Miguel RiveraC DSL Red Sox Red
Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj PA
wRC+60
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .281 / .290
PA59
HR1
K%25
BB%7
ISO75
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -2.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.01.02.00.10.50.91.21.41.51.51.51.41.21.1+$84M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.5$8M+$7M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.5$7M+$7M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.5$7M+$6M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.4$6M+$5M
2036Arb-2$4M+1.2$4M+$3M
2037Arb-3$5M+1.1$4M+$2M
Totals $14M $35M +$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Red Sox Red — 10795 14100 7331 00 147214158371 11212 317 169 -12 — — — — — —
202417 ROKDSL Red Sox Red — 10789 16100 13211 00 180291191482 11222 2012 230 35 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Red Sox Red — 5649 9101 631 00 184286265551 82178 511 257 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Red Sox Red — 5643 10101 1221 00 233411326736 93225 421 352 128 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202619 MLB— — 5954 12201 4151 10 222288315603 93287 257 264 60 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLB— 34% 150136 30412 11372 11 221289309597 88289 257 275 68 -5 -0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
202821 MLB— 48% 293265 61925 23713 31 230299336635 106291 248 282 74 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
202922 MLB— 54% 400361 821227 31975 41 227297330627 102292 248 288 78 -10 +0 +0 +7 +11 0.9
203023 MLB— 57% 472427 991539 371135 42 232301344645 112293 248 291 81 -10 +0 +0 +8 +13 1.2
203124 MLB— 57% 519467 10916310 411246 52 233304345648 111294 248 293 83 -10 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.4
203225 MLB— 57% 520468 11016311 411246 52 235305353657 118294 248 295 84 -9 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.5
203326 MLB— 56% 520468 11016311 411246 52 235305353657 118294 248 296 85 -9 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.5
203427 MLB— 55% 520467 10916311 421256 52 233305351656 118293 248 296 85 -9 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.5
203528 MLB— 55% 520467 10916311 421266 42 233305351656 118293 248 295 84 -10 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.4
203629 MLB— 53% 520466 10816310 431276 42 232305343648 112292 248 293 82 -10 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.2
203730 MLB— 53% 520466 10816310 431286 41 232305343648 112291 258 290 80 -12 +0 -2 +9 +15 1.1
203831 MLB— 52% 504452 1021529 411256 31 226299327626 102288 258 286 77 -13 +0 -3 +9 +14 0.8
202720 MLB— 34% 5247 11201 4131 00 234308340648 106289 258 275 68 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.1
202821 MLB— 48% 142128 29412 11352 10 227298320618 94291 258 282 74 -4 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.3
202922 MLB— 54% 217196 45714 17522 21 230298337634 107292 248 288 78 -5 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.5
203023 MLB— 57% 267241 56825 21643 21 232302344646 112293 248 291 81 -6 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.7
203124 MLB— 57% 293265 62926 23703 31 234302351653 117294 248 293 83 -6 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.8
203225 MLB— 57% 294266 62926 23703 31 233301350651 117294 248 295 84 -5 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.9
203326 MLB— 56% 294266 62926 23703 31 233301350651 117294 248 296 85 -5 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.9
203427 MLB— 55% 288260 61926 23693 31 235304354658 119293 248 296 85 -5 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.9
203528 MLB— 55% 285257 60926 23693 21 233304354658 121293 248 295 84 -5 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.8
203629 MLB— 53% 278250 58916 23683 21 232304348652 116292 248 293 82 -6 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.7
203730 MLB— 53% 274246 55815 23673 21 224298325623 102291 248 290 80 -6 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.6
203831 MLB— 52% 263236 53815 22653 21 225299331629 106288 258 286 77 -7 +0 -1 +5 +7 0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 29472658 614911758 23671232 2510 231301343645 112293 248 292 81 -62 +1 -4 +53 +83 7.3
/ 162G— — 650586 13620413 521577 62 232302346648 114294 248 292 81 -14 +0 -1 +12 +18 1.6
Career— — 56805108 117217131108 453137266 4819 229301338639 109291 248 288 79 -135 +2 -7 +101 +161 12.5
/ 162G— — 650585 13520412 521578 52 231303340643 109293 248 288 79 -15 +0 -1 +12 +18 1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Red Sox Red — 10789 16100 13211 00 180291191482 11222 2012 230 35 -8 +0 — — +3 -0.5
202518 ROKDSL Red Sox Red — 5643 10101 1221 00 233411326736 93225 421 352 128 +2 +0 — — +2 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA
83,3508521246300398+33+3814.214.8
/162664174+6.6+7.62.8pk7: 15
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,0065825232300344+54+287.36.4
/162664136+11.9+6.21.6pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Miguel Rivera (OGILVIE) 19 — — — — 216/281/290 75287 11 25% 7% 60 -0.1 ————————— —————————
✕Juan Uriarte
2017 · A 		19 41 38→45 46→30 41 199/261/275 76260 55 25% 5% 47 -1.9 210/260/302 92278 84 26% 4% 53 -1.5 184/227/264802547030%3%27-1.0
✕Juan Mora
2019 · A 		19 45 38→45 46→55 49 211/291/293 83275 48 23% 9% 65 -0.7 213/293/327 114268 1014 23% 8% 75 -0.0 214/280/327113274111225%6%67-0.2
✕Jacob Amaya
2018 · A 		19 44→46 39→45 48→45 46 210/278/294 84284 68 27% 8% 59 -1.1 225/302/319 94296 68 24% 10% 76 +0.0 210/281/32811826813625%8%68-0.4
✕Elias Díaz
2010 · A 		19 42→52 41→50 42→45 44 204/265/299 95266 85 26% 7% 55 -1.4 186/235/263 77243 54 25% 5% 32 -3.0 245/304/37813327215016%7%89+0.5
✕Adrian De Leon
2023 · A 		19 42 38→40 47→45 43 199/271/276 78287 57 30% 8% 53 -1.5 193/290/269 76317 65 37% 9% 60 -1.0 155/264/219642696339%10%36-1.1
✕Luis Torrens
2016 · A 		20 43→47 39→55 49→30 44 205/276/287 82282 66 28% 7% 56 -1.3 210/273/295 85266 74 22% 7% 57 -1.2 231/286/39516429821029%7%87+0.4
✕Alixon Suarez
2013 · A 		19 41 39→45 42→40 49 197/283/282 85252 63 23% 8% 59 -1.1 198/259/275 77269 45 26% 6% 46 -2.0 148/180/183352050227%3%-14-1.2
✕Carlos Narváez
2018 · A 		19 46→45 36→50 48→45 46 219/274/285 66269 43 20% 6% 54 -1.4 217/290/287 70304 55 27% 9% 63 -0.9 212/294/34913628516629%9%79+0.2
✕Sebastian Valle
2009 · A 		19 44→49 38→50 43→40 44 208/266/293 85263 54 22% 6% 53 -1.5 212/255/324 112282 103 28% 5% 57 -1.2 229/281/37314330316229%6%78+0.1
✕Ismerling Mota
2017 · A 		19 43 40→45 46→40 41 211/253/301 90262 85 23% 5% 50 -1.8 203/254/278 75282 54 28% 5% 44 -2.1 180/231/230512203019%5%20-0.9
✕Deiber Olivera
2012 · A 		19 44 38→40 50→45 44 210/259/296 86269 48 23% 6% 50 -1.7 236/277/312 76275 37 15% 4% 63 -0.9 255/291/322672892712%3%69-0.1
✕Ricardo Cova
2022 · A 		18 44 38→50 47→55 44 212/278/287 75273 69 24% 6% 57 -1.2 209/268/294 85323 715 35% 6% 55 -1.4 235/286/365130286142022%5%78+0.1
✕Victor Heredia
2018 · A 		18 45 38→50 49→30 42 211/275/293 82307 66 31% 7% 57 -1.2 221/268/323 102290 94 26% 5% 62 -0.9 221/264/32610528110125%4%63-0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez
2021 · A 		19 40→45 41→55 46→55 40 199/248/293 95266 85 28% 5% 46 -2.0 209/269/336 127287 138 30% 7% 66 -0.6 232/295/411179268221622%7%94+1.3
✕Eddys Leonard
2021 · A 		20 42→47 40→55 45→50 44 202/274/296 94295 78 32% 8% 59 -1.1 228/295/379 151303 175 29% 7% 89 +1.0 225/292/37815329318428%6%84+0.6
✕Manuel Joseph
2013 · A 		19 46 41→45 44→50 45 221/274/319 97271 88 21% 6% 63 -0.8 244/300/352 108288 915 18% 6% 83 +0.6 263/321/381118302102115%5%101+0.8
✕Hidekel Gonzalez
2016 · A 		19 48 37→45 45 42 225/275/299 74289 48 23% 5% 59 -1.1 217/266/307 90280 77 24% 5% 57 -1.2 239/291/3471082858818%4%78+0.1
✕Daniel Vellojin
2019 · A 		19 39 39→45 47→45 48 189/268/273 83260 66 28% 9% 50 -1.7 214/303/312 98272 78 22% 10% 76 +0.0 196/299/31111625812627%12%71-0.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia
2022 · A 		19 42→41 39→55 47→50 50 201/285/293 92282 68 29% 10% 63 -0.9 187/257/303 116284 109 35% 7% 53 -1.5 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
✕Chris Suero
2023 · A 		19 41→37 38→45 47→55 49 191/290/273 82290 58 32% 11% 61 -1.0 192/289/292 100287 914 33% 10% 65 -0.7 175/282/297122265132636%10%62-0.6