Robin Ortiz

OF ACL Cubs
Age 20 R/R 6'4" / 200 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Cubs Red164.276/.398/.4032843—.176/.273/.254
202518ROKDSL Cubs Blue164.209/.350/.33641022—.120/.233/.183
202619ROKCHC131.241/.331/.3933238—.165/.244/.261
2027PROJMLE20MLBCHC241.194/.262/.2813454-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBCHC42.201/.270/.2991160-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO66
K%39
wRC+26
Z-Con%25
wOBA19
Whiff%19
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsMisael Urbina (age 20) · Ricardo Rosario (age 20) · Ismael Alcantara (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .260 / .278
PA68
HR1
K%28
BB%7
ISO86
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Cubs Red — 164134 37912 21386 87 276398403801 127361 2313 360 43 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 164134 28504 25354 101 209350336686 127250 2115 319 22 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Cubs — 131112 27803 9316 21 241331393724 152293 247 318 38 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 164142 25611 13486 87 176273254527 77232 298 232 43 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 164142 17302 17434 101 120233183416 63154 2610 201 22 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 131115 19502 6456 21 165244261505 96221 345 224 38 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 164142 25611 13486 87 176273254527 77250 298 232 43 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Cubs Red — 164134 37912 21386 87 276398403801 127361 2313 360 43 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 164142 17302 17434 101 120233183416 63153 2610 201 22 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Cubs Blue — 164134 28504 25354 101 209350336686 127250 2115 319 22 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 131115 19502 6456 21 165244261505 96236 345 224 38 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWACL Cubs — 131112 27803 9316 21 241331393724 152293 247 318 38 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 164144 25611 13486 87 174273250523 76232 298 232 43 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 164142 17302 17434 101 120233183416 63154 2610 201 22 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 131118 19502 6456 21 161244254498 93221 345 224 38 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 164144 25611 13486 87 174273250523 76232 298 232 43 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 164142 17302 17434 101 120233183416 63154 2610 201 22 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 131118 19502 6456 21 161244254498 93221 345 224 38 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLECHC 0% 241218 42813 17684 41 194262281543 86265 287 249 54 -13 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLECHC 34% 121109 22412 9332 21 199269296564 96268 277 257 60 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
202821 MLB CTXCHC 34% 4238 7101 3121 10 201270299569 98271 297 259 60 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4238 7101 3121 10 184262289551 105240 297 259 41 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 10715015 4618615 150 182258284542 102238 297 259 41 -31 +3 +0 -4 +14 -1.8
Career— MLE — 648570 952028 5018819 2310 167257251508 84227 298 229 41 -9 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650572 952028 5018919 2310 166256250506 84227 298 229 41 -32 +1 +0 -4 +14 -2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Cubs · 131 PAwOBA .320 → .224 (−95)K% 23.7% → 34.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.66%÷1.000×1.440——34.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.87%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9954.24%
HBP% /PA4.58%—×0.720—×0.9953.28%
Singles /BIP19.75%÷1.000×0.820×0.975×0.99515.72%
Doubles /BIP9.88%÷1.000×0.720×0.975×0.9956.90%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.975×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP3.70%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9952.87%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .320 → .224; ISO .152 → .106; BABIP .293 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Cubs Blue · 164 PAwOBA .313 → .201 (−112)K% 21.3% → 26.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.34%÷1.001×1.220——26.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.24%÷1.006×0.700—×0.99510.55%
HBP% /PA2.44%—×0.700—×0.9951.70%
Singles /BIP19.19%÷1.016×0.680×0.950×0.99512.14%
Doubles /BIP5.05%÷0.928×0.600×0.950×0.9953.09%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.038×0.600×0.950×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP4.04%÷0.926×0.470—×0.9952.04%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 86, 3B 108, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .313 → .201; ISO .127 → .070; BABIP .250 → .154. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Cubs Red · 164 PAwOBA .356 → .232 (−123)K% 23.2% → 29.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.17%÷0.964×1.220——29.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.20%÷1.047×0.700—×1.0088.21%
HBP% /PA3.66%—×0.700—×1.0082.58%
Singles /BIP26.04%÷1.018×0.680×0.983×1.00817.22%
Doubles /BIP9.38%÷0.960×0.600×0.983×1.0085.81%
Triples /BIP1.04%÷1.000×0.600×0.983×1.0080.62%
Home runs /BIP2.08%÷1.025×0.470—×1.0080.96%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 104, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .356 → .232; ISO .127 → .073; BABIP .361 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).