Ayendy Bravo — OGILVIE

Ayendy Bravo P ACL Brewers

Age 20 RHP 5'10" / 180 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 10 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.59

FIP5.59

K%18.8%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%2.4%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	12	4	45	180	34	16	2	33%	3.8	12.8%	11.1%	1.7%	1.4%	2.38	4.20	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	12	4	45	180	34	16	2	33%	3.8	12.8%	11.1%	1.7%	1.4%	2.38	4.20	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	12	4	45	180	34	16	2	33%	3.8	18.9%	8.9%	10.0%	1.1%	2.38	3.23	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	8	1	21	97	20	5	1	12%	2.6	14.0%	6.4%	7.6%	1.5%	4.35	3.55	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	8	1	21	97	20	5	1	12%	2.6	14.0%	6.4%	7.6%	1.5%	4.35	3.55	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	8	1	21	97	20	5	1	12%	2.6	20.6%	5.2%	15.5%	1.0%	4.35	2.52	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	0	25	138	17	34	2	0%	1.2	6.6%	32.3%	-25.7%	2.3%	10.08	7.87	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	0	25	138	17	34	2	0%	1.2	6.6%	32.3%	-25.7%	2.3%	10.08	7.87	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	0	25	138	17	34	2	0%	1.2	12.3%	24.6%	-12.3%	1.4%	10.08	6.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	MIL	10	0	10	42	8	7	1	0%	1.0	18.8%	16.4%	2.4%	3.0%	5.59	5.59	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIL	22	0	24	100	20	14	3	0%	1.1	19.9%	14.2%	5.8%	2.9%	5.30	5.18	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIL	11	0	12	51	10	7	1	0%	1.1	19.9%	14.2%	5.8%	2.9%	5.30	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	49	10	7	1	0%	1.1	19.9%	14.2%	5.8%	2.9%	5.30	4.80	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	121	17	0%	1.1	19.9%	14.2%	5.8%	2.9%	5.30	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		40	5	91	415	46	71	7	12%	2.3	11.0%	17.1%	-6.0%	1.7%	4.95	5.27	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	11	200	912	101	156	16	12%	2.3	11.0%	17.1%	-6.0%	1.7%	4.95	5.27	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ayendy Bravo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.59	18.8%	16.4%	3.0%	—	5.18	19.9%	5.8%	24	-0.41	—	—	—
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	87
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	87
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	86
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	85
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	85
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	84
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	83
Alejandro Méndez R 2021 · 5.70 FIP	20	SU	5.70	14.6%	14.5%	3.6%	.321	5.60	15.8%	-7.5%	91	-0.10	4.65	136	83
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	83
Ismael Aquino R 2019 · 4.89 FIP	20	SU	4.89	17.0%	16.5%	2.1%	.354	5.58	14.1%	-1.5%	14	+0.69	3.99	122	83
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	83
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	82
Luis Almonte R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	20	SU	4.51	15.5%	15.9%	1.3%	.286	2.93	25.7%	19.4%	52	-1.58	2.20	105	82
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	82
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	82
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	82
David Landeta R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	20	SU	5.04	14.5%	15.3%	2.2%	.353	3.86	16.8%	-0.4%	64	-1.18	3.64	111	82
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	82
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	82
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	81