Lance Zawadzki
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 28 | AAA/AATOR | 113 | .220/.291/.270 | 1 | 5 | 34 | — | .204/.255/.252 |
| 2015 | 30 | INTLMayos de Navo… | 148 | .237/.315/.389 | 3 | 3 | 98 | — | |
| 2016 | 31 | INTLMayos de Navo… | 51 | .234/.294/.298 | 1 | 0 | 71 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 22 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 33 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 433 | 485 | 633 | 1.118 | 200 | 571 | 24 | 9 | 490 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 520 | 454 | 124 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 54 | 101 | 4 | 28 | 3 | 273 | 354 | 399 | 753 | 126 | 333 | 19 | 10 | 336 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 392 | 346 | 100 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 74 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 289 | 372 | 416 | 789 | 127 | 356 | 19 | 11 | 355 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 164 | 145 | 40 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 276 | 360 | 552 | 911 | 276 | 283 | 18 | 11 | 396 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 42 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 300 | 257 | 557 | 57 | 250 | 17 | 12 | 252 | 38 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA | Portland Beavers | — | 248 | 225 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 57 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 231 | 300 | 298 | 597 | 67 | 304 | 23 | 8 | 275 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 161 | 148 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 216 | 280 | 345 | 624 | 128 | 255 | 21 | 8 | 282 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 352 | 326 | 76 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 76 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 233 | 288 | 383 | 671 | 150 | 281 | 22 | 7 | 298 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 205 | 192 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 262 | 323 | 585 | 99 | 270 | 20 | 4 | 259 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 21 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 278 | 578 | 56 | 308 | 24 | 10 | 257 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 92 | 82 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 289 | 268 | 557 | 49 | 279 | 23 | 8 | 255 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 148 | 131 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 237 | 315 | 389 | 704 | 153 | 277 | 18 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 51 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 294 | 298 | 592 | 64 | 385 | 39 | 6 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 42 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 300 | 257 | 557 | 57 | 250 | 17 | 12 | 252 | 57 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 33 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 333 | 452 | 785 | 161 | 438 | 36 | 6 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 520 | 473 | 107 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 137 | 4 | 28 | 3 | 226 | 288 | 319 | 607 | 93 | 300 | 26 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 392 | 362 | 91 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 90 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 251 | 309 | 356 | 665 | 105 | 327 | 23 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 164 | 152 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 287 | 454 | 741 | 224 | 248 | 24 | 7 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 42 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 250 | 243 | 493 | 54 | 250 | 17 | 7 | 224 | 38 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA MLE | Portland Beavers | — | 248 | 231 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 70 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 221 | 271 | 281 | 553 | 61 | 307 | 28 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 161 | 152 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 204 | 248 | 329 | 577 | 125 | 249 | 26 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 352 | 335 | 66 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 101 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 197 | 234 | 301 | 535 | 104 | 264 | 29 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 205 | 195 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 51 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 190 | 218 | 256 | 474 | 67 | 251 | 25 | 3 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 21 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 263 | 513 | 53 | 276 | 29 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 92 | 84 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 202 | 256 | 250 | 506 | 48 | 269 | 28 | 5 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 33 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 333 | 452 | 785 | 161 | 444 | 36 | 6 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | ROK RAW | AZL Padres | — | 33 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 433 | 485 | 633 | 1.118 | 200 | 571 | 24 | 9 | 490 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 520 | 473 | 107 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 137 | 4 | 28 | 3 | 226 | 288 | 319 | 607 | 93 | 304 | 26 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A RAW | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 520 | 454 | 124 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 54 | 101 | 4 | 28 | 3 | 273 | 354 | 399 | 753 | 126 | 333 | 19 | 10 | 336 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 556 | 514 | 126 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 129 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 245 | 302 | 385 | 687 | 140 | 304 | 23 | 7 | 303 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 556 | 491 | 140 | 25 | 7 | 15 | 62 | 103 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 285 | 369 | 456 | 825 | 171 | 335 | 19 | 11 | 367 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 451 | 421 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 118 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 209 | 257 | 285 | 542 | 76 | 280 | 26 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 451 | 408 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 98 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 223 | 292 | 311 | 604 | 88 | 281 | 22 | 9 | 275 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 352 | 335 | 66 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 101 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 197 | 234 | 301 | 535 | 104 | 266 | 29 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 352 | 326 | 76 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 76 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 233 | 288 | 383 | 671 | 150 | 281 | 22 | 7 | 298 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 205 | 195 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 51 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 190 | 218 | 256 | 474 | 67 | 246 | 25 | 3 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 205 | 192 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 262 | 323 | 585 | 99 | 270 | 20 | 4 | 259 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 113 | 103 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 204 | 255 | 252 | 507 | 49 | 282 | 28 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 113 | 100 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 220 | 291 | 270 | 561 | 50 | 284 | 23 | 8 | 255 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | INTL MLE | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 148 | 131 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 237 | 315 | 389 | 704 | 153 | 277 | 18 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | INTL RAW | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 148 | 131 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 237 | 315 | 389 | 704 | 153 | 277 | 18 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | INTL MLE | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 51 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 294 | 298 | 592 | 64 | 385 | 39 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | INTL RAW | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 51 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 294 | 298 | 592 | 64 | 385 | 39 | 6 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 33 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 333 | 452 | 785 | 161 | 438 | 36 | 6 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 520 | 474 | 107 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 137 | 4 | 28 | 3 | 226 | 288 | 319 | 607 | 93 | 300 | 26 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 556 | 509 | 126 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 129 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 248 | 302 | 389 | 691 | 141 | 304 | 23 | 7 | 303 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 451 | 421 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 118 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 209 | 257 | 285 | 542 | 76 | 281 | 26 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 352 | 333 | 66 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 101 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 198 | 234 | 303 | 537 | 105 | 264 | 29 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 205 | 196 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 51 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 189 | 218 | 255 | 473 | 66 | 251 | 25 | 3 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 113 | 105 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 200 | 255 | 248 | 502 | 48 | 270 | 28 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 42 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 300 | 257 | 557 | 57 | 250 | 17 | 12 | 252 | 48 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 542 | 108 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 108 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 199 | 299 | 256 | 555 | 57 | 249 | 17 | 12 | 252 | 48 | -34 | +3 | -5 | +25 | +14 | 0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2429 | 2250 | 496 | 88 | 18 | 35 | 147 | 627 | 14 | 85 | 16 | 220 | 273 | 322 | 595 | 102 | 289 | 26 | 6 | 239 | 48 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 133 | 24 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 168 | 4 | 23 | 4 | 221 | 273 | 322 | 595 | 101 | 290 | 26 | 6 | 239 | 48 | -34 | +3 | -5 | +25 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2013 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 92 PAwOBA .251 → .219 (−33)K% 22.8% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.83% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.61% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 5.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.23% | ÷0.986 | ×0.970 | ×1.026 | ×0.968 | 25.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | ×1.026 | ×0.968 | 1.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.068 | ×0.950 | ×1.026 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 1.27% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 114, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .251 → .219; ISO .049 → .038; BABIP .279 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAABuffalo Bisons · 21 PAwOBA .251 → .215 (−36)K% 23.8% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷0.987 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 21.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.094 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 5.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.853 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 95, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .251 → .215; ISO .056 → .044; BABIP .308 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 205 PAwOBA .252 → .217 (−36)K% 20.0% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.033 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.39% | ÷1.014 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 3.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.19% | ÷0.985 | ×0.900 | ×1.033 | ×1.003 | 20.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.97% | ÷0.916 | ×0.810 | ×1.033 | ×1.003 | 3.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.033 | ×1.003 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.99% | ÷0.993 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 1.57% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 97, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 107, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .252 → .217; ISO .099 → .078; BABIP .270 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 352 PAwOBA .287 → .234 (−54)K% 21.6% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.59% | ÷0.970 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.53% | ÷1.028 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 4.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.60% | ÷0.929 | ×0.900 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 19.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.20% | ÷1.033 | ×0.810 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 4.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.40% | ÷0.932 | ×0.810 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 2.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.20% | ÷1.161 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 2.19% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 86, 2B 107, 3B 86, K 94, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .287 → .234; ISO .150 → .108; BABIP .281 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAPortland Beavers · 248 PAwOBA .269 → .245 (−24)K% 23.0% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.98% | ÷1.055 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.47% | ÷1.042 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 5.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷0.945 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 24.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷0.945 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 5.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷0.939 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.60% | ÷0.875 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.55% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 89, 2B 89, 3B 88, K 111, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .269 → .245; ISO .067 → .060; BABIP .304 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AASan Antonio Missions · 161 PAwOBA .272 → .242 (−29)K% 21.1% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.12% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.45% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.30% | ÷0.953 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | ×0.998 | 19.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.39% | ÷0.927 | ×0.840 | ×1.034 | ×0.998 | 4.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.129 | ×0.940 | ×1.034 | ×0.998 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.51% | ÷0.869 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.22% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 91, 2B 85, 3B 126, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .272 → .242; ISO .128 → .114; BABIP .255 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AASan Antonio Missions · 392 PAwOBA .343 → .297 (−46)K% 18.9% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 24.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 5.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 1.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.49% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .343 → .297; ISO .127 → .110; BABIP .356 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 164 PAwOBA .381 → .319 (−62)K% 17.7% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 17.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 4.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.760 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 7.84% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .381 → .319; ISO .276 → .237; BABIP .283 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .