Jon Jon Gazdar — OGILVIE

Jon Jon GazdarSS Springfield Cardinals

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION307 act + 204 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .316 / .299

PA204

HR2

SB5

K%17

BB%7

BABIP276

ISO66

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$10M	+$9M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$9M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.6M
2034	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$34M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	71	63	13	2	1	0	5	8	2	2	1	206	286	270	556	63	236	11	7	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	71	61	16	3	1	0	7	5	2	2	1	262	357	344	701	82	286	7	10	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	463	415	100	11	1	1	25	70	21	20	5	241	317	280	596	39	286	15	5	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	463	402	113	15	1	1	37	48	21	20	5	281	371	331	702	50	315	10	8	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	STL	—	307	267	61	9	0	6	26	52	10	9	0	228	320	330	650	101	258	17	8	291	81	-7	+2	+0	+3	+9	0.7
YTD	24	AA	STL	—	307	254	62	10	0	6	38	40	10	9	0	244	363	354	717	110	264	13	12	328	109	+3	+2	+0	+3	+9	1.7
ROS	24	AA	STL	2%	204	180	42	6	0	2	15	35	7	5	1	232	316	299	615	66	276	17	7	289	79	-5	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.4
ROS	24	MLB	STL	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		275	25	0	265	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	STL	—	311	271	62	9	0	6	26	53	10	9	0	229	319	328	648	100	259	17	8	291	81	-7	+2	+0	+3	+9	0.7
TOT	24	AA	STL	—	511	447	103	15	0	8	41	87	17	14	1	230	318	317	636	87	266	17	8	290	80	-11	+2	+0	+5	+14	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	STL	39%	512	454	107	16	1	7	38	88	15	12	2	236	316	322	637	86	277	17	7	293	83	-10	+2	+0	+5	+15	1.2
2028	26	MLB	STL	56%	526	467	112	17	1	9	40	93	14	12	2	240	319	338	657	99	278	18	8	298	86	-8	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.4
2029	27	MLB	STL	62%	530	470	112	17	1	9	41	95	14	12	2	238	318	336	654	98	279	18	8	300	88	-7	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.5
2030	28	MLB	STL	65%	529	468	111	17	1	9	42	96	14	12	1	237	319	335	654	98	279	18	8	300	87	-8	+2	-1	+6	+15	1.5
2031	29	MLB	STL	64%	525	464	110	17	1	9	42	97	14	11	1	237	319	336	655	99	278	18	8	298	86	-8	+2	-1	+6	+15	1.3
2032	30	MLB	STL	64%	518	459	108	17	1	8	41	97	13	10	1	235	316	329	645	94	277	19	8	295	84	-9	+2	-2	+6	+15	1.1
2033	31	MLB	STL	64%	511	453	105	16	1	8	40	97	13	8	1	232	312	325	637	93	276	19	8	292	81	-11	+1	-3	+5	+14	0.8
2034	32	MLB	STL	64%	502	444	101	15	1	7	40	97	13	7	1	227	310	313	623	86	273	19	8	286	77	-13	+1	-4	+5	+14	0.4
2035	33	MLB	STL	64%	434	386	87	13	1	6	34	86	11	5	1	225	306	311	617	85	270	20	8	280	73	-13	+1	-4	+5	+12	-0.0
2036	34	MLB	STL	60%	368	327	72	10	1	5	29	75	9	3	0	220	301	303	604	83	265	20	8	272	67	-14	+1	-5	+4	+10	-0.4
2027	25	MLB	STL	39%	198	175	41	6	0	3	15	34	6	5	1	234	316	320	636	86	276	17	8	272	66	-8	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2028	26	MLB	STL	56%	294	262	63	10	1	5	22	52	8	7	1	240	318	344	662	103	278	18	7	278	71	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2029	27	MLB	STL	62%	326	289	70	11	1	6	25	58	9	8	1	242	322	349	671	107	278	18	8	280	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2030	28	MLB	STL	65%	342	303	72	11	1	6	27	62	9	8	1	238	319	340	659	102	279	18	8	280	73	-11	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.4
2031	29	MLB	STL	64%	339	300	72	11	1	6	27	62	9	7	1	240	321	343	665	103	278	18	8	279	71	-11	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.2
2032	30	MLB	STL	64%	334	296	70	11	1	5	26	62	9	6	1	236	317	331	648	95	277	19	8	276	70	-11	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.1
2033	31	MLB	STL	64%	329	292	68	10	1	5	26	62	8	5	1	233	313	325	638	92	275	19	8	273	67	-12	+1	-2	+4	+9	-0.1
2034	32	MLB	STL	64%	323	287	66	10	1	5	25	62	8	4	1	230	309	324	633	94	273	19	8	268	63	-14	+0	-2	+3	+9	-0.3
2035	33	MLB	STL	64%	279	248	55	8	0	4	22	55	7	3	0	222	303	302	606	81	270	20	8	262	58	-13	+1	-3	+3	+8	-0.4
2036	34	MLB	STL	60%	220	196	42	6	0	3	17	45	5	2	0	214	294	291	584	77	265	20	8	254	53	-12	+0	-3	+2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2988	2652	620	94	7	48	232	555	78	55	8	234	314	329	643	95	277	19	8	273	67	-111	+8	-12	+32	+85	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	134	20	2	10	50	121	17	12	2	232	312	326	637	94	276	19	8	273	67	-24	+2	-3	+7	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	5693	5050	1180	174	12	80	432	1034	160	119	19	234	314	320	634	87	277	18	8	290	80	-129	+16	-20	+61	+161	9.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	134	20	1	9	49	118	18	14	2	232	312	317	629	85	275	18	8	290	80	-15	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	71	61	16	3	1	0	7	5	2	2	1	262	357	344	701	82	286	7	10	319	103	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	47	43	10	2	0	0	3	8	1	0	0	233	298	279	577	47	286	17	6	269	64	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	416	359	103	13	1	1	34	40	20	20	5	287	379	337	716	50	319	10	8	333	113	+6	+2	—	—	+12	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,989	46	55	234	311	327	+30	+18	5.7	5.5
	/162	664	10	12	234	311	327	+6.8	+4.0	1.3	pk7: 5
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jon Jon Gazdar (OGILVIE)	24	60	20	55	35	230/318/317	87	266	8	14	17%	8%	80	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryson Brigman 2019 · AA	24	53→59	37→40	50	45	251/300/324	73	312	4	13	20%	6%	75	-0.0	240/296/324	84	302	5	9	21%	7%	74	-0.1	236/292/330	94	300	7	11	23%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Leonardo Reginatto 2015 · AA	25	57→61	34→30	50→45	48	265/319/321	56	324	1	10	18%	6%	82	+0.5	244/288/308	64	301	3	6	19%	5%	66	-0.6	241/281/302	61	297	3	3	19%	5%	59	-0.8
✕Calten Daal 2018 · AA	24	52→56	36→30	52→50	42	247/289/309	61	319	4	16	23%	5%	66	-0.6	242/275/312	70	326	4	10	26%	4%	60	-1.0	266/284/303	38	356	0	8	25%	2%	56	-0.6
✕Brendan Ryan 2006 · AA	24	53→61	40	54→55	48	254/300/351	98	292	5	14	15%	6%	82	+0.5	245/292/330	85	284	6	17	15%	6%	73	-0.1	259/310/346	87	299	5	20	14%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Brandon Douglas 2010 · AA	24	58→54	36→40	52→50	47	271/318/340	68	307	4	9	13%	5%	86	+0.8	255/296/329	74	303	2	13	16%	5%	74	-0.1	249/290/321	72	300	2	14	17%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Maikol Gonzalez 2010 · A	24	52→60	37→40	52→60	48	245/299/324	79	303	3	15	20%	7%	75	-0.0	224/289/306	82	306	3	16	26%	8%	66	-0.6	260/327/323	63	324	1	31	18%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Chesny Young 2017 · AA	24	59→65	37→30	45→50	50	280/331/354	75	326	3	13	15%	7%	95	+1.4	235/279/291	56	292	3	9	19%	6%	57	-1.2	220/261/254	34	276	1	7	20%	5%	37	-1.7
✕Tony Renda 2015 · A	24	53→58	36→40	52→50	49	246/305/318	72	294	2	15	17%	7%	76	+0.0	248/292/325	77	284	3	16	13%	5%	72	-0.2	250/288/330	80	288	4	14	15%	4%	68	-0.3
●Jake Elmore 2011 · AA	24	52→62	37→40	48→55	52	243/312/318	75	292	3	17	17%	8%	79	+0.3	250/321/331	81	302	4	20	17%	9%	86	+0.8	254/328/337	83	304	4	21	16%	9%	89	+0.8
✕Tim Lopes 2018 · AA	24	53→61	38→45	52→55	45	249/299/335	86	314	4	18	21%	6%	78	+0.2	245/294/343	98	308	6	22	21%	6%	78	+0.2	248/297/348	100	310	6	27	21%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Steve Sollmann 2006 · A	24	53→56	33→30	45→50	48	243/321/288	45	296	1	15	17%	6%	76	+0.1	244/326/309	65	290	3	15	16%	7%	84	+0.6	252/339/318	66	295	2	16	14%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Alberto Robles 2014 · A	23	54	36→30	50→55	46	251/301/318	67	294	3	16	16%	5%	74	-0.1	224/266/308	84	268	6	13	18%	5%	56	-1.3	208/242/279	71	242	6	15	16%	4%	35	-1.1
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2018 · AA	23	52→56	36→40	47→55	45	246/294/309	63	293	3	11	17%	5%	69	-0.4	244/301/332	88	293	6	12	18%	6%	78	+0.2	264/312/341	77	299	6	21	14%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Kevin Russo 2009 · AA	25	52→59	38→40	51→50	42	246/286/333	87	304	4	14	20%	4%	72	-0.2	247/296/325	78	310	4	14	20%	6%	74	-0.1	245/296/316	71	312	4	14	21%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Ramon Soto 2013 · AAA	25	53	37→30	47→45	45	250/294/318	68	299	4	9	18%	5%	71	-0.3	250/300/325	75	304	4	9	18%	6%	76	+0.0	302/344/370	67	379	0	7	19%	5%	103	+0.5
✕Brandon Sandoval 2019 · AA	24	55→58	37→30	50	42	258/302/329	70	342	4	18	25%	6%	76	+0.1	224/267/294	70	319	5	15	30%	5%	53	-1.5	197/234/240	43	291	3	14	32%	3%	24	-1.7
✕Brandon Roberts 2009 · AA	24	52→57	37→40	51→55	44	246/294/314	68	301	5	18	19%	5%	70	-0.3	259/310/336	77	311	5	20	18%	5%	83	+0.6	269/320/340	71	323	4	24	17%	4%	85	+0.4
✕Ozzie Martínez 2012 · MLB	24	51→59	38→40	49→50	45	244/290/327	83	288	5	12	17%	5%	72	-0.2	206/246/273	67	250	4	9	19%	5%	39	-2.5	215/247/273	57	256	5	9	18%	4%	36	-1.6
●Kevin Newman 2018 · AAA	24	52→62	38→45	50	46	247/289/334	86	279	5	10	14%	5%	72	-0.2	264/307/361	97	298	7	16	14%	5%	88	+0.9	275/321/371	96	307	7	18	13%	6%	92	+0.9
✕James Tomlin 2008 · AA	25	51→61	38→40	49→50	44	240/277/326	87	284	4	14	17%	5%	66	-0.6	259/307/346	87	317	4	13	18%	6%	83	+0.6	265/315/349	84	327	3	12	19%	6%	84	+0.5