Santiago UstarizC DSL CLE Goryl
Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 58 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .293 / .346
PA58
HR1
K%28
BB%9
BABIP286
ISO135
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.91.90.20.50.91.21.31.41.41.41.31.10.9+$80M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 36
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT43
scouting grade only
POWER36
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED49
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.4$7M+$7M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.4$7M+$6M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.4$6M+$6M
2035Arb-1$2M+1.3$5M+$4M
2036Arb-2$3M+1.1$4M+$3M
2037Arb-3$4M+0.9$2M+$0.3M
Totals $13M $31M +$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza — 128113 18111 10334 20 159252212464 53212 268 202 13 — — — — — —
202417 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza — 128108 22211 15224 20 204323269591 65244 1712 281 73 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL CLE Goryl — 10894 14210 10344 00 149259191451 43233 319 214 22 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL CLE Goryl — 10888 21311 16254 00 239380330709 91323 2315 335 114 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ROKPIT — 3427 4110 5102 00 148324259583 111235 2915 264 60 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
YTD19 ROKPIT — 3424 5210 872 00 208441375816 167294 2124 384 152 +2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.4
ROS19 ROKPIT 0% 5852 11211 5161 10 212293346639 135277 289 263 59 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
ROS19 MLBPIT 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 276 —— 249 48 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL19 ROKPIT — 3428 4110 5102 00 143324250574 107222 2915 264 60 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
TOT19 ROKPIT — 9279 15321 10263 10 190304316621 127269 2811 263 60 -4 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBPIT 34% 182162 34622 15493 31 210289309598 99279 278 272 67 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.2
202821 MLBPIT 48% 318282 611135 27846 52 216298330628 113281 268 280 73 -10 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.5
202922 MLBPIT 54% 418372 791437 361097 72 212294323617 110282 269 285 76 -11 +1 +0 +7 +12 0.9
203023 MLBPIT 57% 485432 951749 421268 93 220301340641 120284 269 288 79 -12 +1 +0 +9 +14 1.2
203124 MLBPIT 57% 520461 10118410 451349 93 219301341642 121284 269 290 80 -12 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.3
203225 MLBPIT 57% 520461 10118410 451349 93 219301341642 121284 269 291 81 -11 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.4
203326 MLBPIT 56% 520461 10118410 451349 103 219301341642 121284 269 291 81 -11 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.4
203427 MLBPIT 55% 520460 10118410 461349 103 220303341644 122284 269 291 81 -11 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.4
203528 MLBPIT 59% 520459 10118410 471359 93 220305342647 122283 269 290 80 -12 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.3
203629 MLBPIT 56% 520459 10017410 471369 93 218303338641 120283 269 288 79 -12 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.1
203730 MLBPIT 59% 520459 981749 471379 93 214299327626 113281 269 286 77 -14 +1 -2 +9 +15 0.9
203831 MLBPIT 61% 504445 951649 451359 83 213299328627 115279 279 282 74 -15 +0 -3 +9 +14 0.6
202720 MLBPIT 34% 6357 12211 5171 10 211286333619 123277 278 259 56 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202821 MLBPIT 48% 154137 28512 13413 31 204288299587 95280 278 266 62 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
202922 MLBPIT 54% 227201 44824 20594 41 219302338641 119281 269 271 66 -9 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.2
203023 MLBPIT 57% 275244 52925 24715 52 213297328625 115282 269 275 68 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
203124 MLBPIT 57% 294261 561025 26765 52 215298326624 111283 269 276 70 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203225 MLBPIT 57% 294261 571026 26765 52 218301341642 123283 269 277 70 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203326 MLBPIT 56% 294261 571026 26765 52 218301341642 123283 269 277 70 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203427 MLBPIT 55% 288255 551025 26745 52 216301329630 114283 269 277 70 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203528 MLBPIT 59% 307272 581026 27805 52 213296331627 118282 269 276 70 -10 +0 -0 +5 +9 0.4
203629 MLBPIT 56% 291258 551025 26765 52 213298326623 112281 269 275 68 -10 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.3
203730 MLBPIT 59% 306270 571025 28815 52 211297319616 107280 269 272 66 -12 +0 -1 +5 +9 0.1
203831 MLBPIT 61% 306270 571025 28825 52 211297319616 107277 279 268 63 -13 +0 -2 +5 +9 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 30992748 5881042255 27580953 5320 214298328626 114281 269 274 68 -113 +3 -4 +55 +88 2.9
/ 162G— — 650576 12422512 5817011 114 215299333633 118282 269 274 68 -24 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.6
Career— — 58415172 111019347103 5121530105 10032 215298330628 115282 269 284 75 -162 +7 -7 +104 +165 11.0
/ 162G— — 650576 12221511 5717012 114 212297323620 111278 269 284 75 -18 +1 -1 +12 +18 1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza — 128108 22211 15224 20 204323269591 65244 1712 281 73 -4 +0 — — +4 0.0
202518 ROKDSL CLE Goryl — 10888 21311 16254 00 239380330709 91323 2315 335 114 +2 +0 — — +3 0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,1895756217297334+57+327.06.1
/1626641212+11.9+6.71.5pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Santiago Ustariz (OGILVIE) 19 38→43 31→36 44→49 55 190/304/316 127269 11 28% 11% 60 +0.0 ————————— —————————
✕Daniel Vellojin
2019 · A 		19 39 39→45 47→45 48 189/268/273 83260 66 28% 9% 50 -1.7 214/303/312 98272 78 22% 10% 76 +0.0 196/299/31111625812627%12%71-0.1
✕Nelson Quiroz
2021 · A 		19 44 37→40 47→40 45 209/268/279 70271 56 24% 7% 50 -1.7 225/289/328 103278 75 20% 8% 72 -0.2 255/307/326712932013%6%74-0.0
✕Yasmil Bucce
2023 · A 		18 41 40→45 49→30 44 198/265/288 89272 75 29% 7% 53 -1.5 202/288/300 98309 84 34% 10% 66 -0.6 205/306/33412832513237%11%79+0.2
✕Luis Valenzuela
2013 · A 		19 42 38→45 52→45 44 198/258/283 84268 46 26% 7% 47 -1.9 212/252/292 80276 58 24% 5% 46 -2.0 257/280/3581003165720%2%71-0.1
✕Michael De La Cruz
2015 · A 		19 43 35→40 46→50 50 199/283/256 57281 210 28% 10% 52 -1.6 188/254/253 65290 39 33% 8% 38 -2.6 169/235/2275826521034%7%21-1.3
✕Enmanuel Terrero
2022 · A 		19 42 36→45 46→55 52 196/279/261 65256 39 23% 10% 52 -1.6 220/298/308 88314 714 29% 10% 71 -0.3 212/292/3059332591734%10%65-0.3
✕Sergio Burruel
2010 · A 		19 45 37→30 45→30 43 213/264/286 73284 36 25% 6% 50 -1.7 203/270/264 61295 34 29% 8% 48 -1.9 241/305/316752938120%8%73-0.1
✕Meibrys Viloria
2016 · A 		19 46→47 36→45 46→40 47 217/275/275 58274 43 22% 7% 53 -1.5 242/288/350 108311 93 24% 5% 77 +0.1 247/290/36611931811225%5%79+0.2
✕Freizer Pedron
2007 · A 		20 44 37→40 49→55 42 207/263/283 75275 412 25% 6% 50 -1.8 229/295/302 73307 316 24% 7% 69 -0.4 262/328/3377534122922%6%87+0.3
✕Deiber Olivera
2012 · A 		19 44 38→40 50→45 44 210/259/296 86269 48 23% 6% 50 -1.7 236/277/312 76275 37 15% 4% 63 -0.9 255/291/322672892712%3%69-0.1
●Eliezer Álvarez
2014 · A 		19 37→47 38→45 50→55 44 183/245/265 82243 512 26% 7% 37 -2.6 233/283/341 108299 513 22% 6% 72 -0.2 254/308/36210834251926%6%87+0.4
✕Adrian De Leon
2023 · A 		19 42 38→40 47→45 43 199/271/276 78287 57 30% 8% 53 -1.5 193/290/269 76317 65 37% 9% 60 -1.0 155/264/219642696339%10%36-1.1
✕Tucker Barnhart
2010 · A 		19 43→53 37→45 49→40 43 204/257/275 71277 46 27% 6% 45 -2.1 222/282/297 75300 35 25% 7% 61 -1.0 242/327/36812628712219%11%89+0.7
✕Rochest Cruz
2018 · A 		19 46 36→40 43→65 52 214/289/283 69266 310 20% 9% 61 -1.0 213/286/278 65276 330 22% 8% 59 -1.1 205/284/2595326524721%8%50-0.6
✕Hoy Park
2016 · A 		20 40→49 41→45 47→55 46 196/269/296 99264 811 28% 8% 56 -1.3 205/280/294 89283 516 27% 8% 59 -1.1 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
✕Emmanuel Avila
2008 · A 		19 43→53 35→45 50→45 45 199/268/263 64272 28 26% 7% 47 -1.9 211/249/274 63258 46 19% 4% 40 -2.4 268/309/352832939412%4%85+0.5
✕Deivis Nadal
2021 · A 		19 45 39→40 47→55 43 215/280/297 82288 610 26% 6% 61 -1.0 180/253/251 71291 516 37% 7% 39 -2.5 155/244/2378326872541%8%29-1.2
✕Juan Mora
2019 · A 		19 45 38→45 46→55 49 211/291/293 83275 48 23% 9% 65 -0.7 213/293/327 114268 1014 23% 8% 75 -0.0 214/280/327113274111225%6%67-0.2
✕Dervy Ventura
2023 · A 		19 43→51 36→40 50→55 47 200/276/275 74283 26 28% 9% 53 -1.5 220/297/313 93288 714 24% 10% 72 -0.2 227/311/3219429882225%11%78+0.1
✕Alberto Mineo
2013 · A 		19 42→49 36→40 47→30 44 195/264/259 64292 37 32% 8% 44 -2.1 193/261/260 67300 34 34% 8% 43 -2.2 224/287/296713083126%7%61-0.4