Felix Belisario — OGILVIE

Felix Belisario P DSL Red Sox Red

Age 20 RHP 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 17 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.46

FIP5.46

K%21.1%

BB%16.6%

K-BB%4.5%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	16	1	33	162	32	25	2	6%	2.0	13.4%	19.3%	-5.9%	1.7%	5.51	5.37	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	16	1	33	162	32	25	2	6%	2.0	13.4%	19.3%	-5.9%	1.7%	5.51	5.37	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	16	1	33	162	32	25	2	6%	2.0	19.8%	15.4%	4.3%	1.2%	5.51	4.23	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	16	1	26	125	28	21	4	6%	1.6	15.2%	21.0%	-5.8%	5.1%	6.49	7.27	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	16	1	26	125	28	21	4	6%	1.6	15.2%	21.0%	-5.8%	5.1%	6.49	7.27	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	16	1	26	125	28	21	4	6%	1.6	22.4%	16.8%	5.6%	3.2%	6.49	5.34	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	BOS	16	0	17	72	15	12	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	16.6%	4.5%	3.0%	5.46	5.46	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BOS	24	0	25	105	23	15	3	0%	1.0	21.7%	14.3%	7.4%	3.0%	5.19	5.09	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	BOS	11	0	12	51	11	7	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	14.3%	7.4%	3.0%	5.19	5.09	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	52	11	7	2	0%	1.0	21.7%	14.3%	7.4%	3.0%	5.19	4.70	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	114	33	0%	1.1	21.7%	14.3%	7.4%	3.0%	5.19	4.70	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		32	2	59	287	41	58	9	6%	1.8	14.2%	20.0%	-5.8%	3.2%	5.95	6.19	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	7	200	973	138	195	31	6%	1.8	14.2%	20.0%	-5.8%	3.2%	5.95	6.19	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Felix Belisario (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.46	21.1%	16.6%	3.0%	—	5.09	21.7%	7.4%	25	-0.37	—	—	—
Michael Brewer R 2021 · 4.30 FIP	20	SU	4.30	23.7%	16.2%	2.1%	.303	4.69	19.7%	6.3%	114	+0.39	3.14	144	87
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	87
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	87
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	87
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	86
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	86
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	86
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	85
Isaac Gallegos R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	21	SU	4.40	22.9%	17.8%	1.8%	.267	3.09	19.9%	10.5%	106	-1.31	2.89	125	85
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	85
Efrailin Ramos R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	18	SU	4.31	21.0%	15.7%	1.8%	.284	3.35	17.0%	6.4%	106	-0.96	3.11	142	85
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	84
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	84
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	83
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	83
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	83
Daniel Procopio R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	21	SU	4.33	23.4%	18.8%	1.5%	.283	4.43	20.5%	6.5%	81	+0.10	4.16	103	83
Orlando Romero R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	20	SU	4.53	19.4%	14.8%	2.2%	.294	4.66	18.5%	6.7%	62	+0.13	3.92	162	83
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	83
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	83