Ricardo Paez — OGILVIE

Ricardo PaezOF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 19 L/L 5'10" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION92 act + 61 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .277 / .276

PA61

HR1

K%29

BB%10

BABIP255

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	121	107	19	3	2	2	12	38	1	4	4	178	267	299	566	121	250	31	10	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	121	99	26	4	3	2	20	26	1	4	4	263	392	424	816	162	333	21	17	365	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	124	102	17	2	1	0	12	43	7	13	3	167	298	206	503	39	279	35	10	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	124	95	23	3	1	0	19	30	7	13	3	242	405	295	700	53	343	24	15	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	MIN	—	92	81	13	3	1	1	10	34	0	7	0	160	253	259	512	99	255	37	11	226	31	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
YTD	19	A	MIN	—	92	76	16	4	1	1	15	24	0	7	0	211	341	329	670	118	288	26	16	308	94	-1	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.3
ROS	19	A	MIN	0%	61	54	10	2	0	1	6	18	1	2	0	184	277	276	553	92	267	29	10	256	54	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	MIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		268	—	—	248	48	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	A	MIN	—	92	82	13	3	1	1	10	34	0	7	0	159	253	256	509	98	250	37	11	226	31	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
TOT	19	A	MIN	—	153	135	23	5	1	2	16	52	1	9	0	170	263	266	529	96	255	34	10	238	40	-10	+2	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIN	34%	225	199	40	7	2	3	21	64	3	6	1	201	287	302	589	101	272	28	9	267	62	-10	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
2027	20	MLB	MIN	34%	77	69	14	3	1	1	7	22	1	2	0	203	286	319	605	116	272	29	9	259	56	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	77	70	14	3	1	1	7	22	1	2	0	200	286	314	600	114	277	29	9	259	56	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	117	25	8	8	59	186	8	17	0	198	283	308	591	110	275	29	9	259	56	-32	+3	+0	-4	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	531	462	86	14	5	6	51	163	12	25	8	186	284	277	560	91	269	31	10	250	49	-30	+2	+0	-3	+15	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	105	17	6	7	62	199	15	31	10	186	283	274	557	88	268	31	10	250	49	-37	+2	+0	-4	+18	-2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	121	99	26	4	3	2	20	26	1	4	4	263	392	424	816	162	333	21	17	365	138	+5	-1	—	—	+3	0.8
2025	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	124	95	23	3	1	0	19	30	7	13	3	242	405	295	700	53	343	24	15	331	112	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Paez (OGILVIE)	19	26→31	32→37	55→60	62	170/263/266	96	255	2	9	34%	10%	40	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Jaden Rudd 2022 · A	19	44→36	40→30	51→50	45	207/290/299	92	294	6	11	30%	8%	66	-0.6	182/289/257	75	276	4	13	32%	10%	57	-1.2	157/280/216	59	252	3	16	34%	11%	41	-1.0
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Henry Ramos 2023 · A	18	37	34→45	55	45	175/253/225	50	259	2	17	31%	8%	31	-3.0	179/240/248	69	278	4	16	35%	7%	30	-3.1	199/257/269	70	294	5	20	32%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	41→40	37→40	49→50	44	189/267/264	76	304	4	9	36%	9%	47	-1.9	195/281/283	88	315	5	14	36%	10%	59	-1.1	194/297/288	95	310	5	16	35%	11%	65	-0.4
✕Cole Roederer 2019 · A	19	41→31	43→45	53→50	41	205/260/318	113	293	11	15	33%	7%	57	-1.2	189/259/288	99	290	9	12	35%	8%	50	-1.7	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	40	-2.4	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	49	-1.8	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	23	-0.9
✕Danny Drullard 2019 · A	19	39	42→45	52→50	45	195/263/301	106	268	9	10	30%	8%	54	-1.4	198/260/301	103	293	9	9	33%	7%	53	-1.5	176/239/288	112	254	11	8	34%	7%	38	-1.1
✕Sandy Acevedo 2012 · A	19	40	37→45	51→50	38	189/252/264	74	291	4	12	34%	6%	40	-2.4	195/266/310	115	284	10	10	33%	7%	59	-1.1	173/254/316	143	241	13	10	32%	8%	53	-0.5
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	42	-2.3	225/287/323	98	318	6	19	29%	7%	70	-0.3	201/262/323	122	304	12	21	36%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Omar Lebron 2018 · A	19	43	38→40	53→55	51	202/287/279	78	251	5	20	21%	9%	60	-1.0	189/263/285	96	256	8	11	28%	7%	51	-1.7	154/228/257	103	209	10	8	30%	6%	29	-0.9
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2016 · A	19	34	36→30	51→50	43	168/238/234	66	250	4	10	33%	8%	27	-3.3	179/237/253	74	242	5	9	27%	6%	31	-3.0	164/220/234	70	213	4	8	24%	5%	17	-1.4
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	45→42	39→40	54→50	49	212/301/304	92	297	6	15	28%	10%	72	-0.2	195/269/291	96	274	7	11	29%	9%	55	-1.4	181/270/264	83	253	5	13	28%	11%	47	-0.9
✕Telmito Agustin 2016 · A	19	49→41	39→45	57→50	46	231/288/332	101	295	5	17	22%	7%	72	-0.2	226/262/328	102	322	8	13	31%	4%	59	-1.1	226/258/333	106	321	10	12	32%	4%	57	-0.6
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Nicoll Parra 2013 · A	19	41	34→30	48→55	56	189/304/245	56	267	1	16	26%	12%	60	-1.0	206/303/261	55	271	2	17	22%	10%	63	-0.9	194/328/224	30	251	0	34	19%	14%	62	-0.2
✕Luis Castillo 2023 · A	19	43→25	39→45	48→40	42	207/266/291	84	290	6	7	30%	7%	53	-1.5	181/248/280	99	275	10	4	36%	8%	43	-2.2	149/230/273	124	212	16	2	36%	9%	33	-1.4
✕Albert Fabian 2021 · A	19	43→34	39→50	47→40	44	203/274/294	91	290	6	7	30%	8%	58	-1.2	194/254/317	123	294	14	5	37%	7%	56	-1.3	212/269/333	121	257	14	6	23%	6%	63	-0.3