Ian Koenig
P
San Antonio Missions
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 225 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION79 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150141vR 131
ERA5.84
FIP5.84
K%11.4%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%1.3%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 143 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.29 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 6 | 0 | 19 | 89 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 3.2 | 20.0% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 2.4% | 4.19 | 3.55 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 6 | 0 | 19 | 89 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 3.2 | 27.0% | 5.6% | 21.3% | 2.2% | 4.19 | 2.74 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 15 | 47 | 197 | 48 | 14 | 7 | 94% | 2.9 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 4.98 | 5.46 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 15 | 47 | 197 | 48 | 14 | 7 | 94% | 2.9 | 24.4% | 7.1% | 17.3% | 3.6% | 4.98 | 3.89 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 21 | 21 | 103 | 444 | 71 | 34 | 17 | 100% | 4.9 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.40 | 6.15 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 21 | 21 | 103 | 444 | 71 | 34 | 17 | 100% | 4.9 | 16.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 5.40 | 4.85 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 17 | 17 | 79 | 347 | 63 | 28 | 14 | 100% | 4.6 | 14.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.81 | 5.64 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SD | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 31 | 27 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 11.4% | 10.1% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 5.84 | 5.84 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SD | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 11.4% | 10.1% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 5.84 | 5.84 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SD | — | — | 143 | 621 | 94 | 55 | 24 | — | — | 15.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.27 | 5.73 | -0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SD | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 11.4% | 10.1% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 5.84 | 5.46 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SD | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 41 | 29 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 13.7% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.62 | 5.58 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SD | 12 | 12 | 69 | 291 | 42 | 29 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 14.4% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.53 | 5.53 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SD | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 6.2 | 13.7% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.62 | 5.58 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SD | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 14.4% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.53 | 5.53 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 13 | 76 | 320 | 45 | 32 | 12 | 100% | 5.8 | 14.1% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.57 | 5.18 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 119 | 84 | 32 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.1% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.57 | 5.18 | +0.5 | ||
| Career | — | 61 | 53 | 249 | 1080 | 161 | 90 | 54 | 87% | 4.1 | 14.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.02 | 5.63 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 43 | 200 | 866 | 129 | 72 | 43 | 87% | 4.1 | 14.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.02 | 5.63 | -0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ian Koenig (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.84 | 11.4% | 10.1% | 3.7% | — | 5.56 | 14.1% | 4.2% | 139 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Jarred Cosart R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 86 |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.42 | 14.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .282 | 4.43 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 94 | -0.99 | 3.93 | 419 | 84 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.05 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 106 | 83 |
| Javier Solano R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 11.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | .331 | 4.06 | 12.3% | 7.3% | 275 | -0.93 | 3.63 | 506 | 81 |
| Allen Webster R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.50 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.51 | 4.43 | 177 | 80 |
| Parker Smith R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.01 | 13.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.22 | 132 | 79 |
| Tyler Carpenter R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.04 | 11.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .287 | 4.05 | 13.8% | 6.3% | 49 | -0.99 | 3.74 | 296 | 78 |
| Drew Gagnon R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.6% | 12.6% | 3.8% | .313 | 4.01 | 20.4% | 12.2% | 311 | -1.77 | 3.74 | 534 | 78 |
| William Fleming R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.45 | 10.1% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .337 | 4.39 | 14.7% | 6.3% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.92 | 438 | 78 |
| Grahamm Wiest R 2024 · 5.51 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.51 | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.51 | 120 | 77 |
| Chase Solesky R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 2.7% | .322 | 4.57 | 16.0% | 7.7% | 241 | -0.16 | 4.08 | 536 | 77 |
| Sam Wolff R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.61 | 13.9% | 15.0% | 3.3% | .278 | 3.15 | 25.1% | 15.5% | 106 | -2.46 | 2.74 | 178 | 77 |
| Lauro Ramirez R 2026 · 6.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 6.21 | 9.5% | 10.1% | 4.8% | .382 | 5.19 | 7.2% | -3.4% | 90 | -1.02 | 5.19 | 140 | 77 |
| Marcelo Perez R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.45 | 13.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | .255 | 4.76 | 16.4% | 4.0% | 21 | -0.69 | 4.02 | 285 | 77 |
| Nestor Molina R 2028 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 77 |
| Chris McElvain R 2026 · 6.60 FIP | 25 | SP | 6.60 | 14.8% | 13.3% | 5.6% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 287 | 77 |
| Sam Tewes R 2024 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.68 | 11.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 105 | 76 |
| Peyton Stumbo R 2025 · 5.49 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.49 | 14.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 235 | 76 |
| Thomas Farr R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.21 | 12.6% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .295 | 5.50 | 9.9% | -1.1% | 67 | +0.29 | 4.93 | 408 | 76 |
| Kevin Biondic R 2024 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.39 | 8.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.39 | 100 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 13.2% | 10.0% | 1.42 | 5.66 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |