Santiago Ustariz

C DSL CLE Goryl
Age 20 L/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1184ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL CLE Mendo…128.204/.323/.2691214—.134/.236/.161
202518ROKDSL CLE Goryl108.239/.380/.3301027—.140/.259/.183
202619ROKDSL CLE Goryl62.182/.419/.2730044—.122/.306/.184
2027PROJMLE20MLBPIT172.208/.284/.28512630.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBPIT32.213/.290/.30000700.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBPIT87.217/.294/.31411740.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Chase%93
BB%92
Z-Con%74
wOBA56
wRC+50
Whiff%46
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsAngel Ortiz (age 21) · Luis Valenzuela (age 19) · Leandro Pineda (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj PA
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .282 / .282
PA38
HR0
K%27
BB%8
ISO77
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +0.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.40.50.50.50.40.30.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.4M
2036Arb-1$2M+0.3$0.6M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-2$2M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2038Arb-3$1.0M———
Totals $3M $4M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza — 128108 22211 15224 20 204323269591 65244 1712 281 14 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL CLE Goryl — 10888 21311 16254 00 239380330709 91323 2315 335 27 — — — — — —
202619 ROKDSL CLE Goryl — 6244 8210 15143 00 182419273692 91267 2324 345 44 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 128112 15110 11274 20 134236161397 27166 219 189 14 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 10893 13210 11304 00 140259183442 43194 2810 208 27 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 6249 6110 10173 00 122306184490 61171 2716 233 44 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 128112 15110 11274 20 134236161397 27174 219 189 14 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL CLE Mendoza — 128108 22211 15224 20 204323269591 65244 1712 281 14 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 10893 13210 11304 00 140259183442 43206 2810 208 27 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL CLE Goryl — 10888 21311 16254 00 239380330709 91323 2315 335 27 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 6249 6110 10173 00 122306184490 61188 2716 233 44 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWDSL CLE Goryl — 6244 8210 15143 00 182419273692 91267 2324 345 44 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 128112 15110 11274 20 134236161397 27166 219 189 14 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 10892 13210 11304 00 141259185444 43194 2810 208 27 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 6249 6110 10173 00 122306184490 61171 2716 233 44 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 128112 15110 11274 20 134236161397 27166 219 189 14 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 10892 13210 11304 00 141259185444 43194 2810 208 27 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 6249 6110 10173 00 122306184490 61171 2716 233 44 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEPIT 0% 172153 32521 14463 21 208284285569 77284 278 262 63 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEPIT 34% 9485 18311 8251 10 213290302592 89286 279 271 70 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.1
202922 MLB MLEPIT 48% 180160 36523 15473 21 217294317611 100287 268 278 74 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.2
203023 MLB MLEPIT 54% 275246 55925 23714 31 221298329627 108289 268 284 79 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.4
203124 MLB MLEPIT 55% 357319 721137 30915 42 224300339640 115290 258 289 82 -8 +0 +0 +6 +8 0.7
203225 MLB MLEPIT 56% 403361 811338 331026 42 226302347650 121290 258 293 85 -7 +0 +0 +7 +9 0.9
203326 MLB MLEPIT 56% 430385 871439 361096 42 227303350653 124290 258 295 85 -7 +0 +0 +8 +9 1.0
203427 MLB MLEPIT 55% 441395 881439 371136 42 226302348649 122289 268 293 84 -8 +0 +0 +8 +10 0.9
203528 MLB MLEPIT 55% 443397 891439 371146 32 224300343643 119288 268 290 83 -9 -0 -1 +8 +10 0.8
203629 MLB MLEPIT 58% 436391 861438 361146 11 221297336633 115287 268 287 80 -10 -0 -1 +8 +9 0.5
203730 MLB MLEPIT 55% 426382 841338 351126 11 218293328622 110285 268 282 77 -12 -0 -2 +8 +9 0.3
203831 MLB MLEPIT 58% 392352 761237 321055 11 214288319607 105282 278 276 73 -13 -0 -3 +7 +8 -0.0
202821 MLB CTXPIT 34% 3229 6100 380 00 213290300590 88286 259 270 70 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202922 MLB CTXPIT 48% 8779 17311 7231 10 217294314608 97288 268 277 74 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.1
203023 MLB CTXPIT 54% 149134 29512 12382 21 220297326623 105289 268 283 79 -4 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.2
203124 MLB CTXPIT 55% 198177 40723 16513 21 223300335635 112290 268 288 82 -4 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.4
203225 MLB CTXPIT 56% 226202 46824 19573 21 225302343644 117291 258 291 85 -4 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.5
203326 MLB CTXPIT 56% 242216 49825 20614 21 226302346648 120290 258 292 85 -4 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.5
203427 MLB CTXPIT 55% 244219 49825 20623 21 225301343644 118290 258 291 84 -5 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.5
203528 MLB CTXPIT 55% 243218 48824 20633 11 223299338637 116289 268 288 83 -5 -0 -0 +4 +5 0.4
203629 MLB CTXPIT 58% 253227 49824 21663 11 220296332628 112287 268 285 80 -6 -0 -1 +5 +5 0.3
203730 MLB CTXPIT 55% 236212 46724 19623 11 217292325617 107285 268 280 77 -6 -0 -1 +4 +5 0.1
203831 MLB CTXPIT 58% 229205 45724 19613 10 213287315602 102282 278 274 73 -7 +0 -2 +4 +5 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 21391918 424701836 17655228 158 221296333629 112290 268 285 76 -50 -0 -4 +38 +46 3.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650583 12821511 531689 52 220295329624 110287 268 285 76 -15 -0 -1 +12 +14 1.0
Career— MLE — 42133761 8121273274 357108766 3015 216295326621 110282 268 281 76 -92 -0 -7 +70 +85 5.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 12520511 5516810 52 216295324619 109282 268 281 76 -15 -0 -1 +12 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL CLE Goryl · 62 PAwOBA .338 → .233 (−106)K% 22.6% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.58%÷1.000×1.220——27.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA24.19%÷1.000×0.700—×0.98516.68%
HBP% /PA4.84%—×0.700—×0.9853.34%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷1.000×0.680—×0.98511.16%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9853.94%
Triples /BIP3.33%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9851.97%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .338 → .233; ISO .091 → .058; BABIP .267 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL CLE Goryl · 108 PAwOBA .327 → .208 (−119)K% 23.1% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.15%÷1.028×1.220——27.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.81%÷0.993×0.700—×0.99510.39%
HBP% /PA3.70%—×0.700—×0.9952.58%
Singles /BIP25.40%÷1.061×0.680×0.969×0.99515.71%
Doubles /BIP4.76%÷1.020×0.600×0.969×0.9952.70%
Triples /BIP1.59%÷0.995×0.600×0.969×0.9950.92%
Home runs /BIP1.59%÷1.316×0.470—×0.9950.56%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 112, 2B 104, 3B 99, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .327 → .208; ISO .091 → .046; BABIP .323 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 128 PAwOBA .277 → .189 (−87)K% 17.2% → 21.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.19%÷0.987×1.220——21.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.72%÷0.986×0.700—×1.0088.38%
HBP% /PA3.12%—×0.700—×1.0082.20%
Singles /BIP20.93%÷0.995×0.680×1.021×1.00814.71%
Doubles /BIP2.33%÷1.091×0.600×1.021×1.0081.32%
Triples /BIP1.16%÷1.045×0.600×1.021×1.0080.69%
Home runs /BIP1.16%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0080.55%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 109, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .277 → .189; ISO .065 → .035; BABIP .244 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).