Dayquer Alfonzo

C DSL Padres Gold
Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1353ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202416ROKDSL Padres Br…78.311/.447/.3930263—.200/.316/.246
202517ROKDSL Padres Go…151.228/.362/.2851320—.138/.248/.177
202618ROKDSL Padres Go…222.331/.477/.5334686—.213/.333/.328
2027PROJMLE19MLBSD332.196/.276/.27324580.0
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBSD57.199/.279/.28511640.0
2029PROJ48% MLB21MLBSD135.204/.284/.30022700.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
wOBA92
wRC+86
ISO84
Chase%84
BB%74
Whiff%62
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsMiguel Moreno (age 19) · Andres Regnault (age 19) · Jose Sanabria (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 118 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .273 / .271
PA118
HR1
K%26
BB%9
ISO77
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.40.50.50.40.30.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.4M
2036Arb-1$1M+0.3$0.6M+$0.1M
2037Arb-2$2M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2038Arb-3$1.0M———
Totals $4M $4M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202416 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 7861 19500 14221 21 311447393841 82463 2818 379 63 — — — — — —
202517 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 151123 28401 20336 34 228362285647 57297 2213 307 20 — — — — — —
202618 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 222169 562014 42435 62 3314775331.009 201406 1919 435 86 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 7865 13300 10281 21 200316246562 46312 3613 261 63 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 151130 18201 13426 34 138248177425 38187 289 198 20 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 222183 391312 28525 62 213333328661 115258 2313 296 86 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 7865 13300 10281 21 200316246562 46333 3613 261 63 — — — — — —
202416 ROK RAWDSL Padres Brown — 7861 19500 14221 21 311447393841 82463 2818 379 63 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 151130 18201 13426 34 138248177425 38191 289 198 20 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Padres Gold — 151123 28401 20336 34 228362285647 57297 2213 307 20 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 222183 391312 28525 62 213333328661 115274 2313 296 86 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWDSL Padres Gold — 222169 562014 42435 62 3314775331.009 201406 1919 435 86 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 7867 13300 10281 21 194316239555 45312 3613 261 63 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 151131 18201 13426 34 137248176424 38187 289 198 20 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 222187 391312 28525 62 209333321654 112258 2313 296 86 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 7867 13300 10281 21 194316239555 45312 3613 261 63 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 151131 18201 13426 34 137248176424 38187 289 198 20 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 222187 391312 28525 62 209333321654 112258 2313 296 86 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLESD 0% 332297 581222 28884 41 196276273549 77267 278 254 58 -17 +0 +0 +6 +7 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLESD 34% 166149 30612 14432 21 202282291573 89270 268 263 64 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.0
202921 MLB MLESD 48% 278248 521024 24714 42 207287305593 98272 269 271 70 -10 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.1
203022 MLB MLESD 54% 382341 721426 33975 52 211291317608 106274 259 277 74 -12 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.3
203123 MLB MLESD 57% 445397 851728 391126 62 214294326620 111276 259 282 77 -12 +0 +0 +8 +10 0.6
203224 MLB MLESD 57% 445397 861728 391116 62 217297333629 116278 259 285 79 -11 +0 +0 +8 +10 0.7
203325 MLB MLESD 60% 445397 861728 391116 62 217297334631 117278 259 286 80 -11 +0 +0 +8 +10 0.7
203426 MLB MLESD 62% 445397 861728 391116 62 217297335632 117277 259 286 80 -11 +0 +0 +8 +10 0.7
203527 MLB MLESD 63% 445397 861728 391126 62 216296332628 116277 259 285 79 -11 +0 +0 +8 +10 0.7
203628 MLB MLESD 65% 445397 851728 391136 53 214294327621 113276 259 282 77 -12 -0 -1 +8 +10 0.5
203729 MLB MLESD 65% 445397 841628 391146 43 212291321612 109274 269 278 74 -14 -0 -1 +8 +10 0.2
203830 MLB MLESD 65% 445398 831627 381156 44 209287313600 104272 269 274 71 -15 -1 -2 +8 +10 -0.1
202820 MLB CTXSD 34% 5751 10201 5151 10 199279285564 87265 269 260 64 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202921 MLB CTXSD 48% 135120 25512 12352 21 204284300584 96267 269 268 70 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
203022 MLB CTXSD 54% 207184 38713 18533 31 208288312600 104269 269 274 74 -6 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.2
203123 MLB CTXSD 57% 252224 47914 22634 31 211291321612 110270 259 278 77 -7 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.3
203224 MLB CTXSD 57% 252225 48915 22633 31 214293328621 114272 259 282 79 -6 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.4
203325 MLB CTXSD 60% 269240 50915 23674 41 214294329623 116272 259 283 80 -6 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.5
203426 MLB CTXSD 62% 278248 521015 24694 41 214294330624 116272 259 283 80 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.5
203527 MLB CTXSD 63% 282251 531015 25714 42 213293327620 114271 259 282 79 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.4
203628 MLB CTXSD 65% 289258 541015 25734 32 211291322613 111270 259 279 77 -8 -0 -0 +5 +6 0.3
203729 MLB CTXSD 65% 289258 531015 25744 32 208288316604 108269 269 275 74 -9 -0 -1 +5 +6 0.2
203830 MLB CTXSD 65% 289258 531015 25754 32 205284308592 103267 269 270 71 -10 -0 -1 +5 +6 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 25992317 483911045 22665837 3314 208289315604 106270 259 277 74 -74 +1 -3 +46 +56 2.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650579 12123311 571659 84 209290316606 107271 259 277 74 -18 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 49554399 9261862379 443126372 6733 211293317610 107274 259 278 74 -132 +1 -4 +80 +98 4.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 12124310 581669 94 210291314605 104274 269 278 74 -19 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 222 PAwOBA .434 → .296 (−139)K% 19.4% → 23.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.37%÷1.000×1.220——23.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.02%÷1.000×0.700—×0.99512.55%
HBP% /PA2.25%—×0.700—×0.9951.57%
Singles /BIP24.60%÷1.000×0.680×0.996×0.99516.58%
Doubles /BIP15.87%÷1.000×0.600×0.996×0.9959.44%
Triples /BIP0.79%÷1.000×0.600×0.996×0.9950.47%
Home runs /BIP3.17%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9951.48%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .434 → .296; ISO .201 → .121; BABIP .406 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 151 PAwOBA .304 → .198 (−107)K% 21.9% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.85%÷0.970×1.220——27.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.25%÷1.049×0.700—×1.0088.90%
HBP% /PA3.97%—×0.700—×1.0082.80%
Singles /BIP25.56%÷1.064×0.680×1.011×1.00816.64%
Doubles /BIP4.44%÷1.159×0.600×1.011×1.0082.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.049×0.600×1.011×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP1.11%÷0.956×0.470—×1.0080.55%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 113, 2B 132, 3B 110, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .304 → .198; ISO .057 → .030; BABIP .297 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 78 PAwOBA .381 → .261 (−119)K% 28.2% → 35.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.21%÷0.974×1.220——35.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.95%÷1.036×0.700—×1.02212.40%
HBP% /PA1.28%—×0.700—×1.0220.92%
Singles /BIP35.90%÷1.000×0.680—×1.02224.96%
Doubles /BIP12.82%÷1.015×0.600—×1.0227.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.908×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 95, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .381 → .261; ISO .082 → .051; BABIP .463 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).