Santiago Ustariz

Santiago UstarizC DSL CLE Goryl

Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP268

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	108	22	2	1	1	15	22	4	2	0	204	323	269	591	65	244	17	12	281	76	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	108	88	21	3	1	1	16	25	4	0	0	239	380	330	709	91	323	23	15	335	113	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	114	18	1	1	1	9	32	4	2	0	158	244	211	455	53	199	25	7	203	24	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	108	94	15	2	1	1	10	35	4	0	0	160	269	234	503	74	236	32	9	219	34	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	114	18	1	1	1	9	32	4	2	0	158	244	211	455	53	207	25	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	108	22	2	1	1	15	22	4	2	0	204	323	269	591	65	244	17	12	281	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	108	94	15	2	1	1	10	35	4	0	0	160	269	234	503	74	241	32	9	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	108	88	21	3	1	1	16	25	4	0	0	239	380	330	709	91	323	23	15	335	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	114	18	1	1	1	9	32	4	2	0	158	244	211	455	53	199	25	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	108	93	15	2	1	1	10	35	4	0	0	161	269	237	505	75	236	32	9	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	114	18	1	1	1	9	32	4	2	0	158	244	211	455	53	199	25	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	108	93	15	2	1	1	10	35	4	0	0	161	269	237	505	75	236	32	9	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	PIT	—	62	50	6	1	1	0	9	20	3	0	0	120	290	180	470	60	200	32	15	235	45	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	PIT	—	62	44	8	2	1	0	15	14	3	0	0	182	419	273	692	91	267	23	24	345	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	PIT	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		269	25	12	260	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	PIT	—	70	57	7	1	1	0	10	22	3	0	0	123	286	175	461	53	200	31	14	238	47	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	182	160	32	6	1	2	17	49	3	3	1	200	289	287	576	87	274	27	9	272	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	318	280	58	10	2	5	29	84	6	5	2	207	295	311	606	104	277	26	9	280	76	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	418	370	79	14	3	7	38	108	7	7	2	214	299	324	623	111	278	26	9	285	79	-10	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	485	428	93	16	4	9	45	125	9	9	3	217	305	336	641	119	280	26	9	289	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	520	458	100	17	4	10	48	133	9	9	3	218	305	338	643	120	280	26	9	290	83	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	520	458	99	17	4	10	48	133	9	9	3	216	303	336	639	120	280	26	9	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	520	458	99	17	4	10	48	133	9	10	3	216	303	336	639	120	280	26	9	292	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	457	99	17	4	10	49	133	9	10	3	217	305	337	642	120	280	26	9	292	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	457	99	17	4	10	49	134	9	9	3	217	305	337	642	120	279	26	9	291	83	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	520	456	99	17	4	10	50	135	9	9	3	217	307	338	645	121	279	26	10	289	82	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	PIT	60%	520	456	96	16	4	9	50	136	9	9	3	211	301	322	623	112	277	26	10	286	80	-13	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	PIT	62%	504	442	93	16	3	9	48	134	9	8	3	210	301	321	622	111	275	27	10	282	77	-14	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.4
2039	32	MLB MLE	PIT	63%	489	431	88	15	3	8	47	132	8	8	3	204	294	309	603	104	271	27	10	276	73	-16	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.1
2040	33	MLB MLE	PIT	63%	448	395	79	13	3	7	42	123	8	7	2	200	290	301	591	101	267	27	9	270	69	-17	+1	-4	+8	+10	-0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	63	56	11	2	0	1	6	17	1	1	0	196	286	286	571	89	273	27	10	256	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	154	136	28	5	1	2	14	40	3	3	1	206	294	301	596	96	275	26	9	264	76	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	227	200	43	7	2	4	21	59	4	4	1	215	302	330	632	115	276	26	9	269	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	275	243	52	9	2	5	25	71	5	5	2	214	300	329	630	115	278	26	9	272	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	294	260	56	10	2	5	27	75	5	5	2	215	301	327	628	112	278	26	9	273	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	294	260	56	10	2	5	27	75	5	5	2	215	301	327	628	112	278	26	9	274	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	294	260	55	10	2	5	27	75	5	5	2	212	298	323	621	112	278	26	9	275	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	288	254	54	9	2	5	27	74	5	5	2	213	301	323	624	110	278	26	9	275	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	285	251	53	9	2	5	27	73	5	5	2	211	300	323	623	112	277	26	9	274	83	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	302	265	56	10	2	5	29	78	5	5	2	211	301	321	622	109	277	26	10	272	82	-7	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	PIT	60%	313	274	57	10	2	5	30	82	6	5	2	208	300	314	614	106	275	26	10	269	80	-8	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2038	31	MLB CTX	PIT	62%	311	273	57	10	2	5	30	83	5	5	2	209	299	315	614	106	273	27	10	265	77	-9	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	PIT	63%	307	270	55	9	2	5	29	83	5	5	2	204	293	307	600	104	270	27	9	260	73	-10	+0	-2	+5	+7	0.0
2040	33	MLB CTX	PIT	63%	284	250	49	8	2	4	27	78	5	4	1	196	287	292	579	96	266	27	10	254	69	-11	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3691	3252	682	118	25	61	346	963	64	62	23	210	298	318	616	108	277	26	9	269	78	-91	+3	-9	+66	+80	5.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	120	21	4	11	61	170	11	11	4	209	298	318	615	108	276	26	9	269	78	-16	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6728	5921	1247	211	49	118	628	1761	121	114	37	211	299	323	622	112	277	26	9	283	78	-159	+8	-15	+116	+141	9.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	120	20	5	11	61	170	12	11	4	210	299	320	619	110	277	26	9	283	78	-16	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.7	3,783	66	65	213	298	325	+68	+36	8.0	6.7
/162	664	12	11	+11.9	+6.3	1.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Ustariz (OGILVIE)	19	36→41	31→36	44→49	60	193/282/275	82	269	1	1	28%	9%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	42	38→45	52→45	44	198/258/283	84	268	4	6	26%	7%	53	-2.1	213/253/294	81	276	5	8	23%	5%	53	-2.1	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	43	35→40	46→50	50	199/283/256	57	281	2	10	28%	10%	57	-1.8	188/254/253	65	290	3	9	33%	8%	45	-2.7	169/235/227	58	265	2	10	34%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	44	37→40	47→40	45	209/268/279	70	271	5	6	24%	7%	56	-1.9	225/291/332	107	274	8	5	20%	8%	77	-0.3	252/305/321	69	287	2	0	12%	6%	75	-0.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	65	-1.2	195/274/272	77	286	5	5	30%	9%	58	-1.7	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	173/263/240	67	258	5	3	32%	10%	47	-2.5	205/289/309	104	317	11	4	35%	10%	72	-0.7	200/285/310	110	312	13	2	37%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	199/300/314	115	273	13	6	30%	9%	79	-0.2	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	50	191/273/255	63	252	3	8	24%	9%	53	-2.1	201/307/293	92	271	5	6	25%	12%	76	-0.4	184/305/272	88	246	5	5	24%	13%	69	-0.3
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	233/282/341	108	299	5	13	23%	6%	75	-0.5	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Rochest Cruz 2018 · A	19	46	36→40	43→65	52	214/289/283	69	266	3	10	20%	9%	65	-1.2	213/286/278	65	276	3	30	22%	8%	63	-1.3	205/284/259	53	265	2	47	21%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	42	39→40	49→50	43	201/264/291	89	282	5	8	29%	7%	57	-1.8	183/238/255	72	271	4	6	32%	6%	40	-3.1	149/204/202	52	220	3	3	32%	5%	13	-1.4
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	56	-1.9	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	67	-1.1	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	73	-0.2
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	49→55	42	207/263/283	75	275	4	12	25%	6%	55	-1.9	229/295/302	73	307	3	16	24%	7%	72	-0.7	262/328/337	75	341	2	29	22%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	73	-0.6	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	58	-1.7	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	12	-1.3
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	288	5	7	31%	8%	58	-1.7	194/291/271	77	319	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	158/267/223	66	272	6	3	39%	10%	45	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps