Dayquer AlfonzoC DSL Padres Gold
Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION124 act + 82 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .290 / .285
PA82
HR1
K%28
BB%10
BABIP282
ISO81
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +5.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.80+0.8WAR
0.01.12.30.40.81.21.61.61.71.71.81.81.61.5+$107M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.7$9M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.7$8M+$8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.8$8M+$7M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.8$7M+$6M
2036Arb-2$5M+1.6$6M+$4M
2037Arb-3$7M+1.5$5M+$3M
Totals $19M $43M +$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202416 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 7867 14300 8331 21 209303254556 45389 4210 255 53 — — — — — —
202416 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 7861 19500 14221 21 311447393841 82463 2818 379 148 — — — — — —
202517 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 151132 19201 11516 34 144242182423 38220 347 196 8 — — — — — —
202517 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 151123 28401 20336 34 228362285647 57297 2213 307 93 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKSD — 124103 25602 16372 61 243355359715 117343 3013 320 103 +0 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.7
YTD18 ROKSD — 12493 31803 26262 61 3334885161.004 183418 2121 437 193 +13 +1 +0 +2 +4 2.0
ROS18 ROKSD 0% 8273 15301 8231 20 204290285575 81285 2810 266 62 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
ROS18 MLBSD 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 281 —— 254 52 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL18 ROKSD — 124104 25602 16372 61 240355356711 115338 3013 320 103 +0 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.7
TOT18 ROKSD — 206176 40903 24603 81 226329328657 102317 2912 299 87 -3 +1 +0 +4 +6 0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBSD 34% 248220 47914 23683 41 214297318615 105286 279 277 70 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.4
202820 MLBSD 48% 374331 721426 341006 51 218302326628 109288 279 286 77 -10 +1 +0 +7 +11 0.8
202921 MLBSD 54% 468415 911729 431227 62 219303335638 116289 269 292 81 -10 +0 +0 +8 +13 1.2
203022 MLBSD 57% 520459 10320210 481358 72 224309342651 118290 269 295 84 -9 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.6
203123 MLBSD 58% 520459 10320210 481348 72 224309342651 118291 269 297 86 -8 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.6
203224 MLBSD 57% 520458 10420211 491338 72 227313352664 124292 269 299 87 -8 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.7
203325 MLBSD 57% 520458 10420211 491338 72 227313352664 124292 269 299 87 -7 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.7
203426 MLBSD 60% 520458 10420211 491338 72 227313352664 124291 269 300 87 -7 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.8
203527 MLBSD 62% 520457 10420211 501348 72 228315352667 125291 2610 300 87 -7 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.8
203628 MLBSD 63% 520457 10319211 501348 72 225313348661 123291 2610 299 87 -8 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.6
203729 MLBSD 65% 520457 10119210 501358 72 221309337646 116290 2610 297 85 -9 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.5
203830 MLBSD 65% 520457 10119210 501378 62 221309337646 116288 2610 294 83 -10 +0 -2 +9 +15 1.3
203931 MLBSD 65% 504442 961829 491348 62 217307328635 111286 2710 290 80 -11 +0 -3 +9 +14 1.0
204032 MLBSD 65% 489432 931729 471327 51 215302326629 111283 2710 284 76 -13 +1 -4 +9 +14 0.6
202719 MLBSD 34% 8576 15301 8231 10 197282276559 79282 279 264 60 -4 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.0
202820 MLBSD 48% 181159 34613 17483 31 214302321622 107284 279 271 66 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.2
202921 MLBSD 54% 254225 49915 23664 41 218302333635 116285 269 277 70 -9 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.4
203022 MLBSD 57% 294260 581116 27765 41 223308342651 119286 269 280 73 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203123 MLBSD 58% 299264 581116 28775 41 220306337644 117287 269 282 74 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203224 MLBSD 57% 296261 581116 28765 41 222310341651 119288 269 283 75 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203325 MLBSD 57% 295260 581116 28765 41 223311342653 119288 269 284 76 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203426 MLBSD 60% 314276 621216 30805 41 225312341652 116288 2510 284 76 -9 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.6
203527 MLBSD 62% 323284 631216 31835 41 222309335644 113287 2610 284 76 -9 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.7
203628 MLBSD 63% 329289 641217 32855 41 221310343652 121287 2610 283 75 -9 +0 -0 +6 +9 0.6
203729 MLBSD 65% 338297 651217 33885 41 219307337644 118286 2610 281 74 -10 +0 -1 +6 +10 0.5
203830 MLBSD 65% 338297 641216 33895 41 215304323628 108285 2610 279 72 -11 +0 -1 +6 +10 0.4
203931 MLBSD 65% 328288 611116 32875 41 212302319621 108282 2710 275 69 -12 +0 -2 +6 +9 0.2
204032 MLBSD 65% 318279 591115 31865 41 211302312613 100279 2710 270 65 -13 +0 -2 +6 +9 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 39923516 7681441376 381104063 5213 218306332638 113286 2610 280 72 -126 +5 -7 +71 +113 5.8
/ 162G— — 650572 12423212 6216910 82 217304327631 110284 2610 280 72 -21 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.9
Career— — 70746232 137426027134 6661871111 9530 220307335642 115290 269 291 81 -150 +7 -10 +126 +200 17.6
/ 162G— — 650573 12624212 6117210 93 220306332637 112290 269 291 81 -14 +1 -1 +12 +18 1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202416 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 7861 19500 14221 21 311447393841 82463 2818 379 148 +4 +0 — — +2 0.7
202517 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 151123 28401 20336 34 228362285647 57297 2213 307 93 -1 -1 — — +4 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA
123,381976227312387+60+7722.521.6
/162664191+11.9+15.14.4pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA
62,1956326230304380+39+5013.713.7
/162664198+11.9+15.14.1pk7: 14
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
94,1387954222305339+74+3611.39.3
/162664139+11.9+5.81.8pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Dayquer Alfonzo (OGILVIE) 18 30 20 40 50 226/329/328 102317 38 29% 12% 87 +0.8 ————————— —————————
✕Victor Rodrigues
2023 · A 		18 41 38→30 49→50 44 197/261/279 83254 57 24% 6% 49 -1.8 211/290/283 72267 59 21% 9% 62 -0.9 219/316/2715227241019%11%68-0.2
✕Richard Rodriguez
2012 · A 		19 39 36→30 48→50 45 186/255/247 61260 312 28% 8% 37 -2.6 210/266/251 41261 114 19% 7% 42 -2.3 233/291/2542027801615%7%50-0.6
✕Juan Alonso
2022 · A 		18 42→32 37→40 43→50 40 199/260/273 73295 410 32% 6% 46 -2.0 184/285/263 79357 59 44% 10% 56 -1.3 152/269/228753345749%11%40-1.1
✕Alexander Campos
2018 · A 		18 46 37→40 39→45 51 214/291/283 68279 48 23% 9% 62 -0.9 195/266/265 70306 49 34% 8% 46 -2.0 215/312/294792958427%11%72-0.1
✕Raul Juarez
2016 · A 		18 37 38→45 45→40 37 182/242/262 80251 57 29% 4% 36 -2.7 207/265/290 83274 75 26% 5% 53 -1.5 203/259/274712668326%4%44-0.5
✕Andrés Nolaya
2023 · A 		18 41 35→45 44→55 47 190/278/250 60289 210 32% 10% 49 -1.8 189/258/257 68296 315 34% 8% 41 -2.3 194/269/2717627852230%7%48-0.6
✕Hector Martinez
2019 · A 		18 36 35→30 43→50 46 169/244/226 56218 37 22% 7% 28 -3.2 189/265/253 64251 49 24% 8% 43 -2.2 169/242/220512363727%8%22-1.0
✕José Alvarez
2018 · A 		18 40 34→40 40→50 46 189/260/235 46266 27 28% 8% 37 -2.7 218/275/277 59303 27 27% 7% 53 -1.5 229/279/278493221827%6%52-0.4
✕Alixon Suarez
2012 · A 		18 39 36→45 43→40 48 187/274/249 62250 43 25% 8% 47 -1.9 195/268/275 80256 54 24% 7% 51 -1.7 183/257/267852355223%7%42-0.7
✕Marco Guzman
2013 · A 		18 37 35→45 47→50 47 176/257/242 66244 28 26% 8% 38 -2.6 198/263/278 80251 47 22% 8% 49 -1.8 227/264/3321052916823%5%60-0.3
✕Jose Perez
2022 · A 		18 41 39→40 42→45 45 194/268/281 86278 56 30% 8% 52 -1.6 200/299/287 87269 57 25% 11% 68 -0.5 190/311/283932535724%13%71-0.1
✕Guillermo Pimentel
2008 · A 		18 40 37→40 45→55 39 190/264/262 72298 58 36% 7% 46 -2.0 202/281/278 76302 615 32% 8% 57 -1.2 192/271/2586629671734%8%46-0.7
✕Kelvin Fajardo
2014 · A 		18 44 35→30 46→50 48 204/261/260 56246 36 18% 7% 43 -2.2 222/278/270 48270 16 17% 6% 52 -1.6 224/280/257332660615%6%49-0.7
✕Luis Cruz
2012 · A 		19 39 35→40 43→45 42 186/235/238 52254 25 27% 6% 25 -3.5 220/272/314 94275 95 22% 5% 61 -1.0 227/272/301753026326%4%56-0.5
✕Andrew Caraballo
2018 · A 		18 40 35→40 42→40 51 185/269/244 58254 27 26% 10% 43 -2.2 179/265/257 78292 47 36% 9% 45 -2.1 141/240/222812454740%10%24-0.9
✕Jean Carrillo
2015 · A 		18 42 35→30 44→30 46 194/277/254 60258 24 24% 7% 50 -1.8 200/266/264 64239 34 17% 7% 46 -2.0 206/262/261562554120%6%40-0.7
✕Hidekel Abreu
2016 · A 		18 42 36→40 49→50 45 199/266/263 64280 38 28% 8% 46 -2.0 223/284/304 81293 510 24% 7% 63 -0.8 237/299/3178030061221%8%68-0.2
✕Nicoll Parra
2012 · A 		18 39 36→30 44→55 45 183/264/252 70275 48 32% 8% 43 -2.2 197/307/251 54268 118 24% 12% 63 -0.9 186/321/2243825402722%14%60-0.3
✕Deivi Estrada
2019 · A 		18 40 36→30 45→50 43 190/259/260 71280 210 31% 7% 43 -2.2 210/287/274 64290 39 26% 9% 58 -1.2 195/270/241462892830%8%41-0.7
✕Victor Moscote
2012 · A 		18 37 41→30 46→45 39 186/242/285 99271 95 34% 6% 42 -2.3 204/255/276 72289 55 29% 6% 44 -2.1 209/266/252432682321%6%40-0.8