Tyriq Kemp — OGILVIE

Tyriq KempSS Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 23 L/R 5'7" / 156 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION299 act + 199 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .304 / .348

PA199

HR4

SB9

K%26

BB%10

BABIP283

ISO131

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$2M	+$1.0M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$16M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	72	61	10	2	2	0	7	21	2	5	3	164	271	262	534	98	244	29	10	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	72	57	11	2	2	0	11	14	2	5	3	193	343	298	641	105	250	19	15	296	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	KC	—	299	259	52	8	3	6	30	82	4	21	9	201	294	324	618	124	266	27	10	273	67	-11	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.1
YTD	23	A+	KC	—	299	246	59	10	4	7	43	61	4	21	9	240	362	398	760	159	289	20	14	338	117	+6	+1	+0	+3	+8	1.8
ROS	23	A+	KC	0%	199	175	38	7	2	4	20	52	2	9	3	217	304	348	652	131	274	26	10	287	78	-5	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.4
ROS	23	MLB	KC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						271	0	0	275	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	A+	KC	—	300	260	52	8	3	6	30	82	4	21	9	200	293	323	616	123	264	27	10	273	67	-11	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.1
TOT	23	A+	KC	—	498	434	90	15	5	10	50	134	6	30	12	207	298	334	632	127	273	27	10	279	71	-16	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	KC	38%	329	290	63	11	3	7	32	84	4	10	4	217	304	348	652	131	278	26	10	294	83	-6	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.7
2028	25	MLB	KC	55%	384	339	75	14	3	8	38	97	4	11	4	221	307	351	658	130	279	25	10	297	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.0
2029	26	MLB	KC	64%	416	367	81	15	3	9	41	104	5	12	5	221	308	351	659	131	280	25	10	299	87	-6	+0	+0	+4	+12	1.1
2030	27	MLB	KC	66%	425	375	83	15	3	10	42	106	5	12	5	221	308	357	665	136	280	25	10	300	88	-6	+0	+0	+5	+12	1.1
2031	28	MLB	KC	67%	428	378	83	15	3	10	42	108	5	12	4	220	306	354	660	135	280	25	10	299	87	-6	+1	-1	+5	+12	1.1
2032	29	MLB	KC	66%	421	371	81	15	3	9	42	107	5	11	4	218	306	348	654	129	279	25	10	297	86	-7	+1	-1	+5	+12	0.9
2033	30	MLB	KC	65%	415	366	79	14	3	9	41	106	5	10	4	216	303	344	648	128	278	26	10	295	84	-8	+0	-2	+4	+12	0.7
2027	24	MLB	KC	38%	125	111	24	4	1	3	12	32	1	4	1	216	298	351	650	135	275	26	10	282	74	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2028	25	MLB	KC	55%	213	188	41	7	2	5	21	54	2	6	2	218	303	356	660	138	276	25	10	285	77	-6	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.3
2029	26	MLB	KC	64%	265	234	51	9	2	6	26	66	3	8	3	218	304	350	655	132	276	25	10	287	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2030	27	MLB	KC	66%	279	247	54	10	2	6	27	70	3	8	3	219	303	348	651	130	277	25	10	288	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2031	28	MLB	KC	67%	286	253	55	10	2	6	28	72	3	8	3	217	303	344	647	126	276	25	10	287	78	-7	+0	-0	+3	+8	0.4
2032	29	MLB	KC	66%	277	244	53	10	2	6	28	70	3	7	3	217	305	348	654	131	276	25	10	286	77	-7	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.3
2033	30	MLB	KC	65%	270	238	51	9	2	6	27	69	3	7	3	214	302	345	647	130	275	26	10	283	75	-8	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1716	1516	329	59	13	38	169	433	18	48	18	217	303	348	651	131	277	25	10	286	77	-45	+2	-3	+18	+49	2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	124	22	5	14	64	164	7	18	7	216	302	345	647	129	276	25	10	286	77	-17	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	3089	2722	593	108	25	66	305	785	37	92	36	218	305	349	654	131	279	25	10	295	84	-55	+4	-4	+33	+88	6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	125	23	5	14	64	165	8	19	8	218	305	349	654	131	280	25	10	295	84	-12	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	72	57	11	2	2	0	11	14	2	5	3	193	343	298	641	105	250	19	15	296	84	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,716	38	48	221	304	354	+18	+12	4.1	4.1
	/162	664	15	18	221	304	354	+7.1	+4.6	1.6	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyriq Kemp (OGILVIE)	23	39→44	38→43	60→65	61	207/298/334	127	273	10	30	27%	10%	71	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43	48→55	56→50	47	211/301/358	147	306	15	12	34%	10%	86	+0.8	217/296/385	168	279	20	10	28%	9%	92	+1.2	213/294/385	172	258	21	8	26%	9%	88	+0.7
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Hoy Park 2019 · A	23	46→49	39→45	55	50	218/298/304	86	288	6	17	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/304/324	97	304	7	16	25%	9%	78	+0.2	217/301/336	119	289	13	18	28%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Anthony Norman 2009 · A	24	47→42	47→50	62→55	52	231/311/376	145	274	13	24	21%	9%	95	+1.4	218/293/352	134	280	12	14	25%	8%	81	+0.4	210/282/335	125	290	10	9	29%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Logan Vick 2014 · A	23	48	41→45	52→50	56	225/323/333	108	304	7	15	26%	12%	89	+0.9	193/286/291	98	295	7	13	33%	11%	63	-0.8	143/250/225	82	230	6	13	36%	12%	30	-2.1
✕Drew Avans 2019 · A	23	46→55	48→50	56→60	50	230/303/374	143	281	15	18	24%	9%	90	+1.0	227/285/354	127	322	12	22	31%	7%	78	+0.2	229/293/352	123	335	9	33	32%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	48	45→55	56→55	43	235/298/363	128	318	13	19	29%	7%	85	+0.7	217/270/366	149	357	16	25	41%	6%	75	-0.0	210/278/395	185	354	23	23	44%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Brett Nommensen 2011 · A	24	46	43→40	55	50	226/296/341	115	269	11	21	20%	8%	79	+0.3	240/314/339	99	294	7	16	19%	8%	86	+0.8	247/327/337	90	304	5	16	18%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Nate Tenbrink 2011 · AA	24	49→51	46→50	57→50	45	241/303/376	135	309	12	16	25%	7%	91	+1.1	225/295/372	147	311	15	15	30%	8%	87	+0.8	226/297/380	155	340	17	11	36%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2023 · A	22	47	42→45	57→55	50	224/306/337	113	303	7	21	27%	10%	82	+0.5	210/274/324	114	288	10	18	29%	8%	65	-0.7	193/262/293	100	274	11	19	32%	8%	49	-1.2
✕Ryan Rogowski 2007 · A	23	49→46	40	59→55	52	231/303/334	103	280	6	19	19%	9%	79	+0.3	219/288/309	90	274	4	26	20%	8%	67	-0.5	214/285/300	86	266	4	31	20%	8%	61	-0.8
●Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	82	+0.5	248/300/333	85	280	5	13	13%	6%	77	+0.1	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→53	44→40	58→65	50	212/296/342	129	289	10	19	28%	10%	79	+0.3	222/282/318	96	284	8	44	23%	6%	66	-0.6	217/280/304	88	276	7	49	23%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	45→53	44→45	53→50	48	218/288/344	126	281	9	14	25%	8%	76	+0.1	229/295/348	119	286	9	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	238/306/369	131	290	10	10	21%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Anthony Webster 2006 · A	23	52→55	45→50	57→55	45	255/291/396	141	284	11	16	15%	4%	91	+1.1	249/284/369	120	282	9	20	15%	4%	80	+0.4	247/282/362	115	276	9	22	14%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Thomas Coyle 2014 · A	23	49→50	40	58→55	51	232/303/331	99	293	6	21	22%	9%	79	+0.3	209/277/302	93	295	6	20	29%	8%	61	-1.0	192/262/280	88	279	6	22	31%	8%	46	-1.3
✕Kameron Misner 2021 · A	23	46→43	39→50	54→55	48	217/293/303	87	305	6	13	29%	9%	68	-0.5	199/283/333	134	317	13	21	38%	10%	72	-0.2	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Leon Johnson 2008 · A	23	49	40	58→60	50	229/302/326	97	301	6	22	24%	9%	77	+0.1	218/282/296	78	282	5	17	23%	7%	61	-1.0	200/262/221	21	248	0	22	18%	6%	30	-0.7
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/298/376	137	272	15	16	19%	7%	89	+1.0	226/295/379	153	275	18	9	24%	8%	89	+1.0	216/291/376	160	255	19	8	23%	8%	84	+0.5