Isaac Ponce
C ACL Padres| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Padres Br… | 128 | .216/.370/.245 | 0 | 1 | 23 | — | .139/.268/.157 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKDSL Padres Go… | 187 | .266/.392/.429 | 6 | 4 | 36 | — | .154/.263/.235 |
| 2026 | 19 | ROKSD | 93 | .221/.355/.403 | 3 | 0 | 40 | — | .146/.247/.256 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBSD | 203 | .205/.277/.297 | 3 | 3 | 64 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBSD | 36 | .206/.279/.305 | 1 | 1 | 68 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBSD | 94 | .209/.283/.315 | 2 | 1 | 72 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | — | 128 | 102 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 370 | 245 | 615 | 29 | 297 | 22 | 15 | 302 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | — | 187 | 154 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 30 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 266 | 392 | 429 | 821 | 162 | 294 | 16 | 12 | 372 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 93 | 77 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 355 | 403 | 757 | 182 | 280 | 26 | 13 | 345 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 128 | 108 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 139 | 268 | 157 | 425 | 19 | 199 | 27 | 10 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Gold | — | 187 | 162 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 154 | 263 | 235 | 498 | 80 | 169 | 20 | 8 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 93 | 82 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 247 | 256 | 503 | 110 | 214 | 38 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 128 | 108 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 139 | 268 | 157 | 425 | 19 | 205 | 27 | 10 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres Brown | — | 128 | 102 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 370 | 245 | 615 | 29 | 297 | 22 | 15 | 302 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Gold | — | 187 | 162 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 154 | 263 | 235 | 498 | 80 | 180 | 20 | 8 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres Gold | — | 187 | 154 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 30 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 266 | 392 | 429 | 821 | 162 | 294 | 16 | 12 | 372 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 93 | 82 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 247 | 256 | 503 | 110 | 222 | 38 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Padres | — | 93 | 77 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 355 | 403 | 757 | 182 | 280 | 26 | 13 | 345 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 128 | 108 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 139 | 268 | 157 | 425 | 19 | 199 | 27 | 10 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Gold | — | 187 | 161 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 155 | 263 | 236 | 499 | 81 | 169 | 20 | 8 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 93 | 82 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 247 | 256 | 503 | 110 | 214 | 38 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 128 | 108 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 139 | 268 | 157 | 425 | 19 | 199 | 27 | 10 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Gold | — | 187 | 161 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 155 | 263 | 236 | 499 | 81 | 169 | 20 | 8 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 93 | 82 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 247 | 256 | 503 | 110 | 214 | 38 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | SD | 0% | 203 | 182 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 57 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 205 | 277 | 297 | 574 | 93 | 278 | 28 | 7 | 262 | 64 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | SD | 34% | 105 | 94 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 282 | 310 | 591 | 101 | 280 | 28 | 8 | 269 | 68 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | SD | 48% | 193 | 174 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 213 | 286 | 319 | 605 | 107 | 282 | 27 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | SD | 54% | 289 | 260 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 78 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 216 | 289 | 327 | 616 | 112 | 283 | 27 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | SD | 55% | 366 | 329 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 98 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 218 | 291 | 333 | 625 | 115 | 284 | 27 | 8 | 283 | 77 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | SD | 56% | 409 | 368 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 108 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 220 | 293 | 338 | 631 | 118 | 285 | 26 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | SD | 56% | 436 | 393 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 115 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 219 | 293 | 337 | 630 | 118 | 284 | 26 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | SD | 55% | 445 | 401 | 87 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 118 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 218 | 292 | 335 | 626 | 116 | 284 | 27 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | SD | 55% | 445 | 401 | 87 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 119 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 216 | 289 | 330 | 619 | 113 | 283 | 27 | 8 | 280 | 76 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | SD | 53% | 439 | 395 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 119 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 214 | 287 | 323 | 610 | 110 | 281 | 27 | 8 | 277 | 73 | -14 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | SD | 53% | 430 | 388 | 82 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 118 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 211 | 283 | 316 | 598 | 105 | 279 | 27 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -15 | -0 | -2 | +8 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | SD | 34% | 36 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 279 | 305 | 584 | 99 | 275 | 28 | 8 | 266 | 68 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | SD | 48% | 94 | 85 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 209 | 283 | 315 | 598 | 106 | 277 | 28 | 7 | 272 | 72 | -3 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | SD | 54% | 157 | 141 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 286 | 323 | 609 | 111 | 278 | 27 | 8 | 276 | 75 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | SD | 55% | 203 | 183 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 54 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 215 | 288 | 329 | 617 | 114 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 280 | 77 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | SD | 56% | 229 | 205 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 61 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 216 | 290 | 333 | 623 | 117 | 280 | 27 | 8 | 282 | 79 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | SD | 56% | 245 | 220 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 65 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 216 | 290 | 333 | 623 | 117 | 279 | 27 | 8 | 282 | 79 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | SD | 55% | 246 | 221 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 65 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 215 | 289 | 330 | 619 | 115 | 279 | 26 | 8 | 280 | 78 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | SD | 55% | 244 | 219 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 65 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 213 | 287 | 326 | 612 | 112 | 278 | 27 | 8 | 278 | 76 | -7 | -0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | SD | 53% | 235 | 211 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 64 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 211 | 284 | 319 | 603 | 108 | 276 | 27 | 8 | 274 | 73 | -7 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | SD | 53% | 226 | 204 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 62 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 208 | 280 | 311 | 591 | 104 | 274 | 27 | 8 | 269 | 70 | -8 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1915 | 1721 | 365 | 60 | 8 | 38 | 147 | 514 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 212 | 286 | 322 | 609 | 110 | 278 | 27 | 8 | 277 | 71 | -55 | +0 | -2 | +34 | +41 | 1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 124 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 50 | 174 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 212 | 287 | 324 | 610 | 111 | 278 | 27 | 8 | 277 | 71 | -19 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4016 | 3601 | 753 | 131 | 18 | 74 | 310 | 1077 | 77 | 59 | 24 | 209 | 286 | 317 | 603 | 108 | 275 | 27 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -106 | +2 | -4 | +64 | +78 | 3.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 122 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 174 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 209 | 285 | 317 | 603 | 108 | 275 | 27 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -19 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKACL Padres · 93 PAwOBA .333 → .228 (−105)K% 25.8% → 37.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 37.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.30% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 3.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 13.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 4.39% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .333 → .228; ISO .182 → .126; BABIP .280 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 187 PAwOBA .364 → .221 (−143)K% 16.0% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.04% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.30% | ÷1.049 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 8.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.81% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 3.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.064 | ×0.680 | ×0.964 | ×0.995 | 13.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.65% | ÷1.159 | ×0.600 | ×0.964 | ×0.995 | 2.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.600 | ×0.964 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.84% | ÷0.956 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 2.37% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 113, 2B 132, 3B 110, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .364 → .221; ISO .162 → .082; BABIP .294 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 128 PAwOBA .296 → .202 (−94)K% 21.9% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.88% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.84% | ÷1.036 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 10.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.69% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.994 | ×1.008 | 17.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.015 | ×0.600 | ×0.994 | ×1.008 | 2.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.994 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.908 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 95, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .296 → .202; ISO .029 → .018; BABIP .297 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).