Ian Koenig
P
San Antonio Missions
+0.0
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 225 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2028
ERA5.06
FIP5.06
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%18.2%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%9.4%
IP77
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2028
STUF3030
CTRL5050
CMD3535
K†3040
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 6 | 0 | 19 | 89 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 20.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 4.19 | 3.71 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 16 | 15 | 47 | 197 | 48 | 14 | 7 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.98 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 21 | 21 | 103 | 444 | 71 | 34 | 17 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 5.40 | 6.00 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 2 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | 4.66 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SD | 14 | 14 | 77 | 324 | 51 | 33 | 12 | 15.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 5.42 | 5.42 | -0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | SD | — | — | 86 | 363 | 60 | 35 | 16 | 16.6% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 5.33 | 4.81 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SD | 14 | 14 | 77 | 324 | 55 | 32 | 12 | 17.0% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 5.28 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SD | 14 | 14 | 76 | 322 | 56 | 32 | 11 | 17.5% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 5.20 | 5.20 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SD | 14 | 14 | 75 | 317 | 56 | 31 | 11 | 17.8% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 5.18 | 5.19 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | SD | 13 | 13 | 73 | 310 | 55 | 31 | 11 | 17.8% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 5.19 | 5.21 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | SD | 13 | 13 | 71 | 301 | 53 | 30 | 11 | 17.6% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 5.24 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | SD | 12 | 12 | 69 | 290 | 50 | 30 | 11 | 17.4% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 5.30 | 5.35 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | SD | 12 | 12 | 66 | 279 | 48 | 29 | 11 | 17.1% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 5.38 | 5.43 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | SD | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 45 | 28 | 10 | 16.8% | 10.5% | 3.9% | 5.47 | 5.53 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | SD | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 41 | 27 | 10 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 5.57 | 5.64 | -0.5 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | SD | 56 | — | 56 | 238 | 38 | 26 | 10 | 16.0% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 5.68 | 5.76 | -0.5 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | SD | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 15.6% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 5.81 | 5.89 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 46 | 38 | 180 | 772 | 119 | 61 | 39 | 15.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.09 | 5.60 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 42 | 200 | 856 | 132 | 68 | 43 | 15.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.09 | 5.60 | -0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ian Koenig (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.42 | 15.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% | — | 5.22 | 17.5% | 7.5% | 228 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Echemendia R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.82 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | .286 | 4.37 | 11.0% | 5.9% | 72 | -0.45 | 4.37 | 141 | 92 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.16 | 17.0% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .273 | 2.95 | 22.8% | 15.6% | 188 | -2.21 | 2.59 | 302 | 90 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .338 | 3.89 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.64 | 3.89 | 143 | 89 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 89 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.84 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .321 | 2.58 | 27.5% | 18.5% | 46 | -2.26 | 2.58 | 199 | 88 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.17 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 141 | 87 |
| Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 15.1% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 218 | 87 |
| Scott Burke R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.31 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 4.4% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.55 | 119 | 87 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.69 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 4.63 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.06 | 4.58 | 151 | 87 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.42 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.32 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.90 | 4.42 | 239 | 87 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.74 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 105 | 87 |
| Hunter McMahon R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 16.6% | 8.3% | 2.7% | .301 | 5.92 | 5.7% | 1.8% | 14 | +1.68 | 2.23 | 174 | 87 |
| Ben Sears R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.07 | 16.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 195 | 86 |
| Jake Christianson R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.95 | 13.5% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 188 | 85 |
| Mark Peterson R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.66 | 17.8% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .287 | 4.76 | 13.7% | 1.8% | 52 | +0.10 | 4.66 | 185 | 85 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 85 |
| Brian Glowicki R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.42 | 16.4% | 8.3% | 3.0% | .275 | 3.92 | 26.0% | 14.1% | 62 | -0.50 | 2.30 | 189 | 85 |
| Andrew Gross R 2026 · 6.02 FIP | 25 | SW | 6.02 | 13.7% | 10.6% | 5.0% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 116 | 85 |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 14.0% | 11.4% | 3.5% | .282 | 4.40 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 94 | -0.86 | 3.99 | 419 | 84 |
| Ryan Cook R 2029 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 84 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.