Connor McGinnis

2B Somerset Patriots

Age 24 L/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+NYY	64	.196/.297/.250	0	0	13	—	.153/.219/.203
2026	23	AANYY	316	.255/.343/.414	10	6	78	—	.227/.298/.353
2026	23	A+NYY	71	.241/.380/.362	1	1	55	—	.194/.296/.290
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBNYY	6	.215/.283/.337	0	0	74	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	25	MLBNYY	111	.217/.286/.342	3	2	76	0.0
2029PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBNYY	178	.218/.287/.346	4	3	77	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Z-Con%82

wRC+63

Chase%58

Whiff%57

ISO56

wOBA55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsDaniel Vellojin (age 24) · Randy Florentino (age 24) · Ben Rortvedt (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .283 / .337

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP277

ISO117

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	64	56	11	1	1	0	8	17	0	0	0	196	297	250	547	54	282	27	12	260	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	316	278	71	12	1	10	26	75	11	6	1	255	343	414	757	158	314	24	8	340	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	71	58	14	4	0	1	10	19	3	1	0	241	380	362	742	121	342	27	14	346	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	64	59	9	1	1	0	5	23	0	0	0	153	219	203	422	51	244	36	8	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	316	286	65	10	1	8	18	92	11	6	1	227	298	353	652	126	300	29	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	71	62	12	3	0	1	6	25	3	1	0	194	296	290	586	97	284	35	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	64	59	9	1	1	0	5	23	0	0	0	153	219	203	422	51	250	36	8	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	64	56	11	1	1	0	8	17	0	0	0	196	297	250	547	54	282	27	12	260	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	387	348	75	13	1	8	24	117	14	7	1	216	293	328	620	112	299	30	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	387	336	85	16	1	11	36	94	14	7	1	253	350	405	755	152	319	24	9	341	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	64	59	9	1	1	0	5	23	0	0	0	153	219	203	422	51	244	36	8	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	387	346	75	13	1	8	24	117	14	7	1	217	293	329	622	113	297	30	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	64	59	9	1	1	0	5	23	0	0	0	153	219	203	422	51	244	36	8	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	387	346	75	13	1	8	24	117	14	7	1	217	293	329	622	113	297	30	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYY	2%	380	345	75	14	2	8	24	102	8	6	1	214	282	331	613	117	277	27	6	277	74	-12	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYY	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	215	283	337	619	122	277	33	0	279	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYY	31%	358	324	71	13	2	8	23	95	8	6	1	216	284	337	621	121	278	27	6	280	76	-10	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYY	45%	399	361	78	14	2	9	27	105	8	7	2	217	286	340	626	123	278	26	7	282	77	-11	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYY	49%	414	375	81	15	2	9	28	109	8	7	2	217	287	341	628	123	278	26	7	283	78	-11	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	421	381	82	15	2	9	29	111	8	6	2	217	287	339	626	122	278	26	7	282	77	-11	+0	-1	+2	+9	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	418	378	82	15	2	9	29	110	8	6	2	216	285	337	622	121	277	26	7	281	76	-12	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	413	374	81	15	2	9	28	110	8	5	2	213	282	329	610	116	275	27	7	276	73	-13	+0	-2	+1	+9	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYY	31%	111	101	23	4	1	3	7	29	2	2	0	217	286	342	628	125	278	26	6	283	76	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYY	45%	178	160	35	6	1	4	12	47	4	3	1	218	287	346	633	127	278	26	7	285	77	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYY	49%	204	184	40	7	1	5	14	54	4	3	1	219	288	346	634	128	278	26	7	286	78	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	217	196	43	8	1	5	15	57	4	3	1	218	288	345	633	127	278	26	7	285	77	-6	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	215	194	43	8	1	5	15	57	4	3	1	217	286	342	629	125	277	27	7	283	76	-6	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	213	192	41	7	1	5	15	57	4	3	1	214	283	334	617	120	275	27	7	278	73	-7	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1138	1027	225	40	6	27	78	301	22	17	5	219	288	349	637	130	281	26	7	283	74	-32	+1	-2	+4	+25	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	128	23	3	15	45	172	13	10	3	218	289	344	633	126	280	26	7	283	74	-18	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3194	2890	621	112	15	68	213	866	69	49	13	215	285	335	619	120	281	27	7	278	74	-79	+4	-4	+10	+59	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	127	23	3	14	43	176	14	10	3	216	285	337	622	121	282	27	7	278	74	-19	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,144	25	17	217	283	338	+4	+3	0.4	0.5
/162	664	14	10	+2.4	+1.7	0.3	pk7: 1
#4Bobby Lowe'01-'07 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,085 PA	3.1	2,085	4	65	229*	274*	350*	+6	+6	0.1	0.1
/162	664	1	21	+2.0	+1.8	0.0	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Connor McGinnis (OGILVIE)	24	33	41	47	44	212/280/328	116	277	7	5	27%	6%	74	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Vellojin 2024 · AA	24	39	43→45	45	49	192/277/302	110	267	11	6	30%	10%	66	-1.1	177/253/266	89	250	8	6	31%	8%	49	-2.4	150/230/223	73	210	7	4	31%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Randy Florentino 2024 · AA	24	38	41→45	47→45	44	190/248/278	88	248	9	6	27%	7%	49	-2.4	205/250/297	92	273	8	7	26%	5%	53	-2.1	186/208/257	71	254	3	3	28%	2%	24	-1.0
✕Ben Rortvedt 2022 · MLB	24	42	46→45	47→40	42	212/273/334	122	280	14	4	29%	6%	72	-0.7	207/281/328	121	292	14	5	32%	8%	74	-0.6	201/288/304	103	283	11	2	30%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Braden Shewmake 2022 · AA	24	42→41	47→50	49→55	39	218/255/357	138	268	15	9	25%	4%	70	-0.9	213/256/337	124	263	13	17	24%	5%	65	-1.2	202/248/319	116	246	11	23	23%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Dom Nuñez 2019 · AA	24	40→46	43→50	46→45	48	201/272/303	103	253	12	9	25%	8%	64	-1.3	198/280/354	156	269	18	7	32%	9%	80	-0.2	169/260/321	153	231	17	2	33%	10%	65	-0.6
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	195/273/300	105	283	8	8	32%	9%	63	-1.3	215/297/319	104	298	10	14	29%	8%	78	-0.3	219/303/314	95	294	10	19	27%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Cole Armstrong 2008 · AA	24	42→36	44→50	42→30	39	211/251/325	115	275	12	3	28%	5%	61	-1.5	226/262/350	124	275	13	2	23%	4%	70	-0.8	225/276/353	128	269	16	1	22%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Eric Duncan 2009 · AAA	24	43→44	45→50	43→45	43	215/267/338	122	268	13	5	25%	6%	70	-0.9	209/248/321	112	269	12	6	26%	5%	59	-1.7	214/252/344	129	272	15	5	27%	4%	64	-0.8
✕Jan Vázquez 2015 · AA	24	42	43→40	45	39	207/264/310	103	288	12	9	31%	6%	63	-1.4	216/286/306	90	294	7	8	27%	7%	70	-0.8	217/296/305	87	288	7	7	25%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Ryan Mount 2011 · AA	24	44	46→50	46→50	38	222/258/349	127	280	14	10	26%	4%	69	-0.9	232/275/364	132	294	14	10	25%	5%	78	-0.3	242/286/380	138	297	15	8	23%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→37	43→50	48→45	46	205/287/320	115	295	10	7	32%	9%	74	-0.5	197/296/347	150	315	17	5	39%	10%	84	+0.2	181/287/333	152	294	19	3	41%	11%	75	-0.3
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2024 · AA	24	44→41	42→45	43→40	46	214/283/317	104	276	10	4	25%	8%	72	-0.7	219/267/300	81	280	6	5	23%	5%	61	-1.5	225/261/287	62	286	4	2	22%	4%	51	-0.5
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA	25	44	43→45	46→50	46	212/294/326	114	295	10	10	30%	8%	78	-0.3	203/284/321	118	290	11	14	31%	9%	73	-0.6	183/271/304	121	262	11	17	32%	9%	64	-0.6
✕Marcus Littlewood 2016 · AA	24	39	45	46→45	47	200/265/319	119	254	12	5	26%	8%	65	-1.2	211/267/316	105	279	10	5	26%	7%	64	-1.3	200/256/292	92	266	8	2	27%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Austin Davidson 2017 · A	24	44→42	44→45	43→45	48	216/287/333	117	252	11	6	19%	7%	76	-0.4	221/281/332	111	278	9	6	23%	7%	74	-0.6	214/275/321	107	273	9	5	23%	7%	67	-0.7
✕Marco Rivera 2009 · AAA	25	43	46→40	50→40	42	216/266/345	129	272	14	11	26%	6%	71	-0.8	240/297/329	89	295	8	6	20%	7%	78	-0.3	252/309/318	65	309	5	2	19%	7%	78	-0.1
✕César Salazar 2022 · AA	26	40	47→45	48→45	41	207/270/342	135	258	15	9	26%	5%	73	-0.6	210/287/332	122	250	14	8	22%	7%	78	-0.3	206/307/310	103	242	10	6	18%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Phil Clarke 2022 · A	24	45	41→40	44→45	46	219/293/320	101	273	8	4	22%	7%	76	-0.4	223/305/310	87	267	8	6	18%	9%	78	-0.3	232/316/308	77	265	7	7	15%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Aaron Antonini 2022 · AA	24	38	44→40	47→45	44	186/292/296	110	278	12	5	34%	9%	72	-0.7	199/281/311	112	264	13	7	28%	7%	71	-0.8	180/263/288	108	238	13	6	29%	7%	57	-0.5

Connor McGinnis

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps