Ryan Sprock — OGILVIE

Ryan Sprock3B Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 205 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION427 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†110

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP298

ISO143

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$81M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE67

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+1.3	$6M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$7M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
2036	Arb-3	$8M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$14M		$35M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	86	70	18	1	1	2	14	19	2	2	0	257	395	386	781	129	327	22	16	360	130	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	86	74	16	1	1	2	10	27	2	2	0	216	326	338	663	122	298	31	12	286	80	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	86	74	16	1	1	2	10	27	2	2	0	216	326	338	663	122	311	31	12	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	86	70	18	1	1	2	14	19	2	2	0	257	395	386	781	129	327	22	16	360	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	86	74	16	1	1	2	10	27	2	2	0	216	326	338	663	122	298	31	12	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	86	74	16	1	1	2	10	27	2	2	0	216	326	338	663	122	298	31	12	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	MIN	—	427	363	93	19	2	9	50	80	7	16	11	256	357	394	751	138	299	19	12	331	110	+5	-1	+0	+2	+9	1.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	MIN	—	280	222	68	13	1	5	49	31	5	14	9	306	442	441	883	135	332	11	18	396	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	MIN	—	147	121	35	8	1	6	21	26	2	2	2	289	403	521	923	231	315	18	14	399	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	MIN	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		298	20	10	330	110	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	MIN	—	437	372	94	19	2	9	51	82	7	16	11	253	353	387	741	134	295	19	12	331	110	+5	-1	+0	+2	+9	1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	43%	461	400	99	19	2	11	52	96	6	9	5	247	343	388	730	140	297	21	11	331	110	+6	-0	+0	+2	+10	1.7
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	61%	498	432	108	21	2	13	56	103	7	10	5	250	345	398	744	148	297	21	11	335	113	+8	+0	+0	+2	+11	2.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	66%	523	453	115	22	3	14	58	107	7	10	5	254	347	408	756	155	298	20	11	337	114	+9	+0	+0	+2	+11	2.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	69%	522	452	116	22	3	15	58	107	7	10	5	257	350	418	768	162	298	20	11	338	115	+9	+0	+0	+2	+11	2.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	70%	518	448	114	22	2	15	58	106	7	10	5	254	349	413	762	158	298	20	11	339	115	+9	+0	+0	+2	+11	2.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	69%	511	441	111	21	2	14	58	105	7	10	5	252	348	404	751	152	297	21	11	339	115	+9	+0	+0	+2	+11	2.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	68%	503	434	109	21	2	14	57	104	7	10	5	251	347	406	753	154	297	21	11	338	115	+9	+0	-1	+2	+11	2.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	67%	495	429	107	20	2	14	56	103	7	9	5	249	346	403	749	154	296	21	11	336	113	+8	-0	-1	+2	+11	1.9
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	66%	486	421	104	20	2	13	55	103	7	8	4	247	344	397	740	150	295	21	11	333	111	+7	+0	-2	+2	+11	1.7
2036	31	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	477	414	101	19	2	12	54	102	6	7	3	244	340	386	726	143	292	21	11	328	108	+5	+0	-3	+2	+10	1.5
2037	32	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	468	406	98	18	2	12	53	102	6	5	3	241	338	384	722	143	289	22	11	323	105	+3	-0	-4	+2	+10	1.1
2038	33	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	412	357	83	15	1	10	47	92	5	4	2	232	330	364	694	132	285	22	11	316	100	-0	+0	-4	+1	+9	0.6
2039	34	MLB MLE	MIN	60%	367	318	71	12	1	8	41	84	5	2	1	223	321	343	664	119	279	23	11	307	94	-3	+0	-5	+1	+8	0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIN	43%	199	172	43	8	1	5	22	41	3	4	2	250	345	395	741	145	297	21	11	322	110	+2	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.8
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	61%	303	262	66	13	1	8	34	62	4	6	3	252	347	401	747	149	297	20	11	325	113	+5	+0	+0	+1	+7	1.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	66%	346	300	77	15	2	10	38	71	5	7	4	257	350	420	770	163	298	21	11	327	114	+6	-0	+0	+1	+7	1.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	69%	358	310	79	15	2	10	40	73	5	7	4	255	349	413	762	158	298	20	11	328	115	+6	-0	+0	+1	+8	1.5
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	70%	362	314	79	15	2	10	40	74	5	7	4	252	345	408	753	156	298	20	11	329	115	+7	-0	+0	+1	+8	1.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	69%	352	304	78	15	2	10	40	72	5	7	4	257	352	418	770	161	298	20	11	329	115	+6	-0	+0	+1	+8	1.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	68%	344	297	75	14	2	10	39	71	5	7	3	253	349	414	763	162	297	21	11	328	115	+6	+0	-0	+1	+7	1.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	67%	330	285	71	14	1	9	38	69	4	6	3	249	346	400	746	151	296	21	12	326	113	+5	+0	-1	+1	+7	1.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	66%	319	276	69	13	1	9	36	67	4	5	3	250	345	402	747	152	295	21	11	323	111	+4	-0	-1	+1	+7	1.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	311	269	65	12	1	8	35	67	4	4	2	242	338	383	721	141	292	22	11	319	108	+3	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.9
2037	32	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	303	262	64	12	1	8	34	66	4	3	2	244	340	389	729	145	289	22	11	313	105	+2	-0	-2	+1	+7	0.7
2038	33	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	266	231	54	10	1	6	30	59	3	2	1	234	330	364	693	130	285	22	11	307	100	-0	+0	-3	+1	+6	0.4
2039	34	MLB CTX	MIN	60%	220	190	43	7	1	5	25	51	3	1	1	226	326	353	678	126	279	23	11	298	94	-2	-0	-3	+1	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4013	3472	863	163	18	108	451	843	54	66	36	249	344	399	743	151	297	21	11	322	110	+51	-1	-13	+14	+87	14.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	562	139	26	3	17	73	137	9	11	6	247	343	395	738	148	296	21	11	322	110	+8	-0	-2	+2	+14	2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6337	5488	1353	253	27	167	714	1343	86	106	53	247	342	394	736	147	296	21	11	331	110	+78	-0	-20	+22	+135	22.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	139	26	3	17	73	138	9	11	5	247	343	394	737	147	297	21	11	331	110	+8	-0	-2	+2	+14	2.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chase Headleylast yr '18 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,740 PA	8.6	5,740	130	93	263	343	400	+6	+26	27.7	26.7
/162	664	15	11	+0.8	+3.1	3.2	pk7: 26
#2Rickie Weeks Jr.last yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,098 PA	7.7	5,098	161	132	246	344	420	+12	-40	23.3	22.4
/162	664	21	17	+1.5	-5.2	3.0	pk7: 22
#3Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#4Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	7.7	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
/162	664	20	11	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#5César Hernándezlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,797 PA	7.2	4,797	71	91	267	341	375	+17	+1	17.8	18.1
/162	664	10	13	+2.4	+0.2	2.5	pk7: 18
#6Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	6.5	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
/162	664	13	19	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.3	4,187	111	70	248	340	397	+15	+4	18.0	14.9
/162	664	18	11	+2.4	+0.7	2.9	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Sprock (OGILVIE)	21	52→57	43→48	50→55	67	246/342/385	139	298	4	5	21%	11%	110	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	53→62	42→45	54→55	49	253/325/364	110	312	9	12	21%	8%	97	+1.1	271/334/394	123	324	11	17	19%	7%	107	+1.9	270/336/389	118	323	11	18	19%	7%	104	+1.3
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→54	50→65	53→45	44	239/293/388	149	284	20	10	24%	6%	91	+0.7	256/302/442	186	299	26	6	23%	6%	107	+1.9	258/322/495	237	270	35	4	20%	8%	121	+2.8
●Yainer Diaz 2021 · A	22	52→60	45→60	50→40	43	255/292/378	123	296	12	5	18%	4%	88	+0.4	263/298/432	169	306	21	3	21%	4%	103	+1.6	280/313/466	185	314	24	1	19%	4%	114	+1.9
●Ryan Jeffers 2019 · A	22	52→56	43→60	44→40	47	250/320/360	111	317	10	3	24%	8%	95	+1.0	221/288/351	130	297	16	2	29%	7%	81	-0.1	250/339/433	183	282	21	2	19%	10%	116	+1.8
●Miguel Vargas 2022 · AA	22	50→52	49→55	51→50	45	253/303/401	148	297	17	9	21%	6%	98	+1.2	227/306/381	154	270	16	12	22%	9%	95	+0.9	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
●Jordan Walker 2023 · AA	21	54→56	50→55	54→50	43	261/318/421	160	343	16	16	28%	7%	108	+1.9	242/301/387	145	313	15	11	26%	7%	94	+0.9	239/296/396	156	308	18	13	27%	7%	92	+0.7
●Alejandro Kirk 2020 · A	21	51→57	45→50	50→40	56	249/325/385	136	279	12	4	15%	10%	102	+1.5	256/332/399	143	283	15	3	15%	10%	108	+1.9	263/349/394	131	277	16	0	11%	11%	110	+1.4
●Paul DeJong 2016 · A	22	50→51	47→65	52→45	44	245/300/384	139	311	13	13	25%	6%	93	+0.8	242/291/421	179	311	22	4	29%	5%	99	+1.2	250/315/472	223	293	30	4	26%	7%	118	+2.6
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2016 · A	22	46→56	45→55	55→45	54	229/308/356	127	264	13	10	18%	9%	89	+0.5	239/317/346	107	281	10	8	17%	9%	91	+0.6	243/344/432	189	274	24	4	20%	12%	118	+1.8
✕Kelvin Diaz 2008 · A	21	52	47→50	44→45	49	255/327/393	138	287	14	7	16%	7%	105	+1.7	231/292/351	120	283	10	9	21%	6%	82	+0.0	224/279/357	134	275	10	13	22%	4%	79	-0.1
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	47→53	50→55	53→50	44	238/298/398	160	301	17	13	26%	7%	95	+1.0	240/306/401	161	301	18	7	25%	8%	99	+1.3	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
●J.P. Crawford 2016 · AA	21	52→58	41→45	49→50	53	250/315/350	100	290	7	13	16%	9%	90	+0.6	217/291/314	97	267	8	9	20%	9%	74	-0.6	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
●Elijah Dukes 2006 · AA	22	51→52	49→55	51→50	45	254/303/403	149	298	16	16	21%	6%	98	+1.2	245/329/409	164	289	18	14	21%	10%	109	+2.0	235/343/409	174	277	18	13	21%	13%	112	+1.4
●Julio Rodríguez 2022 · AA	21	57→56	50→60	53→55	44	278/336/438	160	355	17	18	26%	7%	118	+2.7	281/338/479	198	347	25	25	25%	7%	129	+3.4	279/337/473	194	342	26	27	25%	7%	123	+3.1
✕Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	43→53	51→55	45→50	48	223/303/383	161	292	19	5	30%	10%	95	+0.9	204/301/365	161	275	19	9	31%	11%	90	+0.6	258/336/412	153	316	16	5	22%	10%	109	+1.5
●Angel Salome 2007 · A	21	52→62	46→50	47→45	44	255/293/389	134	292	13	6	18%	5%	91	+0.7	275/311/408	133	324	12	4	18%	5%	102	+1.5	290/326/423	133	343	12	2	19%	5%	110	+1.2
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	52	213/296/343	130	256	12	15	22%	10%	82	+0.0	230/299/393	163	295	19	11	27%	7%	95	+1.0	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
✕Chase Meidroth 2023 · A	22	49→56	53→40	48→50	50	250/323/425	175	285	20	12	20%	8%	112	+2.2	247/339/344	97	305	9	12	20%	11%	99	+1.2	256/344/352	96	304	9	11	17%	10%	100	+1.3
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	47→48	46→50	48→45	54	232/318/372	139	281	13	11	22%	10%	97	+1.1	223/303/356	133	270	13	9	21%	9%	88	+0.4	215/296/345	130	258	13	9	21%	9%	81	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps