	20%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Nahum Hernandez 2010 · A	20	37	37→40	44→50	44	182/249/251	69	238	5	5	25%	6%	44	-2.8	218/293/305	87	277	6	10	22%	8%	72	-0.7	244/336/340	97	290	6	15	16%	10%	92	+0.2
✕Pedro Mota 2022 · A	20	38	37→30	43→50	44	179/264/254	75	250	4	7	28%	7%	51	-2.2	190/286/259	69	279	3	6	30%	10%	61	-1.5	121/275/148	27	185	0	4	28%	14%	35	-0.7
✕Payton Henry 2017 · A	20	44→32	36→45	45→30	39	207/265/280	74	298	3	5	30%	5%	56	-1.9	186/252/288	102	315	10	3	41%	6%	53	-2.1	244/299/348	104	334	12	0	29%	5%	81	-0.0

Eduardo Ponce

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps