Trey Pooser — OGILVIE

Trey Pooser P Peoria Chiefs

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.31

FIP4.31

K%18.9%

BB%6.4%

K-BB%12.5%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	5	40	174	33	8	3	42%	3.3	13.8%	5.6%	8.2%	1.9%	4.08	3.70	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	5	40	174	33	8	3	42%	3.3	13.8%	5.6%	8.2%	1.9%	4.08	3.70	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	5	40	174	33	8	3	42%	3.3	19.0%	4.6%	14.4%	1.7%	4.08	3.02	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	30	3	69	295	58	20	9	10%	2.3	14.8%	7.9%	7.0%	3.8%	3.93	4.96	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	30	3	69	295	58	20	9	10%	2.3	14.8%	7.9%	7.0%	3.8%	3.93	4.96	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A RAW	STL	11	3	32	128	31	7	2	27%	2.9	24.2%	5.5%	18.8%	1.6%	1.97	2.61	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	STL	19	0	37	167	27	13	7	0%	1.9	16.2%	7.8%	8.4%	4.2%	5.65	5.02	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	STL	64	0	67	284	56	19	8	0%	1.1	19.8%	6.6%	13.2%	3.0%	4.28	4.26	+0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	STL	63	0	66	280	56	19	8	0%	1.1	20.1%	6.9%	13.2%	3.0%	4.30	4.30	+0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	STL	61	0	64	271	55	19	8	0%	1.1	20.1%	7.1%	13.0%	3.1%	4.35	4.39	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	STL	28	0	29	122	24	8	4	0%	1.0	19.8%	6.6%	13.2%	3.0%	4.28	4.26	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	STL	40	0	42	177	36	12	5	0%	1.1	20.1%	6.9%	13.2%	3.0%	4.30	4.30	+0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	STL	46	0	48	203	41	14	6	0%	1.0	20.1%	7.1%	13.0%	3.1%	4.35	4.39	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		113	0	119	502	101	35	15	0%	1.1	20.0%	6.9%	13.1%	3.0%	4.32	3.95	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	59	25	0%	1.1	20.0%	6.9%	13.1%	3.0%	4.32	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		42	8	108	469	68	33	15	19%	2.6	14.5%	7.0%	7.4%	3.1%	3.99	4.49	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		78	15	200	866	125	61	27	19%	2.6	14.5%	7.0%	7.4%	3.1%	3.99	4.49	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trey Pooser (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	18.9%	6.4%	2.9%	—	4.32	20.0%	13.1%	198	+0.01	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	81
Micah Dallas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SW	4.56	15.1%	5.7%	3.6%	.374	4.23	18.2%	9.5%	152	-0.33	3.60	201	80
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	79
Jaycob Deese R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	17.4%	6.8%	4.0%	.309	4.83	13.6%	4.4%	140	+0.15	3.28	208	79
Justin Courtney R 2021 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	19.0%	5.9%	4.3%	.364	6.21	17.3%	5.0%	68	+1.63	4.58	108	79
Reinier Roibal R 2015 · 3.11 FIP	26	SU	3.11	19.1%	4.5%	1.9%	.262	4.37	16.9%	9.8%	35	+1.26	3.11	133	79
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	78
Casey Cobb R 2021 · 3.48 FIP	25	SU	3.48	21.8%	6.2%	2.6%	.261	5.59	17.2%	8.3%	118	+2.11	3.48	191	78
Ian Koenig R 2023 · 3.69 FIP	22	SU	3.69	20.0%	6.6%	2.6%	.310	5.39	15.1%	7.5%	284	+1.70	3.69	303	78
Andres Avila R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	16.0%	5.2%	2.9%	.316	4.13	20.3%	13.9%	73	+0.15	3.98	177	78
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	78
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	77
Trevor Foss R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	25	SU	4.22	14.5%	5.9%	2.9%	.308	3.77	17.3%	13.8%	42	-0.45	3.77	120	77
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	77
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	77
Joe Colón J R 2015 · 3.27 FIP	25	SU	3.27	19.4%	7.4%	1.6%	.312	4.07	20.7%	7.8%	65	+0.80	3.27	113	77
Brad Bass R 2021 · 4.10 FIP	25	SU	4.10	21.6%	8.1%	3.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	247	76
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	76
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	76
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	55	19.9%	6.8%	1.17	4.31
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45