Johan Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Johan RodriguezSS Hill City Howlers

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION309 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%6

BABIP243

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	173	141	36	10	1	2	23	26	3	7	1	255	371	383	754	128	286	15	13	333	112	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
2025	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	187	157	34	13	0	2	18	39	10	4	2	217	335	338	673	121	271	21	10	310	96	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	173	150	27	7	1	1	14	40	3	7	1	180	263	260	523	80	213	23	8	236	46	-11	+1	—	—	+4	-0.7
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	187	164	25	9	0	1	11	54	10	4	2	152	249	226	474	73	202	29	6	210	28	-16	+0	—	—	+4	-1.2
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	173	150	27	7	1	1	14	40	3	7	1	180	263	260	523	80	226	23	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	173	141	36	10	1	2	23	26	3	7	1	255	371	383	754	128	286	15	13	333	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	187	164	25	9	0	1	11	54	10	4	2	152	249	226	474	73	216	29	6	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	187	157	34	13	0	2	18	39	10	4	2	217	335	338	673	121	271	21	10	310	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	173	154	27	7	1	1	14	40	3	7	1	175	263	253	517	78	213	23	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	187	164	25	9	0	1	11	54	10	4	2	152	249	226	474	73	202	29	6	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	173	154	27	7	1	1	14	40	3	7	1	175	263	253	517	78	213	23	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	187	164	25	9	0	1	11	54	10	4	2	152	249	226	474	73	202	29	6	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	CLE	—	309	282	45	13	1	7	15	97	8	6	3	160	223	287	510	128	209	31	5	222	36	-23	+0	+0	+3	+7	-1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	CLE	—	101	89	27	10	1	5	6	24	4	4	1	303	374	607	980	303	355	24	6	415	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	CLE	—	208	182	32	9	0	4	20	44	4	2	2	176	272	291	563	115	206	21	10	259	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	CLE	0%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		243	22	0	247	53	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	CLE	—	318	291	46	13	1	7	15	99	8	6	3	158	220	282	502	124	206	31	5	223	37	-24	+0	+0	+3	+7	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	341	312	62	15	1	7	20	86	6	5	2	199	260	321	581	122	249	25	6	260	62	-15	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.4
2028	21	MLB MLE	CLE	48%	439	401	82	19	2	9	27	108	8	7	2	204	268	329	598	125	253	25	6	270	69	-16	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	505	459	96	22	2	12	32	122	9	8	3	209	274	344	618	135	256	24	6	277	73	-16	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	546	495	105	24	2	13	36	131	10	9	3	212	279	347	627	135	257	24	7	281	76	-15	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	573	519	110	25	2	14	38	136	11	9	3	212	280	349	629	137	258	24	7	283	78	-15	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	587	532	114	26	2	15	39	139	11	9	3	214	282	355	637	141	258	24	7	284	79	-15	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	593	537	114	26	2	15	40	140	11	9	3	212	281	352	633	140	258	24	7	285	79	-15	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	592	536	114	26	2	15	40	141	11	10	3	213	281	353	634	140	258	24	7	285	79	-15	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	586	530	113	26	2	15	40	140	11	9	3	213	282	355	637	142	258	24	7	284	78	-15	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	CLE	58%	576	520	110	25	2	14	40	139	11	9	3	212	282	348	630	137	257	24	7	282	77	-16	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	CLE	60%	565	511	107	24	2	14	39	138	10	8	3	209	279	346	625	137	256	24	7	280	76	-16	+0	-2	+6	+12	0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	117	107	20	5	0	2	7	30	2	2	1	187	250	290	540	103	249	26	6	246	62	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	CLE	48%	213	194	40	9	1	5	13	52	4	3	1	206	270	340	610	134	253	24	6	256	69	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	274	249	52	12	1	6	18	66	5	4	2	209	276	337	613	129	255	24	7	262	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	309	280	59	14	1	7	20	74	6	5	2	211	278	343	621	132	257	24	6	266	76	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	324	294	62	14	1	8	21	77	6	5	2	211	277	347	624	136	258	24	6	269	78	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	332	301	64	15	1	8	22	79	6	5	2	213	280	349	628	136	258	24	7	270	79	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	335	304	64	15	1	8	22	79	6	5	2	211	277	345	623	135	258	24	7	270	79	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	328	297	62	14	1	8	22	78	6	5	2	209	277	343	620	135	258	24	7	271	79	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	322	291	62	14	1	8	22	77	6	5	2	213	282	351	633	137	257	24	7	270	78	-8	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	CLE	58%	335	303	64	15	1	8	23	81	6	5	2	211	280	347	627	135	257	24	7	268	77	-9	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	CLE	60%	340	307	64	15	1	8	24	83	6	5	2	208	279	342	621	134	256	24	7	266	76	-10	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3229	2927	613	142	10	76	214	776	59	49	20	209	277	343	620	133	256	24	7	266	74	-91	+2	-2	+35	+70	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	124	29	2	15	43	156	12	10	4	211	278	343	621	132	258	24	7	266	74	-18	+0	-0	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6272	5675	1180	274	22	145	416	1516	122	103	34	208	277	341	617	133	255	24	7	277	74	-170	+6	-4	+63	+128	2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	122	28	2	15	43	157	13	11	4	207	276	338	615	131	255	24	7	277	74	-19	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.2	3,452	81	54	212	276	347	+37	+21	3.5	3.3
/162	664	15	10	+7.1	+4.0	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johan Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	19	30	30	45	35	187/247/293	106	243	3	4	26%	5%	53	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	40	40	46→55	38	195/253/280	85	273	7	8	30%	5%	51	-2.2	200/258/297	97	283	8	10	31%	6%	57	-1.8	204/262/298	94	272	5	15	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	53	-2.1	211/261/303	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	59	-1.6	185/229/266	80	254	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	39	39→45	47→50	45	192/256/277	84	251	7	8	26%	7%	52	-2.2	210/290/338	128	295	14	8	31%	9%	79	-0.2	177/254/299	122	259	13	14	35%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Marco Hernandez 2017 · A	19	40	35→40	47→45	44	186/240/247	61	227	2	8	19%	5%	38	-3.2	215/284/290	75	253	4	7	16%	6%	65	-1.2	204/289/278	74	244	6	4	18%	8%	64	-0.4
✕Raul Juarez 2017 · A	19	42	41→45	42→40	41	208/273/305	97	268	9	6	25%	5%	65	-1.2	204/257/279	75	279	6	5	28%	5%	53	-2.1	180/221/220	41	250	4	2	29%	3%	23	-0.9
✕Ismerling Mota 2017 · A	19	43	40→45	46→40	41	211/253/301	90	262	8	5	23%	5%	55	-1.9	203/254/278	75	282	5	4	28%	5%	51	-2.3	180/231/230	51	220	3	0	19%	5%	30	-0.9
✕Jose Bellorin 2010 · A	19	43	38→40	48→50	39	207/257/287	81	288	5	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	216/271/299	83	268	6	10	21%	6%	62	-1.4	219/276/293	74	257	6	10	17%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2018 · A	19	39	37→45	48→40	44	188/255/263	75	232	5	3	21%	5%	49	-2.4	188/254/255	67	241	4	4	22%	7%	47	-2.6	198/251/279	81	242	7	1	21%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Carlos Narváez 2018 · A	19	46→45	36→45	48→45	46	219/274/285	66	269	4	3	20%	6%	59	-1.6	217/290/287	70	304	5	5	27%	9%	67	-1.1	212/295/344	132	286	15	6	29%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	40→37	38→45	47→40	48	188/271/271	82	247	4	8	24%	8%	57	-1.8	195/289/294	99	262	9	6	26%	11%	70	-0.9	183/285/276	93	245	10	4	27%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Alfredo González 2011 · A	19	41	36→30	48→45	43	193/257/263	71	277	3	9	30%	7%	49	-2.4	184/230/252	68	247	3	9	26%	5%	36	-3.4	224/284/281	57	304	4	8	26%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	288	5	7	31%	8%	58	-1.7	194/291/271	77	319	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	158/267/223	66	272	6	3	39%	10%	45	-1.1
✕Daniel Santos 2018 · A	19	37	36→45	46→40	43	178/255/242	64	250	3	6	28%	7%	45	-2.7	197/260/282	85	284	6	6	31%	6%	55	-2.0	186/247/273	87	269	7	4	31%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	42→45	49→40	40	191/253/297	106	266	9	5	31%	6%	55	-1.9	201/259/305	104	303	9	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	191/250/291	100	290	9	2	35%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Marco Guzman 2014 · A	19	39	36→45	44→50	48	185/262/256	71	249	3	8	25%	9%	50	-2.3	207/264/294	87	251	5	7	19%	7%	58	-1.7	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Yeldrys Molina 2008 · A	19	44	36→40	46→50	44	205/260/274	69	260	3	9	22%	6%	52	-2.2	195/254/274	79	281	4	9	30%	7%	50	-2.3	173/239/256	84	257	3	10	32%	8%	38	-0.8
✕Jose Sanabria 2022 · A	19	39	36→30	44→50	42	183/260/245	62	273	3	10	32%	7%	47	-2.5	202/275/260	58	305	3	10	31%	8%	55	-1.9	194/267/240	47	293	2	11	32%	9%	46	-1.2
✕Luis De La Cruz 2007 · A	19	40	39→30	42→40	40	194/250/277	84	255	6	5	26%	5%	50	-2.3	201/288/264	63	257	3	6	21%	10%	61	-1.5	178/300/202	24	220	0	4	16%	13%	53	-0.7
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	56	-1.9	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	67	-1.1	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	73	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps