Ryan Sprock — OGILVIE

Ryan Sprock3B Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 205 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION280 act + 186 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†113

AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .357 / .395

PA186

HR4

SB6

K%20

BB%12

BABIP312

ISO138

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.8	$15M	+$15M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.7	$14M	+$13M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.6	$12M	+$12M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+2.3	$10M	+$8M
2035	Arb-2	$7M	+2.1	$8M	+$6M
2036	Arb-3	$9M	+1.8	$7M	+$4M
Totals		$23M		$67M	+$57M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	86	75	16	1	1	2	9	27	2	2	0	213	314	333	647	120	304	31	10	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	86	70	18	1	1	2	14	19	2	2	0	257	395	386	781	129	327	22	16	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	MIN	—	280	234	64	13	1	4	37	44	5	14	9	274	384	389	773	115	316	16	13	345	122	+7	-1	+0	+1	+8	1.5
YTD	21	A	MIN	—	280	222	68	13	1	5	49	31	5	14	9	306	442	441	883	135	332	11	18	396	161	+19	-1	+0	+1	+8	2.8
ROS	21	A	MIN	0%	186	159	41	8	1	4	22	38	3	6	3	257	357	395	752	138	307	20	12	333	113	+3	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.9
ROS	21	MLB	MIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		307	—	—	322	105	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	MIN	—	280	235	64	13	1	4	37	44	5	14	9	272	384	387	771	115	314	16	13	345	122	+7	-1	+0	+1	+8	1.5
TOT	21	A	MIN	—	466	393	105	21	2	8	59	82	8	20	12	267	373	391	765	124	314	18	13	340	118	+10	-1	+0	+2	+13	2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIN	43%	515	443	113	21	3	11	60	105	7	11	5	255	353	391	743	135	305	20	12	333	113	+7	+0	+0	+2	+15	2.5
2028	23	MLB	MIN	61%	529	456	117	22	3	12	61	108	7	12	5	257	353	397	750	140	304	20	12	335	114	+9	+0	+0	+2	+15	2.6
2029	24	MLB	MIN	66%	534	461	118	22	3	13	61	108	7	12	6	256	352	401	753	145	305	20	11	336	116	+9	+0	+0	+2	+15	2.7
2030	25	MLB	MIN	69%	533	460	118	22	3	13	61	108	7	12	6	257	352	402	754	146	304	20	11	337	116	+10	+0	+0	+2	+15	2.7
2031	26	MLB	MIN	70%	528	456	117	22	3	13	60	107	7	12	5	257	352	404	755	147	304	20	11	338	117	+10	+0	+0	+2	+15	2.8
2032	27	MLB	MIN	69%	522	450	115	21	3	13	60	106	7	12	5	256	352	402	754	147	304	20	11	338	117	+10	+0	+0	+2	+15	2.7
2033	28	MLB	MIN	68%	514	442	112	21	2	12	60	105	7	11	5	253	352	391	743	138	304	20	12	337	116	+9	+0	-1	+2	+15	2.6
2034	29	MLB	MIN	67%	505	434	109	20	2	12	59	104	7	10	5	251	350	389	739	138	303	21	12	335	114	+8	+0	-1	+2	+14	2.3
2035	30	MLB	MIN	66%	496	428	108	20	2	12	58	104	7	9	4	252	351	393	743	140	302	21	12	332	112	+7	+0	-2	+2	+14	2.1
2036	31	MLB	MIN	65%	487	420	104	19	2	11	57	103	7	8	3	248	347	381	728	133	299	21	12	328	109	+5	+0	-3	+2	+14	1.8
2037	32	MLB	MIN	65%	478	413	100	18	2	10	56	103	6	6	3	242	341	368	709	126	296	22	12	322	104	+2	+0	-4	+2	+14	1.4
2038	33	MLB	MIN	65%	412	356	85	15	2	8	48	91	5	4	2	239	337	360	697	121	292	22	12	315	99	-0	+0	-4	+1	+12	0.9
2039	34	MLB	MIN	60%	367	317	72	12	1	7	42	84	5	3	1	227	327	338	664	110	286	23	11	306	93	-3	+0	-5	+1	+10	0.4
2027	22	MLB	MIN	43%	222	191	48	9	1	5	26	45	3	5	2	251	350	387	737	136	305	20	12	323	105	+1	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.9
2028	23	MLB	MIN	61%	322	278	70	13	2	7	37	65	4	7	3	252	348	388	736	137	305	20	11	325	107	+2	+0	+0	+1	+9	1.3
2029	24	MLB	MIN	66%	353	305	78	15	2	8	40	72	5	8	4	256	351	397	748	141	305	20	11	327	108	+3	+0	+0	+1	+10	1.5
2030	25	MLB	MIN	69%	366	316	81	15	2	9	42	74	5	8	4	256	353	402	755	146	305	20	11	327	109	+4	+0	+0	+1	+10	1.6
2031	26	MLB	MIN	70%	369	319	81	15	2	9	42	75	5	8	4	254	350	398	748	144	304	20	11	328	109	+4	+0	+0	+1	+10	1.6
2032	27	MLB	MIN	69%	360	311	80	15	2	9	41	73	5	8	4	257	353	405	758	148	304	20	11	328	109	+4	+0	+0	+1	+10	1.5
2033	28	MLB	MIN	68%	352	303	78	14	2	9	41	72	5	7	3	257	355	406	761	149	304	20	12	327	108	+3	+0	-0	+1	+10	1.4
2034	29	MLB	MIN	67%	337	290	74	14	2	8	39	70	5	7	3	255	353	400	753	145	303	21	12	325	107	+3	+0	-1	+1	+10	1.3
2035	30	MLB	MIN	66%	326	281	70	13	1	8	38	68	4	6	3	249	347	388	735	139	302	21	12	322	105	+2	+0	-1	+1	+9	1.1
2036	31	MLB	MIN	65%	317	273	67	12	1	7	37	67	4	5	2	245	344	374	718	128	299	21	12	318	101	+1	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.9
2037	32	MLB	MIN	65%	310	267	65	12	1	7	36	67	4	4	2	243	342	375	717	131	296	22	12	312	97	-1	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.7
2038	33	MLB	MIN	65%	266	230	53	9	1	5	31	59	3	3	1	230	330	343	673	113	292	22	12	306	92	-2	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.4
2039	34	MLB	MIN	60%	220	190	43	7	1	4	25	50	3	2	1	226	326	337	663	111	286	23	11	297	86	-4	+0	-3	+1	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4120	3555	888	163	20	95	475	857	55	78	36	250	347	387	734	137	302	21	12	321	104	+19	+1	-13	+15	+117	14.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	140	26	3	15	75	135	9	12	6	250	348	387	735	137	301	21	12	321	104	+3	+0	-2	+2	+18	2.2
Career	—			—	6692	5770	1445	264	33	153	774	1401	91	130	58	250	348	387	735	137	304	21	12	330	111	+83	+3	-20	+24	+190	28.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	141	26	3	15	75	136	9	13	6	252	349	389	738	138	306	21	12	330	111	+8	+0	-2	+2	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	86	70	18	1	1	2	14	19	2	2	0	257	395	386	781	129	327	22	16	360	134	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chase Headleylast yr '18 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,740 PA	11	5,740	130	93	263	343	400	+6	+26	27.6	26.7
	/162	664	15	11	263	343	400	+0.8	+3.1	3.2	pk7: 26
#2Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	10	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
	/162	664	17	18	260	333	416	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#3Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#4Austin Jacksonlast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,653 PA	9	4,653	65	114	273	333	396	+17	+13	19.5	19.5
	/162	664	9	16	273	333	396	+2.4	+1.9	2.8	pk7: 19
#5César Hernándezlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,797 PA	10	4,797	71	91	267	341	375	+17	+1	17.8	18.0
	/162	664	10	13	267	341	375	+2.4	+0.2	2.5	pk7: 18
#6Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	11	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
	/162	664	13	19	256	330	390	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,292	99	81	251	344	388	+15	+4	18.8	15.6
	/162	664	15	12	251	344	388	+2.4	+0.7	2.9	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Sprock (OGILVIE)	21	55→60	40→45	52→57	70	267/373/391	124	314	8	20	18%	13%	118	+2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	53→63	42→50	54→55	49	251/323/361	110	311	9	12	21%	8%	95	+1.4	276/339/408	132	330	13	17	19%	7%	114	+2.7	278/342/406	128	330	12	18	19%	7%	111	+2.1
●Alejandro Kirk 2020 · A	21	51→57	45→50	50→40	55	247/323/379	133	279	11	4	16%	10%	100	+1.7	254/330/396	142	281	15	3	15%	10%	108	+2.3	262/347/393	131	276	16	0	11%	11%	111	+1.7
●Justin Yurchak 2018 · A	21	51→61	44→45	49→40	53	251/319/370	119	297	12	4	19%	9%	95	+1.4	229/292/323	94	289	7	3	22%	8%	72	-0.2	283/345/393	110	351	11	2	21%	8%	110	+1.4
●Thairo Estrada 2017 · A	21	51→59	42→55	47→55	44	250/294/354	104	298	10	12	20%	6%	81	+0.4	249/289/348	99	294	9	9	18%	4%	77	+0.1	280/334/443	164	322	19	21	19%	6%	118	+2.4
●Angel Salome 2007 · A	21	52→62	46→50	47→45	44	255/293/389	134	292	13	6	18%	5%	90	+1.0	275/311/411	136	324	13	4	19%	5%	103	+1.9	290/327/428	138	344	13	2	19%	5%	113	+1.5
●J.P. Crawford 2016 · AA	21	53→58	41→45	48→50	54	253/321/356	103	294	8	13	16%	9%	92	+1.2	215/289/317	102	264	9	9	21%	9%	70	-0.3	264/356/391	126	308	11	2	17%	11%	114	+2.9
●Curtis Mead 2022 · A	21	53→58	48→55	47→50	44	263/311/414	151	316	14	9	21%	6%	104	+2.0	251/313/406	155	303	15	9	22%	7%	103	+1.9	245/310/394	149	292	15	10	21%	7%	97	+1.0
✕Henry Henry 2008 · A	21	52	41→40	50→60	53	246/331/344	98	291	8	14	18%	9%	95	+1.4	238/298/316	78	271	5	21	13%	6%	72	-0.2	250/305/317	67	277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2016 · A	22	46→56	45→55	55→45	54	229/308/356	127	264	13	10	19%	9%	88	+0.9	237/317/348	111	278	11	8	18%	9%	90	+1.0	247/347/440	192	279	24	4	20%	12%	124	+2.4
✕Kelvin Diaz 2008 · A	21	52	47→50	44→45	49	255/327/393	138	287	14	7	16%	7%	106	+2.2	231/292/351	120	283	10	9	21%	6%	80	+0.4	224/279/357	134	275	10	13	22%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	48→49	47→50	48→45	53	234/319/377	143	286	13	11	22%	10%	98	+1.6	227/305/369	142	277	14	9	22%	9%	91	+1.1	218/298/359	141	264	15	9	22%	9%	83	+0.4
●Matt Duffy 2014 · A	23	51→61	46→45	53→50	50	253/313/385	132	289	14	16	18%	8%	97	+1.5	278/324/394	116	330	9	15	18%	6%	103	+1.9	283/337/389	106	328	9	12	16%	6%	105	+1.8
●Paul DeJong 2016 · A	22	50	47→60	52→45	43	247/300/387	140	314	13	13	25%	6%	92	+1.2	242/291/419	177	315	22	4	29%	5%	98	+1.6	247/312/461	214	291	28	4	26%	7%	115	+2.8
✕Gabriel Moreno 2021 · A	21	47	46→45	52→45	43	231/275/363	132	265	12	7	18%	4%	76	+0.0	277/330/415	138	330	14	8	20%	6%	112	+2.6	277/360/410	133	318	13	6	16%	11%	119	+1.6
●Jordan Walker 2023 · AA	21	54→57	51→55	54→50	42	264/319/433	169	348	17	16	28%	6%	112	+2.6	242/302/390	148	314	16	11	27%	7%	94	+1.3	235/293/388	153	306	18	12	28%	7%	87	+0.6
●Miguel Vargas 2021 · A	21	51→53	41→55	49→50	47	243/298/348	105	300	6	9	21%	7%	81	+0.4	243/304/405	162	287	18	11	21%	7%	99	+1.7	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
●Rob Refsnyder 2014 · A	23	54→60	41→50	52→50	56	256/345/365	109	313	7	15	19%	10%	106	+2.2	268/329/395	127	327	10	11	20%	7%	106	+2.2	274/328/399	125	329	10	10	19%	7%	103	+1.7
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	47→57	44→60	53→60	47	224/318/346	122	316	10	16	30%	9%	91	+1.1	226/282/366	140	328	14	22	34%	5%	80	+0.4	280/327/492	212	333	28	17	24%	5%	128	+2.7
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	52	213/296/343	130	256	12	15	22%	10%	80	+0.4	230/299/397	167	296	19	11	28%	7%	96	+1.5	237/310/439	202	292	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
●Logan Forsythe 2010 · AA	23	53→56	43→55	52→50	54	251/343/365	114	331	10	8	25%	11%	105	+2.1	244/329/350	106	327	8	13	25%	10%	95	+1.4	256/347/413	157	312	17	7	22%	11%	116	+2.6