Símon Muzziotti
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 426 | .251/.310/.432 | 13 | 8 | 86 | — | .205/.249/.322 |
| 2025 | 26 | INTLAguilas del Z… | 170 | .338/.401/.477 | 3 | 1 | 147 | — | |
| 2026 | 27 | INTLTiburones de … | 61 | .364/.417/.582 | 2 | 0 | 177 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies | — | 221 | 203 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 256 | 307 | 305 | 613 | 49 | 277 | 7 | 7 | 277 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Phillies | — | 141 | 134 | 36 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 269 | 305 | 388 | 693 | 119 | 286 | 6 | 5 | 307 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 299 | 278 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 263 | 300 | 331 | 631 | 68 | 303 | 13 | 5 | 280 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies East | — | 24 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 91 | 167 | 91 | 258 | 95 | 4 | 8 | 134 | -49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 465 | 425 | 122 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 60 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 287 | 338 | 372 | 710 | 85 | 327 | 13 | 7 | 316 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 32 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 200 | 533 | 238 | 12 | 16 | 250 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 18 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 353 | 438 | 790 | 125 | 357 | 11 | 6 | 332 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 19 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 412 | 474 | 471 | 944 | 59 | 467 | 11 | 11 | 427 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 107 | 87 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 241 | 377 | 264 | 642 | 23 | 288 | 13 | 17 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 18 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 312 | 389 | 312 | 701 | 385 | 17 | 11 | 329 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 165 | 143 | 37 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 31 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 259 | 346 | 455 | 800 | 196 | 291 | 19 | 12 | 348 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 524 | 473 | 140 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 81 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 296 | 360 | 404 | 763 | 108 | 343 | 15 | 9 | 342 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 170 | 156 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 263 | 307 | 346 | 653 | 83 | 282 | 8 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 240 | 217 | 51 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 47 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 235 | 300 | 373 | 673 | 138 | 275 | 20 | 8 | 298 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 200 | 325 | 133 | 100 | 31 | 6 | 145 | -44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 170 | 155 | 45 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 290 | 341 | 535 | 877 | 245 | 285 | 12 | 6 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 170 | 151 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 338 | 401 | 477 | 878 | 139 | 381 | 14 | 8 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 61 | 55 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 417 | 582 | 998 | 218 | 367 | 8 | 8 | 430 | 177 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies | — | 221 | 207 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 179 | 220 | 208 | 428 | 29 | 193 | 9 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 141 | 137 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 212 | 234 | 292 | 526 | 80 | 233 | 9 | 3 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 299 | 283 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 55 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 258 | 283 | 322 | 605 | 64 | 305 | 18 | 3 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies East | — | 24 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 87 | 125 | 87 | 212 | 78 | 4 | 4 | 96 | -49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 465 | 432 | 101 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 89 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 234 | 277 | 299 | 576 | 65 | 281 | 19 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 32 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 185 | 267 | 185 | 452 | 229 | 16 | 9 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 18 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 353 | 438 | 790 | 125 | 338 | 11 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 19 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 389 | 421 | 444 | 865 | 56 | 419 | 16 | 5 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 18 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 294 | 333 | 294 | 627 | 372 | 22 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 165 | 149 | 35 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 38 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 235 | 296 | 403 | 699 | 168 | 270 | 23 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 524 | 487 | 131 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 97 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 269 | 315 | 351 | 667 | 82 | 321 | 19 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 240 | 224 | 48 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 214 | 257 | 330 | 588 | 116 | 258 | 23 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 200 | 325 | 133 | 87 | 38 | 6 | 103 | -44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies | — | 221 | 207 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 179 | 220 | 208 | 428 | 29 | 196 | 9 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Phillies | — | 221 | 203 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 256 | 307 | 305 | 613 | 49 | 277 | 7 | 7 | 277 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 141 | 137 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 212 | 234 | 292 | 526 | 80 | 232 | 9 | 3 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Phillies | — | 141 | 134 | 36 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 269 | 305 | 388 | 693 | 119 | 286 | 6 | 5 | 307 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 323 | 306 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 56 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 245 | 271 | 304 | 575 | 59 | 296 | 17 | 3 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 323 | 300 | 75 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 41 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 250 | 290 | 313 | 604 | 63 | 286 | 13 | 5 | 269 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 465 | 432 | 101 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 89 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 234 | 277 | 299 | 576 | 65 | 287 | 19 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 465 | 425 | 122 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 60 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 287 | 338 | 372 | 710 | 85 | 327 | 13 | 7 | 316 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | INTL MLE | 4 teams | — | 176 | 157 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 274 | 337 | 318 | 656 | 45 | 328 | 15 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | INTL RAW | 4 teams | — | 176 | 145 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 262 | 378 | 297 | 674 | 34 | 309 | 12 | 15 | 313 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 183 | 166 | 40 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 41 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 241 | 300 | 392 | 692 | 151 | 290 | 22 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 183 | 159 | 42 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 34 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 264 | 350 | 440 | 790 | 176 | 301 | 19 | 11 | 346 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 694 | 641 | 173 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 129 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 270 | 318 | 354 | 672 | 84 | 326 | 19 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 694 | 629 | 181 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 95 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 288 | 347 | 390 | 736 | 102 | 326 | 14 | 8 | 328 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 426 | 395 | 80 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 103 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 203 | 250 | 311 | 561 | 109 | 254 | 24 | 5 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 426 | 387 | 97 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 72 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 251 | 310 | 432 | 741 | 181 | 274 | 17 | 7 | 323 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | INTL MLE | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 170 | 151 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 338 | 401 | 477 | 878 | 139 | 381 | 14 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | INTL RAW | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 170 | 151 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 338 | 401 | 477 | 878 | 139 | 381 | 14 | 8 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 61 | 55 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 417 | 582 | 998 | 218 | 367 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 61 | 55 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 417 | 582 | 998 | 218 | 367 | 8 | 8 | 430 | 177 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies | — | 221 | 208 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 178 | 220 | 207 | 427 | 29 | 193 | 9 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 141 | 136 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 213 | 234 | 294 | 528 | 81 | 233 | 9 | 3 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 323 | 309 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 56 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 243 | 271 | 301 | 572 | 58 | 288 | 17 | 3 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 465 | 436 | 101 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 89 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 232 | 277 | 296 | 573 | 64 | 281 | 19 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | INTL MLE | 4 teams | — | 176 | 159 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 270 | 337 | 314 | 652 | 44 | 310 | 15 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 183 | 167 | 40 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 41 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 240 | 300 | 389 | 689 | 150 | 280 | 22 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 694 | 644 | 173 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 129 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 269 | 318 | 352 | 670 | 84 | 321 | 19 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 426 | 398 | 80 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 103 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 201 | 250 | 309 | 559 | 108 | 247 | 24 | 5 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 426 | 398 | 80 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 103 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 201 | 250 | 309 | 559 | 108 | 247 | 24 | 5 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2860 | 2647 | 649 | 97 | 25 | 26 | 160 | 504 | 12 | 105 | 45 | 245 | 291 | 330 | 621 | 85 | 292 | 18 | 6 | 239 | 48 | -177 | +3 | -0 | +10 | +62 | -10.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 148 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 115 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 246 | 292 | 332 | 624 | 86 | 293 | 18 | 6 | 239 | 48 | -40 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 240 PAwOBA .291 → .252 (−39)K% 19.6% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.58% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.50% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | ×1.006 | ×1.018 | 19.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.29% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.018 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.76% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×1.018 | 1.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.12% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .291 → .252; ISO .138 → .111; BABIP .275 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 16 PAwOBA .141 → .103 (−39)K% 31.2% → 40.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷1.023 | ×1.310 | — | — | 40.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.972 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.968 | 3.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.946 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 8.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 89, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .141 → .103; ISO .133 → .104; BABIP .100 → .087. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 524 PAwOBA .333 → .294 (−40)K% 15.5% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.46% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.21% | ÷0.982 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.30% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.030 | ×1.033 | 26.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.61% | ÷1.117 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×1.033 | 4.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.105 | ×0.970 | ×1.030 | ×1.033 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.26% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 123, 3B 121, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .333 → .294; ISO .108 → .084; BABIP .343 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAReading Fightin Phils · 165 PAwOBA .345 → .298 (−47)K% 18.8% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.79% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.52% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.54% | ÷1.069 | ×0.970 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 19.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.46% | ÷0.930 | ×0.860 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 3.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.46% | ÷1.051 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.35% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 114, 2B 86, 3B 90, K 101, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .345 → .298; ISO .196 → .173; BABIP .291 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 18 PAwOBA .321 → .287 (−34)K% 16.7% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.970 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.067 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.46% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 37.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .321 → .287; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .385 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 32 PAwOBA .245 → .223 (−22)K% 12.5% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.992 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.62% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 10.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 22.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .245 → .223; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .238 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 19 PAwOBA .416 → .354 (−62)K% 10.5% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.003 | ×1.350 | — | — | 14.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 40.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 37.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.182 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 4.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 95, 2B 136, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .416 → .354; ISO .059 → .041; BABIP .467 → .419. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAReading Fightin Phils · 18 PAwOBA .323 → .311 (−13)K% 11.1% → 13.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.989 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 3.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.989 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 20.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.993 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 12.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.344 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 169, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .323 → .311; ISO .125 → .119; BABIP .357 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .