Alexander RinconOF
DSL Orioles Black
Age 19
L/L
6'2" / 175 lbs
ROK
HR +8%BB -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.5 · 2033
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .281 / .324
PA179
HR3
K%26
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
20→20
SPD
60→60
EYE
41↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.5peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.3 | $22M | +$21M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.5 | $25M | +$24M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.5 | $25M | +$24M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +2.4 | $25M | +$20M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +2.1 | $23M | +$16M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +1.9 | $21M | +$12M |
| Totals | $24M | $141M | +$116M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 146 | 138 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 1 | 12 | 3 | .188 | .228 | .254 | .481 | .065 | .280 | 31 | 4 | .209 | 18 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 210 | 191 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 39 | 2 | 26 | 7 | .204 | .266 | .230 | .496 | .026 | .255 | 19 | 7 | .230 | 34 | -16 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | BAL | 179 | 162 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 47 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .222 | .288 | .333 | .621 | .111 | .288 | 26 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | BAL | 258 | 232 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 64 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .233 | .305 | .358 | .662 | .125 | .295 | 25 | 8 | .298 | 86 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | BAL | 378 | 338 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 89 | 4 | 10 | 2 | .240 | .315 | .376 | .690 | .136 | .296 | 24 | 9 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | BAL | 463 | 411 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 106 | 6 | 12 | 3 | .243 | .324 | .389 | .713 | .146 | .296 | 23 | 9 | .320 | 103 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | BAL | 520 | 460 | 113 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 49 | 116 | 6 | 14 | 3 | .246 | .326 | .400 | .726 | .154 | .296 | 22 | 9 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | BAL | 556 | 490 | 122 | 22 | 4 | 16 | 54 | 123 | 7 | 14 | 3 | .249 | .332 | .408 | .740 | .159 | .296 | 22 | 10 | .330 | 110 | +7 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.1 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 577 | 507 | 127 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 58 | 127 | 7 | 15 | 3 | .250 | .336 | .412 | .748 | .162 | .297 | 22 | 10 | .333 | 113 | +8 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.3 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 588 | 516 | 130 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 60 | 129 | 7 | 15 | 3 | .252 | .338 | .417 | .755 | .165 | .298 | 22 | 10 | .334 | 114 | +9 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 2.5 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 590 | 517 | 130 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 61 | 130 | 7 | 15 | 3 | .251 | .338 | .416 | .754 | .164 | .298 | 22 | 10 | .334 | 114 | +9 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 2.5 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 587 | 514 | 129 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 61 | 130 | 7 | 14 | 2 | .251 | .338 | .416 | .755 | .165 | .297 | 22 | 10 | .333 | 113 | +9 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 2.4 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 578 | 506 | 124 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 60 | 130 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .245 | .333 | .401 | .735 | .156 | .296 | 22 | 10 | .331 | 112 | +8 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 2.1 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 568 | 497 | 121 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 59 | 130 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .243 | .332 | .400 | .733 | .157 | .295 | 23 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +6 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +16 | 1.9 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 554 | 485 | 118 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 58 | 129 | 6 | 11 | 1 | .243 | .332 | .398 | .729 | .155 | .294 | 23 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +16 | 1.6 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 536 | 469 | 113 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 127 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .241 | .330 | .392 | .722 | .151 | .292 | 24 | 10 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +15 | 1.3 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 506 | 443 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 52 | 124 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .235 | .323 | .377 | .700 | .142 | .291 | 25 | 10 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 460 | 405 | 92 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 116 | 5 | 9 | 0 | .227 | .315 | .358 | .673 | .131 | .289 | 25 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +2 | -5 | -3 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | BAL | 404 | 356 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 106 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .219 | .307 | .343 | .649 | .124 | .287 | 26 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +2 | -6 | -2 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | BAL | 344 | 302 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 94 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .215 | .305 | .334 | .639 | .119 | .284 | 27 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -7 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +10 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9002 | 7939 | 1902 | 332 | 56 | 236 | 881 | 2101 | 104 | 239 | 40 | .240 | .324 | .385 | .708 | .145 | .295 | 23 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +9 | +32 | -31 | -54 | +255 | 21.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 137 | 24 | 4 | 17 | 64 | 152 | 8 | 17 | 3 | .239 | .324 | .384 | .708 | .145 | .295 | 23 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +1 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 1.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 146 | 134 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 1 | 12 | 3 | .284 | .338 | .381 | .719 | .097 | .365 | 21 | 7 | .321 | 104 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 210 | 184 | 51 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 26 | 7 | .277 | .357 | .326 | .684 | .049 | .321 | 12 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +2 | — | — | +6 | 0.8 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alexander Rincon (OGILVIE) | 19 | 50 | 20 | 60 | 35 | .219/.281/.324 | .106 | .288 | 3 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 69 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A |
19 | 47→56 | 41→45 | 56→70 | 47 | .226/.290/.328 | .102 | .300 | 7 | 17 | 26% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .218/.270/.316 | .098 | .284 | 7 | 16 | 24% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .260/.332/.371 | .111 | .354 | 9 | 50 | 27% | 9% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
●Justin Crawford 2023 · A |
19 | 46→56 | 37→45 | 51→60 | 41 | .213/.274/.288 | .076 | .314 | 5 | 17 | 32% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .272/.317/.374 | .102 | .360 | 6 | 33 | 25% | 6% | 95 | +1.4 | .294/.339/.402 | .108 | .380 | 7 | 41 | 23% | 6% | 107 | +1.7 |
|
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A |
19 | 47→57 | 39→40 | 54→50 | 43 | .224/.276/.310 | .086 | .292 | 6 | 13 | 24% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .246/.290/.340 | .094 | .299 | 7 | 12 | 19% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .269/.318/.358 | .090 | .312 | 5 | 8 | 15% | 6% | 90 | +0.9 |
|
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A |
19 | 49→58 | 37→45 | 50 | 48 | .231/.293/.308 | .076 | .300 | 4 | 13 | 23% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .243/.308/.337 | .094 | .291 | 8 | 13 | 18% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .263/.355/.386 | .123 | .307 | 11 | 2 | 17% | 11% | 113 | +2.8 |
|
●Brandon Marsh 2018 · A |
20 | 49→59 | 42→50 | 54→50 | 37 | .235/.276/.347 | .112 | .314 | 8 | 11 | 27% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .221/.280/.325 | .104 | .331 | 8 | 12 | 33% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .262/.344/.424 | .163 | .366 | 16 | 16 | 30% | 11% | 115 | +2.2 |
|
●Alex Verdugo 2015 · A |
19 | 52→58 | 40→50 | 56→45 | 48 | .249/.301/.351 | .102 | .285 | 6 | 11 | 15% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .253/.290/.359 | .106 | .289 | 9 | 7 | 16% | 5% | 80 | +0.4 | .289/.349/.442 | .153 | .326 | 15 | 7 | 16% | 8% | 121 | +2.1 |
|
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A |
20 | 46→56 | 39→50 | 53→50 | 46 | .218/.277/.306 | .088 | .285 | 6 | 12 | 25% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .245/.301/.388 | .143 | .311 | 15 | 11 | 25% | 7% | 93 | +1.3 | .260/.330/.404 | .144 | .327 | 14 | 8 | 23% | 9% | 106 | +1.8 |
|
●Roman Anthony 2023 · A |
19 | 47→57 | 38→50 | 50 | 47 | .224/.278/.302 | .078 | .274 | 5 | 7 | 20% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .237/.316/.382 | .145 | .331 | 15 | 12 | 30% | 10% | 98 | +1.6 | .246/.334/.407 | .161 | .338 | 17 | 12 | 29% | 11% | 109 | +2.1 |
|
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A |
19 | 47 | 39→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .223/.278/.315 | .092 | .300 | 5 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .211/.257/.296 | .085 | .311 | 4 | 11 | 32% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .178/.220/.246 | .068 | .283 | 3 | 12 | 36% | 4% | 17 | -1.1 |
|
●Brice Turang 2019 · A |
19 | 46→56 | 36→45 | 53→60 | 48 | .216/.286/.284 | .068 | .296 | 4 | 14 | 27% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .213/.287/.280 | .067 | .286 | 4 | 16 | 24% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .273/.346/.393 | .120 | .333 | 12 | 35 | 20% | 10% | 107 | +1.7 |
|
●Mallex Smith 2013 · A |
20 | 49→59 | 38→45 | 53→65 | 39 | .231/.274/.307 | .076 | .316 | 5 | 17 | 28% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .245/.313/.323 | .078 | .319 | 5 | 40 | 23% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .272/.334/.371 | .099 | .351 | 5 | 52 | 22% | 8% | 98 | +1.2 |
|
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A |
19 | 47→57 | 43→50 | 56→70 | 38 | .227/.269/.356 | .129 | .308 | 8 | 18 | 28% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.253/.311 | .107 | .309 | 9 | 27 | 35% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .264/.338/.396 | .132 | .327 | 13 | 74 | 22% | 6% | 108 | +1.6 |
|
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A |
19 | 52→62 | 37→40 | 55→60 | 49 | .241/.304/.317 | .076 | .306 | 3 | 17 | 21% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .250/.296/.310 | .060 | .296 | 1 | 19 | 15% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .299/.358/.381 | .081 | .343 | 4 | 36 | 13% | 8% | 110 | +2.1 |
|
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A |
19 | 46 | 38→45 | 49→50 | 43 | .205/.282/.285 | .080 | .335 | 4 | 11 | 37% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .215/.299/.323 | .108 | .322 | 9 | 16 | 33% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .219/.297/.335 | .116 | .314 | 10 | 18 | 31% | 8% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
●César Hernández 2009 · A |
19 | 48→58 | 38→45 | 54→55 | 48 | .224/.278/.312 | .088 | .269 | 4 | 13 | 18% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .222/.274/.287 | .065 | .277 | 3 | 16 | 20% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .277/.367/.382 | .105 | .344 | 8 | 16 | 20% | 12% | 114 | +2.9 |
|
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A |
19 | 44 | 37→40 | 47→40 | 45 | .209/.268/.279 | .070 | .271 | 5 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .224/.289/.327 | .103 | .275 | 7 | 5 | 20% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .253/.306/.321 | .068 | .288 | 2 | 0 | 12% | 6% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Victor Padron 2013 · A |
19 | 46 | 37→30 | 53→55 | 50 | .218/.288/.295 | .078 | .269 | 4 | 9 | 20% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .232/.292/.278 | .046 | .290 | 1 | 15 | 19% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .242/.307/.262 | .020 | .301 | 0 | 20 | 18% | 9% | 58 | -0.4 |
|
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 39→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .212/.263/.298 | .086 | .291 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .258/.304/.406 | .148 | .329 | 14 | 21 | 25% | 5% | 99 | +1.7 | .278/.321/.456 | .177 | .328 | 21 | 21 | 21% | 5% | 116 | +2.7 |
|
✕Rey Fuentes 2010 · A |
19 | 46→56 | 37→40 | 48→60 | 39 | .217/.257/.292 | .075 | .281 | 4 | 11 | 24% | 4% | 49 | -1.8 | .215/.259/.289 | .074 | .300 | 4 | 25 | 28% | 5% | 49 | -1.8 | .270/.319/.363 | .092 | .348 | 8 | 33 | 23% | 6% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
✕Drew Cumberland 2008 · A |
19 | 48 | 36→45 | 52→55 | 46 | .223/.279/.290 | .067 | .273 | 3 | 11 | 19% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .248/.301/.329 | .081 | .292 | 4 | 17 | 16% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .274/.325/.377 | .102 | .318 | 7 | 22 | 15% | 6% | 96 | +0.7 |