J.P. Cabrera
C FCL Cardinals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKSTL | 79 | .234/.380/.266 | 0 | 0 | 33 | — | .162/.278/.191 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKSTL | 104 | .247/.385/.400 | 2 | 2 | 39 | — | .156/.269/.244 |
| 2026 | 19 | A/ROKSTL | 236 | .238/.309/.342 | 2 | 4 | 40 | — | .190/.249/.273 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBSTL | 346 | .212/.274/.304 | 4 | 5 | 64 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBSTL | 65 | .218/.281/.318 | 1 | 1 | 69 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBSTL | 144 | .221/.285/.329 | 2 | 3 | 74 | 0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 38
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | — | 79 | 64 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 380 | 266 | 645 | 31 | 300 | 18 | 18 | 314 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | — | 104 | 85 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 247 | 385 | 400 | 785 | 153 | 288 | 16 | 14 | 359 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 100 | 89 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 270 | 315 | 585 | 101 | 273 | 22 | 7 | 263 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | — | 136 | 113 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 257 | 338 | 363 | 701 | 106 | 315 | 19 | 10 | 310 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 79 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 278 | 191 | 470 | 29 | 213 | 22 | 13 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 104 | 90 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 156 | 269 | 244 | 514 | 89 | 184 | 21 | 10 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 100 | 94 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 181 | 230 | 266 | 496 | 85 | 257 | 30 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 136 | 122 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 263 | 279 | 542 | 82 | 252 | 27 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 79 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 278 | 191 | 470 | 29 | 216 | 22 | 13 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals | — | 79 | 64 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 380 | 266 | 645 | 31 | 300 | 18 | 18 | 314 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 104 | 90 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 156 | 269 | 244 | 514 | 89 | 194 | 21 | 10 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals | — | 104 | 85 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 247 | 385 | 400 | 785 | 153 | 288 | 16 | 14 | 359 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 216 | 41 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 67 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 190 | 249 | 273 | 522 | 83 | 260 | 28 | 6 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 236 | 202 | 48 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 48 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 238 | 309 | 342 | 651 | 104 | 297 | 20 | 8 | 290 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 79 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 278 | 191 | 470 | 29 | 213 | 22 | 13 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 104 | 89 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 157 | 269 | 247 | 516 | 90 | 184 | 21 | 10 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 217 | 41 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 67 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 189 | 249 | 272 | 521 | 83 | 254 | 28 | 6 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 79 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 278 | 191 | 470 | 29 | 213 | 22 | 13 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 104 | 89 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 157 | 269 | 247 | 516 | 90 | 184 | 21 | 10 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 217 | 41 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 67 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 189 | 249 | 272 | 521 | 83 | 254 | 28 | 6 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | STL | 0% | 346 | 316 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 90 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 212 | 274 | 304 | 578 | 92 | 281 | 26 | 7 | 262 | 64 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | STL | 34% | 190 | 173 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 217 | 280 | 319 | 599 | 102 | 283 | 26 | 7 | 271 | 69 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | STL | 48% | 297 | 270 | 60 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 75 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 221 | 285 | 330 | 614 | 109 | 284 | 25 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | STL | 54% | 380 | 346 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 95 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 288 | 338 | 626 | 115 | 285 | 25 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | STL | 55% | 434 | 395 | 89 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 108 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 226 | 291 | 345 | 636 | 119 | 287 | 25 | 7 | 286 | 80 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | STL | 56% | 445 | 405 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 110 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 227 | 293 | 349 | 642 | 122 | 287 | 25 | 7 | 288 | 81 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | STL | 56% | 445 | 404 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 110 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 227 | 293 | 349 | 641 | 122 | 287 | 25 | 7 | 288 | 81 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | STL | 55% | 445 | 404 | 91 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 110 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 226 | 292 | 346 | 638 | 120 | 286 | 25 | 7 | 287 | 80 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | STL | 55% | 445 | 404 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 111 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 224 | 290 | 341 | 631 | 117 | 285 | 25 | 7 | 284 | 78 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | STL | 53% | 445 | 405 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 113 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 221 | 287 | 335 | 622 | 114 | 284 | 25 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | STL | 53% | 445 | 405 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 114 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 218 | 283 | 327 | 610 | 109 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 275 | 73 | -15 | +0 | -2 | +8 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | STL | 52% | 422 | 385 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 110 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 214 | 278 | 317 | 595 | 103 | 278 | 26 | 7 | 269 | 68 | -16 | -1 | -3 | +8 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | STL | 34% | 65 | 60 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 281 | 318 | 599 | 100 | 285 | 26 | 6 | 271 | 69 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | STL | 48% | 144 | 131 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 285 | 329 | 614 | 107 | 286 | 25 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | STL | 54% | 206 | 187 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 52 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 289 | 337 | 625 | 113 | 288 | 25 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | STL | 55% | 241 | 219 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 60 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 226 | 292 | 343 | 634 | 117 | 289 | 25 | 7 | 285 | 80 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | STL | 56% | 249 | 226 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 61 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 227 | 293 | 347 | 640 | 119 | 289 | 24 | 7 | 288 | 81 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | STL | 56% | 250 | 227 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 227 | 293 | 346 | 639 | 119 | 289 | 25 | 7 | 287 | 81 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | STL | 55% | 246 | 223 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 61 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 226 | 292 | 344 | 636 | 118 | 288 | 25 | 7 | 286 | 80 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | STL | 55% | 244 | 221 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 61 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 290 | 339 | 629 | 115 | 287 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 78 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | STL | 53% | 238 | 216 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 60 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 222 | 287 | 333 | 620 | 111 | 286 | 25 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | STL | 53% | 234 | 213 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 219 | 284 | 326 | 609 | 107 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 275 | 73 | -8 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | STL | 52% | 220 | 200 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 57 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 215 | 279 | 316 | 595 | 101 | 281 | 26 | 7 | 269 | 68 | -8 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2337 | 2123 | 469 | 95 | 10 | 39 | 168 | 587 | 27 | 42 | 12 | 221 | 286 | 330 | 617 | 109 | 285 | 25 | 7 | 281 | 73 | -65 | +4 | -4 | +42 | +51 | 2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 590 | 130 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 47 | 163 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 220 | 287 | 331 | 618 | 110 | 284 | 25 | 7 | 281 | 73 | -18 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4950 | 4496 | 983 | 192 | 27 | 86 | 359 | 1247 | 60 | 84 | 30 | 219 | 285 | 331 | 616 | 112 | 281 | 25 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -128 | +4 | -7 | +81 | +98 | 4.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 129 | 25 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 164 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 219 | 285 | 331 | 615 | 112 | 282 | 25 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -18 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKFCL Cardinals · 136 PAwOBA .309 → .234 (−74)K% 19.1% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.12% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.21% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 18.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 7.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.89% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .309 → .234; ISO .106 → .080; BABIP .315 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 APalm Beach Cardinals · 100 PAwOBA .256 → .218 (−38)K% 22.0% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.029 | ×1.030 | 17.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×1.030 | 7.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.029 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.23% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .256 → .218; ISO .101 → .084; BABIP .273 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Cardinals · 104 PAwOBA .351 → .226 (−125)K% 16.3% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.35% | ÷0.961 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.42% | ÷1.022 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 9.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 2.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.12% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | ×1.014 | ×0.995 | 12.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.35% | ÷0.990 | ×0.600 | ×1.014 | ×0.995 | 4.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.014 | ×0.995 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.047 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 1.31% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .351 → .226; ISO .153 → .082; BABIP .288 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Cardinals · 79 PAwOBA .307 → .217 (−90)K% 17.7% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.72% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.72% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 12.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 20.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.132 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.307 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 126, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .307 → .217; ISO .031 → .018; BABIP .300 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).