Sam Garcia
P
Biloxi Shuckers
Age 24
LHP
6'4" / 218 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 71 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121130vR 139
ERA5.33
FIP5.33
K%17.2%
BB%13.0%
K-BB%4.2%
ROS IP71
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 94 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 15 | 101 | 438 | 107 | 48 | 15 | 60% | 4.0 | 18.5% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.74 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 15 | 101 | 438 | 107 | 48 | 15 | 60% | 4.0 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 3.4% | 4.37 | 4.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 18 | 1 | 24 | 108 | 34 | 16 | 1 | 6% | 1.3 | 25.5% | 16.3% | 9.2% | 1.1% | 5.70 | 3.62 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIL | 67 | 0 | 71 | 299 | 51 | 39 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 13.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.33 | 5.33 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 13.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.33 | 5.33 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 94 | 407 | 85 | 55 | 10 | — | — | 21.0% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 5.42 | 4.90 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 17.2% | 13.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.33 | 4.95 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 68 | 0 | 72 | 302 | 55 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 5.16 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 68 | 0 | 72 | 302 | 57 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 5.06 | 5.03 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 24 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 5.16 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 5.06 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 77 | 0 | 81 | 341 | 63 | 40 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 5.10 | 4.69 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 156 | 99 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 5.10 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 43 | 16 | 125 | 546 | 109 | 73 | 14 | 37% | 2.9 | 19.9% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 4.62 | 4.52 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 26 | 200 | 876 | 174 | 118 | 22 | 37% | 2.9 | 19.9% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 4.62 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sam Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.33 | 17.2% | 13.0% | 3.0% | — | 5.07 | 18.5% | 6.6% | 143 | -0.26 | — | — | — |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.74 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .338 | 4.62 | 12.7% | 2.7% | 41 | -0.12 | 4.27 | 156 | 86 |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.77 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.67 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 179 | -0.10 | 4.57 | 242 | 84 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 84 |
| Hayden Frank L 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.29 | 17.2% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.29 | 109 | 83 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 80 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 79 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 3.54 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 62 | -1.69 | 3.54 | 186 | 79 |
| Larson Kindreich L 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.39 | 21.5% | 18.8% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.71 | 23.0% | 9.0% | 79 | -0.68 | 4.15 | 214 | 78 |
| Drake Britton L 2028 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.82 | 11.1% | 9.7% | 2.6% | .268 | 4.93 | 8.0% | -2.2% | 41 | +0.11 | 4.82 | 125 | 77 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.03 | 16.4% | 18.6% | 3.6% | .303 | 5.89 | 16.3% | -3.3% | 78 | -0.14 | 4.80 | 223 | 75 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 75 |
| Kenny Hernandez L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.97 | 15.4% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .332 | 3.93 | 16.5% | 5.8% | 74 | -1.04 | 3.20 | 424 | 74 |
| Max Roberts L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.07 | 19.3% | 15.2% | 3.0% | .330 | 4.59 | 24.5% | 8.4% | 115 | -0.48 | 4.03 | 173 | 74 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2028 · 4.44 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.44 | 12.5% | 11.5% | 1.7% | .258 | 4.48 | 12.6% | 4.6% | 144 | +0.04 | 4.44 | 188 | 74 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 74 |
| Mason Green L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.22 | 17.9% | 16.7% | 2.8% | .278 | 4.28 | 19.1% | 6.4% | 225 | -0.94 | 3.56 | 410 | 74 |
| Colin Rodgers L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.49 | 16.8% | 9.7% | 2.9% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 313 | 73 |
| Matt Minnick L 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 73 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.49 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.8% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 121 | 73 |
| Graham Osman L 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.68 | 15.1% | 17.4% | 3.0% | .303 | 6.97 | 14.1% | -1.9% | 29 | +1.29 | 4.29 | 151 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 71 | 18.1% | 12.2% | 1.17 | 5.18 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |