Miguel Rivera

C DSL Red Sox Red

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Red Sox R…	107	.180/.291/.191	0	0	1	—	.129/.214/.140
2025	18	ROKDSL Red Sox R…	56	.233/.411/.326	1	0	44	—	.170/.304/.255
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLB—	166	.218/.287/.284	1	1	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLB—	40	.221/.292/.298	0	0	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLB—	126	.225/.295/.309	2	1	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

K%99

Chase%99

Whiff%99

Z-Con%99

BB%92

wOBA69

CompsAndres Melendez (age 20) · Frank Rodriguez (age 20) · Marco Guzman (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj PA

wRC+64

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .285 / .282

PA46

HR0

K%24

BB%8

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	107	89	16	1	0	0	13	21	1	0	0	180	291	191	482	11	222	20	12	230	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	56	43	10	1	0	1	12	2	1	0	0	233	411	326	736	93	225	4	21	352	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	107	93	12	1	0	0	9	27	1	0	0	129	214	140	353	11	160	25	8	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	56	47	8	1	0	1	8	3	1	0	0	170	304	255	559	85	148	5	14	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	107	93	12	1	0	0	9	27	1	0	0	129	214	140	353	11	171	25	8	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	107	89	16	1	0	0	13	21	1	0	0	180	291	191	482	11	222	20	12	230	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	56	47	8	1	0	1	8	3	1	0	0	170	304	255	559	85	163	5	14	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	56	43	10	1	0	1	12	2	1	0	0	233	411	326	736	93	225	4	21	352	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	107	96	12	1	0	0	9	27	1	0	0	125	214	135	349	10	160	25	8	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	56	47	8	1	0	1	8	3	1	0	0	170	304	255	559	85	148	5	14	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	107	96	12	1	0	0	9	27	1	0	0	125	214	135	349	10	160	25	8	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	56	47	8	1	0	1	8	3	1	0	0	170	304	255	559	85	148	5	14	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	—	0%	166	150	32	4	1	1	13	40	2	1	1	218	287	284	571	66	287	24	8	263	64	-7	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	34%	116	105	23	3	1	1	9	28	1	1	0	221	292	298	589	76	288	24	8	270	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	—	48%	261	235	53	7	2	3	21	62	3	2	1	225	295	309	604	85	289	24	8	276	73	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	—	54%	365	329	75	11	2	5	29	87	4	3	1	227	298	320	618	92	290	24	8	281	76	-10	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	—	55%	436	394	91	13	3	7	35	103	4	4	2	230	301	329	629	99	291	24	8	285	79	-11	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	—	56%	478	431	99	14	3	8	39	113	5	4	2	231	302	336	638	104	291	24	8	289	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+10	0.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	502	451	105	15	3	9	41	118	5	4	2	232	302	338	640	106	291	24	8	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	—	60%	514	462	106	15	3	9	42	122	5	4	2	231	301	335	636	104	291	24	8	288	81	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2035	28	MLB MLE	—	62%	516	464	106	15	3	9	42	123	5	2	2	229	299	330	629	101	290	24	8	285	79	-13	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	—	63%	511	460	104	15	3	8	41	124	5	1	1	226	296	324	620	98	288	24	8	281	77	-14	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	—	63%	503	454	102	14	3	8	40	123	4	1	1	223	293	316	608	93	286	24	8	277	73	-16	-0	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2038	31	MLB MLE	—	65%	476	431	94	13	2	7	38	119	4	1	1	219	288	306	593	87	283	25	8	271	69	-17	-0	-3	+8	+10	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	34%	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	221	292	298	589	76	288	25	8	270	69	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	—	48%	126	114	27	4	1	2	10	30	1	1	1	225	295	309	604	85	289	24	8	276	73	-4	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	—	54%	198	178	41	6	1	3	16	47	2	2	1	227	298	320	618	92	290	24	8	281	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	—	55%	242	218	50	7	1	4	20	57	2	2	1	230	301	329	629	99	291	24	8	285	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	—	56%	268	241	57	8	2	5	22	63	3	2	1	231	302	336	638	104	291	24	8	289	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	282	254	60	9	2	5	23	66	3	2	1	232	302	338	640	106	291	23	8	290	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	—	60%	306	275	63	9	2	5	25	73	3	2	1	231	301	335	636	104	291	24	8	288	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	—	62%	318	286	65	9	2	5	26	76	3	1	1	229	299	330	629	101	290	24	8	285	79	-8	-0	-0	+6	+7	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	—	63%	320	288	65	9	2	5	26	77	3	0	1	226	296	324	620	98	288	24	8	281	77	-9	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	—	63%	319	287	65	9	2	5	26	78	3	0	1	223	293	316	608	93	286	24	8	277	73	-10	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	—	65%	309	278	60	8	1	4	25	77	3	0	0	219	288	306	593	87	283	25	8	271	69	-11	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2728	2456	560	79	16	43	222	654	26	12	9	228	299	326	625	98	291	24	8	282	75	-74	-1	-4	+49	+59	2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	134	19	4	10	53	156	6	3	2	229	300	326	626	97	293	24	8	282	75	-18	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4887	4398	986	138	28	75	398	1163	47	27	15	224	295	319	615	95	286	24	8	279	75	-129	-1	-7	+84	+102	5.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	131	18	4	10	53	155	6	4	2	224	295	320	615	96	285	24	8	279	75	-18	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.2	2,775	44	15	228	295	325	+50	+28	5.0	4.6
/162	664	10	4	+11.9	+6.7	1.2	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Rivera (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	216/285/282	66	287	0	0	24%	8%	64	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andres Melendez 2021 · A	20	43	37→50	46→40	46	206/267/283	78	262	4	5	22%	7%	57	-1.8	213/291/333	120	335	11	5	36%	9%	78	-0.3	196/288/335	139	309	13	2	37%	11%	76	-0.2
✕Frank Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	40	36→45	48→30	44	190/262/257	67	265	4	4	28%	7%	50	-2.3	183/239/269	86	267	8	4	33%	5%	43	-2.8	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Marco Guzman 2015 · A	20	38	37→50	44→50	51	181/256/254	72	222	4	7	20%	8%	47	-2.6	202/251/280	78	244	4	7	18%	6%	50	-2.3	218/259/314	97	279	5	8	23%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	39	37→50	47→45	46	188/260/261	73	250	5	9	26%	8%	50	-2.3	207/250/323	116	289	11	6	31%	5%	60	-1.6	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	40	37→45	45→30	42	191/256/259	68	246	4	5	24%	6%	48	-2.5	210/260/300	90	277	8	4	26%	4%	58	-1.7	184/228/264	80	253	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	41→44	36→50	48→45	43	194/262/264	70	258	3	9	25%	6%	51	-2.2	218/281/363	145	322	16	4	35%	7%	81	-0.1	210/279/360	150	310	18	4	36%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Onil Perez 2023 · A	20	43	36→40	46→55	49	200/268/272	73	258	3	7	22%	8%	55	-1.9	220/284/292	72	276	3	17	20%	7%	65	-1.2	222/294/289	67	273	3	21	18%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Ali Sánchez 2017 · A	20	46	35→45	45→40	44	216/269/273	57	275	3	6	22%	6%	55	-1.9	224/262/293	69	271	5	4	18%	5%	57	-1.8	247/298/343	95	318	11	1	25%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Ricardo Genovés 2019 · A	20	42→43	37→45	45→30	43	199/256/273	73	260	4	4	24%	6%	51	-2.3	221/278/327	106	318	10	4	32%	6%	72	-0.7	199/268/313	114	282	13	0	32%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Payton Henry 2017 · A	20	44→32	36→45	45→30	39	207/265/280	74	298	3	5	30%	5%	56	-1.9	186/252/288	102	315	10	3	41%	6%	53	-2.1	244/299/348	104	334	12	0	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	37	39→45	47→45	49	178/272/261	83	262	6	6	32%	10%	55	-1.9	190/264/264	74	295	5	6	34%	9%	52	-2.2	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Xavier Fernández 2015 · A	20	42	35→45	41→40	45	197/251/259	62	249	2	4	21%	6%	45	-2.7	222/269/313	91	268	8	3	20%	5%	64	-1.3	233/283/351	119	276	13	2	20%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	38→40	37→45	47→40	51	178/266/252	74	226	3	8	21%	9%	51	-2.2	196/294/293	97	262	8	6	26%	11%	71	-0.8	190/299/286	95	257	10	4	27%	13%	70	-0.5
✕Jose Gil 2007 · A	20	43	36→45	46→45	45	206/258/273	67	260	4	5	22%	6%	51	-2.2	205/245/291	86	269	7	6	26%	4%	50	-2.3	216/264/335	119	264	13	3	23%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Sebastian Valle 2010 · A	20	42→45	38→45	42→40	43	201/262/286	85	264	4	4	25%	6%	56	-1.9	218/251/336	118	298	12	3	30%	4%	63	-1.4	217/269/329	111	291	11	2	28%	6%	66	-0.6

Miguel Rivera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps