Dayquer Alfonzo — OGILVIE

Dayquer AlfonzoC DSL Padres Gold

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION124 act + 82 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .290 / .285

PA82

HR1

K%28

BB%10

BABIP282

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.8	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.5	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$19M		$43M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	16	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	78	67	14	3	0	0	8	33	1	2	1	209	303	254	556	45	389	42	10	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	78	61	19	5	0	0	14	22	1	2	1	311	447	393	841	82	463	28	18	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	151	132	19	2	0	1	11	51	6	3	4	144	242	182	423	38	220	34	7	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	151	123	28	4	0	1	20	33	6	3	4	228	362	285	647	57	297	22	13	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	SD	—	124	103	25	6	0	2	16	37	2	6	1	243	355	359	715	117	343	30	13	320	103	+0	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.7
YTD	18	ROK	SD	—	124	93	31	8	0	3	26	26	2	6	1	333	488	516	1.004	183	418	21	21	437	193	+13	+1	+0	+2	+4	2.0
ROS	18	ROK	SD	0%	82	73	15	3	0	1	8	23	1	2	0	204	290	285	575	81	285	28	10	266	62	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
ROS	18	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	254	52	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	SD	—	124	104	25	6	0	2	16	37	2	6	1	240	355	356	711	115	338	30	13	320	103	+0	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.7
TOT	18	ROK	SD	—	206	176	40	9	0	3	24	60	3	8	1	226	329	328	657	102	317	29	12	299	87	-3	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	SD	34%	248	220	47	9	1	4	23	68	3	4	1	214	297	318	615	105	286	27	9	277	70	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2028	20	MLB	SD	48%	374	331	72	14	2	6	34	100	6	5	1	218	302	326	628	109	288	27	9	286	77	-10	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.8
2029	21	MLB	SD	54%	468	415	91	17	2	9	43	122	7	6	2	219	303	335	638	116	289	26	9	292	81	-10	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.2
2030	22	MLB	SD	57%	520	459	103	20	2	10	48	135	8	7	2	224	309	342	651	118	290	26	9	295	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2031	23	MLB	SD	58%	520	459	103	20	2	10	48	134	8	7	2	224	309	342	651	118	291	26	9	297	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2032	24	MLB	SD	57%	520	458	104	20	2	11	49	133	8	7	2	227	313	352	664	124	292	26	9	299	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2033	25	MLB	SD	57%	520	458	104	20	2	11	49	133	8	7	2	227	313	352	664	124	292	26	9	299	87	-7	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2034	26	MLB	SD	60%	520	458	104	20	2	11	49	133	8	7	2	227	313	352	664	124	291	26	9	300	87	-7	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2035	27	MLB	SD	62%	520	457	104	20	2	11	50	134	8	7	2	228	315	352	667	125	291	26	10	300	87	-7	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2036	28	MLB	SD	63%	520	457	103	19	2	11	50	134	8	7	2	225	313	348	661	123	291	26	10	299	87	-8	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2037	29	MLB	SD	65%	520	457	101	19	2	10	50	135	8	7	2	221	309	337	646	116	290	26	10	297	85	-9	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2038	30	MLB	SD	65%	520	457	101	19	2	10	50	137	8	6	2	221	309	337	646	116	288	26	10	294	83	-10	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.3
2039	31	MLB	SD	65%	504	442	96	18	2	9	49	134	8	6	2	217	307	328	635	111	286	27	10	290	80	-11	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.0
2040	32	MLB	SD	65%	489	432	93	17	2	9	47	132	7	5	1	215	302	326	629	111	283	27	10	284	76	-13	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.6
2041	33	MLB	SD	65%	473	418	86	15	1	8	45	130	7	5	1	206	294	304	597	98	278	27	10	278	71	-16	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.3
2042	34	MLB	SD	60%	436	385	77	13	1	7	42	123	6	4	1	200	289	294	582	94	272	28	10	269	64	-18	+0	-5	+8	+12	-0.2
2027	19	MLB	SD	34%	85	76	15	3	0	1	8	23	1	1	0	197	282	276	559	79	282	27	9	264	60	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB	SD	48%	181	159	34	6	1	3	17	48	3	3	1	214	302	321	622	107	284	27	9	271	66	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2029	21	MLB	SD	54%	254	225	49	9	1	5	23	66	4	4	1	218	302	333	635	116	285	26	9	277	70	-9	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2030	22	MLB	SD	57%	294	260	58	11	1	6	27	76	5	4	1	223	308	342	651	119	286	26	9	280	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2031	23	MLB	SD	58%	299	264	58	11	1	6	28	77	5	4	1	220	306	337	644	117	287	26	9	282	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	24	MLB	SD	57%	296	261	58	11	1	6	28	76	5	4	1	222	310	341	651	119	288	26	9	283	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2033	25	MLB	SD	57%	295	260	58	11	1	6	28	76	5	4	1	223	311	342	653	119	288	26	9	284	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2034	26	MLB	SD	60%	314	276	62	12	1	6	30	80	5	4	1	225	312	341	652	116	288	25	10	284	76	-9	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.6
2035	27	MLB	SD	62%	323	284	63	12	1	6	31	83	5	4	1	222	309	335	644	113	287	26	10	284	76	-9	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.7
2036	28	MLB	SD	63%	329	289	64	12	1	7	32	85	5	4	1	221	310	343	652	121	287	26	10	283	75	-9	+0	-0	+6	+9	0.6
2037	29	MLB	SD	65%	338	297	65	12	1	7	33	88	5	4	1	219	307	337	644	118	286	26	10	281	74	-10	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.5
2038	30	MLB	SD	65%	338	297	64	12	1	6	33	89	5	4	1	215	304	323	628	108	285	26	10	279	72	-11	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.4
2039	31	MLB	SD	65%	328	288	61	11	1	6	32	87	5	4	1	212	302	319	621	108	282	27	10	275	69	-12	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.2
2040	32	MLB	SD	65%	318	279	59	11	1	5	31	86	5	4	1	211	302	312	613	100	279	27	10	270	65	-13	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.0
2041	33	MLB	SD	65%	307	270	56	10	1	5	29	84	5	3	1	207	296	307	603	100	275	27	9	263	60	-14	+0	-3	+5	+9	-0.2
2042	34	MLB	SD	60%	264	233	47	8	1	4	25	74	4	3	1	202	290	296	586	94	269	28	9	256	54	-14	+0	-3	+5	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4563	4019	871	162	15	85	435	1198	72	58	15	217	305	328	632	111	285	26	10	277	70	-154	+6	-13	+81	+129	5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	124	23	2	12	62	171	10	8	2	216	304	326	630	110	285	26	10	277	70	-22	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	7983	7035	1537	288	29	149	753	2124	124	104	32	218	305	331	636	113	289	27	9	289	80	-184	+8	-20	+143	+226	17.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	124	23	2	12	61	173	10	8	3	216	303	326	629	110	286	27	9	289	80	-15	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	16	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	78	61	19	5	0	0	14	22	1	2	1	311	447	393	841	82	463	28	18	379	148	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	151	123	28	4	0	1	20	33	6	3	4	228	362	285	647	57	297	22	13	307	93	-1	-1	—	—	+4	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,710	88	60	220	303	334	+84	+40	11.5	9.4
	/162	664	12	8	220	303	334	+11.9	+5.6	1.6	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dayquer Alfonzo (OGILVIE)	18	30	20	40	50	226/329/328	102	317	3	8	29%	12%	87	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→32	37→40	43→50	40	199/260/273	73	295	4	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	184/285/263	79	357	5	9	44%	10%	56	-1.3	152/269/228	75	334	5	7	49%	11%	40	-1.1
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	62	-0.9	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	46	-2.0	215/312/294	79	295	8	4	27%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Hector Martinez 2019 · A	18	36	35→30	43→50	46	169/244/226	56	218	3	7	22%	7%	28	-3.2	189/265/253	64	251	4	9	24%	8%	43	-2.2	169/242/220	51	236	3	7	27%	8%	22	-1.0
✕José Alvarez 2018 · A	18	40	34→40	40→50	46	189/260/235	46	266	2	7	28%	8%	37	-2.7	218/275/277	59	303	2	7	27%	7%	53	-1.5	229/279/278	49	322	1	8	27%	6%	52	-0.4
✕Alixon Suarez 2012 · A	18	39	36→45	43→40	48	187/274/249	62	250	4	3	25%	8%	47	-1.9	195/268/275	80	256	5	4	24%	7%	51	-1.7	183/257/267	85	235	5	2	23%	7%	42	-0.7
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	42→45	45	194/268/281	86	278	5	6	30%	8%	52	-1.6	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	68	-0.5	190/311/283	93	253	5	7	24%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	40	37→40	45→55	39	190/264/262	72	298	5	8	36%	7%	46	-2.0	202/281/278	76	302	6	15	32%	8%	57	-1.2	192/271/258	66	296	7	17	34%	8%	46	-0.7
✕Kelvin Fajardo 2014 · A	18	44	35→30	46→50	48	204/261/260	56	246	3	6	18%	7%	43	-2.2	222/278/270	48	270	1	6	17%	6%	52	-1.6	224/280/257	33	266	0	6	15%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Luis Cruz 2012 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	42	186/235/238	52	254	2	5	27%	6%	25	-3.5	220/272/314	94	275	9	5	22%	5%	61	-1.0	227/272/301	75	302	6	3	26%	4%	56	-0.5
✕Andrew Caraballo 2018 · A	18	40	35→40	42→40	51	185/269/244	58	254	2	7	26%	10%	43	-2.2	179/265/257	78	292	4	7	36%	9%	45	-2.1	141/240/222	81	245	4	7	40%	10%	24	-0.9
✕Jean Carrillo 2015 · A	18	42	35→30	44→30	46	194/277/254	60	258	2	4	24%	7%	50	-1.8	200/266/264	64	239	3	4	17%	7%	46	-2.0	206/262/261	56	255	4	1	20%	6%	40	-0.7
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Nicoll Parra 2012 · A	18	39	36→30	44→55	45	183/264/252	70	275	4	8	32%	8%	43	-2.2	197/307/251	54	268	1	18	24%	12%	63	-0.9	186/321/224	38	254	0	27	22%	14%	60	-0.3
✕Deivi Estrada 2019 · A	18	40	36→30	45→50	43	190/259/260	71	280	2	10	31%	7%	43	-2.2	210/287/274	64	290	3	9	26%	9%	58	-1.2	195/270/241	46	289	2	8	30%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Victor Moscote 2012 · A	18	37	41→30	46→45	39	186/242/285	99	271	9	5	34%	6%	42	-2.3	204/255/276	72	289	5	5	29%	6%	44	-2.1	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	40	-0.8