Ryan Hawks
P
Arkansas Travelers
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 235 lbs
AA
peak 0.9 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 120
ERA5.30
FIP5.30
K%12.4%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%3.5%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 132 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 13 | 54 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 2.2 | 25.9% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 2.77 | 2.08 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 13 | 54 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 2.2 | 25.9% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 2.77 | 2.10 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 25 | 25 | 121 | 537 | 95 | 34 | 22 | 100% | 4.8 | 13.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.59 | 4.95 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 25 | 25 | 121 | 537 | 95 | 34 | 22 | 100% | 4.8 | 17.7% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 5.59 | 4.74 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 22 | 21 | 116 | 475 | 86 | 34 | 13 | 95% | 5.3 | 13.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.79 | 4.72 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 22 | 21 | 116 | 475 | 86 | 34 | 13 | 95% | 5.3 | 18.1% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 2.7% | 3.79 | 3.95 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 15 | 14 | 67 | 294 | 53 | 29 | 10 | 93% | 4.5 | 14.6% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.37 | 5.48 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.30 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SEA | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.30 | 5.30 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 132 | 568 | 87 | 53 | 19 | — | — | 15.3% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.34 | 5.39 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.30 | 4.92 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 14 | 14 | 82 | 348 | 50 | 31 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 5.14 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 14 | 14 | 81 | 343 | 51 | 30 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 5.07 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 13 | 13 | 79 | 333 | 57 | 27 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 4.92 | 4.85 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 13 | 13 | 75 | 318 | 54 | 26 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 71 | 299 | 50 | 26 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 5.06 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 5.14 | 5.10 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 6.4 | 15.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 5.07 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 10 | 59 | 249 | 43 | 20 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 4.92 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 44 | 21 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 4.96 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 43 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 5.06 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 45 | 45 | 271 | 1143 | 186 | 97 | 38 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 5.02 | 4.64 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 137 | 72 | 28 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 5.02 | 4.64 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 68 | 66 | 317 | 1360 | 196 | 115 | 48 | 97% | 4.7 | 14.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.77 | 4.87 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 42 | 200 | 858 | 124 | 73 | 30 | 97% | 4.7 | 14.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.77 | 4.87 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Hawks (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.30 | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.2% | — | 5.01 | 15.5% | 7.0% | 242 | -0.29 | — | — | — |
| Jarred Cosart R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 90 |
| Javier Solano R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 11.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | .331 | 4.06 | 12.3% | 7.3% | 275 | -0.93 | 3.63 | 506 | 87 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.05 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 106 | 84 |
| Jordan Pries R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.15 | 14.0% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .307 | 4.55 | 17.4% | 9.2% | 131 | +0.40 | 4.15 | 219 | 84 |
| Shane Greene R 2027 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.60 | 13.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 3.67 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 191 | -0.93 | 2.90 | 484 | 84 |
| Elliot Morris R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 12.8% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 102 | 83 |
| Wily Peralta R 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.64 | 12.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .314 | 4.52 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 312 | -0.12 | 4.02 | 748 | 83 |
| Allen Webster R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.50 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.51 | 4.43 | 177 | 83 |
| Nick Belzer R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.55 | 12.8% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 112 | 83 |
| Parker Smith R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.01 | 13.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.22 | 132 | 82 |
| Hector Velázquez R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.23 | 15.0% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .297 | 3.33 | 18.1% | 12.8% | 343 | -0.90 | 2.82 | 536 | 82 |
| Caleb Clay R 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.63 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 111 | 82 |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.42 | 14.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .282 | 4.43 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 94 | -0.99 | 3.93 | 419 | 82 |
| Chase Solesky R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 2.7% | .322 | 4.57 | 16.0% | 7.7% | 241 | -0.16 | 4.08 | 536 | 82 |
| Nestor Molina R 2028 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 82 |
| Tyler Carpenter R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.04 | 11.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .287 | 4.05 | 13.8% | 6.3% | 49 | -0.99 | 3.74 | 296 | 81 |
| Thomas Farr R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.21 | 12.6% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .295 | 5.50 | 9.9% | -1.1% | 67 | +0.29 | 4.93 | 408 | 81 |
| Gabriel Arias R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.37 | 13.1% | 7.2% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.96 | 195 | 81 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 81 |
| Colin Welmon R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.69 | 12.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 142 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 78 | 15.4% | 8.6% | 1.27 | 5.08 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Luis Perdomo ('22) | 5 | 90 | 16.6% | 7.8% | 1.08 | 5.09 |
| Josh Fleming ('24) | 5 | 51 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 1.17 | 4.77 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |