Jon Jon Gazdar

SS Springfield Cardinals
Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#972ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422ASTL71.262/.357/.3440263—.222/.300/.286
202523AA/A+STL463.281/.371/.33112072—.251/.325/.292
202624AASTL398.240/.352/.35181377—.225/.314/.320
2027PROJMLE25MLBSTL4.238/.314/.31200810.0
2028PROJ39% MLB26MLBSTL94.239/.316/.32212840.2
2029PROJ53% MLB27MLBSTL144.239/.315/.32423840.3
Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
K%97
Whiff%96
Z-Con%92
Chase%77
BB%56
wOBA46
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 1.1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsTony Renda (age 25) · Brendan Ryan (age 25) · Leonardo Reginatto (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†81
AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .314 / .312
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%7
BABIP280
ISO70
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.20.30.20.20.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT60
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202422 APalm Beach Cardinals — 7161 16310 752 21 262357344701 82286 710 319 63 — — — — — —
202523 AASpringfield Cardinals — 4743 10200 381 00 233298279577 47286 176 269 47 — — — — — —
202523 A+Peoria Chiefs — 416359 1031311 344020 205 287379337716 50319 108 333 75 — — — — — —
202624 AASpringfield Cardinals — 398333 801308 445014 130 240352351703 111256 1311 321 77 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202422 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 7163 14210 572 21 222300286586 63247 107 261 63 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 4744 10200 2101 00 227277273549 45277 214 237 47 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 416371 941011 235320 205 253331294625 40286 136 279 75 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 398347 781207 316114 130 225314320634 95242 158 282 77 — — — — — —
202422 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 7163 14210 572 21 222300286586 63250 107 261 63 — — — — — —
202422 A RAWPalm Beach Cardinals — 7161 16310 752 21 262357344701 82286 710 319 63 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE2 teams — 463415 1041211 256321 205 251325292617 41292 145 275 72 — — — — — —
202523 A+ RAW2 teams — 463402 1131511 374821 205 281371331702 50315 108 326 72 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 398347 781207 316114 130 225314320634 95249 158 282 77 — — — — — —
202624 AA RAWSpringfield Cardinals — 398333 801308 445014 130 240352351703 111256 1311 321 77 — — — — — —
202422 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 7164 14210 572 21 219300281581 62247 107 261 63 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE2 teams — 463414 1041211 256321 205 251325292618 41285 145 275 72 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 398350 781207 316114 130 223314317631 94242 158 282 77 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 7164 14210 572 21 219300281581 62247 107 261 63 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE2 teams — 463414 1041211 256321 205 251325292618 41285 145 275 72 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 398350 781207 316114 130 223314317631 94242 158 282 77 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLESTL 2% 380339 801214 266312 91 237314312625 75278 177 288 81 -9 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXSTL 2% 44 1000 010 00 238314312626 74280 250 288 81 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLESTL 39% 244218 52813 17417 61 239315323639 84279 177 292 84 -5 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.4
202927 MLB MLESTL 53% 274245 59914 19488 61 238315325640 87279 187 293 84 -5 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.5
203028 MLB MLESTL 60% 291260 621014 21528 61 237313325638 88279 187 292 84 -6 +1 -1 +3 +6 0.4
203129 MLB MLESTL 62% 294263 621014 21548 51 235311323634 88279 187 290 82 -6 +1 -1 +3 +6 0.3
203230 MLB MLESTL 63% 292262 621014 21557 31 233308320628 87278 197 287 81 -7 +0 -2 +3 +6 0.1
202826 MLB CTXSTL 39% 9484 20301 7163 20 239316322638 83281 177 292 84 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.2
202927 MLB CTXSTL 53% 144129 31502 10254 30 239315324639 85281 177 293 84 -3 +1 +0 +2 +3 0.3
203028 MLB CTXSTL 60% 174155 36602 12315 31 238314324638 86281 187 292 84 -3 +0 -0 +2 +4 0.2
203129 MLB CTXSTL 62% 181161 37602 13335 30 236312322634 86281 187 290 82 -4 +1 -1 +2 +4 0.2
203230 MLB CTXSTL 63% 183163 37602 13345 20 234309319628 86280 197 287 81 -4 +0 -1 +2 +4 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 776692 1612609 5513922 131 233309309619 77277 187 291 79 -16 +2 -3 +8 +17 0.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650580 1362208 4611618 111 234311314624 79279 187 291 79 -13 +2 -2 +7 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 25372260 53780729 17441682 6612 238315318633 80278 167 285 79 -33 +4 -4 +17 +35 1.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 1372027 4510721 173 237315314630 78277 167 285 79 -13 +2 -2 +7 +14 0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AASpringfield Cardinals · 398 PAwOBA .318 → .282 (−36)K% 12.6% → 15.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.56%÷1.000×1.220——15.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.06%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0127.83%
HBP% /PA3.52%—×0.870—×1.0123.10%
Singles /BIP20.85%÷1.000×0.920×1.034×1.01220.08%
Doubles /BIP4.59%÷1.000×0.840×1.034×1.0124.04%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940×1.034×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP2.83%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0122.29%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .318 → .282; ISO .111 → .096; BABIP .256 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Peoria Chiefs · 416 PAwOBA .326 → .279 (−48)K% 9.6% → 12.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.62%÷0.951×1.270——12.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.17%÷1.027×0.710—×0.9985.64%
HBP% /PA4.81%—×0.790—×0.9983.79%
Singles /BIP27.59%÷1.010×0.920×1.011×0.99825.34%
Doubles /BIP4.08%÷1.083×0.810×1.011×0.9983.07%
Triples /BIP0.31%÷0.926×0.850×1.011×0.9980.29%
Home runs /BIP0.31%÷0.857×0.800—×0.9980.29%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 102, 2B 117, 3B 85, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .326 → .279; ISO .050 → .041; BABIP .319 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AASpringfield Cardinals · 47 PAwOBA .262 → .237 (−25)K% 17.0% → 20.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.02%÷0.992×1.220——20.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.38%÷0.987×0.700—×1.0274.65%
HBP% /PA2.13%—×0.870—×1.0271.90%
Singles /BIP22.86%÷0.966×0.920—×1.02722.36%
Doubles /BIP5.71%÷0.916×0.840—×1.0275.38%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.940—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.105×0.800—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 93, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .262 → .237; ISO .047 → .043; BABIP .286 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 APalm Beach Cardinals · 71 PAwOBA .312 → .261 (−51)K% 7.0% → 9.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA7.04%÷0.968×1.360——9.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.86%÷0.999×0.690——6.81%
HBP% /PA2.82%—×0.780——2.20%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷1.040×0.920×1.009—19.11%
Doubles /BIP5.36%÷1.153×0.830×1.009—3.89%
Triples /BIP1.79%÷0.946×0.910×1.009—1.73%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.036×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 108, 2B 131, 3B 89, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .312 → .261; ISO .082 → .069; BABIP .286 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).