Isaac PonceC
DSL Padres Gold
Age 19
R/R
6'2" / 192 lbs
ROK
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 3.4 · 2033
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .287 / .335
PA157
HR3
K%27
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
40→40
SPD
45→45
EYE
48↘45
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.4peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +3.3 | $32M | +$31M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.4 | $33M | +$32M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.4 | $34M | +$33M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +3.3 | $34M | +$28M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $10M | +3.1 | $33M | +$23M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $14M | +2.9 | $32M | +$18M |
| Totals | $33M | $199M | +$166M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 128 | 110 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .155 | .268 | .173 | .440 | .018 | .250 | 33 | 9 | .205 | 15 | -12 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 187 | 164 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .171 | .269 | .287 | .555 | .116 | .202 | 25 | 7 | .243 | 44 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | SD | 157 | 142 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .218 | .288 | .338 | .626 | .120 | .287 | 27 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | SD | 239 | 212 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 62 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .231 | .312 | .368 | .680 | .137 | .294 | 26 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.9 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | SD | 363 | 321 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 92 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .234 | .317 | .380 | .697 | .146 | .295 | 25 | 9 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | SD | 452 | 400 | 96 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 111 | 7 | 9 | 2 | .240 | .323 | .395 | .718 | .155 | .295 | 25 | 9 | .319 | 103 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 2.4 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | SD | 510 | 448 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 49 | 122 | 8 | 9 | 2 | .241 | .327 | .397 | .724 | .156 | .295 | 24 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | SD | 520 | 455 | 111 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 52 | 123 | 8 | 9 | 2 | .244 | .332 | .407 | .739 | .163 | .296 | 24 | 10 | .329 | 110 | +6 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 3.2 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | SD | 520 | 454 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 53 | 122 | 8 | 9 | 2 | .247 | .336 | .416 | .752 | .170 | .296 | 23 | 10 | .332 | 113 | +7 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 3.3 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | SD | 520 | 453 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 54 | 122 | 8 | 9 | 2 | .247 | .338 | .417 | .755 | .170 | .297 | 23 | 10 | .334 | 114 | +8 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 3.4 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | SD | 520 | 453 | 111 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 54 | 123 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .245 | .336 | .413 | .749 | .168 | .297 | 24 | 10 | .334 | 114 | +8 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 3.4 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | SD | 520 | 452 | 111 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 55 | 124 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .246 | .338 | .414 | .752 | .168 | .296 | 24 | 11 | .333 | 113 | +8 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 3.3 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | SD | 520 | 452 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 55 | 125 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .241 | .334 | .403 | .737 | .162 | .295 | 24 | 11 | .331 | 111 | +7 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 3.1 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | SD | 520 | 452 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 55 | 127 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .241 | .334 | .403 | .737 | .162 | .294 | 24 | 11 | .328 | 109 | +5 | +1 | -2 | +9 | +15 | 2.9 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | SD | 504 | 438 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 125 | 8 | 6 | 0 | .237 | .331 | .395 | .726 | .158 | .293 | 25 | 11 | .324 | 106 | +3 | +1 | -3 | +9 | +14 | 2.6 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | SD | 489 | 427 | 98 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 124 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .230 | .323 | .377 | .700 | .148 | .291 | 25 | 11 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +9 | +14 | 2.2 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | SD | 457 | 399 | 92 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 119 | 7 | 5 | 0 | .231 | .324 | .378 | .702 | .148 | .290 | 26 | 11 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -4 | +8 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | SD | 400 | 349 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 108 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .223 | .317 | .367 | .684 | .143 | .288 | 27 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +1 | -5 | +7 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | SD | 340 | 297 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 95 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .219 | .312 | .350 | .662 | .131 | .286 | 28 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -5 | +1 | -6 | +6 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | SD | 279 | 244 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 81 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .205 | .300 | .320 | .619 | .115 | .283 | 29 | 10 | .290 | 80 | -6 | +1 | -6 | +5 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2044 | 37 | MLB | SD | 218 | 191 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 65 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .204 | .296 | .325 | .621 | .120 | .279 | 30 | 10 | .280 | 73 | -7 | +1 | -7 | +4 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2045 | 38 | MLB | SD | 157 | 139 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 48 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .194 | .282 | .302 | .584 | .108 | .274 | 31 | 10 | .270 | 65 | -6 | +0 | -8 | +3 | +4 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8520 | 7452 | 1732 | 299 | 45 | 243 | 855 | 2149 | 140 | 129 | 18 | .232 | .323 | .382 | .705 | .150 | .292 | 25 | 10 | .316 | 100 | -1 | +19 | -46 | +152 | +241 | 37.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 569 | 132 | 23 | 3 | 19 | 65 | 164 | 11 | 10 | 1 | .232 | .322 | .383 | .706 | .151 | .290 | 25 | 10 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +2 | -4 | +12 | +18 | 2.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 128 | 102 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .216 | .370 | .245 | .615 | .029 | .297 | 22 | 15 | .302 | 90 | -1 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 187 | 154 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 30 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .266 | .392 | .429 | .821 | .162 | .294 | 16 | 12 | .372 | 142 | +9 | +1 | — | — | +5 | 1.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Isaac Ponce (OGILVIE) | 19 | 45 | 40 | 45 | 45 | .216/.287/.335 | .119 | .287 | 3 | 2 | 27% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A |
19 | 47 | 43→45 | 44→45 | 48 | .230/.303/.339 | .110 | .271 | 10 | 5 | 19% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .225/.291/.326 | .101 | .280 | 9 | 5 | 22% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .212/.264/.322 | .111 | .252 | 13 | 1 | 21% | 4% | 57 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A |
19 | 46→56 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 46 | .224/.285/.337 | .113 | .288 | 9 | 9 | 25% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .233/.299/.337 | .104 | .295 | 6 | 12 | 21% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .254/.316/.360 | .106 | .307 | 10 | 16 | 19% | 7% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A |
19 | 42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .205/.277/.309 | .104 | .271 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.284/.326 | .102 | .290 | 5 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.280/.337 | .111 | .291 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A |
20 | 48→44 | 45→50 | 48→55 | 46 | .232/.304/.355 | .124 | .309 | 12 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .239/.303/.370 | .131 | .306 | 13 | 16 | 25% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .238/.303/.382 | .143 | .296 | 14 | 19 | 24% | 7% | 90 | +0.7 |
|
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A |
19 | 45→48 | 47→45 | 51→55 | 43 | .223/.287/.361 | .138 | .312 | 14 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .213/.318/.341 | .128 | .297 | 12 | 16 | 29% | 11% | 89 | +1.0 | .203/.315/.324 | .121 | .277 | 12 | 21 | 28% | 12% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A |
19 | 47 | 44→50 | 42→30 | 40 | .230/.273/.349 | .119 | .292 | 11 | 4 | 25% | 4% | 71 | -0.3 | .214/.267/.303 | .089 | .290 | 7 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .176/.240/.214 | .038 | .249 | 3 | 2 | 28% | 6% | 21 | -1.0 |
|
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 46→50 | 46→40 | 47 | .216/.283/.346 | .130 | .273 | 14 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .241/.299/.377 | .136 | .292 | 16 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 90 | +1.0 | .259/.317/.396 | .137 | .305 | 16 | 3 | 20% | 7% | 100 | +1.5 |
|
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 41→50 | 42→30 | 44 | .214/.269/.309 | .096 | .275 | 10 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .248/.300/.359 | .111 | .296 | 11 | 2 | 19% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .261/.327/.424 | .162 | .295 | 21 | 1 | 19% | 8% | 110 | +1.4 |
|
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A |
19 | 48→45 | 43→50 | 47→45 | 50 | .231/.307/.347 | .116 | .285 | 10 | 9 | 22% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .226/.277/.353 | .127 | .290 | 14 | 8 | 26% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .224/.279/.364 | .140 | .271 | 17 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A |
19 | 46 | 40→45 | 44→50 | 45 | .221/.275/.318 | .097 | .272 | 8 | 8 | 21% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .243/.298/.349 | .106 | .288 | 8 | 15 | 18% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .263/.321/.381 | .118 | .302 | 10 | 21 | 15% | 5% | 101 | +0.8 |
|
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A |
19 | 46→54 | 45 | 52→40 | 48 | .224/.296/.359 | .134 | .268 | 11 | 6 | 21% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .237/.302/.349 | .112 | .294 | 10 | 3 | 22% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .234/.338/.350 | .116 | .305 | 12 | 4 | 25% | 11% | 96 | +0.8 |
|
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A |
19 | 42→50 | 45→60 | 43→30 | 45 | .215/.274/.337 | .122 | .275 | 14 | 3 | 27% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.251/.346 | .140 | .279 | 17 | 2 | 32% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .246/.306/.451 | .204 | .321 | 28 | 0 | 31% | 7% | 109 | +2.0 |
|
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A |
19 | 49 | 42→45 | 48→50 | 49 | .233/.310/.344 | .110 | .300 | 9 | 12 | 24% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .223/.286/.295 | .072 | .303 | 4 | 10 | 26% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .219/.279/.260 | .041 | .287 | 0 | 14 | 22% | 6% | 47 | -0.5 |
|
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A |
19 | 43 | 46→50 | 51→55 | 47 | .214/.294/.340 | .125 | .274 | 14 | 15 | 26% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .220/.281/.362 | .142 | .292 | 16 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .205/.253/.387 | .182 | .264 | 22 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A |
18 | 48→41 | 42→45 | 44→50 | 46 | .227/.316/.333 | .107 | .303 | 8 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .212/.309/.337 | .125 | .286 | 12 | 8 | 28% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .203/.305/.339 | .136 | .270 | 15 | 9 | 28% | 8% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Gabriel Moreno 2019 · A |
19 | 48 | 40→45 | 46→45 | 43 | .228/.263/.327 | .099 | .258 | 7 | 7 | 15% | 4% | 60 | -1.0 | .239/.285/.381 | .142 | .269 | 14 | 6 | 17% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .295/.351/.419 | .124 | .354 | 12 | 9 | 19% | 7% | 118 | +1.4 |
|
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 40→50 | 43→45 | 44 | .205/.267/.300 | .095 | .269 | 8 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .185/.233/.263 | .078 | .242 | 5 | 4 | 25% | 5% | 31 | -3.0 | .253/.312/.392 | .139 | .280 | 17 | 0 | 16% | 7% | 96 | +0.8 |
|
●Juan Apodaca 2006 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 48→45 | 46→40 | 40 | .217/.257/.353 | .136 | .263 | 17 | 5 | 25% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .219/.272/.323 | .104 | .274 | 12 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .281/.346/.393 | .113 | .343 | 10 | 3 | 20% | 8% | 110 | +1.3 |
|
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A |
19 | 46 | 44→50 | 45 | 51 | .220/.307/.353 | .132 | .309 | 10 | 8 | 30% | 11% | 87 | +0.8 | .194/.270/.290 | .096 | .293 | 8 | 5 | 33% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .183/.230/.260 | .077 | .238 | 8 | 4 | 26% | 5% | 28 | -1.0 |
|
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2012 · A |
19 | 45→54 | 44→50 | 49→45 | 42 | .222/.275/.334 | .112 | .291 | 11 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .214/.259/.316 | .102 | .269 | 10 | 6 | 23% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .250/.304/.396 | .146 | .292 | 17 | 1 | 20% | 7% | 95 | +0.7 |