Tyriq Kemp

2B Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 24 L/R 5'7" / 156 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1588ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AKC	72	.193/.343/.298	0	5	48	—	.164/.271/.262
2026	23	A+KC	448	.230/.339/.394	13	33	65	—	.195/.277/.319
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBKC	1	.217/.295/.340	0	0	83	0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	25	MLBKC	98	.218/.297/.344	2	3	84	0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	26	MLBKC	168	.219/.298/.347	4	4	85	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed87

Z-Con%86

Whiff%85

Chase%80

K%73

BB%62

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.5, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsTrey Sweeney (age 24) · Brett Nommensen (age 24) · Sherman Johnson (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .295 / .340

PA1

HR0

K%24

BB%9

BABIP270

ISO139

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	72	57	11	2	2	0	11	14	2	5	3	193	343	298	641	105	250	19	15	296	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	448	378	87	13	5	13	58	88	4	33	12	230	339	394	733	164	264	20	13	326	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	72	61	10	2	2	0	7	19	2	5	3	164	271	262	534	98	221	26	10	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	448	395	77	11	4	10	41	112	4	33	12	195	277	319	596	124	237	25	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	72	61	10	2	2	0	7	19	2	5	3	164	271	262	534	98	233	26	10	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	72	57	11	2	2	0	11	14	2	5	3	193	343	298	641	105	250	19	15	296	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	448	395	77	11	4	10	41	112	4	33	12	195	277	319	596	124	243	25	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	448	378	87	13	5	13	58	88	4	33	12	230	339	394	733	164	264	20	13	326	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	72	63	10	2	2	0	7	19	2	5	3	159	271	254	525	95	221	26	10	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	448	400	77	11	4	10	41	112	4	33	12	193	277	315	592	122	237	25	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	72	63	10	2	2	0	7	19	2	5	3	159	271	254	525	95	221	26	10	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	448	400	77	11	4	10	41	112	4	33	12	193	277	315	592	122	237	25	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	KC	0%	380	340	74	13	3	8	34	90	3	11	4	219	297	347	644	128	271	24	9	290	83	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	KC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	217	295	340	635	124	270	0	0	287	83	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	KC	38%	259	232	51	9	2	6	23	61	2	7	2	221	299	352	651	131	272	24	9	293	84	-5	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	KC	55%	303	270	60	11	2	7	27	72	3	8	3	222	300	354	655	133	273	24	9	294	85	-5	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	KC	61%	320	285	62	11	2	7	29	76	3	8	3	222	300	355	655	133	274	24	9	295	86	-6	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	KC	65%	326	291	64	12	2	7	29	78	3	7	3	222	299	353	652	131	274	24	9	294	85	-6	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	KC	64%	321	286	64	12	2	7	29	77	3	7	3	221	298	350	648	129	274	24	9	292	84	-6	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	KC	64%	314	280	62	11	2	7	28	76	3	6	3	218	294	343	637	125	272	24	9	287	81	-7	+0	-2	+1	+7	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	KC	38%	98	88	19	3	1	2	9	23	1	3	1	218	297	344	641	126	271	23	9	289	84	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	KC	55%	168	149	33	6	1	4	15	40	2	4	2	219	298	347	645	128	271	24	9	291	85	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	KC	61%	197	175	38	7	1	4	18	47	2	5	2	220	298	347	645	128	272	24	9	291	86	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	KC	65%	210	187	41	8	1	4	19	50	2	5	2	219	297	345	642	126	272	24	9	290	85	-4	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	KC	64%	207	184	39	7	1	4	19	50	2	4	2	218	295	342	638	124	272	24	9	288	84	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	KC	64%	202	180	39	7	1	4	18	49	2	4	2	215	292	335	627	120	270	24	9	284	81	-5	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1082	963	209	38	6	22	98	259	11	25	11	217	297	337	634	120	272	24	9	288	80	-21	+1	-3	+4	+23	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	126	23	4	13	59	156	7	15	7	218	298	339	637	121	274	24	9	288	80	-12	+0	-2	+2	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2573	2287	492	86	20	56	232	621	25	87	34	215	294	344	638	129	268	24	9	286	80	-39	+2	-4	+7	+44	1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	124	22	5	14	59	157	6	22	9	215	294	343	636	128	268	24	9	286	80	-12	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 448 PAwOBA .320 → .264 (−56)K% 19.6% → 24.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.64%	÷1.000	×1.270	—	—	24.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.95%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.988	9.08%
HBP% /PA	0.89%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	0.70%
Singles /BIP	19.31%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.023	×0.988	17.95%
Doubles /BIP	4.48%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.023	×0.988	3.67%
Triples /BIP	1.72%	÷1.000	×0.850	×1.023	×0.988	1.48%
Home runs /BIP	4.48%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.988	3.54%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .320 → .264; ISO .164 → .134; BABIP .264 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AColumbia Fireflies · 72 PAwOBA .293 → .239 (−54)K% 19.4% → 26.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.44%	÷0.982	×1.360	—	—	26.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.28%	÷1.006	×0.690	—	×0.990	10.38%
HBP% /PA	2.78%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	2.15%
Singles /BIP	16.28%	÷1.099	×0.920	×1.018	×0.990	13.74%
Doubles /BIP	4.65%	÷0.913	×0.830	×1.018	×0.990	4.26%
Triples /BIP	4.65%	÷0.937	×0.910	×1.018	×0.990	4.55%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.086	×0.800	—	×0.990	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 120, 2B 83, 3B 87, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .293 → .239; ISO .105 → .102; BABIP .250 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#4Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,083	24	25	222	296	353	+12	+9	2.2	2.2
/162	664	15	15	+7.1	+5.5	1.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyriq Kemp (OGILVIE)	24	44	41	61	54	217/295/344	127	271	5	6	24%	9%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trey Sweeney 2024 · AA	24	42→45	47→50	54→55	49	213/293/347	134	271	14	19	26%	9%	82	+0.0	222/286/356	134	295	15	16	28%	8%	82	-0.0	219/281/356	137	291	16	15	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Brett Nommensen 2011 · A	24	45	43→40	54→55	49	222/289/335	113	264	10	21	20%	8%	78	-0.3	235/308/332	97	289	7	16	20%	8%	84	+0.1	238/318/327	88	295	5	16	19%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Sherman Johnson 2015 · A	25	47→49	45	52→50	51	231/306/362	131	285	12	13	23%	9%	90	+0.6	203/283/309	106	254	9	15	22%	10%	70	-0.9	200/275/291	91	273	7	11	27%	9%	59	-0.9
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2024 · AA	23	47→48	44→45	57→55	46	230/292/354	124	295	9	20	25%	8%	82	+0.0	211/279/311	100	292	9	17	29%	8%	68	-1.0	200/274/289	89	282	8	17	30%	9%	59	-1.2
✕Anthony Norman 2009 · A	24	46→41	47→50	62→55	51	228/308/371	143	270	13	24	21%	9%	93	+0.8	215/288/341	126	275	11	14	24%	8%	79	-0.2	207/276/315	108	283	7	9	27%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Nate Tenbrink 2011 · AA	24	50→53	46→50	57→50	46	244/306/379	135	310	12	16	25%	7%	93	+0.8	225/296/369	144	309	14	15	30%	8%	88	+0.4	218/292/364	145	330	15	11	36%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Mitch Canham 2009 · A	24	48→49	43→40	54→45	52	234/305/349	115	285	9	10	21%	9%	86	+0.3	219/279/309	90	267	6	6	19%	7%	68	-1.0	205/266/276	71	263	2	11	21%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Quincy Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	45	46→50	53→50	49	225/307/354	128	288	14	18	26%	9%	89	+0.5	207/285/346	139	265	15	12	27%	9%	79	-0.2	185/264/323	139	233	15	10	27%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Blake Tekotte 2011 · AA	24	45→47	48→50	50→55	47	228/290/372	144	279	15	18	24%	8%	86	+0.3	214/274/356	142	286	15	21	29%	7%	77	-0.3	194/258/314	120	261	9	10	28%	6%	59	-0.8
✕Matt Long 2012 · AA	25	49→53	45→50	55	48	238/297/374	136	282	11	17	20%	7%	89	+0.5	227/285/355	128	288	12	19	24%	7%	80	-0.1	217/276/337	120	282	11	21	26%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Chad Oberacker 2013 · A	24	46→50	46→45	57→50	45	228/282/362	134	285	12	18	24%	7%	81	-0.1	207/255/314	107	266	7	15	24%	6%	59	-1.6	210/258/293	83	267	4	16	22%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Brian Dinkelman 2008 · A	24	46→56	44→45	54→50	48	226/289/348	122	267	11	10	20%	7%	80	-0.1	240/300/349	109	284	7	8	17%	6%	84	+0.2	244/302/348	104	289	6	7	17%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A	24	44	47→50	55→60	45	218/290/361	143	291	14	21	29%	8%	84	+0.2	212/285/354	142	287	14	27	30%	8%	81	-0.1	203/277/346	143	276	15	29	30%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Garrett Stubbs 2017 · AA	24	51	43→45	51→50	52	244/312/354	110	277	10	13	16%	8%	91	+0.6	228/293/327	99	277	8	13	19%	7%	77	-0.3	219/308/324	105	279	10	10	23%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Joe McCarthy 2018 · AA	24	50→51	42→45	53→50	54	237/324/353	116	298	8	15	22%	10%	95	+0.9	209/296/341	132	292	12	10	30%	10%	82	+0.0	204/287/361	156	270	18	5	30%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Corey Toups 2017 · AA	24	47→50	44→45	56→50	43	228/290/353	125	303	9	17	27%	7%	82	-0.0	210/272/316	106	316	9	15	34%	7%	67	-1.1	193/260/287	93	304	8	16	37%	7%	53	-1.2
✕Hoy Park 2019 · A	23	46→52	39→45	55	51	220/302/306	86	289	6	17	25%	10%	76	-0.4	234/313/331	97	308	7	16	24%	10%	85	+0.2	217/305/329	112	291	12	18	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Drew Avans 2019 · A	23	45→55	48→45	56→60	49	227/298/370	142	278	15	18	24%	8%	88	+0.5	228/287/350	122	318	12	22	30%	7%	80	-0.2	235/311/348	112	327	7	30	28%	9%	85	+0.2
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	44→40	55→50	47	201/283/322	121	254	11	15	25%	8%	74	-0.6	215/303/306	91	265	8	14	20%	9%	77	-0.3	215/311/283	68	261	5	15	18%	9%	73	-0.3
✕Lance Zawadzki 2010 · AA	25	49→50	44→45	56→50	45	238/294/361	123	303	11	14	25%	7%	85	+0.2	215/261/316	101	285	9	15	26%	6%	61	-1.5	195/232/280	85	261	7	18	28%	4%	39	-1.2

Tyriq Kemp

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps