Dayquer Alfonzo — OGILVIE

Dayquer AlfonzoC DSL Padres Gold

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION222 act + 22 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .250

PA22

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP286

ISO50

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$61M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.2	$5M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
2037	Arb-3	$10M	+1.1	$4M	+$0.7M
Totals		$24M		$30M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	16	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	78	61	19	5	0	0	14	22	1	2	1	311	447	393	841	82	463	28	18	379	143	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	151	123	28	4	0	1	20	33	6	3	4	228	362	285	647	57	297	22	13	307	94	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	78	67	14	3	0	0	8	33	1	2	1	209	303	254	556	45	365	42	10	261	63	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	151	131	20	2	0	1	12	49	6	3	4	153	255	191	446	38	224	32	8	207	26	-13	-1	—	—	+3	-1.1
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	78	67	14	3	0	0	8	33	1	2	1	209	303	254	556	45	389	42	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	78	61	19	5	0	0	14	22	1	2	1	311	447	393	841	82	463	28	18	379	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	151	131	20	2	0	1	12	49	6	3	4	153	255	191	446	38	229	32	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	151	123	28	4	0	1	20	33	6	3	4	228	362	285	647	57	297	22	13	307	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	78	69	14	3	0	0	8	33	1	2	1	203	303	246	549	43	365	42	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	151	132	20	2	0	1	12	49	6	3	4	152	255	189	444	38	224	32	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	78	69	14	3	0	0	8	33	1	2	1	203	303	246	549	43	365	42	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	151	132	20	2	0	1	12	49	6	3	4	152	255	189	444	38	224	32	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	SD	—	222	186	45	15	1	3	25	62	5	6	2	242	347	382	729	140	331	28	11	324	105	+1	+0	+0	+4	+5	1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	SD	—	222	169	56	20	1	4	42	43	5	6	2	331	477	533	1.009	201	406	19	19	435	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	SD	0%	22	20	4	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	200	273	250	523	50	289	27	9	280	76	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	SD	—	244	206	49	16	1	3	27	68	5	6	2	238	340	369	709	131	326	28	11	320	103	+1	+0	+0	+4	+5	1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	SD	34%	269	238	52	12	1	4	25	70	4	4	1	218	303	328	631	109	290	26	9	288	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2028	20	MLB MLE	SD	48%	390	344	77	18	2	6	37	99	6	5	2	224	310	340	650	116	292	25	9	297	87	-6	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	SD	54%	479	423	96	22	2	9	45	119	8	6	2	227	313	352	665	125	293	25	9	303	91	-5	+0	+0	+9	+10	1.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	SD	57%	520	457	105	24	2	10	49	128	9	7	2	230	317	357	673	127	294	25	9	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	SD	58%	520	456	106	24	2	11	50	127	9	7	2	232	320	366	687	134	295	24	10	308	95	-3	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2032	24	MLB MLE	SD	57%	520	456	106	24	2	11	50	127	9	7	2	232	320	366	687	134	295	24	10	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	SD	61%	520	456	106	24	2	11	50	126	9	7	2	232	320	366	687	134	295	24	10	311	97	-2	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	SD	63%	520	456	106	24	2	11	50	126	9	7	2	232	320	366	687	134	295	24	10	311	97	-2	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	SD	64%	520	455	106	24	2	11	51	127	9	7	2	233	322	367	689	134	295	24	10	311	97	-2	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	SD	65%	520	455	105	24	2	11	51	127	9	7	2	231	320	365	685	134	294	24	10	310	96	-2	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	SD	65%	520	454	105	24	2	11	52	129	9	6	2	231	322	366	688	134	294	25	10	308	95	-3	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	SD	65%	520	454	104	24	2	10	52	130	9	6	2	229	320	357	677	128	292	25	10	305	93	-4	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.5
2039	31	MLB MLE	SD	65%	504	441	99	22	2	10	50	127	8	6	2	224	315	351	666	127	290	25	10	301	90	-6	+0	-3	+9	+11	1.2
2040	32	MLB MLE	SD	65%	489	430	94	21	2	9	48	126	8	5	2	219	309	340	648	121	286	26	10	296	86	-8	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.8
2041	33	MLB MLE	SD	65%	473	415	89	19	2	8	47	124	8	5	2	214	306	328	634	113	282	26	10	289	81	-10	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.4
2042	34	MLB MLE	SD	60%	436	383	80	17	2	7	43	117	7	4	1	209	300	319	619	110	275	27	10	280	75	-13	+0	-5	+8	+9	-0.0
2027	19	MLB CTX	SD	34%	92	82	17	4	0	1	9	24	1	1	0	207	293	293	586	85	287	26	10	275	81	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	SD	48%	189	166	36	8	1	3	18	48	3	3	1	217	305	331	636	114	289	25	10	283	87	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2029	21	MLB CTX	SD	54%	260	229	52	12	1	5	25	65	4	3	1	227	314	354	668	127	290	25	10	289	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2030	22	MLB CTX	SD	57%	294	259	58	13	1	6	28	72	5	4	1	224	312	351	663	127	290	24	10	292	93	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	SD	58%	299	263	59	13	1	6	29	73	5	4	1	224	313	350	663	125	291	24	10	294	95	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	SD	57%	296	261	59	13	1	6	28	72	5	4	1	226	313	352	665	126	292	24	9	296	96	-1	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	SD	61%	315	277	64	14	2	7	30	77	5	4	1	231	317	372	689	141	292	24	10	297	97	-1	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	SD	63%	325	285	67	15	2	7	31	79	6	4	1	235	323	375	698	140	292	24	10	297	97	-1	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	SD	64%	330	289	67	15	2	7	32	80	6	4	1	232	321	370	691	138	292	24	10	297	97	-1	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	SD	65%	338	296	68	15	2	7	33	83	6	4	1	230	319	365	684	135	291	25	10	296	96	-2	+0	-0	+6	+7	1.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	SD	65%	338	296	67	15	1	7	33	84	6	4	1	226	316	355	671	128	290	25	10	294	95	-2	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	SD	65%	338	295	67	15	1	7	34	84	6	4	1	227	319	356	675	129	289	25	10	292	93	-3	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.0
2039	31	MLB CTX	SD	65%	328	287	63	14	1	6	33	83	5	4	1	220	311	338	649	118	286	25	10	288	90	-4	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.8
2040	32	MLB CTX	SD	65%	318	279	60	13	1	6	31	82	5	4	1	215	305	333	638	118	283	26	10	282	86	-5	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.6
2041	33	MLB CTX	SD	65%	307	269	56	12	1	5	30	80	5	3	1	208	299	316	615	108	278	26	10	275	81	-7	+0	-3	+5	+7	0.3
2042	34	MLB CTX	SD	60%	264	232	47	10	1	4	26	71	4	3	1	203	294	306	600	103	272	27	10	267	75	-8	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4631	4065	907	201	19	90	450	1157	77	57	15	223	312	348	661	125	287	25	10	290	90	-47	+5	-13	+83	+100	13.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	128	28	3	13	63	162	11	8	2	224	313	352	665	128	288	25	10	290	90	-7	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	7971	6991	1574	353	31	151	772	2017	137	101	35	225	314	349	664	124	292	25	10	301	90	-81	+7	-20	+138	+168	21.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	129	29	3	12	63	164	11	8	3	226	315	351	666	125	294	25	10	301	90	-7	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.2	4,790	91	60	227	312	353	+86	+40	16.7	13.1
/162	664	13	8	+11.9	+5.5	2.3	pk7: 10
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dayquer Alfonzo (OGILVIE)	18	30	20	40	50	211/298/308	98	289	2	3	27%	9%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Hector Martinez 2019 · A	18	36	35→30	43→50	46	169/244/226	56	218	3	7	22%	7%	36	-3.3	189/265/253	64	250	4	9	24%	8%	51	-2.3	170/243/221	52	234	3	7	27%	8%	32	-1.0
✕José Alvarez 2018 · A	18	40	34→40	40→50	46	189/260/235	46	266	2	7	28%	8%	44	-2.8	218/275/277	59	303	2	7	27%	7%	58	-1.7	229/279/278	49	322	1	8	27%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	38→40	42→45	44	193/266/276	83	281	5	6	31%	8%	55	-1.9	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	71	-0.8	193/314/286	93	255	5	7	23%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Felix G. Santana 2014 · A	19	37	36→40	41→50	38	179/237/243	64	263	3	6	32%	5%	37	-3.3	220/276/302	82	293	5	8	25%	5%	65	-1.2	244/300/327	83	318	5	10	23%	4%	76	-0.1
✕Luis Joseph 2015 · A	18	40	35→30	36→50	39	191/231/252	62	259	2	6	26%	5%	35	-3.4	216/248/272	56	269	2	9	20%	4%	45	-2.7	223/244/272	49	266	2	11	16%	2%	41	-1.0
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→35	37→40	43→50	40	196/257/268	72	295	4	10	33%	6%	50	-2.3	186/284/265	79	353	5	9	43%	10%	61	-1.5	159/271/236	77	335	5	7	47%	10%	49	-1.0
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	43	-2.8	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Alixon Suarez 2012 · A	18	39	36→45	43→40	48	187/274/249	62	250	4	3	25%	8%	53	-2.1	195/268/275	80	256	5	4	24%	7%	57	-1.8	183/257/267	85	235	5	2	23%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Maximo Rivera 2011 · A	18	40	35→45	46→60	39	188/247/243	55	285	3	9	33%	6%	40	-3.0	208/263/297	89	272	9	19	26%	6%	59	-1.7	235/283/299	64	303	5	24	23%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	66	-1.1	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	53	-2.1	209/308/288	79	290	8	4	28%	11%	73	-0.2
✕Yoel Romero 2016 · A	18	37	35→40	43→50	36	176/232/240	64	276	2	6	35%	5%	34	-3.5	199/256/263	64	265	3	11	24%	6%	48	-2.5	229/288/306	77	301	6	10	24%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Jhonny Pereda 2014 · A	18	39→47	37→40	47→40	44	187/241/258	71	246	5	3	25%	6%	41	-3.0	194/251/258	64	233	4	3	17%	6%	45	-2.7	272/342/370	98	361	7	0	25%	9%	101	+0.6
✕Alfredo Reyes 2012 · A	18	37	35→30	43→55	43	179/244/231	52	252	3	7	29%	7%	37	-3.3	196/243/250	54	272	2	11	27%	5%	40	-3.1	196/237/243	47	270	1	13	27%	5%	34	-1.3
✕Jandel Paulino 2019 · A	18	39	35→40	41→45	40	185/261/243	58	280	3	8	33%	7%	47	-2.6	212/286/294	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	68	-1.0	215/300/291	76	303	6	4	28%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	45	-2.7	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	55	-2.0	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Luis Carlos Diaz 2018 · A	18	36	34→30	41→45	53	167/267/218	51	215	1	7	21%	10%	45	-2.7	191/282/256	65	248	3	7	22%	10%	58	-1.7	173/283/223	51	216	2	5	19%	12%	52	-0.9
✕Andrew Caraballo 2018 · A	18	40	35→40	42→40	51	185/269/244	58	254	2	7	26%	10%	50	-2.3	179/265/257	78	292	4	7	36%	9%	51	-2.2	141/240/222	81	245	4	7	40%	10%	33	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps