Christopher Alvarado

Christopher AlvaradoSS DSL Red Sox Blue

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 162 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.6 · 2033

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .296 / .330

PA124

HR2

K%26

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

47↗52

PWR

30↗35

SPD

58↗63

EYE

56↗61

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.6peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.5	$33M	+$33M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.6	$35M	+$34M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.6	$36M	+$35M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.5	$37M	+$30M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.3	$35M	+$24M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$15M	+3.0	$33M	+$18M
Totals		$36M		$211M	+$175M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	176	156	31	3	0	0	14	41	4	16	8	.199	.282	.218	.500	.019	.265	23	8	.229	33	-13	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	149	123	28	7	1	1	18	36	4	13	2	.228	.345	.325	.670	.098	.300	24	12	.299	87	-2	+2	+0	+2	+4	0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	BOS	124	111	24	4	1	2	11	33	1	3	1	.216	.293	.324	.617	.108	.290	27	9	.286	77	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	BOS	211	186	44	8	1	5	20	53	3	5	1	.237	.321	.371	.692	.134	.297	25	9	.307	93	-2	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.7
2028	21	MLB 28%	BOS	341	300	71	13	2	8	34	83	4	10	2	.237	.322	.373	.696	.137	.298	24	10	.316	100	+0	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.5
2029	22	MLB 48%	BOS	435	381	93	17	3	12	45	103	6	12	3	.244	.333	.399	.732	.155	.299	24	10	.324	106	+3	+1	+0	+5	+12	2.2
2030	23	MLB 65%	BOS	498	435	106	19	3	14	53	115	7	14	3	.244	.335	.398	.733	.154	.299	23	11	.329	110	+6	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.7
2031	24	MLB 82%	BOS	539	468	116	21	3	16	59	123	7	15	3	.248	.341	.408	.749	.160	.299	23	11	.334	113	+8	+2	+0	+6	+15	3.2
2032	25	MLB	BOS	563	487	122	22	3	17	63	127	8	15	3	.251	.346	.413	.759	.162	.300	23	11	.337	116	+10	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.5
2033	26	MLB	BOS	575	497	123	22	3	17	65	130	8	15	3	.247	.344	.406	.750	.159	.300	23	11	.338	117	+11	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.6
2034	27	MLB	BOS	579	500	125	22	3	18	66	131	8	15	3	.250	.347	.414	.761	.164	.300	23	11	.339	117	+11	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.6
2035	28	MLB	BOS	576	497	123	22	3	17	66	132	8	15	3	.247	.345	.406	.751	.159	.300	23	11	.337	116	+11	+2	-1	+6	+16	3.5
2036	29	MLB	BOS	568	489	120	21	3	17	66	132	8	14	2	.245	.345	.405	.749	.160	.300	23	12	.335	115	+10	+2	-1	+6	+16	3.3
2037	30	MLB	BOS	558	481	117	21	3	16	65	131	7	13	2	.243	.342	.399	.741	.156	.298	23	12	.332	112	+8	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.0
2038	31	MLB	BOS	545	470	113	20	3	15	63	130	7	12	1	.240	.339	.391	.730	.151	.297	24	12	.329	110	+6	+2	-3	+6	+15	2.7
2039	32	MLB	BOS	526	453	108	19	3	14	61	129	7	11	0	.238	.338	.386	.724	.148	.296	25	12	.324	106	+4	+2	-4	+6	+15	2.3
2040	33	MLB	BOS	497	431	100	17	3	13	57	125	6	11	0	.232	.330	.376	.706	.144	.294	25	11	.319	102	+1	+2	-4	+5	+14	1.9
2041	34	MLB	BOS	450	391	88	15	2	11	51	117	5	10	0	.225	.322	.358	.680	.133	.293	26	11	.312	97	-2	+2	-5	+5	+13	1.3
2042	35	MLB	BOS	396	343	76	13	2	9	45	107	5	9	0	.222	.321	.350	.670	.128	.291	27	11	.305	91	-4	+2	-6	+4	+11	0.8
2043	36	MLB	BOS	336	291	63	10	2	7	38	94	4	8	0	.216	.315	.337	.652	.120	.288	28	11	.296	85	-6	+2	-6	+4	+10	0.3
2044	37	MLB	BOS	271	236	49	8	1	5	30	79	3	6	0	.208	.305	.314	.618	.106	.285	29	11	.286	77	-7	+1	-7	+3	+8	-0.2
2045	38	MLB	BOS	202	176	35	6	1	3	22	60	2	5	0	.199	.295	.295	.590	.097	.280	30	11	.276	69	-7	+1	-8	+2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9115	7902	1875	330	49	237	1012	2211	122	247	40	.237	.333	.381	.714	.144	.298	24	11	.321	104	+43	+33	-46	+98	+258	39.4
/ 162G	—			650	563	134	24	3	17	72	158	9	18	3	.238	.334	.382	.716	.144	.298	24	11	.321	104	+3	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	176	146	38	5	0	0	24	27	4	16	8	.260	.379	.295	.674	.034	.314	15	14	.318	102	+0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	149	114	32	10	2	1	27	25	4	13	2	.281	.434	.430	.864	.149	.337	17	18	.383	152	+9	+2	—	—	+4	1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christopher Alvarado (OGILVIE)	19	47→52	30→35	58→63	61	.218/.296/.330	.112	.290	2	3	26%	9%	77	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	55→60	49	.241/.304/.317	.076	.306	3	17	21%	8%	75	-0.0	.250/.296/.310	.060	.296	1	19	15%	6%	69	-0.4	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	49→37	40→45	54→55	45	.229/.303/.328	.098	.328	7	17	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.197/.323/.323	.126	.275	12	20	30%	11%	89	+1.0	.179/.324/.312	.133	.244	14	22	29%	12%	86	+0.5
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	49→51	39→40	54→50	55	.233/.320/.324	.091	.289	6	13	20%	10%	85	+0.7	.236/.309/.326	.090	.301	8	14	23%	8%	81	+0.4	.235/.310/.323	.088	.300	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	51	39→45	54→50	50	.241/.308/.340	.098	.273	5	11	13%	6%	83	+0.6	.247/.317/.339	.092	.288	6	9	15%	7%	88	+0.9	.229/.296/.343	.114	.285	12	10	23%	6%	76	+0.0
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→54	45	52→40	48	.224/.296/.359	.134	.268	11	6	21%	7%	84	+0.6	.237/.302/.349	.112	.294	10	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	.234/.338/.350	.116	.305	12	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	47→57	43→50	56→70	38	.227/.269/.356	.129	.308	8	18	28%	5%	71	-0.3	.204/.253/.311	.107	.309	9	27	35%	5%	53	-1.5	.264/.338/.396	.132	.327	13	74	22%	6%	108	+1.6
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	49→59	37→40	56→50	52	.231/.299/.304	.073	.285	4	11	19%	9%	70	-0.3	.234/.279/.300	.066	.300	4	12	22%	6%	60	-1.0	.277/.336/.366	.089	.333	5	15	17%	7%	97	+1.5
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	.212/.301/.276	.064	.273	3	16	22%	11%	65	-0.7	.218/.304/.295	.077	.280	4	15	21%	9%	71	-0.3	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	47	39→45	51→50	42	.223/.278/.315	.092	.300	5	13	26%	6%	64	-0.8	.211/.257/.296	.085	.311	4	11	32%	5%	50	-1.8	.178/.220/.246	.068	.283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	50	41→45	59→65	52	.234/.322/.340	.106	.284	6	29	19%	9%	90	+1.0	.231/.312/.347	.116	.294	10	19	23%	8%	88	+0.9	.235/.317/.335	.100	.305	7	18	23%	9%	81	+0.1
●Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	53→52	46→55	58→50	43	.255/.310/.394	.139	.339	12	15	27%	7%	98	+1.6	.238/.301/.397	.159	.313	16	13	28%	7%	95	+1.4	.241/.312/.408	.167	.299	18	5	25%	8%	96	+1.3
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→49	41→60	54→50	47	.220/.290/.316	.096	.269	8	15	21%	7%	70	-0.3	.218/.267/.324	.106	.281	10	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	.228/.289/.349	.121	.291	8	9	24%	7%	77	+0.1	.249/.303/.399	.150	.321	15	8	26%	6%	97	+1.5	.288/.348/.497	.209	.353	27	29	25%	7%	136	+3.8
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	47→56	41→45	56→70	47	.226/.290/.328	.102	.300	7	17	26%	8%	72	-0.2	.218/.270/.316	.098	.284	7	16	24%	6%	60	-1.0	.260/.332/.371	.111	.354	9	50	27%	9%	98	+1.0
★Jean Segura 2009 · A	19	49→59	36→50	52→60	47	.233/.287/.295	.062	.281	4	15	18%	6%	62	-0.9	.255/.293/.356	.101	.296	7	20	16%	5%	80	+0.4	.304/.351/.439	.135	.338	12	24	13%	6%	123	+3.5
●Lorenzo Cain 2006 · A	20	50→60	42→50	53→55	43	.239/.292/.353	.114	.300	8	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.297/.340	.095	.323	6	16	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.299/.370/.422	.123	.348	12	25	16%	9%	126	+3.3
●Vaughn Grissom 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→50	51→55	44	.214/.271/.302	.088	.272	7	6	23%	6%	58	-1.2	.265/.329/.388	.123	.318	11	15	19%	7%	105	+2.1	.283/.348/.417	.134	.334	12	17	18%	7%	116	+2.4
✕Leo Balcazar 2023 · A	19	44→48	44→40	54→45	40	.212/.276/.331	.119	.313	11	14	34%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.273/.310	.090	.313	8	10	30%	6%	60	-1.0	.223/.267/.300	.077	.281	8	7	23%	5%	52	-1.3
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	42→52	40→50	54→60	46	.202/.270/.293	.091	.264	7	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	.205/.257/.275	.070	.291	3	24	28%	6%	44	-2.1	.250/.300/.402	.152	.328	16	23	28%	6%	93	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)